Poli. Opolska will host Leszno on 15 November 2026 in the 1 Liga, and the Pythia model names Leszno the favourite, assigning it a 79% chance to win because of an unblemished 8-0 season record, 92.0 points per game and only 75.4 points allowed, while Poli. Opolska struggles at 1-7 with 80.9 points scored and 92.4 allowed, and sits 16th in the league; the model therefore rates Leszno highly. Poli. Opolska has played eight games this season, winning only once, and has a 1-3 record at home with 85.2 points per game and 92.2 allowed; its last five games yielded one win and four losses, including a 76-80 defeat to Inowroclaw, an 84-90 loss to Kotwica Kolobrzeg, and an 84-104 loss to Lancut. Leszno, meanwhile, has also played eight games, winning all, and is undefeated on the road with a 3-0 record, scoring 94.0 points per game and allowing 77.7; its last five games were all victories, including a 100-89 win over Poznan, a 90-76 win against Bytom, and a 84-59 win over GKS Tychy. In their head-to-head meetings, Leszno leads 3-1, though Poli. Opolska last beat them 89-75 on 26 March 2026. Pythia projects a 81-91 score, a total of 172.0 points, and gives Poli. Opolska a 21% win probability versus Leszno's 79%; the home line is 13.0 with a 64% chance of covering, and the over line of 170.0 carries a 54% probability, while the game has a 4% chance of overtime. The next game will see Leszno maintain its perfect record against a struggling home side.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Poli. Opolska winLost
20.9%fair 4.79
Best odds4.23
Implied21.7%
Edge-0.8pp
Leszno winWon
79.1%fair 1.26
Best odds1.25
Implied78.3%
Edge+0.8pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Poli. OpolskaLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
GKS Tychy
#6
L
14-21
14
21
-7
A11/04
1 Liga
Lancut
#5
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H15/04
1 Liga
Poznan
#4
L
16-24
16
24
-8
A19/09
1 Liga
Pelplin
#7
L
14-30
14
30
-16
A27/09
1 Liga
Krosno
#13
W
31-23
31
23
+8
H04/10
1 Liga
Spojnia Stargard
#2
L
24-27
24
27
-3
A10/10
1 Liga
LKS Lodz
#3
L
17-26
17
26
-9
H17/10
1 Liga
Lancut
#6
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H25/10
1 Liga
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
#11
L
21-25
21
25
-4
H31/10
1 Liga
Inowroclaw
#5
W
23-21
23
21
+2
A08/11
1 Liga
47.3Avg total
22.3Scored
25.0Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)
20.8
22.4
43.2
-1.7
40%
53%
Last 30 at home (16)
22.1
22.5
44.6
-0.4
44%
56%
Last 30 away (14)
19.3
22.4
41.6
-3.1
36%
50%
Last 10 (10)
22.3
25.0
47.3
-2.7
30%
80%
Last 5 (5)
21.8
25.0
46.8
-3.2
20%
100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)
21.3
22.7
44.0
-1.4
41%
65%
vs Similar (12)
19.8
22.7
42.4
-2.9
33%
42%
vs Weaker (1)
24.0
15.0
39.0
+9.0
100%
0%
This opponent (Leszno) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
This opponent (Poli. Opolska) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 2nd half markets priced for this game yet.
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Poli. Opolska +17.5
77.0%
1.47
1xBet
1.47
-
-
-
-
+17.0pp
Won
Poli. Opolska +18.5
79.6%
1.40
1xBet
1.40
-
-
-
-
+16.1pp
Won
Poli. Opolska +16
73.6%
1.56
Pinnacle
1.56
-
-
-
-
+15.4pp
Won
Poli. Opolska +16.5
74.3%
1.54
1xBet
1.56
Pinnacle
1.52
-
-
-
+14.6pp
Won
Poli. Opolska +15
70.5%
1.60
Pinnacle
1.60
-
-
-
-
+13.8pp
Won
Poli. Opolska over 73.5
77.6%
1.37
1xBet
1.37
-
-
-
-
+13.5pp
Lost
Poli. Opolska +15.5
71.4%
1.61
1xBet
1.66
Pinnacle
1.56
-
-
-
+13.1pp
Won
Leszno -2.5
73.5%
1.39
1xBet
1.39
-
-
-
-
+9.6pp
Lost
Leszno under 96.5
72.3%
1.38
1xBet
1.38
-
-
-
-
+8.8pp
Won
Leszno over 83.5
75.9%
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+7.1pp
Lost
Leszno over 84.5
72.7%
1.34
1xBet
1.34
-
-
-
-
+7.1pp
Lost
Leszno (regulation)
76.9%
1.22
1xBet
1.22
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Won
Poli. Opolska over 74.5
74.5%
1.29
1xBet
1.29
-
-
-
-
+5.9pp
Lost
Poli. Opolska over 75.5
71.2%
1.34
1xBet
1.34
-
-
-
-
+5.8pp
Lost
Overtime: no
96.2%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+4.3pp
Won
Leszno -3.5
70.6%
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Lost
Leszno win
79.1%
1.21
WilliamHill
1.25
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.23
1xBet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
+0.8pp
Won
Free daily update
Get it on Telegram
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poli. Opolskatheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Poli. Opolska: 95.9 points a game allowed
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
38.5
24.6
63.9%
53.9%
49.2
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
23.5
9.5
40.4%
33.5%
28.5
🏀Free throws
24.9
18.2
73.1%
70.8%
18.2
Their opponents take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of those shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Lesznotheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Leszno: 77.3 points a game allowed
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
32.2
17.3
53.7%
53.9%
34.6
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
30.9
10.6
34.3%
33.5%
31.8
🏀Free throws
17.0
10.9
64.1%
70.8%
10.9
Their opponents take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of those shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poli. Opolskatheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Poli. Opolska: 86.9 points a game allowed
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
40.4
22.5
55.7%
53.9%
45.0
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
25.4
8.6
33.8%
33.5%
25.8
🏀Free throws
22.7
16.1
71.0%
70.8%
16.1
Their opponents take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of those shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Lesznotheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Leszno: 80.7 points a game allowed
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.5 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
50%
31%
19%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
34.0
17.8
52.3%
53.9%
35.5
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
30.3
10.2
33.5%
33.5%
30.5
🏀Free throws
22.6
14.7
64.9%
70.8%
14.7
Their opponents take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of those shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Poli. Opolska
LLLWLLLLLL
Leszno
WWWWWWWWLW
#16
League position
#1
-15.1
Net rating
+12.5
92.9
Offensive rating
102.8
107.9
Defensive rating
90.3
49.6%
Effective FG%
55.4%
62.7%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
14.8%
Turnover %
13.1%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.0%
3-point %
36.7%
58.9%
Assist %
68.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%
Profile
■ Poli. Opolska■ Leszno
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which
predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our
Cookie Policy.
Manage Cookies
Strictly Necessary
Always Active
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the
pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the
operation of our website.
Session and security cookies, your logged-in state, your
subscription status, and the record of this cookie choice itself. These cannot be switched
off because the site cannot be delivered without them.
Functionality Cookies
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site
behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to
build a profile of you.
Your preferred tours and filters, which notices you have dismissed, your
theme choice, and display preferences you have chosen. Kept for up to two years, and you
can clear them from your browser at any time.
These are what "Essential Only" keeps. Choosing "Allow Necessary Cookies
Only" inside this panel switches them off as well.
Performance Cookies
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to
produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics
internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them
our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Which pages and predictions are read, how long pages take to
load, and which features are used, including Google Analytics. Reported in
aggregate, never sold, and not used to identify you personally when you are not signed in.
These are off unless you switch them on here or choose "Accept All".
Third Party Marketing/Targeting
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include
limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the
effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they
will not be adjusted to your interests.
Set by our advertising partners. Switching these off does not
reduce the number of adverts you see; it only makes them less relevant to you.
🔒
A Pro feature
Filtering, slicing and choosing dates are part of Pro -
unlock every pick, all slicers, Challenger/ITF boards, set scores and games markets.
PythiaBasketballBETA
1 LigaRound 9· Hala sportowa Politechniki Opolskiej
Poli. Opolska
Spojnia Stargard
Inowroclaw
Poznan
WKK Wroclaw
Pelplin
GKS Tychy
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
Krosno
Starogard Gdanski