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Prometey vs Parnu Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 94-59
28-13 23-19 24-15 19-12
Position#1
Record19-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game96.5
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#9
Record9-9
FormLLLWW
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game77.2
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League
Other2022
Meetings · Prometey v Parnu
23 Mar 2024
PRM101
PAR74
28 Jan 2023
PRM94
PAR59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Prometey winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Parnu winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PrometeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPrometey
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#8
W
107-72
107
72
+35
no box
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#6
W
95-73
95
73
+22
no box
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
117-69
117
69
+48
no box
A30/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
95-66
95
66
+29
no box
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
115-82
115
82
+33
no box
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Lietkabelis
#9
W
80-72
80
72
+8
80avg 78
A11/01
Eurocup
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
104-75
104
75
+29
no box
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Brescia
#13
W
79-72
79
72
+7
73avg 78
H18/01
Eurocup
Rapla
#6
W
89-81
89
81
+8
no box
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Bursaspor
#15
W
94-92
94
92
+2
86avg 78
A25/01
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-11
29-26
24-20
31-15
21-24
29-16
32-14
13-19
26-19
35-14
24-20
32-16
27-23
26-19
25-11
17-13
29-15
32-18
30-28
24-21
12-24
21-10
22-17
25-21
31-21
19-25
25-16
29-13
15-19
16-16
23-18
25-19
25-21
21-18
23-17
20-25
23-22
27-26
25-21
19-23
172.9Avg total
97.5Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)96.572.6169.1+23.995%
Season at home (10)97.670.3167.9+27.3100%
Season away (10)95.374.9170.2+20.490%
Last 10 (10)97.575.4172.9+22.1100%
Last 5 (5)89.278.4167.6+10.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)76.076.5152.5-0.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)92.578.6171.1+13.886%
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormParnu
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#5
W
81-75
81
75
+6
no box
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
86-91 OT
86
91
-5
no box
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
90-58
90
58
+32
no box
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
114-84
114
84
+30
no box
A14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
97-62
97
62
+35
no box
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
no box
H28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
70-81
70
81
-11
no box
A07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
41-85
41
85
-44
no box
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
89-66
89
66
+23
no box
H18/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#6
W
76-73
76
73
+3
no box
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
29-14
15-20
21-22
19-20
14-19
16-15
18-13
25-22
27-15
19-12
19-9
25-22
33-23
34-15
22-24
26-18
24-20
24-12
23-12
15-20
22-17
18-21
23-25
16-19
18-18
24-23
12-21
10-29
7-14
15-24
9-18
18-21
21-6
34-19
16-20
23-11
22-18
14-16
17-28
158.0Avg total
82.2Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)79.377.2156.5+2.150%
Season at home (10)79.675.9155.5+3.750%
Season away (8)78.978.9157.8+0.050%
Last 10 (10)82.275.8158.0+6.460%
Last 5 (5)70.877.6148.4-6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)74.280.6154.8-6.436%
vs Similar (6)75.277.8153.0-2.750%
vs Weaker (9)88.873.2162.0+15.689%
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: -0.8-0.8Q2Q2: +6.7+6.7Q2: +5.3+5.3Q3Q3: +7.1+7.1Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +5.0+5.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
PrometeyParnu
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PrometeyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Viimsi
#8
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H23/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#6
W
50-40
50
40
+10
A28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
61-33
61
33
+28
A30/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
53-42
53
42
+11
A04/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
W
61-33
61
33
+28
A06/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Lietkabelis
#9
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A11/01
Eurocup
Valmiera Glass Via
#15
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Brescia
#13
L
31-35
31
35
-4
H18/01
Eurocup
Rapla
#6
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H21/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Bursaspor
#15
W
50-48
50
48
+2
A25/01
Eurocup
87.4Avg total
48.7Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.138.684.7+7.567%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.537.685.1+9.979%-
Last 30 away (16)44.939.484.2+5.556%-
Last 10 (10)48.738.787.4+10.080%-
Last 5 (5)42.040.482.4+1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)35.038.073.0-3.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)46.938.685.5+8.371%-
This opponent (Parnu) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ParnuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ventspils
#5
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H03/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tartu Ulikool
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H07/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#11
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H10/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Rakvere Tarvas
#16
W
58-45
58
45
+13
A14/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tallinna Kalev
#14
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A21/12
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H28/12
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#3
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A07/01
Latvia-Estonian League
VEF Riga
#2
L
17-43
17
43
-26
A14/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Keila KK
#12
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H18/01
Latvia-Estonian League
Rapla
#6
W
45-29
45
29
+16
A24/01
Latvia-Estonian League
77.5Avg total
41.0Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.939.179.0+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.838.179.9+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)37.840.177.9-2.436%-
Last 10 (10)41.036.577.5+4.560%-
Last 5 (5)34.434.669.0-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)36.539.976.4-3.436%-
vs Similar (6)39.236.876.0+2.333%-
vs Weaker (9)45.739.385.0+6.367%-
This opponent (Prometey) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Prometeytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Prometey: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.8
54.9%
53.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.1
31.4%
32.1%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.717.0
71.7%
69.3%17.0
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Parnutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Parnu: 78.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
51%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.021.0
46.7%
53.0%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.09.0
45.0%
32.1%27.0
🏀 Free throws11.09.0
81.8%
69.3%9.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/1 games with a box score before 28 Jan 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Prometey
WWWWWWWWWW
Parnu
WWLLLWWWLW
#1
League position
#9
+1.2
Net rating
-5.6
111.8
Offensive rating
108.5
110.6
Defensive rating
114.1
51.5%
Effective FG%
53.1%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
62.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
15.3%
32.8%
Off. rebound %
26.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.17
31.4%
3-point %
45.0%
58.5%
Assist %
83.3%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence111.8 · 108.5Defence110.6 · 114.1Shooting51.5% · 53.1%3-point %31.4% · 45.0%Ball care16.2% · 15.3%Off. rebounds32.8% · 26.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.17Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Prometey   ■ Parnu
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Prometey wins
0
Parnu wins
DateGameScore
22/10/22Parnu v Prometey71-77
Prometeylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/01/23ABursaspor94-92
21/01/23HRapla89-81
18/01/23HBrescia79-72
14/01/23HValmiera Glass Via104-75
11/01/23ALietkabelis80-72
06/01/23ATal Tech115-82
04/01/23ARakvere Tarvas95-66
30/12/22AKeila KK117-69
28/12/22ARapla95-73
23/12/22HViimsi107-72
Parnulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/01/23ARapla76-73
18/01/23HKeila KK89-66
14/01/23AVEF Riga41-85
07/01/23ABC Kalev/Cramo70-81
28/12/22HTal Tech78-83
21/12/22ATallinna Kalev97-62
14/12/22ARakvere Tarvas114-84
10/12/22HBK Liepaja90-58
07/12/22HTartu Ulikool86-91 OT
03/12/22HVentspils81-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Prometey
Latvia-Estonian League 2022
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW95%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %95%100%90%
Points / game96.597.695.3
Allowed / game72.670.374.9
Point differential+23.9+27.3+20.4
Avg total169.1167.9170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+65%80%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %5%10%0%
Parnu
Latvia-Estonian League 2022
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWLWLW50%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game79.379.678.9
Allowed / game77.275.978.9
Point differential+2.1+3.7+0.0
Avg total156.5155.5157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%30%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)33% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Prometey2019195%96.572.6+23.9
2 BC Kalev/Cramo1815383%87.674.4+13.2
3 VEF Riga2319483%83.867.5+16.3
4 Tartu Ulikool2115671%82.075.7+6.3
5 Ventspils2114767%85.078.2+6.9
6 Viimsi2112957%81.079.7+1.4
7 BK Ogre23131057%78.678.3+0.3
8 Rapla24131154%77.676.2+1.4
9 Parnu189950%79.377.2+2.1
10 BK Liepaja2391439%78.783.7-5.0
11 Latvijas Universitate2281436%74.176.6-2.5
12 Tal Tech1861233%76.180.4-4.3
13 Keila KK2161529%78.887.9-9.1
14 Valmiera Glass Via2041620%73.694.7-21.1
15 Tallinna Kalev2141719%73.378.9-5.6
16 Rakvere Tarvas201195%69.694.4-24.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Prometey2823241994
Parnu1319151259
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