Guangdong host Qingdao in the CBA on 2 November 2026, with the model favouring the home side at 66% to 34% and projecting a 93-88 win. Guangdong, 3-4 and 11th in the standings, average 85.7 points scored and 87.3 allowed, while Qingdao, 2-5 and 16th, average 88.6 points and 91.0 allowed. Guangdong's last five games include a 82-80 home win over Jiangsu Dragons, a 76-85 loss to Shandong away, and a 87-99 defeat to Shanghai away; Qingdao's recent five feature a 94-90 home win over Tianjin, a 86-95 loss to Fujian away, and a 86-105 defeat to Beijing at home. In the ten meetings between the clubs, Guangdong has won eight times, most recently defeating Qingdao 110-105 on 8 April 2026. The model assigns Guangdong a 60% chance to cover the home line of -3.0 and a 7% chance the game will go into overtime, with a projected total of 181.0 points. Guangdong's 93 points are expected to outpace Qingdao's 88, a margin that aligns with the spread and the model's confidence.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 85.7 | 87.3 | 173.0 | -1.6 | 43% |
| Season at home (3) | 88.0 | 78.3 | 166.3 | +9.7 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 84.0 | 94.0 | 178.0 | -10.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 86.9 | 90.0 | 176.9 | -3.1 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 85.4 | 83.8 | 169.2 | +1.6 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 82.0 | 97.3 | 179.3 | -15.3 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (14) | 89.2 | 90.4 | 179.6 | -1.2 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 94.0 | 81.6 | 175.6 | +12.4 | 62% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 88.6 | 91.0 | 179.6 | -2.4 | 29% |
| Season at home (4) | 93.5 | 93.0 | 186.5 | +0.5 | 50% |
| Season away (3) | 82.0 | 88.3 | 170.3 | -6.3 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.4 | 90.8 | 180.2 | -1.4 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.4 | 91.6 | 181.0 | -2.2 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 85.0 | 93.8 | 178.8 | -8.8 | 0% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 88.9 | 91.8 | 180.7 | -2.8 | 38% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 96.5 | 85.8 | 182.2 | +10.8 | 83% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 90.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 46.4 | 44.7 | 91.1 | +1.7 | 43% | 63% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 47.1 | 44.1 | 91.1 | +3.0 | 53% | 60% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 45.7 | 45.3 | 91.1 | +0.4 | 33% | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.6 | 47.2 | 89.8 | -4.6 | 10% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 40.8 | 46.2 | 87.0 | -5.4 | 0% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (3) | 38.7 | 54.7 | 93.3 | -16.0 | 0% | 67% |
| vs Similar ◀ (14) | 44.4 | 47.0 | 91.4 | -2.6 | 21% | 57% |
| vs Weaker (13) | 50.4 | 39.9 | 90.3 | +10.5 | 77% | 69% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 90.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 48.9 | 45.7 | 94.6 | +3.2 | 53% | 70% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 50.3 | 43.8 | 94.1 | +6.6 | 62% | 62% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 47.2 | 47.9 | 95.1 | -0.7 | 43% | 79% |
| Last 10 (10) | 47.0 | 46.3 | 93.3 | +0.7 | 30% | 70% |
| Last 5 (5) | 50.6 | 44.2 | 94.8 | +6.4 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (5) | 46.8 | 48.8 | 95.6 | -2.0 | 20% | 100% |
| vs Similar ◀ (13) | 46.5 | 46.8 | 93.4 | -0.3 | 46% | 62% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 52.2 | 43.2 | 95.4 | +9.1 | 75% | 67% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guangdong +2 | 70.1% | 2.09 | 2.32 | 2.07 | 1.88 | - | - | +30.1pp | Lost |
| Guangdong +3 | 72.8% | 1.98 | 2.16 | 1.93 | 1.84 | - | - | +29.8pp | Push |
| Guangdong +2.5 | 70.8% | 2.01 | 2.25 | 1.99 | 1.95 | 1.84 | - | +29.6pp | Lost |
| Guangdong +4 | 75.7% | 1.92 | 2.01 | 1.84 | - | - | - | +29.3pp | Won |
| Guangdong +3.5 | 73.5% | 1.85 | 2.09 | 1.89 | 1.83 | 1.80 | 1.63 | +29.0pp | Won |
| Guangdong +5 | 78.5% | 1.79 | 1.85 | 1.73 | - | - | - | +28.0pp | Won |
| Guangdong +4.5 | 76.4% | 1.75 | 1.93 | 1.80 | 1.73 | 1.54 | - | +28.0pp | Won |
| Guangdong +6 | 81.0% | 1.67 | 1.72 | 1.62 | - | - | - | +27.0pp | Won |
| Guangdong +5.5 | 79.0% | 1.64 | 1.78 | 1.68 | 1.62 | 1.46 | - | +26.7pp | Won |
| Guangdong over 84 | 78.6% | 1.76 | 1.76 | - | - | - | - | +26.3pp | Won |
| Guangdong +7 | 83.2% | 1.57 | 1.63 | 1.52 | - | - | - | +26.2pp | Won |
| Guangdong +6.5 | 81.4% | 1.53 | 1.67 | 1.57 | 1.50 | 1.38 | - | +25.8pp | Won |
| Guangdong over 85 | 76.0% | 1.75 | 1.87 | 1.62 | - | - | - | +24.7pp | Won |
| Guangdong over 85.5 | 74.0% | 1.80 | 1.92 | 1.83 | 1.66 | - | - | +24.0pp | Won |
| Guangdong over 86 | 73.2% | 1.79 | 1.89 | 1.70 | - | - | - | +23.6pp | Won |
| Guangdong over 84.5 | 76.7% | 1.69 | 1.80 | 1.57 | - | - | - | +23.6pp | Won |
| Guangdong over 87 | 70.3% | 1.89 | 1.94 | 1.83 | - | - | - | +23.0pp | Won |
| Guangdong over 86.5 | 71.2% | 1.86 | 1.93 | 1.91 | 1.83 | 1.76 | - | +22.6pp | Won |
| Guangdong over 83.5 | 79.2% | 1.49 | 1.49 | - | - | - | - | +20.9pp | Won |
| Guangdong over 82.5 | 81.5% | 1.42 | 1.42 | - | - | - | - | +20.1pp | Won |
| Guangdong +7.5 | 83.6% | 1.41 | 1.49 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +19.6pp | Won |
| Guangdong over 81.5 | 83.7% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +19.2pp | Won |
| Guangdong over 80.5 | 85.7% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | +18.2pp | Won |
| Guangdong +8.5 | 85.6% | 1.33 | 1.42 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +14.8pp | Won |
| Over 170 | 71.2% | 1.61 | 1.63 | 1.59 | - | - | - | +13.8pp | Won |
| Qingdao under 94.5 | 71.1% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +1.5pp | Lost |
| Qingdao over 81.5 | 70.2% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +0.2pp | Won |
| Guangdong +10.5 | 88.9% | 1.31 | 1.31 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Guangdong +10 | 88.7% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Guangdong +9.5 | 87.3% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Guangdong +9 | 87.1% | 1.38 | 1.38 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Guangdong +8 | 85.3% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 167.5 | 75.1% | 1.47 | 1.47 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 168 | 74.6% | 1.48 | 1.48 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 168.5 | 73.4% | 1.51 | 1.51 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 169 | 72.9% | 1.53 | 1.53 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
| Over 169.5 | 71.7% | 1.57 | 1.57 | - | - | - | - | - | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.9 | 19.9 | 53.8% | 39.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.1 | 11.0 | 35.0% | 33.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.5 | 14.4 | 74.8% | 14.4 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.1 | 17.7 | 53.8% | 35.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 35.7 | 11.6 | 35.0% | 34.8 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 26.2 | 19.6 | 74.8% | 19.6 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 08/04/26 | Qingdao v Guangdong | 105-110 OT |
| 21/12/25 | Guangdong v Qingdao | 89-80 |
| 10/01/25 | Guangdong v Qingdao | 105-96 |
| 18/10/24 | Qingdao v Guangdong | 113-118 |
| 16/01/24 | Guangdong v Qingdao | 99-109 |
| 05/11/23 | Qingdao v Guangdong | 109-111 |
| 15/03/23 | Qingdao v Guangdong | 76-66 |
| 08/03/23 | Guangdong v Qingdao | 94-85 |
| 23/01/22 | Guangdong v Qingdao | 98-91 |
| 18/10/21 | Qingdao v Guangdong | 90-103 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Shandong | 76-85 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Jiangsu Dragons | 82-80 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Shanghai | 87-99 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Ningbo Rockets | 86-77 |
| 22/10/26 | H | Zhejiang Guangsha | 96-78 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Beijing | 78-96 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Nanjing Tongxi | 95-96 |
| 12/05/26 | A | Beijing | 73-88 |
| 09/05/26 | H | Beijing | 102-99 OT |
| 06/05/26 | A | Beijing | 94-102 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Fujian | 86-95 |
| 29/10/26 | H | Beijing | 86-105 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Tianjin | 94-90 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Nanjing Tongxi | 101-80 |
| 23/10/26 | A | Zhejiang Chouzhou | 80-88 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Liaoning | 93-97 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Xinjiang | 80-82 |
| 02/05/26 | A | Shanxi Zhongyu | 94-97 |
| 29/04/26 | H | Shanxi Zhongyu | 86-90 OT |
| 24/04/26 | H | Xinjiang | 94-84 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWL | 43% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 43% | 100% | 0% |
| Points / game | 85.7 | 88.0 | 84.0 |
| Allowed / game | 87.3 | 78.3 | 94.0 |
| Point differential | -1.6 | +9.7 | -10.0 |
| Avg total | 173.0 | 166.3 | 178.0 |
| Over 174.25 | 29% | 0% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWLL | 29% |
| Home | LWWL | 50% |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 29% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 88.6 | 93.5 | 82.0 |
| Allowed / game | 91.0 | 93.0 | 88.3 |
| Point differential | -2.4 | +0.5 | -6.3 |
| Avg total | 179.6 | 186.5 | 170.3 |
| Over 174.25 | 71% | 100% | 33% |
| Win by 10+ | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 50% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 100% | 105.6 | 78.4 | +27.1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 97.1 | 86.3 | +10.9 | |
| 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 96.6 | 87.0 | +9.6 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 99.1 | 81.0 | +18.1 | |
| 5 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 101.0 | 90.9 | +10.1 | |
| 6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 82.7 | 74.1 | +8.6 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 91.7 | 88.3 | +3.4 | |
| 8 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 91.0 | 94.4 | -3.4 | |
| 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 90.6 | 95.9 | -5.3 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 83.7 | 83.9 | -0.1 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 85.7 | 87.3 | -1.6 | |
| 12 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 91.0 | 93.6 | -2.6 | |
| 13 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 86.0 | 89.9 | -3.9 | |
| 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 76.7 | 94.4 | -17.7 | |
| 15 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 92.7 | 95.0 | -2.3 | |
| 16 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 88.6 | 91.0 | -2.4 | |
| 17 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 87.4 | 97.3 | -9.9 | |
| 18 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 80.6 | 95.6 | -15.0 | |
| 19 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 79.6 | 86.0 | -6.4 | |
| 20 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 77.9 | 95.1 | -17.3 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35 | 21 | 25 | 28 | 109 | |
| 27 | 27 | 24 | 34 | 112 |
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