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Providence vs Xavier Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 94-84
47-34 47-50
Position#246
Record12-15
FormWWLLW
Points / game86.8
Allowed / game84.7
Providence 🏆
USA
vs
Xavier
USA
Position#248
Record13-14
FormLLWLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game79.1
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Providence v Xavier
09 Jan 2027
PROV v XAVI
upcoming
25 Feb 2026
PROV94
XAVI84
12 Feb 2025
PROV82
XAVI91
13 Jan 2024
PROV65
XAVI85
01 Mar 2023
PROV89
XAVI94
23 Feb 2022
PROV99
XAVI92
24 Feb 2021
PROV83
XAVI68
12 Dec 2020
PROV v XAVI
upcoming
04 Mar 2020
PROV80
XAVI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Providence winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Xavier winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#238
W
93-88
93
88
+5
H16/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
104-105 OT
104
105
-1
A19/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
78-81
78
81
-3
H24/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
81-87
81
87
-6
A28/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
73-87
73
87
-14
A31/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
97-87 OT
97
87
+10
H05/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
90-72
90
72
+18
H07/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
80-87
80
87
-7
A12/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
69-79
69
79
-10
H14/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
71-68
71
68
+3
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
45-46
48-42
44-54
50-40
43-25
35-56
37-41
44-46
28-45
45-42
32-34
41-39
43-26
47-46
43-39
37-48
29-34
40-45
38-35
33-33
167.7Avg total
83.6Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)86.884.7171.6+2.144%
Season at home (15)88.080.9168.9+7.160%
Season away (12)85.389.5174.8-4.225%
Last 10 (10)83.684.1167.7-0.540%
Last 5 (5)81.478.6160.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)78.887.2166.0-8.411%
vs Similar ◀ (17)87.785.9173.6+1.841%
vs Weaker (4)89.568.5158.0+21.0100%
This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#208
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H14/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A22/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
83-88
83
88
-5
H24/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
68-86
68
86
-18
A29/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
68-66
68
66
+2
H31/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
60-92
60
92
-32
A04/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
82-87 OT
82
87
-5
A09/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
96-88
96
88
+8
H14/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
89-92 OT
89
92
-3
H17/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
75-80
75
80
-5
A21/02
NCAA
1H
2H
44-36
45-39
39-42
54-52
49-37
34-51
41-30
27-56
30-35
38-31
22-50
38-42
42-42
36-36
51-35
45-53
42-43
39-38
28-47
47-33
165.1Avg total
80.3Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.179.1157.1-1.048%
Season at home (18)80.377.0157.3+3.367%
Season away (9)73.683.2156.8-9.711%
Last 10 (10)80.384.8165.1-4.530%
Last 5 (5)80.487.8168.2-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)75.480.5155.9-5.133%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.579.2159.7+1.357%
vs Weaker (1)96.074.0170.0+22.0100%
This opponent (Providence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -2.8-2.8
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: -0.9-0.92nd half2nd half: -1.7-1.72nd half: -2.8-2.8
ProvidenceXavier
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Creighton
#238
L
45-46
45
46
-1
H16/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A19/01
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
W
43-25
43
25
+18
H24/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A28/01
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A31/01
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H05/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H07/02
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A12/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
29-34
29
34
-5
H14/02
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A22/02
NCAA
76.1Avg total
38.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.375.8+1.350%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.334.774.0+4.659%-
Last 30 away (13)37.540.678.2-3.138%-
Last 10 (10)38.237.976.1+0.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.033.670.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.341.475.8-7.111%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.137.477.4+2.759%-
vs Weaker (4)41.527.569.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Xavier) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XavierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Butler
#208
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H14/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A22/01
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H24/01
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A29/01
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H31/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
22-50
22
50
-28
A04/02
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A09/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H14/02
NCAA
Villanova
#46
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H17/02
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
28-47
28
47
-19
A21/02
NCAA
78.5Avg total
38.8Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.838.175.0-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.536.074.5+2.563%-
Last 30 away (11)34.041.875.8-7.89%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.778.5-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.043.480.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.438.874.2-3.440%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)37.937.875.6+0.143%-
vs Weaker (1)44.033.077.0+11.0100%-
This opponent (Providence) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Providence wins
6
Xavier wins
DateGameScore
10/01/26Xavier v Providence97-84
08/03/25Xavier v Providence76-68
13/02/25Providence v Xavier82-91
22/02/24Xavier v Providence75-79
13/01/24Providence v Xavier65-85
01/03/23Providence v Xavier89-94
01/02/23Xavier v Providence85-83 OT
24/02/22Providence v Xavier99-92 OT
26/01/22Xavier v Providence62-65
25/02/21Providence v Xavier83-68
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26ADePaul71-68
14/02/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)69-79
12/02/26ASeton Hall80-87
07/02/26HDePaul90-72
05/02/26HButler97-87 OT
31/01/26AVillanova73-87
28/01/26AUconn81-87
24/01/26HGeorgetown78-81
19/01/26AMarquette104-105 OT
16/01/26HCreighton93-88
Xavierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/02/26AButler75-80
17/02/26HVillanova89-92 OT
14/02/26HMarquette96-88
09/02/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)82-87 OT
04/02/26AUconn60-92
31/01/26HDePaul68-66
29/01/26ASeton Hall68-86
24/01/26HSt. John's (N.Y.)83-88
22/01/26ACreighton93-94
14/01/26HButler89-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Providence
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW44%
HomeWLWWL60%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271512
Win %44%60%25%
Points / game86.888.085.3
Allowed / game84.780.989.5
Point differential+2.1+7.1-4.2
Avg total171.6168.9174.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%47%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won29% (7)25% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %19%13%25%
Xavier
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL48%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games27189
Win %48%67%11%
Points / game78.180.373.6
Allowed / game79.177.083.2
Point differential-1.0+3.3-9.7
Avg total157.1157.3156.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%39%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won42% (12)57% (7)20% (5)
Overtime %7%6%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn2926390%79.065.1+13.9
2 Villanova2822679%77.970.1+7.8
3 St. John's (N.Y.)3022873%80.472.3+8.0
4 Seton Hall2819968%70.464.5+5.9
5 DePaul27141352%71.569.8+1.7
6 Butler29151452%80.077.3+2.6
7 Creighton28141450%75.775.7+0.0
8 Xavier27131448%78.179.1-1.0
9 Georgetown28131546%74.273.2+1.0
10 Providence27121544%86.884.7+2.1
11 Marquette28101836%75.877.0-1.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Providence474794
Xavier345084
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