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Purdue vs Duke Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 27 Nov 2022
Tip-off: 20:30
Final 75-56
46-35 29-21
Position#14
Record5-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game60.2
Purdue 🏆
USA
vs
Position#39
Record6-1
FormLWWWW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game54.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Purdue winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Duke winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PurdueUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#104
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H12/03
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
66-75
66
75
-9
H13/03
NCAA
Yale
#122
W
78-56
78
56
+22
H18/03
NCAA
Texas
#94
W
81-71
81
71
+10
H21/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
L
64-67
64
67
-3
H25/03
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#81
W
84-53
84
53
+31
H08/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
63-44
63
44
+19
H12/11
NCAA
Marquette
#15
W
75-70
75
70
+5
H16/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
W
80-68
80
68
+12
A25/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
W
84-66
84
66
+18
A26/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-20
48-50
32-35
34-40
46-33
32-23
36-30
45-41
33-29
31-38
39-20
45-33
31-16
32-28
32-34
43-36
43-32
37-36
33-28
51-38
139.0Avg total
75.0Scored
64.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)77.260.2137.4+17.0100%
Season at home (3)74.055.7129.7+18.3100%
Season away (2)82.067.0149.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.064.0139.0+11.080%
Last 5 (5)77.260.2137.4+17.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)84.175.1159.2+9.088%
vs Weaker (22)73.666.5140.1+7.073%
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#46
W
78-73
78
73
+5
H25/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
78-69
78
69
+9
H27/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
L
77-81
77
81
-4
H03/04
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
71-44
71
44
+27
H08/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
84-38
84
38
+46
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
64-69
64
69
-5
A16/11
NCAA
Delaware
#201
W
92-58
92
58
+34
H19/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
74-57
74
57
+17
H22/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
54-51
54
51
+3
A24/11
NCAA
Xavier
#46
W
71-64
71
64
+7
A25/11
NCAA
1H
2H
29-33
49-40
45-33
33-36
37-34
40-47
42-26
29-18
43-18
41-20
29-33
35-36
42-36
50-22
41-33
33-24
29-27
25-24
40-34
31-30
134.7Avg total
74.3Scored
60.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.954.4127.3+18.486%
Season at home (4)80.249.2129.5+31.0100%
Season away (3)63.061.3124.3+1.767%
Last 10 (10)74.360.4134.7+13.980%
Last 5 (5)71.059.8130.8+11.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)72.270.0142.2+2.275%
vs Weaker (26)77.465.4142.8+12.081%
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +6.9+6.9
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +7.5+7.51st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +3.5+3.52nd half: +6.9+6.9
PurdueDuke
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
PurdueLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#104
W
27-20
27
20
+7
H12/03
NCAA
Iowa
#48
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H13/03
NCAA
Yale
#122
W
46-33
46
33
+13
H18/03
NCAA
Texas
#94
W
36-30
36
30
+6
H21/03
NCAA
St. Peters
#95
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H25/03
NCAA
Wisc. Milwaukee
#81
W
39-20
39
20
+19
H08/11
NCAA
Austin Peay
#338
W
31-16
31
16
+15
H12/11
NCAA
Marquette
#15
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H16/11
NCAA
West Virginia
#157
W
43-32
43
32
+11
A25/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
W
33-28
33
28
+5
A26/11
NCAA
62.9Avg total
35.2Scored
27.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.430.667.1+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (19)36.629.666.3+7.079%-
Last 30 away (11)36.132.468.5+3.764%-
Last 10 (10)35.227.762.9+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)35.626.061.6+9.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.632.571.1+6.162%-
vs Weaker (22)35.630.065.6+5.777%-
This opponent (Duke) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DukeLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Texas Tech
#46
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H25/03
NCAA
Arkansas
#39
W
45-33
45
33
+12
H27/03
NCAA
North Carolina
#41
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H03/04
NCAA
Jacksonville
#246
W
42-26
42
26
+16
H08/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#190
W
43-18
43
18
+25
H11/11
NCAA
Kansas
#23
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A16/11
NCAA
Delaware
#201
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H19/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H22/11
NCAA
Oregon State
#307
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A24/11
NCAA
Xavier
#46
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A25/11
NCAA
68.4Avg total
37.7Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.931.269.0+6.777%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.033.272.2+5.867%-
Last 30 away (12)36.228.164.2+8.192%-
Last 10 (10)37.730.768.4+7.080%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.668.8+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (4)35.033.268.2+1.850%-
vs Weaker (26)38.330.869.2+7.581%-
This opponent (Purdue) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Purdue wins
0
Duke wins
No previous meetings.
Purduelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/11/22AGonzaga84-66
25/11/22AWest Virginia80-68
16/11/22HMarquette75-70
12/11/22HAustin Peay63-44
08/11/22HWisc. Milwaukee84-53
25/03/22HSt. Peters64-67
21/03/22HTexas81-71
18/03/22HYale78-56
13/03/22HIowa66-75
12/03/22HMichigan State75-70
Dukelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/22AXavier71-64
24/11/22AOregon State54-51
22/11/22HBellarmine74-57
19/11/22HDelaware92-58
16/11/22AKansas64-69
11/11/22HUSC Upstate84-38
08/11/22HJacksonville71-44
03/04/22HNorth Carolina77-81
27/03/22HArkansas78-69
25/03/22HTexas Tech78-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Purdue
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game77.274.082.0
Allowed / game60.255.767.0
Point differential+17.0+18.3+15.0
Avg total137.4129.7149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+80%67%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Duke
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game72.980.263.0
Allowed / game54.449.261.3
Point differential+18.4+31.0+1.7
Avg total127.3129.5124.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Big Ten conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Indiana660100%88.859.3+29.5
2 Maryland660100%82.761.3+21.3
3 Purdue550100%77.260.2+17.0
4 Penn State76186%74.462.4+12.0
5 Rutgers65183%76.852.8+24.0
6 Illinois65183%84.761.5+23.2
7 Iowa65183%87.368.3+19.0
8 Ohio State65183%79.361.0+18.3
9 Northwestern65183%65.251.7+13.5
10 Wisconsin65183%62.754.0+8.7
11 Michigan65183%77.370.0+7.3
12 Washington65183%69.363.3+6.0
13 UCLA64267%83.364.5+18.8
14 Michigan State64267%73.269.7+3.5
15 Minnesota64267%63.062.5+0.5
16 USC74357%72.368.0+4.3
17 Nebraska63350%67.266.2+1.0
18 Oregon73443%68.065.0+3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia550100%78.057.6+20.4
2 Duke76186%72.954.4+18.4
3 NC State76186%82.765.6+17.1
4 Wake Forest76186%81.768.4+13.3
5 Virginia Tech76186%78.165.3+12.9
6 North Carolina65183%79.570.5+9.0
7 Notre Dame65183%74.770.2+4.5
8 Clemson75271%72.162.7+9.4
9 Boston College75271%64.362.1+2.1
10 Georgia Tech64267%70.763.8+6.8
11 Miami (FL)127558%74.369.6+4.8
12 Pittsburgh74357%71.368.6+2.7
13 Syracuse63350%74.870.0+4.8
14 SMU Mustangs63350%67.365.2+2.2
15 Stanford73443%66.663.3+3.3
16 Florida State71614%67.375.4-8.1
17 California7070%58.465.9-7.4
18 Louisville6060%58.772.0-13.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Purdue462975
Duke352156
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