Progresista vs Regatas Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Mar 2013

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 69-84

22-21 9-15 19-25 19-23

Position#16

Record10-32

FormLLLLL

Points / game74.0

Allowed / game81.7

Progresista

Regatas 🏆

Position#1

Record31-11

FormWWWWW

Points / game78.8

Allowed / game72.8

Liga ARound 43

Other2012-13

Meetings · Progresista v Regatas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Progresista winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Regatas winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Progresista Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#13

82-102

102

-20

H02/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

76-84

-8

H04/02

Liga A

Quimsa

76-95

-19

A09/02

Liga A

Libertad

69-81

-12

A11/02

Liga A

Penarol

104-111 OT

104

111

-7

H16/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

62-87

-25

H18/02

Liga A

Lanus

66-90

-24

A23/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

81-101

101

-20

A25/02

Liga A

Atenas

#11

79-82

-3

A02/03

Liga A

Olimpico

69-73

-4

A04/03

Liga A

19-27

22-26

18-27

23-22

25-28

10-16

24-23

17-17

22-23

20-23

19-25

15-24

14-24

23-15

20-23

12-19

19-31

22-32

26-14

31-21

14-26

9-25

20-26

19-10

17-29

22-26

20-14

7-21

20-27

18-26

18-25

25-23

21-22

19-24

18-14

19-24

9-21

25-9

16-19

167.0Avg total

76.4Scored

90.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (42)	74.0	81.7	155.6	-7.7	24%
Season at home (20)	77.5	80.7	158.1	-3.2	40%
Season away (22)	70.8	82.6	153.4	-11.9	9%
Last 10 (10)	76.4	90.6	167.0	-14.2	0%
Last 5 (5)	71.4	86.6	158.0	-15.2	0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	73.9	85.4	159.3	-11.5	19%
vs Similar (4)	82.5	81.2	163.8	+1.2	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Regatas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Regatas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

77-90

-13

A02/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

69-78

-9

A04/02

Liga A

Argentino

83-66

+17

H09/02

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

100-77

100

+23

H11/02

Liga A

Lanus

58-71

-13

A16/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

80-71

A18/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

76-71

H23/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

85-84

H25/02

Liga A

Libertad

76-72

H28/02

Liga A

Quimsa

85-64

+21

H02/03

Liga A

18-31

14-18

16-26

29-15

16-17

10-21

23-16

20-24

19-9

25-12

19-23

20-22

22-21

23-19

28-14

27-23

13-10

16-17

15-28

14-16

20-14

23-17

19-15

18-25

19-19

22-13

18-26

17-13

22-18

19-17

21-28

23-21

22-9

18-21

13-22

23-20

18-13

25-11

20-16

22-24

153.3Avg total

78.9Scored

74.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (42)	78.8	72.8	151.6	+6.0	74%
Season at home (22)	80.5	69.4	149.9	+11.0	91%
Season away (20)	76.9	76.5	153.4	+0.4	55%
Last 10 (10)	78.9	74.4	153.3	+4.5	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	72.4	152.8	+8.0	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	74.0	76.9	150.9	-2.9	43%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	82.0	74.1	156.1	+8.0	83%

This opponent (Progresista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ProgresistaRegatas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	22.9	40.4	-5.4	10%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.5	21.2	38.7	-3.7	20%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	24.7	42.1	-7.2	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	26.1	45.1	-7.1	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	25.6	43.8	-7.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.3	22.6	40.0	-5.3	12%	-
vs Similar (4)	18.5	25.0	43.5	-6.5	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	16.4	36.9	+4.1	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.2	19.9	37.2	-2.7	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	16.1	35.0	+2.8	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	14.6	34.8	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	18.6	18.6	37.1	+0.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.3	17.7	37.0	+1.5	65%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.5	18.9	35.4	-2.3	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.5	20.1	37.5	-2.6	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	23.2	40.8	-5.6	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	24.0	39.8	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.0	19.7	36.7	-2.7	31%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.8	18.0	34.8	-1.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	16.9	36.0	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.2	16.5	36.7	+3.8	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	17.5	35.0	-0.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	16.6	36.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	15.8	37.2	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	17.0	17.4	34.4	-0.4	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	19.7	16.8	36.4	+2.9	61%	-

ProgresistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obras Sanitarias

#13

41-53

-12

H02/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

35-44

-9

H04/02

Liga A

Quimsa

42-46

-4

A09/02

Liga A

Libertad

37-39

-2

A11/02

Liga A

Penarol

41-63

-22

H16/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

23-51

-28

H18/02

Liga A

Lanus

39-55

-16

A23/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

38-53

-15

A25/02

Liga A

Atenas

#11

42-44

-2

A02/03

Liga A

Olimpico

28-45

-17

A04/03

Liga A

85.9Avg total

36.6Scored

49.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.5	42.4	76.9	-7.9	17%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	34.1	40.1	74.1	-6.0	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.9	44.7	79.7	-9.8	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	49.3	85.9	-12.7	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	49.6	83.6	-15.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	34.4	42.3	76.7	-7.9	15%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.2	43.0	78.2	-7.8	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Regatas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RegatasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Penarol

32-49

-17

A02/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#12

26-38

-12

A04/02

Liga A

Argentino

44-21

+23

H09/02

Liga A

de Julio de Morteros

#14

45-40

H11/02

Liga A

Lanus

29-27

A16/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

#10

43-31

+12

A18/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#13

41-32

H23/02

Liga A

Boca Juniors

41-35

H25/02

Liga A

Libertad

40-30

+10

H28/02

Liga A

Quimsa

43-24

+19

H02/03

Liga A

71.1Avg total

38.4Scored

32.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.1	34.9	73.0	+3.3	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.8	32.9	73.6	+7.9	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.7	37.5	72.2	-2.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	32.7	71.1	+5.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.6	30.4	72.0	+11.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	35.6	36.0	71.6	-0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	38.9	34.5	73.4	+4.4	65%	-

This opponent (Progresista) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.5	40.4	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	21.2	42.8	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.9	38.0	-1.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	21.0	41.9	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	19.6	40.0	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.8	20.9	40.7	-1.1	42%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.5	18.2	38.8	+2.2	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.7	19.0	39.7	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.3	19.8	41.1	+1.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.4	40.6	-2.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	21.4	39.6	-3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	20.0	22.3	42.3	-2.3	29%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.3	18.4	39.7	+2.8	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	21.2	41.2	-1.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	21.7	40.5	-3.0	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	19.0	37.3	-0.7	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	17.4	34.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.5	21.7	41.2	-2.2	42%	-
vs Similar (4)	23.2	18.0	41.2	+5.2	75%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	19.8	40.1	+0.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.5	19.5	39.1	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.3	20.2	41.5	+1.2	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.3	20.3	41.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.6	41.2	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	18.4	18.6	37.0	-0.1	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.9	20.2	41.0	+0.7	61%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.9	41.8	81.6	-1.9	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	41.9	84.8	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.9	41.6	78.5	-4.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	40.0	79.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	37.0	74.4	+0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	39.3	42.6	81.9	-3.3	38%	-
vs Similar (4)	43.8	36.2	80.0	+7.5	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.3	39.1	80.4	+2.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.2	38.5	78.8	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.6	39.9	82.5	+2.7	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	41.7	82.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	42.0	80.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	38.4	40.9	79.3	-2.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	42.1	38.6	80.7	+3.5	70%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Progresista wins

Regatas wins

Date	Game	Score
20/12/12	Regatas v Progresista	79-67
03/10/12	Regatas v Progresista	79-69
15/09/12	Progresista v Regatas	70-75

Progresistalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
04/03/13	A	Olimpico	69-73
02/03/13	A	Atenas	79-82
25/02/13	A	Gimnasia	81-101
23/02/13	A	Lanus	66-90
18/02/13	H	Weber Bahia	62-87
16/02/13	H	Penarol	104-111 OT
11/02/13	A	Libertad	69-81
09/02/13	A	Quimsa	76-95
04/02/13	H	Boca Juniors	76-84
02/02/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	82-102

Regataslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
02/03/13	H	Quimsa	85-64
28/02/13	H	Libertad	76-72
25/02/13	H	Boca Juniors	85-84
23/02/13	H	Obras Sanitarias	76-71
18/02/13	A	Gimnasia	80-71
16/02/13	A	Lanus	58-71
11/02/13	H	de Julio de Morteros	100-77
09/02/13	H	Argentino	83-66
04/02/13	A	Weber Bahia	69-78
02/02/13	A	Penarol	77-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Progresista

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLL	24%
Home	WLLLL	40%
Away	LLLLL	9%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	42	20	22
Win %	24%	40%	9%
Points / game	74.0	77.5	70.8
Allowed / game	81.7	80.7	82.6
Point differential	-7.7	-3.2	-11.9
Avg total	155.6	158.1	153.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	7%	15%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (13)	43% (7)	33% (6)
Overtime %	5%	10%	0%

Regatas

Liga A 2012-13

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	74%
Home	WWWWW	91%
Away	LLLLW	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	42	22	20
Win %	74%	91%	55%
Points / game	78.8	80.5	76.9
Allowed / game	72.8	69.4	76.5
Point differential	+6.0	+11.0	+0.3
Avg total	151.6	149.9	153.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	55%	15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	64% (14)	71% (7)	57% (7)
Overtime %	2%	5%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Regatas	42	31	11	74%	78.8	72.8	+6.0
2	Lanus	43	30	13	70%	76.8	73.0	+3.8
3	Penarol	43	29	14	67%	81.9	77.8	+4.1
4	Boca Juniors	43	27	16	63%	81.2	75.1	+6.2
5	Argentino	43	24	19	56%	79.1	78.2	+1.0
6	Quimsa	42	23	19	55%	78.7	76.7	+2.0
7	Olimpico	42	23	19	55%	75.3	75.8	-0.5
8	Libertad	43	22	21	51%	78.1	77.8	+0.3
9	Gimnasia	42	21	21	50%	81.3	80.8	+0.6
10	Atenas	43	21	22	49%	76.6	79.3	-2.7
11	Sionista	42	20	22	48%	78.8	80.0	-1.3
12	Weber Bahia	42	19	23	45%	80.9	80.5	+0.4
13	Obras Sanitarias	42	16	26	38%	80.4	81.0	-0.6
14	de Julio de Morteros	42	13	29	31%	80.0	85.7	-5.7
15	La Union	42	10	32	24%	72.9	78.9	-6.0
16	Progresista	42	10	32	24%	74.0	81.7	-7.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Progresista	22	9	19	19	69
Regatas	21	15	25	23	84

← all games of the day

Progresista vs Regatas Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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