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Providence vs Uconn Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 21 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#112
Record3-1
FormLWLWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game57.8
vs
Position#30
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game58.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Providence v Uconn
20 Jan 2027
PROV v UCON
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
PROV98
UCON103
01 Mar 2025
PROV63
UCON75
09 Mar 2024
PROV60
UCON74
04 Jan 2023
PROV73
UCON61
15 Jan 2022
PROV v UCON
upcoming
10 Feb 2021
PROV70
UCON59
17 Dec 2020
PROV v UCON
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Providence win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Uconn win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
94-84
94
84
+10
H26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
56-78
56
78
-22
H05/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
79-80
79
80
-1
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A11/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
72-85
72
85
-13
A12/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#337
W
83-56
83
56
+27
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#20
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A08/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
78-55
78
55
+23
H11/11
NCAA
Colorado
#213
W
67-53
67
53
+14
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
47-34
47-50
39-37
40-39
23-37
33-41
34-43
45-37
40-42
51-39
27-48
45-37
34-26
49-30
25-30
33-37
38-25
40-30
34-26
33-27
147.2Avg total
75.7Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)71.557.8129.2+13.875%
Season at home (3)76.054.7130.7+21.3100%
Season away (1)58.067.0125.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)75.771.5147.2+4.260%
Last 5 (5)71.663.2134.8+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)76.484.1160.6-7.711%
vs Similar (17)85.283.5168.7+1.853%
vs Weaker (4)80.557.0137.5+23.5100%
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UconnUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#93
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H21/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
73-57
73
57
+16
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
67-63
67
63
+4
H28/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
W
73-72
73
72
+1
A29/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
71-62
71
62
+9
H04/04
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
63-69
63
69
-6
A07/04
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#330
W
86-46
86
46
+40
H03/11
NCAA
Michigan
#163
W
85-77
85
77
+8
A07/11
NCAA
Wagner
#315
W
83-41
83
41
+42
H10/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#224
W
84-68
84
68
+16
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
42-35
38-33
35-24
35-27
32-36
29-44
44-28
37-29
34-33
29-33
34-36
43-24
43-22
43-30
42-47
44-18
39-23
42-40
42-28
139.3Avg total
76.7Scored
62.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.558.0142.5+26.5100%
Season at home (3)84.351.7136.0+32.7100%
Season away (1)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.762.6139.3+14.190%
Last 5 (5)80.260.2140.4+20.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)68.070.5138.5-2.550%
vs Similar (5)66.863.6130.4+3.260%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)79.266.1145.3+13.191%
This opponent (Providence) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +7.5+7.5
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: -0.7-0.71st half: +6.6+6.62nd half2nd half: +4.9+4.92nd half: +7.5+7.5
ProvidenceUconn
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Xavier
#248
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H26/02
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A28/02
NCAA
Marquette
#290
L
23-37
23
37
-14
H05/03
NCAA
Georgetown
#225
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A08/03
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A11/03
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
27-48
27
48
-21
A12/03
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#337
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H03/11
NCAA
Nebraska
#20
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A08/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H11/11
NCAA
Colorado
#213
W
34-26
34
26
+8
H14/11
NCAA
68.9Avg total
34.1Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.236.974.2+0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.232.971.1+5.462%-
Last 30 away (14)36.141.677.6-5.529%-
Last 10 (10)34.134.868.9-0.750%-
Last 5 (5)31.631.062.6+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.040.473.4-7.411%-
vs Similar (17)38.938.076.9+0.953%-
vs Weaker (4)39.524.564.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Uconn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UconnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Furman
#93
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H21/03
NCAA
UCLA
#73
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H23/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H28/03
NCAA
Duke
#8
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A29/03
NCAA
Illinois
#35
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H04/04
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A07/04
NCAA
Gardner Webb
#330
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H03/11
NCAA
Michigan
#163
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A07/11
NCAA
Wagner
#315
W
44-18
44
18
+26
H10/11
NCAA
Ohio State
#224
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H14/11
NCAA
69.4Avg total
38.0Scored
31.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.831.969.7+5.973%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.630.169.6+9.583%-
Last 30 away (12)35.234.769.8+0.558%-
Last 10 (10)38.031.469.4+6.680%-
Last 5 (5)40.229.069.2+11.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.038.567.5-9.50%-
vs Similar (5)35.832.268.0+3.660%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)39.031.370.3+7.783%-
This opponent (Providence) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Providence wins
8
Uconn wins
DateGameScore
28/01/26Uconn v Providence87-81
08/01/26Providence v Uconn98-103 OT
01/03/25Providence v Uconn63-75
05/01/25Uconn v Providence87-84
10/03/24Providence v Uconn60-74
01/02/24Uconn v Providence74-65
09/03/23Uconn v Providence73-66
22/02/23Uconn v Providence87-69
05/01/23Providence v Uconn73-61
18/12/21Uconn v Providence53-57
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HColorado67-53
11/11/26HBryant University78-55
08/11/26ANebraska58-67
03/11/26HMaine Black Bears83-56
12/03/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)72-85
11/03/26AButler91-81
08/03/26AGeorgetown79-80
05/03/26HMarquette56-78
28/02/26ACreighton79-76
26/02/26HXavier94-84
Uconnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HOhio State84-68
10/11/26HWagner83-41
07/11/26AMichigan85-77
03/11/26HGardner Webb86-46
07/04/26AMichigan63-69
04/04/26HIllinois71-62
29/03/26ADuke73-72
28/03/26HMichigan State67-63
23/03/26HUCLA73-57
21/03/26HFurman82-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Providence
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWW75%
HomeWWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %75%100%0%
Points / game71.576.058.0
Allowed / game57.854.767.0
Point differential+13.8+21.3-9.0
Avg total129.2130.7125.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Uconn
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.584.385.0
Allowed / game58.051.777.0
Point differential+26.5+32.7+8.0
Avg total142.5136.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Xavier440100%88.555.8+32.8
2 St. John's (N.Y.)330100%90.762.3+28.3
3 Uconn440100%84.558.0+26.5
4 DePaul440100%77.058.0+19.0
5 Georgetown440100%83.572.0+11.5
6 Villanova43175%86.565.2+21.2
7 Providence43175%71.557.8+13.8
8 Seton Hall43175%69.261.5+7.8
9 Marquette32167%80.353.0+27.3
10 Creighton32167%80.368.3+12.0
11 Butler42250%85.075.2+9.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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