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Providence vs Villanova Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 13 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 82-88
34-46 48-42
Position#246
Record8-8
FormLLWLL
Points / game89.1
Allowed / game84.9
Providence
USA
vs
Villanova 🏆
USA
Position#46
Record13-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game67.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Providence v Villanova
13 Jan 2026
PROV82
VILL88
15 Feb 2025
PROV75
VILL62
02 Mar 2024
PROV60
VILL71
18 Feb 2023
PROV85
VILL72
15 Feb 2022
PROV84
VILL89
06 Mar 2021
PROV54
VILL52
25 Jan 2020
PROV60
VILL64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Providence winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Villanova winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ProvidenceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
83-104
83
104
-21
H27/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
78-90
78
90
-12
A28/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
94-64
94
64
+30
H03/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H06/12
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H10/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
110-113 OT
110
113
-3
A13/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
67-72
67
72
-5
H19/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
L
98-103 OT
98
103
-5
H08/01
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
84-97
84
97
-13
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-51
51-53
39-45
39-45
52-21
42-43
41-37
49-34
42-37
44-42
45-41
44-48
28-35
39-37
31-38
46-33
47-37
42-52
35-44
49-53
173.1Avg total
86.7Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)89.184.9174.1+4.250%
Season at home (9)90.179.9170.0+10.267%
Season away (7)87.991.4179.3-3.629%
Last 10 (10)86.786.4173.1+0.340%
Last 5 (5)87.291.2178.4-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.781.4155.1-7.817%
vs Similar (13)85.385.8171.1-0.531%
vs Weaker (5)85.468.2153.6+17.2100%
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#205
W
74-56
74
56
+18
H01/12
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H07/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
61-89
61
89
-28
A09/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
79-61
79
61
+18
H13/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
76-66 OT
76
66
+10
H20/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
64-56
64
56
+8
A24/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
W
71-66
71
66
+5
H31/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
85-67
85
67
+18
A03/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
L
72-76
72
76
-4
H08/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
76-73
76
73
+3
A10/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-28
45-28
44-29
46-34
23-53
38-36
41-32
38-29
35-22
21-34
31-27
33-29
28-32
43-34
30-33
55-34
34-30
38-46
44-38
32-35
142.1Avg total
74.8Scored
67.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)78.067.8145.8+10.281%
Season at home (10)82.667.4150.0+15.290%
Season away (6)70.368.5138.8+1.867%
Last 10 (10)74.867.3142.1+7.580%
Last 5 (5)73.667.6141.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.080.0147.0-13.050%
vs Similar (13)70.268.2138.5+2.046%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)76.564.9141.3+11.687%
This opponent (Providence) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +5.0+5.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.6+0.61st half: +1.5+1.52nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: +5.0+5.0
ProvidenceVillanova
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
ProvidenceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wisconsin
#57
L
32-51
32
51
-19
H27/11
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A28/11
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
52-21
52
21
+31
H03/12
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H06/12
NCAA
Brown
#319
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H10/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A13/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H19/12
NCAA
St. John's (N.Y.)
#32
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Uconn
#11
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H08/01
NCAA
Xavier
#248
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A10/01
NCAA
77.8Avg total
39.2Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.936.473.2+0.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.635.173.8+3.562%-
Last 30 away (14)34.937.872.6-2.936%-
Last 10 (10)39.238.677.8+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)37.239.076.2-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)34.138.172.2-4.025%-
vs Similar (13)38.538.376.8+0.254%-
vs Weaker (5)39.227.266.4+12.0100%-
This opponent (Villanova) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VillanovaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#205
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H01/12
NCAA
Penn
#115
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H07/12
NCAA
Michigan
#6
L
23-53
23
53
-30
A09/12
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#282
W
41-32
41
32
+9
H13/12
NCAA
Wisconsin
#57
W
35-22
35
22
+13
H20/12
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A24/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
28-32
28
32
-4
H31/12
NCAA
Butler
#208
L
30-33
30
33
-3
A03/01
NCAA
Creighton
#238
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H08/01
NCAA
Marquette
#290
W
44-38
44
38
+6
A10/01
NCAA
66.3Avg total
33.9Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.031.766.7+3.367%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.430.268.6+8.282%-
Last 30 away (13)30.533.764.2-3.246%-
Last 10 (10)33.932.466.3+1.570%-
Last 5 (5)33.432.065.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.542.571.0-14.050%-
vs Similar (13)33.830.664.4+3.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)36.931.268.1+5.773%-
This opponent (Providence) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Providence wins
6
Villanova wins
DateGameScore
15/02/25Providence v Villanova75-62
18/01/25Villanova v Providence75-73
02/03/24Providence v Villanova60-71
04/02/24Villanova v Providence68-50
18/02/23Providence v Villanova85-72
29/01/23Villanova v Providence65-70
01/03/22Villanova v Providence76-74
16/02/22Providence v Villanova84-89
06/03/21Providence v Villanova54-52
23/01/21Villanova v Providence71-56
Providencelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AXavier84-97
08/01/26HUconn98-103 OT
03/01/26ASt. John's (N.Y.)77-71
19/12/25HSeton Hall67-72
13/12/25AButler110-113 OT
10/12/25HBrown86-79
06/12/25HRhode Island90-71
03/12/25HFairleigh Dickinson94-64
28/11/25AFlorida78-90
27/11/25HWisconsin83-104
Villanovalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/26AMarquette76-73
08/01/26HCreighton72-76
03/01/26AButler85-67
31/12/25HDePaul71-66
24/12/25ASeton Hall64-56
20/12/25HWisconsin76-66 OT
13/12/25HPittsburgh79-61
09/12/25AMichigan61-89
07/12/25HPenn90-63
01/12/25HTemple74-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Providence
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL50%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayWLLWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1697
Win %50%67%29%
Points / game89.190.187.9
Allowed / game84.979.991.4
Point differential+4.2+10.2-3.6
Avg total174.1170.0179.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%56%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %19%11%29%
Villanova
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW81%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWLWWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16106
Win %81%90%67%
Points / game78.082.670.3
Allowed / game67.867.468.5
Point differential+10.2+15.2+1.8
Avg total145.8150.0138.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %6%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uconn1716194%79.963.3+16.6
2 Seton Hall1614288%73.862.7+11.1
3 Villanova1613381%78.067.8+10.2
4 Butler1610662%84.175.4+8.6
5 St. John's (N.Y.)1811761%82.074.3+7.7
6 Creighton1710759%77.271.6+5.5
7 DePaul1710759%72.968.6+4.2
8 Xavier1710759%76.875.7+1.1
9 Georgetown169756%77.174.0+3.1
10 Providence168850%89.184.9+4.2
11 Marquette1761135%74.676.4-1.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Providence344882
Villanova464288
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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