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Portland State vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 96-69
46-32 50-37
Position#87
Record8-5
FormWLLWW
Points / game82.3
Allowed / game73.2
Portland State 🏆
USA
vs
Sacramento State
USA
Position#324
Record4-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game81.9
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Portland State v Sacramento State
10 Jan 2026
PORT96
SACR69
03 Mar 2025
PORT59
SACR56
03 Feb 2024
PORT58
SACR51
27 Feb 2023
PORT74
SACR76
05 Feb 2022
PORT73
SACR65
07 Mar 2020
PORT76
SACR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Portland State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Portland StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
93-80
93
80
+13
H18/11
NCAA
Evergreen State
#560
W
90-61
90
61
+29
H20/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
W
68-63
68
63
+5
A26/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A04/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
55-60
55
60
-5
H06/12
NCAA
George Fox
#581
W
94-50
94
50
+44
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A18/12
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
61-63
61
63
-2
A21/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
W
95-90 OT
95
90
+5
A01/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
42-32
51-48
40-27
50-34
24-26
44-37
38-31
39-40
25-30
30-30
50-20
44-30
35-37
38-47
23-24
38-39
30-37
46-39
29-36
49-42
150.8Avg total
79.9Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)82.373.2155.5+9.162%
Season at home (5)90.865.0155.8+25.880%
Season away (8)77.078.4155.4-1.450%
Last 10 (10)79.970.9150.8+9.070%
Last 5 (5)83.274.8158.0+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)77.074.6151.6+2.460%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)74.968.7143.6+6.258%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#263
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H16/11
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
48-79
48
79
-31
A19/11
NCAA
California
#79
L
67-91
67
91
-24
A22/11
NCAA
San Francisco State
#546
W
94-46
94
46
+48
H26/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A30/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
88-110
88
110
-22
A03/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
88-100
88
100
-12
A23/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
84-97
84
97
-13
A02/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
82-95
82
95
-13
A04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-36
37-26
17-42
31-37
33-47
34-44
49-23
45-23
32-32
22-36
47-52
41-58
34-38
33-36
44-52
44-48
32-41
52-56
39-50
43-45
155.8Avg total
73.6Scored
82.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.581.9159.4-4.429%
Season at home (5)86.871.0157.8+15.880%
Season away (9)72.387.9160.2-15.60%
Last 10 (10)73.682.2155.8-8.620%
Last 5 (5)81.895.2177.0-13.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)67.579.9147.3-12.49%
vs Similar (4)76.080.0156.0-4.025%
vs Weaker (2)98.562.5161.0+36.0100%
This opponent (Portland State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -5.9-5.92nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -2.7-2.7
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +3.6+3.61st half: -5.9-5.92nd half2nd half: +4.3+4.32nd half: -2.7-2.7
Portland StateSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Portland StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSU Bakersfield
#356
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H18/11
NCAA
Evergreen State
#560
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H20/11
NCAA
Utah Tech
#158
L
24-26
24
26
-2
A26/11
NCAA
South Dakota Coyotes
#214
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A04/12
NCAA
Nebraska O.
#219
L
25-30
25
30
-5
H06/12
NCAA
George Fox
#581
W
50-20
50
20
+30
H13/12
NCAA
Colorado
#183
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A18/12
NCAA
Tulane
#173
L
23-24
23
24
-1
A21/12
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A01/01
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
29-36
29
36
-7
A03/01
NCAA
63.6Avg total
33.6Scored
30.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.231.364.5+1.947%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.428.464.8+7.971%-
Last 30 away (16)30.433.864.2-3.425%-
Last 10 (10)33.630.063.6+3.640%-
Last 5 (5)33.430.864.2+2.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (10)31.333.765.0-2.440%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)33.330.663.9+2.747%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Presbyterian
#263
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H16/11
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
17-42
17
42
-25
A19/11
NCAA
California
#79
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A22/11
NCAA
San Francisco State
#546
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H26/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A30/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A23/12
NCAA
Idaho State
#284
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A02/01
NCAA
Weber State
#201
L
39-50
39
50
-11
A04/01
NCAA
76.7Avg total
35.4Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.939.773.6-5.827%-
Last 30 at home (11)33.137.070.1-3.936%-
Last 30 away (19)34.441.375.7-6.821%-
Last 10 (10)35.441.376.7-5.910%-
Last 5 (5)39.246.685.8-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)32.340.873.1-8.417%-
vs Similar (4)36.839.576.2-2.825%-
vs Weaker (2)45.031.076.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Portland State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Portland State wins
5
Sacramento State wins
DateGameScore
04/03/25Portland State v Sacramento State59-56
04/01/25Sacramento State v Portland State56-53
02/03/24Sacramento State v Portland State73-61
04/02/24Portland State v Sacramento State58-51
28/02/23Portland State v Sacramento State74-76
31/12/22Sacramento State v Portland State74-63
06/02/22Portland State v Sacramento State73-65
15/01/22Sacramento State v Portland State62-67
08/03/20Portland State v Sacramento State76-72
24/01/20Sacramento State v Portland State66-55
Portland Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26AIdaho State93-87 OT
01/01/26AWeber State95-90 OT
21/12/25ATulane61-63
18/12/25AColorado73-84
13/12/25HGeorge Fox94-50
06/12/25HNebraska O.55-60
04/12/25ASouth Dakota Coyotes77-71
26/11/25AUtah Tech68-63
20/11/25HEvergreen State90-61
18/11/25HCSU Bakersfield93-80
Sacramento Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26AWeber State82-95
02/01/26AIdaho State84-97
23/12/25ACS Northridge88-100
21/12/25ACalifornia Baptist67-74
03/12/25ABaylor88-110
30/11/25APacific54-68
26/11/25HSan Francisco State94-46
22/11/25ACalifornia67-91
19/11/25AUCLA48-79
16/11/25HPresbyterian64-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Portland State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW62%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %62%80%50%
Points / game82.390.877.0
Allowed / game73.265.078.4
Point differential+9.1+25.8-1.4
Avg total155.5155.8155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %15%0%25%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL29%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1459
Win %29%80%0%
Points / game77.586.872.3
Allowed / game81.971.087.9
Point differential-4.4+15.8-15.6
Avg total159.4157.8160.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado1611569%85.577.4+8.1
2 Portland State138562%82.373.2+9.1
3 Idaho159660%80.872.5+8.3
4 Montana State169756%78.769.2+9.5
5 Montana169756%81.174.3+6.8
6 Weber State168850%84.375.2+9.1
7 Idaho State168850%77.473.4+4.1
8 Northern Arizona1661038%73.474.3-0.9
9 Sacramento State1441029%77.581.9-4.4
10 East. Washington1521313%77.085.1-8.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Portland State465096
Sacramento State323769
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