Quilmes vs Olimpico Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Mar 2016

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 89-74

24-16 22-20 16-17 27-21

Position#17

Record19-24

FormLWWWW

Points / game79.8

Allowed / game81.2

Quilmes 🏆

Olimpico

Position#1

Record30-13

FormWWWLW

Points / game82.9

Allowed / game76.3

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Quilmes v Olimpico

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quilmes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Olimpico winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

81-83

-2

A14/02

Liga A

Olimpico

56-76

-20

A16/02

Liga A

Lanus

#13

94-68

+26

H23/02

Liga A

Libertad

101-89

101

+12

H26/02

Liga A

Quimsa

96-82

+14

H27/02

Liga A

La Union

65-88

-23

A03/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

92-88

A05/03

Liga A

Regatas

70-63

A07/03

Liga A

Sionista

#20

82-72

+10

H12/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

93-92

H13/03

Liga A

18-21

22-20

21-23

20-19

9-20

15-19

21-15

11-22

20-24

26-11

23-16

25-17

21-15

30-30

21-26

29-18

23-25

25-17

27-13

21-27

12-26

14-16

21-24

18-22

17-27

21-19

33-16

21-26

14-15

15-8

14-13

27-27

22-16

15-15

18-18

27-23

20-23

24-22

21-18

28-29

163.1Avg total

83.0Scored

80.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (43)	79.8	81.2	161.0	-1.4	44%
Season at home (22)	84.2	81.2	165.4	+3.0	64%
Season away (21)	75.1	81.2	156.4	-6.1	24%
Last 10 (10)	83.0	80.1	163.1	+2.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	80.4	80.6	161.0	-0.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	78.2	83.8	162.0	-5.6	40%
vs Similar (24)	82.2	78.5	160.8	+3.7	62%
vs Weaker (1)	82.0	72.0	154.0	+10.0	100%

This opponent (Olimpico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Olimpico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

62-76

-14

H10/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

81-65

+16

H13/02

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

76-56

+20

H16/02

Liga A

Ferro

#15

70-80

-10

A21/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

80-72

A23/02

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

84-73

+11

H02/03

Liga A

Sionista

#20

95-45

+50

H04/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

105-82

105

+23

H10/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

83-89

-6

A13/03

Liga A

Penarol

85-81

A16/03

Liga A

18-22

8-26

21-15

15-13

22-15

21-13

7-21

31-16

20-9

19-15

15-21

22-11

21-16

17-22

13-27

19-15

17-25

25-11

26-22

12-14

21-21

22-15

18-18

23-19

28-8

15-15

29-11

23-11

25-23

26-13

27-26

27-20

20-23

9-24

25-19

29-23

23-18

17-29

28-16

17-18

154.0Avg total

82.1Scored

71.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (43)	82.9	76.3	159.2	+6.6	70%
Season at home (22)	85.2	68.5	153.8	+16.7	95%
Season away (21)	80.5	84.4	165.0	-3.9	43%
Last 10 (10)	82.1	71.9	154.0	+10.2	70%
Last 5 (5)	90.4	74.0	164.4	+16.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	79.1	75.2	154.3	+3.9	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	82.8	73.7	156.5	+9.1	75%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuilmesOlimpico

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	19.2	37.4	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.8	17.7	38.5	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	15.6	20.7	36.3	-5.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	21.2	38.8	-3.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	21.4	38.4	-4.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	15.6	21.6	37.2	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (24)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	16.0	38.0	+6.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	18.0	38.0	+2.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.8	17.2	37.9	+3.6	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.1	19.0	38.1	+0.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	18.0	39.5	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.4	18.6	42.0	+4.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	20.1	17.6	37.7	+2.6	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	20.3	17.9	38.2	+2.4	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.2	38.6	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.9	18.5	41.3	+4.4	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.9	18.0	35.9	-0.1	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	17.7	38.4	+3.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	16.0	33.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.8	18.6	39.4	+2.2	80%	-
vs Similar (24)	20.5	18.3	38.8	+2.2	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	15.0	30.0	+0.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	19.4	16.1	35.5	+3.2	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	17.5	21.6	39.1	-4.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	18.3	36.2	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	17.8	18.6	36.4	-0.8	55%	-

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Quimsa

40-41

-1

A14/02

Liga A

Olimpico

24-39

-15

A16/02

Liga A

Lanus

#13

46-35

+11

H23/02

Liga A

Libertad

51-45

H26/02

Liga A

Quimsa

48-42

H27/02

Liga A

La Union

26-42

-16

A03/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

38-46

-8

A05/03

Liga A

Regatas

29-23

A07/03

Liga A

Sionista

#20

37-31

H12/03

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

44-45

-1

H13/03

Liga A

77.2Avg total

38.3Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	37.4	76.0	+1.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	36.1	79.8	+7.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	33.5	38.7	72.1	-5.2	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	38.9	77.2	-0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.8	37.4	72.2	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	36.4	40.2	76.6	-3.8	20%	-
vs Similar (24)	39.1	37.1	76.2	+2.0	54%	-
vs Weaker (1)	37.0	31.0	68.0	+6.0	100%	-

This opponent (Olimpico) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

OlimpicoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

26-48

-22

H10/02

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

43-28

+15

H13/02

Liga A

Quilmes

#17

39-24

+15

H16/02

Liga A

Ferro

#15

38-38

A21/02

Liga A

San Lorenzo

42-36

A23/02

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

43-36

H02/03

Liga A

Sionista

#20

43-23

+20

H04/03

Liga A

San Martin

#10

51-36

+15

H10/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

29-47

-18

A13/03

Liga A

Penarol

40-47

-7

A16/03

Liga A

75.7Avg total

39.4Scored

36.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.6	36.5	75.0	+2.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	40.1	33.3	73.4	+6.8	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.5	40.6	77.2	-4.1	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	36.3	75.7	+3.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	37.8	79.0	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	39.8	36.9	76.7	+2.9	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	38.1	36.5	74.6	+1.6	45%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	20.2	41.9	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.1	20.2	41.3	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.2	20.3	42.5	+1.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	18.2	40.2	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.0	19.6	39.6	+0.4	60%	-
vs Similar (24)	22.1	20.5	42.6	+1.7	58%	-
vs Weaker (1)	18.0	18.0	36.0	+0.0	0%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	20.3	41.3	+0.8	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.4	18.1	39.4	+3.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	23.2	43.8	-2.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.9	19.6	40.5	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.4	18.0	43.4	+7.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	21.8	20.0	41.8	+1.8	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	21.6	42.9	-0.2	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	22.1	44.7	+0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.1	21.0	41.1	-0.9	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.7	23.0	45.7	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	25.4	49.6	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	21.8	24.0	45.8	-2.2	60%	-
vs Similar (24)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	46%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	23.0	50.0	+4.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	17.3	38.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	15.8	36.8	+5.3	88%	-
Last 30 away (13)	22.0	19.3	41.3	+2.7	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	16.0	37.8	+5.8	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	18.2	42.0	+5.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	18.6	17.9	36.4	+0.7	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.9	17.2	40.2	+5.7	90%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.0	41.8	84.8	+1.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	42.3	86.0	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.3	41.3	83.6	+1.1	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.7	41.2	85.9	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.6	43.2	88.8	+2.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	41.8	43.6	85.4	-1.8	40%	-
vs Similar (24)	43.2	41.5	84.6	+1.7	67%	-
vs Weaker (1)	45.0	41.0	86.0	+4.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	37.6	80.1	+5.0	80%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.4	33.8	76.2	+8.6	94%	-
Last 30 away (13)	42.7	42.5	85.2	+0.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.7	35.6	78.3	+7.1	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	49.2	36.2	85.4	+13.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	39.3	38.3	77.7	+1.0	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	44.7	37.2	82.0	+7.5	90%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quilmes wins

Olimpico wins

Date	Game	Score
16/02/16	Olimpico v Quilmes	76-56
10/02/15	Quilmes v Olimpico	87-85
03/02/15	Olimpico v Quilmes	73-58
06/02/14	Quilmes v Olimpico	80-76
03/02/14	Olimpico v Quilmes	77-63
27/02/12	Olimpico v Quilmes	78-74
17/12/11	Quilmes v Olimpico	90-86

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/03/16	H	Obras Sanitarias	93-92
12/03/16	H	Sionista	82-72
07/03/16	A	Regatas	70-63
05/03/16	A	San Martin	92-88
03/03/16	A	La Union	65-88
27/02/16	H	Quimsa	96-82
26/02/16	H	Libertad	101-89
23/02/16	H	Lanus	94-68
16/02/16	A	Olimpico	56-76
14/02/16	A	Quimsa	81-83

Olimpicolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
16/03/16	A	Penarol	85-81
13/03/16	A	Weber Bahia	83-89
10/03/16	H	San Martin	105-82
04/03/16	H	Sionista	95-45
02/03/16	H	Estudiantes	84-73
23/02/16	A	San Lorenzo	80-72
21/02/16	A	Ferro	70-80
16/02/16	H	Quilmes	76-56
13/02/16	H	Obras Sanitarias	81-65
10/02/16	H	San Lorenzo	62-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quilmes

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	44%
Home	WWWWW	64%
Away	LLLWW	24%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	43	22	21
Win %	44%	64%	24%
Points / game	79.8	84.2	75.1
Allowed / game	81.2	81.2	81.2
Point differential	-1.4	+3.0	-6.1
Avg total	161.0	165.4	156.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	19%	32%	5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (12)	67% (6)	33% (6)
Overtime %	2%	5%	0%

Olimpico

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	70%
Home	WWWWW	95%
Away	LLWLW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	43	22	21
Win %	70%	95%	43%
Points / game	82.9	85.2	80.5
Allowed / game	76.3	68.5	84.4
Point differential	+6.6	+16.7	-3.9
Avg total	159.2	153.8	165.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	40%	77%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	-	67% (6)
Overtime %	2%	0%	5%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	43	30	13	70%	82.9	76.3	+6.6
2	Gimnasia	41	25	16	61%	83.1	76.4	+6.8
3	Libertad	45	26	19	58%	82.9	79.5	+3.4
4	La Union	45	26	19	58%	79.7	78.2	+1.5
5	Penarol	43	24	19	56%	84.6	83.4	+1.2
6	Quimsa	40	22	18	55%	81.0	78.5	+2.5
7	San Lorenzo	44	24	20	55%	83.9	80.3	+3.6
8	San Martin	44	23	21	52%	85.4	84.4	+1.0
9	Obras Sanitarias	44	22	22	50%	83.8	84.2	-0.4
10	Weber Bahia	42	21	21	50%	75.1	78.0	-2.9
11	Regatas	43	21	22	49%	80.0	79.1	+0.9
12	Estudiantes	43	21	22	49%	74.3	78.9	-4.6
13	Instituto de Cordoba	44	21	23	48%	76.4	76.5	-0.1
14	Boca Juniors	45	20	25	44%	79.2	80.5	-1.3
15	Quilmes	43	19	24	44%	79.8	81.2	-1.4
16	Ferro	45	19	26	42%	76.6	79.5	-2.9
17	Atenas	46	19	27	41%	76.3	78.8	-2.5
18	Lanus	42	17	25	40%	79.7	82.2	-2.5
19	Argentino	40	16	24	40%	77.5	81.1	-3.6
20	Sionista	42	16	26	38%	76.8	82.2	-5.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quilmes	24	22	16	27	89
Olimpico	16	20	17	21	74

← all games of the day

Quilmes vs Olimpico Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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