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Providence vs Uconn Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 08 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 98-103 (OT)
47-37 42-52 9-14
Position#246
Record8-6
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game82.8
Providence
USA
vs
Uconn 🏆
USA
Position#11
Record14-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game61.2
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Providence v Uconn
20 Jan 2027
PROV v UCON
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
PROV98
UCON103
01 Mar 2025
PROV63
UCON75
09 Mar 2024
PROV60
UCON74
04 Jan 2023
PROV73
UCON61
15 Jan 2022
PROV v UCON
upcoming
10 Feb 2021
PROV70
UCON59
17 Dec 2020
PROV v UCON
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Providence winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Uconn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
98-66
98
66
+32
H19/11
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
77-65
77
65
+12
A22/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
83-104
83
104
-21
H27/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A28/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H03/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H06/12
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H10/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
110-113 OT
110
113
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H19/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A03/01
NCAA
1H
2H
38-31
60-35
32-31
45-34
32-51
51-53
39-45
39-45
52-21
42-43
41-37
49-34
42-37
44-42
45-41
44-48
28-35
39-37
31-38
46-33
165.5Avg total
86.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)88.982.8171.6+6.157%
Season at home (8)89.177.0166.1+12.175%
Season away (6)88.590.5179.0-2.033%
Last 10 (10)86.079.5165.5+6.560%
Last 5 (5)86.081.2167.2+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)70.879.8150.7-9.017%
vs Similar (12)85.484.8170.2+0.633%
vs Weaker (6)86.371.0157.3+15.3100%
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#344
W
72-49
72
49
+23
H23/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A28/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
W
61-56
61
56
+5
A03/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
83-59
83
59
+24
H06/12
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H10/12
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
71-63
71
63
+8
H13/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
79-60
79
60
+19
H17/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
72-54
72
54
+18
A21/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
90-67
90
67
+23
A31/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H04/01
NCAA
1H
2H
37-21
35-28
43-32
31-29
29-33
32-23
38-27
45-32
39-32
38-41
43-34
28-29
39-25
40-35
33-30
39-24
43-28
47-39
37-29
36-28
135.1Avg total
75.2Scored
59.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.961.2140.1+17.793%
Season at home (10)80.059.6139.6+20.490%
Season away (5)76.664.4141.0+12.2100%
Last 10 (10)75.259.9135.1+15.3100%
Last 5 (5)77.060.2137.2+16.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)73.073.7146.7-0.733%
vs Similar (10)71.768.9140.6+2.870%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)78.559.4137.9+19.194%
This opponent (Providence) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +9.0+9.02nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +6.3+6.3
-11-6+0+6+111st half1st half: +1.3+1.31st half: +9.0+9.02nd half2nd half: +5.5+5.52nd half: +6.3+6.3
ProvidenceUconn
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H19/11
NCAA
Penn State
#298
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A22/11
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H27/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H03/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H19/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A03/01
NCAA
74.7Avg total
38.0Scored
36.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.636.573.1+0.247%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.235.473.6+2.956%-
Last 30 away (14)34.837.772.5-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)38.036.774.7+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)37.437.675.0-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)33.038.671.6-5.617%-
vs Similar (12)38.837.876.7+1.058%-
vs Weaker (6)39.529.569.0+10.083%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bryant University
#344
W
37-21
37
21
+16
H23/11
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A28/11
NCAA
Kansas
#58
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A03/12
NCAA
East Texas A&M
#316
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H06/12
NCAA
Florida
#28
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H10/12
NCAA
Texas
#135
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H13/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
39-25
39
25
+14
H17/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
33-30
33
30
+3
A21/12
NCAA
Xavier
#248
W
43-28
43
28
+15
A31/12
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H04/01
NCAA
67.2Avg total
38.1Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.031.468.4+5.760%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.229.767.9+8.567%-
Last 30 away (12)35.233.869.1+1.450%-
Last 10 (10)38.129.167.2+9.090%-
Last 5 (5)39.029.268.2+9.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)34.332.767.0+1.733%-
vs Similar (10)34.937.071.9-2.130%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.827.866.6+10.982%-
This opponent (Providence) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Providence wins
7
Uconn wins
DateGameScore
01/03/25Providence v Uconn63-75
05/01/25Uconn v Providence87-84
10/03/24Providence v Uconn60-74
01/02/24Uconn v Providence74-65
09/03/23Uconn v Providence73-66
22/02/23Uconn v Providence87-69
05/01/23Providence v Uconn73-61
18/12/21Uconn v Providence53-57
16/02/21Uconn v Providence73-61
10/02/21Providence v Uconn70-59
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)77-71
19/12/25HSeton Hall67-72
13/12/25AButler110-113 OT
10/12/25HBrown86-79
06/12/25HRhode Island90-71
03/12/25HFairleigh Dickinson94-64
28/11/25AFlorida78-90
27/11/25HWisconsin83-104
22/11/25APenn State77-65
19/11/25HNew Hampshire Wildcats98-66
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HMarquette73-57
31/12/25AXavier90-67
21/12/25ADePaul72-54
17/12/25HButler79-60
13/12/25HTexas71-63
10/12/25HFlorida77-73
06/12/25HEast Texas A&M83-59
03/12/25AKansas61-56
28/11/25AIllinois74-61
23/11/25HBryant University72-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Providence
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeLWWWL75%
AwayLWLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game88.989.188.5
Allowed / game82.877.090.5
Point differential+6.1+12.1-2.0
Avg total171.6166.1179.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%62%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%33%
Uconn
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW93%
HomeWWWWW90%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games15105
Win %93%90%100%
Points / game78.980.076.6
Allowed / game61.259.664.4
Point differential+17.7+20.4+12.2
Avg total140.1139.6141.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%70%60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn1514193%78.961.2+17.7
2 Seton Hall1513287%73.762.4+11.3
3 Villanova1412286%78.666.9+11.7
4 Butler1610662%84.175.4+8.6
5 DePaul1610662%73.768.4+5.2
6 Creighton159660%77.570.4+7.1
7 Georgetown159660%77.873.9+3.9
8 Xavier159660%76.275.8+0.4
9 St. John's (N.Y.)1710759%81.574.4+7.2
10 Providence148657%88.982.8+6.1
11 Marquette1551033%75.377.1-1.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Providence4742998
Uconn375214103
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