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Idaho State vs Sacramento State Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 97-84
41-32 56-52
Position#284
Record7-6
FormWWLWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game70.2
vs
Position#324
Record4-8
FormWLLLL
Points / game76.6
Allowed / game79.5
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Idaho State v Sacramento State
01 Jan 2026
IDAH97
SACR84
22 Feb 2025
IDAH83
SACR66
08 Feb 2024
IDAH68
SACR40
19 Jan 2023
IDAH65
SACR61
19 Feb 2022
IDAH75
SACR80
18 Jan 2021
IDAH65
SACR70
17 Jan 2021
IDAH57
SACR56
08 Feb 2020
IDAH59
SACR63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Idaho State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sacramento State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Idaho StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A16/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
55-64
55
64
-9
A19/11
NCAA
Justice College
#526
W
89-51
89
51
+38
H21/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
81-84
81
84
-3
H26/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
82-50
82
50
+32
H28/11
NCAA
UMKC
#368
W
68-59
68
59
+9
A04/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
93-79
93
79
+14
H06/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
69-73
69
73
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Montana Western
#410
W
80-64
80
64
+16
H19/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H21/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-43
40-40
22-30
33-34
40-32
49-19
34-38
47-46
39-18
43-32
25-29
43-30
43-37
50-42
32-36
37-37
41-33
39-31
35-50
48-43
147.4Avg total
77.4Scored
70.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)75.670.2145.8+5.554%
Season at home (7)84.170.3154.4+13.971%
Season away (6)65.770.0135.7-4.333%
Last 10 (10)77.470.0147.4+7.450%
Last 5 (5)78.673.6152.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)70.179.4149.6-9.30%
vs Similar ◀ (11)74.572.1146.5+2.455%
vs Weaker (10)76.465.5141.9+10.980%
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
87-92
87
92
-5
H12/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
73-77
73
77
-4
A15/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
W
64-62
64
62
+2
H16/11
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
48-79
48
79
-31
A19/11
NCAA
California
#79
L
67-91
67
91
-24
A22/11
NCAA
San Francisco State
#546
W
94-46
94
46
+48
H26/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
L
54-68
54
68
-14
A30/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
88-110
88
110
-22
A03/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
88-100
88
100
-12
A23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
43-45
44-47
36-34
37-43
27-36
37-26
17-42
31-37
33-47
34-44
49-23
45-23
32-32
22-36
47-52
41-58
34-38
33-36
44-52
44-48
152.9Avg total
73.0Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)76.679.5156.1-2.933%
Season at home (5)86.871.0157.8+15.880%
Season away (7)69.385.6154.9-16.30%
Last 10 (10)73.079.9152.9-6.920%
Last 5 (5)78.279.6157.8-1.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)66.879.2146.0-12.49%
vs Similar ◀ (5)68.273.6141.8-5.420%
vs Weaker (2)98.562.5161.0+36.0100%
This opponent (Idaho State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: +7.5+7.52nd half: -3.0-3.0
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.1-0.11st half: -3.9-3.92nd half2nd half: +7.5+7.52nd half: -3.0-3.0
Idaho StateSacramento State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Idaho StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seattle
#108
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A16/11
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
22-30
22
30
-8
A19/11
NCAA
Justice College
#526
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H21/11
NCAA
Sam Houston St.
#69
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H26/11
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
W
39-18
39
18
+21
H28/11
NCAA
UMKC
#368
L
25-29
25
29
-4
A04/12
NCAA
Denver
#239
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H06/12
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A11/12
NCAA
Montana Western
#410
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H19/12
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
L
35-50
35
50
-15
H21/12
NCAA
69.1Avg total
34.5Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.734.369.0+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.535.172.6+2.459%-
Last 30 away (13)31.033.264.2-2.231%-
Last 10 (10)34.534.669.1-0.140%-
Last 5 (5)35.237.072.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)31.338.169.4-6.914%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.634.670.3+1.045%-
vs Weaker (10)35.430.766.1+4.770%-
This opponent (Sacramento State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sacramento StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Santa Barbara
#146
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H12/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#139
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A15/11
NCAA
Presbyterian
#263
L
27-36
27
36
-9
H16/11
NCAA
UCLA
#73
L
17-42
17
42
-25
A19/11
NCAA
California
#79
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A22/11
NCAA
San Francisco State
#546
W
49-23
49
23
+26
H26/11
NCAA
Pacific
#165
D
32-32
32
32
+0
A30/11
NCAA
Baylor
#200
L
47-52
47
52
-5
A03/12
NCAA
California Baptist
#41
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A21/12
NCAA
CS Northridge
#132
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A23/12
NCAA
76.3Avg total
36.2Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.939.272.2-6.327%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.237.268.4-6.131%-
Last 30 away (17)34.340.875.1-6.524%-
Last 10 (10)36.240.176.3-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)41.239.480.6+1.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)32.040.472.4-8.318%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)31.238.870.0-7.620%-
vs Weaker (2)45.031.076.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Idaho State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Idaho State wins
6
Sacramento State wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25HUC Davis83-93
19/12/25HMontana Western80-64
11/12/25AUtah Valley State69-73
06/12/25HDenver93-79
04/12/25AUMKC68-59
28/11/25HCS Northridge82-50
26/11/25HSam Houston St.81-84
21/11/25HJustice College89-51
19/11/25ASanta Clara55-64
16/11/25ASeattle74-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/25ACS Northridge88-100
21/12/25ACalifornia Baptist67-74
03/12/25ABaylor88-110
30/11/25APacific54-68
26/11/25HSan Francisco State94-46
22/11/25ACalifornia67-91
19/11/25AUCLA48-79
16/11/25HPresbyterian64-62
15/11/25AUC Davis73-77
12/11/25HUC Santa Barbara87-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Idaho State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL54%
HomeLWWWL71%
AwayLLLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %54%71%33%
Points / game75.684.165.7
Allowed / game70.270.370.0
Point differential+5.5+13.9-4.3
Avg total145.8154.4135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%71%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sacramento State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL33%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %33%80%0%
Points / game76.686.869.3
Allowed / game79.571.085.6
Point differential-2.9+15.8-16.3
Avg total156.1157.8154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%60%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Sky conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Northern Colorado1310377%86.876.2+10.7
2 Idaho138562%81.271.3+9.8
3 Portland State127558%81.472.1+9.3
4 Idaho State137654%75.670.2+5.5
5 Montana147750%80.774.1+6.6
6 Montana State136746%78.869.2+9.6
7 Weber State146843%84.075.5+8.5
8 Northern Arizona146843%74.473.9+0.5
9 Sacramento State124833%76.679.5-2.9
10 East. Washington1321115%77.786.5-8.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Idaho State415697
Sacramento State325284
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