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Providence vs Butler Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 97-87 (OT)
32-34 41-39 24-14
Position#246
Record9-13
FormWLLLL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game86.1
vs
Position#208
Record13-9
FormWWWLL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game76.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Providence v Butler
12 Dec 2026
PROV v BUTL
upcoming
04 Feb 2026
PROV97
BUTL87
12 Mar 2025
PROV69
BUTL75
08 Jan 2025
PROV84
BUTL65
23 Dec 2023
PROV85
BUTL75
25 Jan 2023
PROV79
BUTL58
10 Mar 2022
PROV65
BUTL61
23 Jan 2022
PROV69
BUTL62
30 Dec 2020
PROV71
BUTL55
12 Mar 2020
PROV v BUTL
upcoming
10 Jan 2020
PROV58
BUTL70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Providence winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Butler winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#89
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H19/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
84-97
84
97
-13
A10/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H13/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
104-105 OT
104
105
-1
A19/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H24/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
28-35
39-37
31-38
46-33
47-37
42-52
35-44
49-53
34-46
48-42
45-46
48-42
44-54
50-40
43-25
35-56
37-41
44-46
28-45
45-42
171.6Avg total
83.7Scored
87.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)88.086.1174.2+1.941%
Season at home (12)88.781.3170.0+7.358%
Season away (10)87.391.9179.2-4.620%
Last 10 (10)83.787.9171.6-4.220%
Last 5 (5)85.889.6175.4-3.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)76.084.7160.7-8.717%
vs Similar ◀ (14)87.588.5176.0-1.029%
vs Weaker (4)89.568.5158.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Butler) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ButlerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#220
W
101-52
101
52
+49
H22/12
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A31/12
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
67-85
67
85
-18
H03/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
70-84
70
84
-14
H07/01
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A14/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
77-66
77
66
+11
A17/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H21/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H24/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
70-92
70
92
-22
A29/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
64-77
64
77
-13
H31/01
NCAA
1H
2H
46-19
55-33
35-44
50-45
33-30
34-55
42-42
28-42
36-44
39-45
34-24
43-42
33-37
54-43
41-36
46-40
29-43
41-49
39-43
25-34
157.3Avg total
78.3Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)82.076.7158.7+5.459%
Season at home (14)85.374.3159.6+11.071%
Season away (8)76.480.9157.2-4.538%
Last 10 (10)78.379.0157.3-0.740%
Last 5 (5)77.078.2155.2-1.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)70.382.3152.7-12.08%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.276.2157.4+4.975%
vs Weaker (6)93.068.8161.8+24.283%
This opponent (Providence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -1.3-1.3
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: -3.9-3.91st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +0.3+0.32nd half: -1.3-1.3
ProvidenceButler
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Seton Hall
#89
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H19/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H13/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H16/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A19/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H24/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A31/01
NCAA
78.3Avg total
37.2Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.838.476.1-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.035.674.6+3.459%-
Last 30 away (13)36.241.978.1-5.823%-
Last 10 (10)37.241.178.3-3.920%-
Last 5 (5)39.442.281.6-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)34.241.075.2-6.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.739.278.9+0.550%-
vs Weaker (4)41.527.569.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Butler) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ButlerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#220
W
46-19
46
19
+27
H22/12
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A31/12
NCAA
Villanova
#46
W
33-30
33
30
+3
H03/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H07/01
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A14/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A17/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H21/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H24/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A29/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/01
NCAA
73.0Avg total
36.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.936.774.6+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.834.574.3+5.350%-
Last 30 away (14)35.639.374.9-3.643%-
Last 10 (10)36.836.273.0+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)35.236.671.8-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.341.376.7-6.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.834.470.2+1.350%-
vs Weaker (6)47.232.279.3+15.083%-
This opponent (Providence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Providence wins
4
Butler wins
DateGameScore
13/12/25Butler v Providence113-110 OT
12/03/25Providence v Butler69-75
08/02/25Butler v Providence82-81
09/01/25Providence v Butler84-65
10/02/24Butler v Providence75-72
23/12/23Providence v Butler85-75 OT
26/01/23Providence v Butler79-58
29/12/22Butler v Providence52-72
10/03/22Providence v Butler65-61
20/02/22Butler v Providence70-71 OT
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26AVillanova73-87
28/01/26AUconn81-87
24/01/26HGeorgetown78-81
19/01/26AMarquette104-105 OT
16/01/26HCreighton93-88
13/01/26HVillanova82-88
10/01/26AXavier84-97
08/01/26HUconn98-103 OT
03/01/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)77-71
19/12/25HSeton Hall67-72
Butlerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HGeorgetown64-77
29/01/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)70-92
24/01/26HMarquette87-76
21/01/26HDePaul87-80
17/01/26ASeton Hall77-66
14/01/26AXavier75-89
07/01/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)70-84
03/01/26HVillanova67-85
31/12/25ACreighton85-89
22/12/25HNJIT101-52

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Providence
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL41%
HomeLLLWL58%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %41%58%20%
Points / game88.088.787.3
Allowed / game86.181.391.9
Point differential+1.9+7.3-4.6
Avg total174.2170.0179.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%42%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)25% (4)0% (2)
Overtime %18%8%30%
Butler
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL59%
HomeLLWWL71%
AwayLLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22148
Win %59%71%38%
Points / game82.085.376.4
Allowed / game76.774.380.9
Point differential+5.4+11.0-4.5
Avg total158.7159.6157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %5%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn2322196%79.663.8+15.7
2 Villanova2217577%77.668.7+8.9
3 St. John's (N.Y.)2417771%82.073.0+8.9
4 Seton Hall2316770%71.664.6+7.0
5 Butler2213959%82.076.7+5.4
6 Georgetown22121055%75.472.9+2.5
7 Creighton22121055%77.375.4+1.9
8 DePaul23121152%71.769.3+2.3
9 Xavier23121152%76.877.7-1.0
10 Providence2291341%88.086.1+1.9
11 Marquette2381535%75.877.9-2.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Providence32412497
Butler34391487
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