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Qingdao vs Xinjiang Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 16 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 11:35
Scheduled
Position#13
Record3-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game93.2
vs
Position#15
Record3-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game89.5
ChinaCBARound 27· Conson Stadium
Other2026-27
Meetings · Qingdao v Xinjiang
16 Jan 2027
QING v XINJ
upcoming
15 Dec 2026
QING v XINJ
upcoming
24 Apr 2026
QING94
XINJ84
24 Mar 2025
QING106
XINJ82
29 Jan 2024
QING84
XINJ110
01 Dec 2023
QING104
XINJ88
17 Jan 2023
QING100
XINJ101
12 Jan 2022
QING100
XINJ119
06 Apr 2021
QING136
XINJ117
08 Nov 2020
QING112
XINJ89
20 Jun 2020
QING99
XINJ113
29 Dec 2019
QING125
XINJ128
23 Dec 2018
QING106
XINJ132
27 Jan 2018
QING110
XINJ122
12 Feb 2017
QING102
XINJ110
08 Jan 2016
QING100
XINJ109
10 Dec 2014
QING104
XINJ112
10 Jan 2014
QING90
XINJ105
27 Jan 2013
QING115
XINJ122
15 Jan 2012
QING115
XINJ97
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Qingdao win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Xinjiang win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QingdaoChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormQingdao
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
86-90 OT
86
90
-4
76avg 78
H29/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
94-97
94
97
-3
84avg 78
A02/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
L
80-82
80
82
-2
no box
A17/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
H21/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
80-88
80
88
-8
no box
A23/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
101-80
101
80
+21
no box
H25/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
94-90
94
90
+4
no box
H27/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
86-105
86
105
-19
no box
H29/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
86-95
86
95
-9
no box
A31/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
W
112-109
112
109
+3
no box
A02/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
15-25
12-23
27-9
13-25
20-26
30-21
31-25
24-29
23-21
24-19
9-13
21-27
27-25
29-29
16-16
21-29
22-19
25-13
12-27
32-18
28-21
25-19
16-22
17-22
39-12
21-28
17-28
18-26
31-25
17-27
20-27
26-23
19-26
24-23
17-23
27-35
27-21
24-25
34-28
184.5Avg total
91.2Scored
93.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)91.593.2184.8-1.838%
Season at home (4)93.593.0186.5+0.550%
Season away (4)89.593.5183.0-4.025%
Last 10 (10)91.293.3184.5-2.130%
Last 5 (5)95.895.8191.6+0.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.093.8178.8-8.80%
vs Similar ◀ (13)90.793.5184.2-2.838%
vs Weaker (12)96.585.8182.2+10.883%
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangChinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormXinjiang
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
109-75
109
75
+34
116avg 80
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
84-94
84
94
-10
82avg 80
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
107-92
107
92
+15
no box
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
83-89
83
89
-6
no box
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
no box
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
75-81
75
81
-6
no box
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
84-83
84
83
+1
no box
H29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
L
84-106
84
106
-22
no box
A31/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
A03/11
CBA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-19
28-17
31-24
18-15
26-29
18-22
12-27
28-16
29-24
21-23
19-24
13-9
26-29
28-25
21-16
32-22
18-21
21-28
20-29
24-11
25-30
25-25
22-22
15-21
19-22
17-22
24-18
15-19
36-20
14-27
19-17
15-19
22-30
29-18
16-33
17-25
21-22
29-23
14-23
20-19
176.4Avg total
87.9Scored
88.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)85.889.5175.2-3.838%
Season at home (4)87.084.0171.0+3.075%
Season away (4)84.595.0179.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)87.988.5176.4-0.640%
Last 5 (5)82.891.0173.8-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)83.295.8179.1-12.68%
vs Similar ◀ (13)89.488.6178.0+0.846%
vs Weaker (4)84.876.8161.5+8.050%
This opponent (Qingdao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.2-3.2Q1: +0.8+0.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
QingdaoXinjiang
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
QingdaoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H29/04
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#10
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A02/05
CBA
Xinjiang
#15
L
47-50
47
50
-3
A17/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H21/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
43-48
43
48
-5
A23/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
60-39
60
39
+21
H25/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
W
56-34
56
34
+22
H27/10
CBA
Beijing
#1
L
49-51
49
51
-2
H29/10
CBA
Fujian
#7
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A31/10
CBA
Guangdong
#12
L
54-56
54
56
-2
A02/11
CBA
94.8Avg total
47.3Scored
47.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.945.994.8+3.050%-
Last 30 at home (16)50.343.894.1+6.662%-
Last 30 away (14)47.348.395.6-1.036%-
Last 10 (10)47.347.594.8-0.220%-
Last 5 (5)52.845.898.6+7.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)46.848.895.6-2.020%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)46.647.293.8-0.638%-
vs Weaker (12)52.243.295.4+9.175%-
This opponent (Xinjiang) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
XinjiangLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nanjing Tongxi
#17
W
60-36
60
36
+24
H19/04
CBA
Qingdao
#7
L
44-51
44
51
-7
A24/04
CBA
Qingdao
#13
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H17/10
CBA
Tianjin
#16
D
54-54
54
54
+0
H20/10
CBA
Jilin
#11
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A22/10
CBA
Liaoning
#3
L
50-55
50
55
-5
A25/10
CBA
Zhejiang Chouzhou
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H27/10
CBA
Nanjing Tongxi
#18
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H29/10
CBA
Beijing Royal Fighters
#4
W
51-48
51
48
+3
A31/10
CBA
Shanxi Zhongyu
#5
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A03/11
CBA
96.0Avg total
48.4Scored
47.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.847.992.7-3.030%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.548.493.8-2.929%-
Last 30 away (13)44.047.291.2-3.231%-
Last 10 (10)48.447.696.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)47.447.895.2-0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)44.250.594.6-6.315%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)45.247.592.7-2.238%-
vs Weaker (4)45.840.886.5+5.050%-
This opponent (Qingdao) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Qingdaotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Qingdao: 89.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.117.7
55.1%
53.8%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.711.6
32.5%
35.0%34.8
🏀 Free throws26.219.6
74.8%
74.8%19.6
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 35.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Xinjiangtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Xinjiang: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 89.5 points a game
49%
31%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.1
57.5%
53.8%46.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.3
34.7%
35.0%27.9
🏀 Free throws18.913.8
73.0%
74.8%13.8
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Qingdao
WLLWWLLLLL
Xinjiang
LLWLLLWWLW
#13
League position
#15
-1.1
Net rating
-3.7
99.7
Offensive rating
102.0
100.8
Defensive rating
105.7
51.8%
Effective FG%
55.3%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
55.2%
11.6%
Turnover %
11.2%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.28
32.5%
3-point %
34.7%
57.7%
Assist %
69.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 102.0Defence100.8 · 105.7Shooting51.8% · 55.3%3-point %32.5% · 34.7%Ball care11.6% · 11.2%Free throws0.39 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Qingdao   ■ Xinjiang
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Qingdao wins
6
Xinjiang wins
DateGameScore
17/10/26Xinjiang v Qingdao82-80
24/04/26Qingdao v Xinjiang94-84
24/12/25Xinjiang v Qingdao79-97
24/03/25Qingdao v Xinjiang106-82
20/01/25Xinjiang v Qingdao103-83
16/11/24Xinjiang v Qingdao95-86
05/02/24Xinjiang v Qingdao117-98
29/01/24Qingdao v Xinjiang84-110
01/12/23Qingdao v Xinjiang104-88
31/10/23Xinjiang v Qingdao103-85
Qingdaolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/11/26AGuangdong112-109
31/10/26AFujian86-95
29/10/26HBeijing86-105
27/10/26HTianjin94-90
25/10/26HNanjing Tongxi101-80
23/10/26AZhejiang Chouzhou80-88
21/10/26HLiaoning93-97
17/10/26AXinjiang80-82
02/05/26AShanxi Zhongyu94-97
29/04/26HShanxi Zhongyu86-90 OT
Xinjianglast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/11/26AShanxi Zhongyu84-87
31/10/26ABeijing Royal Fighters84-106
29/10/26HNanjing Tongxi84-83
27/10/26HZhejiang Chouzhou75-81
25/10/26ALiaoning87-98
22/10/26AJilin83-89
20/10/26HTianjin107-92
17/10/26HQingdao82-80
24/04/26AQingdao84-94
19/04/26HNanjing Tongxi109-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Qingdao
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW38%
HomeLWWL50%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game91.593.589.5
Allowed / game93.293.093.5
Point differential-1.8+0.5-4.0
Avg total184.8186.5183.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)50% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Xinjiang
CBA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%75%0%
Points / game85.887.084.5
Allowed / game89.584.095.0
Point differential-3.8+3.0-10.5
Avg total175.2171.0179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Beijing880100%107.479.6+27.8
2 Shanghai87188%98.889.1+9.6
3 Liaoning87188%97.087.8+9.2
4 Beijing Royal Fighters86275%99.183.0+16.1
5 Shanxi Zhongyu86275%99.290.0+9.2
6 Zhejiang Chouzhou85362%83.676.5+7.1
7 Fujian85362%90.586.5+4.0
8 Zhejiang Guangsha85362%91.694.9-3.2
9 Guangzhou84450%91.295.1-3.9
10 Shenzhen84450%78.893.9-15.1
11 Jilin83538%86.987.1-0.2
12 Guangdong83538%88.690.4-1.8
13 Qingdao83538%91.593.2-1.8
14 Shandong83538%91.894.2-2.5
15 Xinjiang83538%85.889.5-3.8
16 Tianjin82625%92.195.5-3.4
17 Jiangsu Dragons82625%81.586.9-5.4
18 Nanjing Tongxi82625%88.197.0-8.9
19 Sichuan82625%79.893.9-14.1
20 Ningbo Rockets8080%79.198.2-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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