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Qatar vs Iran Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 25 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-77 (OT)
16-14 15-22 17-15 20-17 10-9
Position#13
Record4-4
FormWLLLW
Points / game65.6
Allowed / game65.0
Qatar 🏆
vs
Iran
Position#3
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game60.7
Allowed / game42.3
EuropeAsia Cup· Al Gharafa Sports Club
Other2023
Meetings · Qatar v Iran
25 Nov 2024
QATA78
IRAN77
12 Jun 2021
QATA46
IRAN84
29 Jun 2018
QATA75
IRAN77
22 Nov 2010
QATA46
IRAN88
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qatar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Iran winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QatarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQatar
Date
Competition
Iraq
#16
L
70-75
70
75
-5
no box
H20/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
60-57
60
57
+3
no box
A21/02
Asia Cup
Kuwait
#18
L
57-76
57
76
-19
no box
A22/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#8
L
63-95
63
95
-32
no box
A26/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
64-76
64
76
-12
no box
H28/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
W
74-67
74
67
+7
no box
A30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
41-80
41
80
-39
no box
A02/10
Asian Games
Iran
#3
L
74-76 OT
74
76
-2
no box
A23/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
L
68-73
68
73
-5
50avg 57
H26/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
69-53
69
53
+16
62avg 57
A22/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
15-23
16-11
19-22
8-9
17-15
20-21
15-12
20-25
10-14
12-19
15-18
13-33
21-23
7-18
22-21
13-22
16-21
18-24
17-9
14-18
19-19
21-19
20-11
14-33
9-24
7-16
11-7
13-20
19-15
16-12
19-20
12-19
25-14
13-15
18-25
17-14
19-17
14-8
19-14
136.8Avg total
64.0Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)65.665.0130.6+0.650%
Season at home (3)70.370.0140.3+0.333%
Season away (5)62.862.0124.8+0.860%
Last 10 (10)64.072.8136.8-8.830%
Last 5 (5)65.269.8135.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)60.085.8145.8-25.86%
vs Similar (7)65.969.6135.4-3.743%
vs Weaker (5)72.065.0137.0+7.080%
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IranLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIran
Date
Competition
Lebanon
#18
L
73-81
73
81
-8
no box
H02/09
World Cup
United Arab Emirates
#13
W
81-57
81
57
+24
no box
H26/09
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
W
81-66
81
66
+15
no box
A28/09
Asian Games
Kazakhstan
#10
W
86-60
86
60
+26
no box
H30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
83-84
83
84
-1
no box
H03/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
W
89-82
89
82
+7
no box
H04/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
W
92-60
92
60
+32
no box
H06/10
Asian Games
Qatar
#13
W
76-74 OT
76
74
+2
no box
H23/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
86-53
86
53
+33
83avg 83
A26/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H22/11
Asia Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
23-28
13-14
24-19
23-24
18-20
22-9
18-4
21-11
17-17
23-10
20-28
20-16
15-9
30-19
21-16
22-28
14-20
18-23
29-13
21-20
19-28
26-15
23-19
23-11
22-23
31-10
16-16
20-13
15-19
12-16
20-19
23-20
19-12
25-12
19-9
–
–
–
–
138.4Avg total
76.7Scored
61.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)60.742.3103.0+18.3100%
Season at home (2)48.037.085.0+11.0100%
Season away (1)86.053.0139.0+33.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.761.7138.4+15.080%
Last 5 (5)72.653.8126.4+18.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)63.277.1140.3-13.918%
vs Similar (3)72.372.3144.7+0.033%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)81.263.0144.2+18.288%
This opponent (Qatar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +5.2+5.2
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -6.8-6.8Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +8.0+8.0Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +5.2+5.2
QatarIran
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QatarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Iraq
#16
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H20/02
Asia Cup
Palestine
#22
W
25-24
25
24
+1
A21/02
Asia Cup
Kuwait
#18
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A22/02
Asia Cup
Japan
#8
L
34-56
34
56
-22
A26/09
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H28/09
Asian Games
Indonesia
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
23-57
23
57
-34
A02/10
Asian Games
Iran
#3
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A23/02
Asia Cup
Kazakhstan
#21
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H26/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
36-31
36
31
+5
A22/11
Asia Cup
71.1Avg total
31.4Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.837.970.7-5.230%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.537.569.0-6.123%-
Last 30 away (17)33.838.272.0-4.535%-
Last 10 (10)31.439.771.1-8.330%-
Last 5 (5)32.238.670.8-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)31.340.671.9-9.217%-
vs Similar (7)33.036.369.3-3.314%-
vs Weaker (5)37.630.868.4+6.8100%-
This opponent (Iran) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
IranLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Lebanon
#18
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H02/09
World Cup
United Arab Emirates
#13
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H26/09
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A28/09
Asian Games
Kazakhstan
#10
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H30/09
Asian Games
Philippines
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H03/10
Asian Games
South Korea
#5
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H04/10
Asian Games
Saudi Arabia
#7
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H06/10
Asian Games
Qatar
#13
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H23/02
Asia Cup
India
#23
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A26/02
Asia Cup
76.3Avg total
38.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)37.938.576.4-0.554%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.139.477.5-1.353%-
Last 30 away (11)37.637.074.6+0.655%-
Last 10 (9)38.737.776.3+1.056%-
Last 5 (5)39.638.878.4+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)34.243.277.4-9.020%-
vs Similar (3)40.337.077.3+3.367%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)39.935.675.5+4.373%-
This opponent (Qatar) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Qatartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qatar: 67.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.018.0
46.2%
49.3%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.55.0
21.3%
32.7%15.0
🏀 Free throws24.516.5
67.3%
70.1%16.5
They take 62.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Irantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Iran: 84.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
49%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.024.0
51.1%
49.3%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.08.0
36.4%
32.7%24.0
🏀 Free throws18.012.0
66.7%
70.1%12.0
They take 69.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/1 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Qatar
WLLLWLLLWL
Iran
WWWWWLWWWL
#13
League position
#3
+7.5
Net rating
+44.6
92.1
Offensive rating
120.8
84.6
Defensive rating
76.2
40.8%
Effective FG%
52.2%
42.5%
Opp. effective FG%
44.6%
13.7%
Turnover %
18.6%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
54.1%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.26
21.3%
3-point %
36.4%
45.7%
Assist %
59.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence92.1 · 120.8Defence84.6 · 76.2Shooting40.8% · 52.2%3-point %21.3% · 36.4%Ball care13.7% · 18.6%Off. rebounds28.8% · 54.1%Free throws0.39 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ Qatar   ■ Iran
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Qatar wins
7
Iran wins
DateGameScore
23/02/24Iran v Qatar76-74 OT
12/06/21Qatar v Iran46-84
23/02/20Iran v Qatar95-52
29/06/18Qatar v Iran75-77
27/11/17Iran v Qatar65-39
16/09/12Iran v Qatar85-75 OT
22/11/10Qatar v Iran46-88
Qatarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24AIndia69-53
26/02/24HKazakhstan68-73
23/02/24AIran74-76 OT
02/10/23APhilippines41-80
30/09/23AIndonesia74-67
28/09/23HSouth Korea64-76
26/09/23AJapan63-95
22/02/23AKuwait57-76
21/02/23APalestine60-57
20/02/23HIraq70-75
Iranlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/11/24HKazakhstan20-0
26/02/24AIndia86-53
23/02/24HQatar76-74 OT
06/10/23HSaudi Arabia92-60
04/10/23HSouth Korea89-82
03/10/23HPhilippines83-84
30/09/23HKazakhstan86-60
28/09/23ASaudi Arabia81-66
26/09/23HUnited Arab Emirates81-57
02/09/23HLebanon73-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Qatar
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW50%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWLLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %50%33%60%
Points / game65.670.362.8
Allowed / game65.070.062.0
Point differential+0.6+0.3+0.8
Avg total130.6140.3124.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%33%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Iran
Asia Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game60.748.086.0
Allowed / game42.337.053.0
Point differential+18.3+11.0+33.0
Avg total103.085.0139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %33%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Australia440100%97.561.2+36.2
2 Philippines440100%96.565.0+31.5
3 Lebanon440100%92.270.5+21.8
4 Iran330100%60.742.3+18.3
5 Jordan440100%78.063.8+14.2
6 Japan440100%82.270.5+11.8
7 China43175%86.057.5+28.5
8 New Zealand43175%86.868.8+18.0
9 Saudi Arabia43175%66.865.2+1.5
10 Thailand118373%86.475.5+10.8
11 Guam96367%71.373.4-2.1
12 Bahrain32167%69.776.3-6.7
13 Iraq95456%74.072.8+1.2
14 South Korea42250%82.080.8+1.2
15 Qatar84450%65.665.0+0.6
16 Kazakhstan42250%51.256.5-5.2
17 Mongolia115645%77.079.7-2.7
18 Malaysia73443%74.075.7-1.7
19 Kuwait52340%73.270.2+3.0
20 United Arab Emirates83538%67.870.8-3.0
21 Palestine93633%69.971.9-2.0
22 Vietnam41325%68.070.8-2.8
23 Syria41325%72.878.8-6.0
24 India41325%61.071.8-10.8
25 Chinese Taipei41325%67.882.8-15.0
26 Hong Kong92722%65.380.0-14.7
27 Oman5050%57.674.8-17.2
28 Singapore5050%57.476.4-19.0
29 Indonesia4040%64.094.2-30.2
30 Tahiti4040%52.889.8-37.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 30 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Qatar161517201078
Iran14221517977
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