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Polytechnica vs Rilski Sportist Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Projected 77-96
Projected total 173.1
Final 65-95
16-27 10-21 22-25 17-22
Position#14
Record0-4
FormLLLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game97.0
Polytechnica
Bulgaria
Vs
94%
■ POLY 6%■ RSP 94%
Pythia win probability
Rilski Sportist 🏆
Bulgaria
Position#3
Record3-1
FormWLLWL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game76.2
BulgariaNBLRound 5· Sports hall Dupnica
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Polytechnica will host Rilski Sportist on 7 November 2026 in the NBL, and the Pythia model names Rilski Sportist the clear favourite, giving them a 95% chance to win because of their 3-1 record, 92.0 points per game and 76.2 points allowed per game, while Polytechnica sits 14th with a 0-4 record, 72.2 points per game and 97.0 points allowed per game. Polytechnica's four games have yielded no victories, with a 71.0 points per game average at home and 102.0 points allowed in their sole home outing, and their last five games have been all losses, including a 58-99 defeat to Beroe away, a 65-87 loss to Lok. Plovdiv away and a 71-102 home loss to Spartak Pleven. Rilski Sportist, meanwhile, has won three of four games, scoring 92.0 points per game and conceding 76.2, and on the road they have gone 1-1, averaging 83.0 points and 75.0 points allowed. Their last five games include a 88-79 home win over Lok. Plovdiv, but losses to SCM Craiova 86-103 away and Spartak Pleven 70-86 away. The Pythia projection puts the final score at 77-96, with a total of 173.1 points; the home team has a 5% chance to win and a 1% chance of overtime, while the away team's 95% win probability reflects their stronger season performance.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polytechnica winLost
5.6%fair 17.93
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rilski Sportist winWon
94.4%fair 1.06
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 06 Nov 07:38 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolytechnicaBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolytechnica
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#11
L
95-100
95
100
-5
58avg 51
A10/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
L
71-102
71
102
-31
61avg 51
H17/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
65-87
65
87
-22
41avg 51
A24/10
NBL
Beroe
#9
L
58-99
58
99
-41
44avg 51
A31/10
NBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-25
24-23
23-26
24-26
21-28
16-25
21-25
13-24
24-22
11-22
20-18
10-25
19-23
17-36
13-17
9-23
169.2Avg total
72.2Scored
97.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.297.0169.2-24.80%
Season at home (1)71.0102.0173.0-31.00%
Season away (3)72.795.3168.0-22.70%
Last 10 (4)72.297.0169.2-24.80%
Last 5 (4)72.297.0169.2-24.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)72.297.0169.2-24.80%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistBulgariaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSportist
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
W
100-94
100
94
+6
95avg 85
A25/05
NBL
Breogan
#6
L
80-126
80
126
-46
66avg 85
A14/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#25
L
75-79 OT
75
79
-4
63avg 85
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#13
W
96-64
96
64
+32
93avg 85
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#1
L
62-94
62
94
-32
49avg 85
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
114-76
114
76
+38
112avg 85
H17/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
L
70-86
70
86
-16
59avg 85
A25/10
NBL
SCM Craiova
#33
L
86-103
86
103
-17
84avg 85
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
88-79
88
79
+9
76avg 85
H31/10
NBL
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
L
70-92
70
92
-22
no box
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
26-17
26-23
23-32
16-25
22-32
18-37
24-32
16-20
18-23
13-15
21-10
21-22
21-11
29-15
25-16
20-25
13-31
11-13
18-25
28-19
32-15
27-26
27-16
22-26
20-16
15-22
13-22
16-16
17-21
22-37
31-29
25-14
20-25
20-17
23-23
17-24
22-20
12-28
19-20
173.4Avg total
84.1Scored
89.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)92.076.2168.2+15.875%
Season at home (2)101.077.5178.5+23.5100%
Season away (2)83.075.0158.0+8.050%
Last 10 (10)84.189.3173.4-5.240%
Last 5 (5)85.687.2172.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)73.292.0165.2-18.80%
vs Similar (4)91.886.2178.0+5.575%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)93.280.4173.6+12.976%
This opponent (Polytechnica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 166Actual: Under 166
Over 166
67.3%
Under 166
32.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 171Actual: Under 171
Over 171
55.1%
Under 171
44.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 176Actual: Under 176
Over 176
42.5%
Under 176
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Polytechnica total 84Actual: Polytechnica under 84
Over 84
24.0%
Under 84
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polytechnica total 88Actual: Polytechnica under 88
Over 88
13.5%
Under 88
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Polytechnica total 92Actual: Polytechnica under 92
Over 92
6.9%
Under 92
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilski Sportist total 79Actual: Rilski Sportist over 79
Over 79
95.9%
Under 79
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilski Sportist total 83Actual: Rilski Sportist over 83
Over 83
91.0%
Under 83
9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rilski Sportist total 87Actual: Rilski Sportist over 87
Over 87
82.4%
Under 87
17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Polytechnica -3Actual: Rilski Sportist +3
POLY -3
3.6%
RSP +3
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
POLY
No market prices yet.
RSP
No market prices yet.
Spread Polytechnica 0Actual: Rilski Sportist 0
POLY 0
5.6%
RSP 0
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
POLY
No market prices yet.
RSP
No market prices yet.
Spread Polytechnica +3Actual: Rilski Sportist -3
POLY +3
7.9%
RSP -3
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
POLY
No market prices yet.
RSP
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -9.5-9.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -10.5-10.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
-13-7+0+7+13Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: -9.5-9.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -4.0-4.0Q4Q4: -10.5-10.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
PolytechnicaRilski Sportist
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolytechnicaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Sofia
#11
D
48-48
48
48
+0
A10/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H17/10
NBL
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A24/10
NBL
Beroe
#9
L
36-59
36
59
-23
A31/10
NBL
90.0Avg total
39.0Scored
51.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (4)39.051.090.0-12.00%-
Last 30 at home (1)37.053.090.0-16.00%-
Last 30 away (3)39.750.390.0-10.70%-
Last 10 (4)39.051.090.0-12.00%-
Last 5 (4)39.051.090.0-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)39.051.090.0-12.00%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rilski Sportist) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rilski SportistLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cherno More
#3
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A25/05
NBL
Breogan
#6
L
38-57
38
57
-19
A14/09
Champions League
Sporting CP
#25
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Yambol
#13
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A11/10
NBL
Esenler Erokspor
#1
L
33-56
33
56
-23
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
CSKA Sofia
#11
W
60-34
60
34
+26
H17/10
NBL
Spartak Pleven
#8
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A25/10
NBL
SCM Craiova
#33
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A28/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lok. Plovdiv
#4
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H31/10
NBL
Kolossos Rhodes
#14
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H03/11
FIBA Europe Cup
84.1Avg total
41.7Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.741.886.4+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.442.388.7+4.160%-
Last 30 away (15)42.941.284.1+1.753%-
Last 10 (10)41.742.484.1-0.740%-
Last 5 (5)43.839.283.0+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.845.079.8-10.20%-
vs Similar (4)47.040.087.0+7.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)46.440.887.2+5.767%-
This opponent (Polytechnica) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polytechnicatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polytechnica: 61.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers24.5 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.0 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.512.2
40.2%
55.5%24.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.58.8
35.7%
29.8%26.2
🏀 Free throws21.211.0
51.8%
71.2%11.0
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rilski Sportisttheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rilski Sportist: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.0 points a game
54%
26%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.122.2
56.8%
55.5%44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.0
32.1%
29.8%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.718.5
74.9%
71.2%18.5
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 07 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Polytechnica
LLLL
Rilski Sportist
LWLLWLWLLW
#14
League position
#3
-24.8
Net rating
+3.2
73.7
Offensive rating
100.6
98.5
Defensive rating
97.3
46.1%
Effective FG%
53.4%
50.2%
Opp. effective FG%
55.1%
22.6%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.39
35.7%
3-point %
32.1%
78.6%
Assist %
62.3%
0%
Form (last 4/10)
40%

Profile

Offence73.7 · 100.6Defence98.5 · 97.3Shooting46.1% · 53.4%3-point %35.7% · 32.1%Ball care22.6% · 14.9%Free throws0.39 · 0.39Form (last 4/10)0% · 40%
■ Polytechnica   ■ Rilski Sportist
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Polytechnica wins
0
Rilski Sportist wins
No previous meetings.
Polytechnicalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/10/26ABeroe58-99
24/10/26ALok. Plovdiv65-87
17/10/26HSpartak Pleven71-102
10/10/26ACSKA Sofia95-100
Rilski Sportistlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26HKolossos Rhodes70-92
31/10/26HLok. Plovdiv88-79
28/10/26ASCM Craiova86-103
25/10/26ASpartak Pleven70-86
17/10/26HCSKA Sofia114-76
14/10/26HEsenler Erokspor62-94
11/10/26AYambol96-64
07/10/26ASporting CP75-79 OT
14/09/26ABreogan80-126
25/05/26ACherno More100-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polytechnica
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 0 Wins / 4 Losses (last 4)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game72.271.072.7
Allowed / game97.0102.095.3
Point differential-24.8-31.0-22.7
Avg total169.2173.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rilski Sportist
NBL 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game92.0101.083.0
Allowed / game76.277.575.0
Point differential+15.8+23.5+8.0
Avg total168.2178.5158.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Balkan440100%92.571.8+20.8
2 Minyor440100%109.895.0+14.8
3 Cherno More43175%87.269.8+17.5
4 Rilski Sportist43175%92.076.2+15.8
5 Botev Academic43175%89.880.0+9.8
6 Lok. Plovdiv43175%89.080.2+8.8
7 Spartak Pleven43175%85.276.8+8.5
8 Shumen43175%93.890.5+3.2
9 Beroe41325%96.089.0+7.0
10 CSKA Sofia41325%75.899.5-23.8
11 Levski4040%77.293.8-16.5
12 Botev 20124040%76.293.2-17.0
13 Yambol4040%67.091.0-24.0
14 Polytechnica4040%72.297.0-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Polytechnica1610221765
Rilski Sportist2721252295
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