Puerto Montt vs Deportes Castro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 16 Apr 2023

Tip-off: 21:30

Final 65-107

20-26 16-33 10-24 19-24

Position#12

Record7-15

FormWWWLL

Points / game75.8

Allowed / game85.8

Puerto Montt

Deportes Castro 🏆

Position#9

Record11-10

FormLLWWL

Points / game75.6

Allowed / game76.8

LNB

Other2022-23

Meetings · Puerto Montt v Deportes Castro

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Puerto Montt winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Deportes Castro winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Puerto Montt Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CD Puerto Varas

#10

74-81

-7

H11/03

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

86-94

-8

A18/03

LNB

U. De Concepcion

72-108

108

-36

H23/03

LNB

Temuco

#14

99-95 OT

A25/03

LNB

Valdivia

72-88

-16

A26/03

LNB

Tinguiririca

#15

76-71

H01/04

LNB

Espanol de Talca

#13

114-88

114

+26

H02/04

LNB

Catolica

#11

81-78

A08/04

LNB

Leones Quilpue

71-85

-14

A09/04

LNB

Ancud

64-112

112

-48

H14/04

LNB

10-21

21-17

30-18

13-25

17-30

20-25

24-18

25-21

21-26

21-20

17-31

13-31

21-21

20-22

23-21

22-22

21-16

16-15

13-30

22-27

24-13

19-14

11-24

22-20

33-22

22-19

31-22

28-25

22-21

17-26

24-14

18-17

17-24

14-28

22-13

18-20

11-22

24-38

13-26

16-26

170.9Avg total

80.9Scored

90.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (22)	75.8	85.8	161.6	-10.0	32%
Season at home (11)	76.8	84.2	161.0	-7.4	45%
Season away (11)	74.7	87.5	162.2	-12.7	18%
Last 10 (10)	80.9	90.0	170.9	-9.1	40%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	86.8	168.0	-5.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	71.9	91.5	163.4	-19.7	14%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (8)	77.8	73.8	151.5	+4.0	75%

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Deportes Castro Chile

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tinguiririca

#15

94-65

+29

H04/03

LNB

Espanol de Talca

#13

95-69

+26

H05/03

LNB

Ancud

76-92

-16

A11/03

LNB

Ancud

74-59

+15

H17/03

LNB

Las Animas

60-56

H25/03

LNB

Espanol Osorno

74-83

-9

H26/03

LNB

Puente Alto

68-84

-16

A01/04

LNB

Quilicura

90-72

+18

A02/04

LNB

U. De Concepcion

86-77

H08/04

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

69-78

-9

A15/04

LNB

17-14

29-16

21-17

27-18

28-18

30-17

18-20

19-14

20-20

14-22

27-21

15-29

24-19

22-16

13-10

15-14

16-18

14-13

16-16

14-9

17-22

25-17

13-17

19-27

14-22

23-21

12-16

19-25

16-18

22-20

29-15

23-19

25-18

26-25

22-17

13-17

12-22

25-16

17-23

15-17

152.1Avg total

78.6Scored

73.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (21)	75.6	76.8	152.3	-1.2	52%
Season at home (12)	77.6	69.4	147.0	+8.2	83%
Season away (9)	72.9	86.6	159.4	-13.7	11%
Last 10 (10)	78.6	73.5	152.1	+5.1	60%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	78.8	156.2	-1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	69.9	86.1	156.0	-16.2	12%
vs Similar (13)	71.6	76.5	148.2	-4.9	46%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	85.9	67.3	153.2	+18.6	89%

This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Puerto MonttDeportes Castro

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	21.8	40.7	-2.9	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.2	20.7	40.9	-0.5	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.6	22.8	40.4	-5.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	21.6	41.3	-1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.7	22.6	40.4	-4.9	27%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (8)	22.1	19.4	41.5	+2.8	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.4	36.6	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.9	16.9	35.8	+2.1	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.3	20.4	37.7	-3.1	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	19.1	38.0	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	20.4	37.2	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	20.6	21.9	42.5	-1.2	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	16.5	18.9	35.5	-2.4	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.6	14.6	33.1	+4.0	78%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	21.8	39.5	-4.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	16.9	20.3	37.2	-3.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.4	23.3	41.7	-4.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	25.0	44.2	-5.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.8	23.6	41.4	-5.8	36%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (8)	17.2	16.9	34.1	+0.4	62%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	18.9	38.6	+0.7	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.6	19.4	37.0	-1.8	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	18.3	41.3	+4.7	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	19.8	44.0	+4.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.9	21.6	37.5	-5.8	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.5	18.2	37.7	+1.2	69%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.2	17.6	40.8	+5.7	89%	-

Puerto MonttLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CD Puerto Varas

#10

31-38

-7

H11/03

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

37-55

-18

A18/03

LNB

U. De Concepcion

42-46

-4

H23/03

LNB

Temuco

#14

41-43

-2

A25/03

LNB

Valdivia

37-31

A26/03

LNB

Tinguiririca

#15

43-27

+16

H01/04

LNB

Espanol de Talca

#13

55-41

+14

H02/04

LNB

Catolica

#11

39-47

-8

A08/04

LNB

Leones Quilpue

31-52

-21

A09/04

LNB

Ancud

35-60

-25

H14/04

LNB

83.1Avg total

39.1Scored

44.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.6	43.6	80.1	-7.0	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	41.0	78.1	-3.9	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.0	46.1	82.1	-10.1	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	44.0	83.1	-4.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	45.4	86.0	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	35.5	46.2	81.8	-10.7	18%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (8)	39.4	36.2	75.6	+3.1	50%	-

This opponent (Deportes Castro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Deportes CastroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tinguiririca

#15

46-30

+16

H04/03

LNB

Espanol de Talca

#13

58-35

+23

H05/03

LNB

Ancud

34-42

-8

A11/03

LNB

Ancud

46-35

+11

H17/03

LNB

Las Animas

30-31

-1

H25/03

LNB

Espanol Osorno

42-39

H26/03

LNB

Puente Alto

37-43

-6

A01/04

LNB

Quilicura

38-38

A02/04

LNB

U. De Concepcion

51-43

H08/04

LNB

CD Puerto Varas

#10

37-38

-1

A15/04

LNB

79.3Avg total

41.9Scored

37.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.9	37.3	75.2	+0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.1	35.5	75.6	+4.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.9	39.8	74.7	-4.8	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.9	37.4	79.3	+4.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	40.2	81.2	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	36.5	43.5	80.0	-7.0	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	36.0	37.2	73.2	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	41.8	32.1	73.9	+9.7	89%	-

This opponent (Puerto Montt) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.4	40.1	-2.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	23.8	42.0	-5.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.3	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	21.7	42.5	-0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	19.8	40.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.8	22.3	41.1	-3.5	36%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (8)	18.5	18.8	37.2	-0.2	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.1	36.4	+0.2	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	18.4	17.2	35.5	+1.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	19.2	37.5	-1.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	17.2	36.0	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.6	36.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	17.6	21.9	39.5	-4.2	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.7	17.2	34.8	+0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	19.8	16.0	35.8	+3.8	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	21.6	39.3	-3.8	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.9	21.4	40.3	-2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.6	21.7	38.3	-5.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	23.4	43.1	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	17.5	23.0	40.5	-5.5	36%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (8)	18.2	17.6	35.9	+0.6	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	19.9	38.5	-1.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	17.9	18.5	36.4	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	21.7	41.2	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.9	36.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.0	38.8	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	15.8	20.8	36.5	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	17.1	21.0	38.1	-3.9	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	23.3	17.4	40.8	+5.9	89%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.4	42.9	79.4	-6.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	37.1	45.2	82.3	-8.1	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.8	40.7	76.5	-4.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.5	45.1	85.6	-4.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.6	41.4	82.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	36.3	45.3	81.6	-9.0	27%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker (8)	36.8	36.4	73.1	+0.4	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	36.9	37.9	74.8	-1.0	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	36.2	35.6	71.9	+0.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.8	40.9	78.7	-3.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.7	36.1	72.8	+0.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.4	38.6	75.0	-2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)	33.4	42.6	76.0	-9.2	25%	-
vs Similar (13)	34.8	38.2	72.9	-3.4	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	43.1	33.4	76.6	+9.7	100%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Puerto Montt wins

Deportes Castro wins

Date	Game	Score
05/02/23	Deportes Castro v Puerto Montt	79-70
19/11/22	Deportes Castro v Puerto Montt	95-63
15/10/22	Puerto Montt v Deportes Castro	64-74
16/04/22	Puerto Montt v Deportes Castro	104-100 OT
06/04/22	Deportes Castro v Puerto Montt	67-60
19/01/20	Deportes Castro v Puerto Montt	70-80
01/12/19	Puerto Montt v Deportes Castro	70-61
17/11/19	Deportes Castro v Puerto Montt	85-81
05/11/19	Puerto Montt v Deportes Castro	84-63
29/11/17	Puerto Montt v Deportes Castro	86-85

Puerto Monttlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/04/23	H	Ancud	64-112
09/04/23	A	Leones Quilpue	71-85
08/04/23	A	Catolica	81-78
02/04/23	H	Espanol de Talca	114-88
01/04/23	H	Tinguiririca	76-71
26/03/23	A	Valdivia	72-88
25/03/23	A	Temuco	99-95 OT
23/03/23	H	U. De Concepcion	72-108
18/03/23	A	CD Puerto Varas	86-94
11/03/23	H	CD Puerto Varas	74-81

Deportes Castrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/04/23	A	CD Puerto Varas	69-78
08/04/23	H	U. De Concepcion	86-77
02/04/23	A	Quilicura	90-72
01/04/23	A	Puente Alto	68-84
26/03/23	H	Espanol Osorno	74-83
25/03/23	H	Las Animas	60-56
17/03/23	H	Ancud	74-59
11/03/23	A	Ancud	76-92
05/03/23	H	Espanol de Talca	95-69
04/03/23	H	Tinguiririca	94-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Puerto Montt

LNB 2022-23

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLL	32%
Home	LLWWL	45%
Away	LWLWL	18%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	22	11	11
Win %	32%	45%	18%
Points / game	75.8	76.8	74.7
Allowed / game	85.8	84.2	87.5
Point differential	-10.0	-7.4	-12.7
Avg total	161.6	161.0	162.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	5%	9%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	62% (8)	75% (4)	50% (4)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

Deportes Castro

LNB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	52%
Home	WWWLW	83%
Away	LLLWL	11%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	21	12	9
Win %	52%	83%	11%
Points / game	75.6	77.6	72.9
Allowed / game	76.8	69.4	86.6
Point differential	-1.2	+8.2	-13.7
Avg total	152.3	147.0	159.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	24%	33%	11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	80% (5)	100% (4)	0% (1)
Overtime %	10%	0%	22%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	U. De Concepcion	21	19	2	90%	97.2	71.4	+25.9
2	Leones Quilpue	22	18	4	82%	83.3	65.2	+18.1
3	Ancud	21	15	6	71%	85.3	77.7	+7.7
4	Puente Alto	22	15	7	68%	81.5	75.6	+5.9
5	Las Animas	22	14	8	64%	83.7	79.1	+4.5
6	Valdivia	22	12	10	55%	82.4	79.1	+3.3
7	Deportes Castro	21	11	10	52%	75.6	76.8	-1.2
8	Espanol Osorno	23	12	11	52%	80.4	77.2	+3.2
9	CD Puerto Varas	22	11	11	50%	75.6	72.2	+3.4
10	Quilicura	21	10	11	48%	82.5	81.0	+1.5
11	Catolica	21	7	14	33%	74.8	79.3	-4.5
12	Puerto Montt	22	7	15	32%	75.8	85.8	-10.0
13	Espanol de Talca	22	6	16	27%	67.1	87.7	-20.6
14	Temuco	20	2	18	10%	71.7	91.1	-19.4
15	Tinguiririca	20	2	18	10%	63.6	83.8	-20.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Puerto Montt	20	16	10	19	65
Deportes Castro	26	33	24	24	107

← all games of the day

Puerto Montt vs Deportes Castro Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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