Quilmes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 26 Feb 2016

Tip-off: 00:30

Final 101-89

21-15 30-30 21-26 29-18

Position#17

Record13-23

FormWWLLW

Points / game78.7

Allowed / game81.1

Quilmes 🏆

Libertad

Position#6

Record23-16

FormLWWLW

Points / game81.9

Allowed / game77.7

Liga A

Other2015-16

Meetings · Quilmes v Libertad

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quilmes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Libertad winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quilmes

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

80-84

-4

H16/01

Liga A

Argentino

#16

95-79

+16

H19/01

Liga A

Lanus

#13

91-63

+28

A23/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

77-80

-3

A24/01

Liga A

Atenas

#14

73-80

-7

H30/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

89-85

H31/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

90-65

+25

H07/02

Liga A

Quimsa

81-83

-2

A14/02

Liga A

Olimpico

56-76

-20

A16/02

Liga A

Lanus

#13

94-68

+26

H23/02

Liga A

26-11

18-20

19-30

17-23

17-18

29-18

27-20

22-23

27-19

16-15

33-15

15-14

19-17

20-19

20-24

18-20

18-18

25-15

15-18

15-29

23-15

25-24

17-25

24-21

21-14

19-13

27-17

23-21

18-21

22-20

21-23

20-19

9-20

15-19

21-15

11-22

20-24

26-11

23-16

25-17

158.9Avg total

82.6Scored

76.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	78.7	81.1	159.7	-2.4	36%
Season at home (18)	82.3	80.6	162.9	+1.7	56%
Season away (18)	75.1	81.5	156.6	-6.4	17%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	76.3	158.9	+6.3	50%
Last 5 (5)	82.0	75.4	157.4	+6.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	72.4	82.1	154.6	-9.7	14%
vs Similar ◀ (23)	80.1	77.7	157.8	+2.5	48%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Libertad

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

79-91

-12

H16/01

Liga A

Penarol

87-68

+19

H23/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

86-60

+26

H28/01

Liga A

Olimpico

85-81

H30/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

70-79

-9

A02/02

Liga A

Atenas

#14

80-93

-13

A04/02

Liga A

San Martin

#10

85-67

+18

H10/02

Liga A

Ferro

#15

95-77

+18

H13/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

75-79

-4

A18/02

Liga A

Argentino

#16

83-73

+10

A20/02

Liga A

19-20

24-21

15-25

21-25

27-17

11-27

20-10

29-14

19-14

27-11

19-13

21-22

11-18

24-20

21-12

29-31

16-19

15-16

25-19

14-25

15-26

27-25

23-20

15-22

14-10

36-15

20-20

27-9

21-19

24-25

23-24

13-13

20-23

24-24

18-19

23-24

16-11

17-12

27-26

159.3Avg total

82.5Scored

76.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (39)	81.9	77.7	159.6	+4.2	59%
Season at home (20)	86.9	73.6	160.5	+13.3	85%
Season away (19)	76.7	82.0	158.7	-5.3	32%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	76.8	159.3	+5.7	60%
Last 5 (5)	83.6	77.8	161.4	+5.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	87.0	82.0	169.0	+5.0	100%
vs Similar ◀ (26)	82.3	80.0	162.3	+2.3	50%
vs Weaker (2)	92.5	70.5	163.0	+22.0	100%

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuilmesLibertad

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	18.9	36.9	-0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	16.9	37.3	+3.6	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.9	20.7	36.6	-4.8	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	17.7	37.5	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	18.8	37.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.4	20.0	36.4	-3.6	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.0	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.3	16.6	37.9	+4.7	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.7	18.9	35.6	-2.2	15%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	18.2	36.7	+0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	18.8	37.4	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	13.0	38.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	18.7	18.1	36.8	+0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.0	16.5	38.5	+5.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	18.1	37.4	+1.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	17.4	38.3	+3.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.0	18.7	36.7	-0.7	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	17.4	38.9	+4.1	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.4	38.8	+4.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.6	17.7	34.3	-1.1	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.2	18.2	38.4	+2.0	61%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	18.6	39.0	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.0	18.4	39.4	+2.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	18.8	38.4	+0.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.3	38.2	+1.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.6	37.2	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	20.1	18.8	38.9	+1.3	58%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.5	14.0	38.5	+10.5	50%	-

QuilmesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

La Union

44-31

+13

H16/01

Liga A

Argentino

#16

46-36

+10

H19/01

Liga A

Lanus

#13

43-34

A23/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

39-36

A24/01

Liga A

Atenas

#14

43-33

+10

H30/01

Liga A

Boca Juniors

#18

48-39

H31/01

Liga A

Estudiantes

#11

40-27

+13

H07/02

Liga A

Quimsa

40-41

-1

A14/02

Liga A

Olimpico

24-39

-15

A16/02

Liga A

Lanus

#13

46-35

+11

H23/02

Liga A

76.4Avg total

41.3Scored

35.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.4	37.0	74.4	+0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	34.2	75.6	+7.1	79%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.9	39.4	73.3	-5.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	35.1	76.4	+6.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	36.2	75.8	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	33.0	37.7	70.7	-4.7	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	38.7	36.7	75.5	+2.0	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Libertad) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LibertadLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

San Lorenzo

43-41

H16/01

Liga A

Penarol

38-44

-6

H23/01

Liga A

Obras Sanitarias

#12

46-25

+21

H28/01

Liga A

Olimpico

35-38

-3

H30/01

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

#19

31-35

-4

A02/02

Liga A

Atenas

#14

42-51

-9

A04/02

Liga A

San Martin

#10

29-32

-3

H10/02

Liga A

Ferro

#15

48-28

+20

H13/02

Liga A

Weber Bahia

33-36

-3

A18/02

Liga A

Argentino

#16

39-35

A20/02

Liga A

74.9Avg total

38.4Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	36.2	75.9	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.3	35.0	77.3	+7.3	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	36.2	37.8	74.0	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.4	36.5	74.9	+1.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	36.4	74.6	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	46.0	33.0	79.0	+13.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	38.8	36.9	75.7	+1.9	54%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.5	30.5	77.0	+16.0	100%	-

This opponent (Quilmes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.7	21.1	41.7	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	20.6	41.8	+0.5	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.2	21.4	41.7	-1.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	20.3	42.6	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	19.2	41.0	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	18.6	22.3	40.9	-3.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	21.3	20.7	42.0	+0.6	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.4	19.4	41.8	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	23.5	18.2	41.7	+5.2	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.1	20.8	41.9	+0.2	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.4	17.5	39.9	+4.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.8	19.2	44.0	+5.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	20.0	19.0	39.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	22.4	19.2	41.5	+3.2	65%	-
vs Weaker (2)	27.5	16.5	44.0	+11.0	100%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.7	40.9	-0.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.6	21.6	41.1	-2.0	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.0	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	20.9	39.9	-1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.9	22.1	43.0	-1.3	71%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	52%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	23.9	44.4	-3.4	27%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.9	23.9	45.9	-2.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.6	23.8	42.5	-5.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.7	22.8	44.5	-1.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	30.0	51.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	20.9	23.7	44.5	-2.8	27%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	23.5	42.0	-5.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.9	41.7	82.7	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.7	42.2	82.9	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	41.1	41.3	82.4	-0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	41.2	82.5	+0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.4	39.2	81.6	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	39.4	44.4	83.9	-5.0	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (23)	41.4	40.9	82.3	+0.5	57%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	43.3	86.2	-0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	45.4	42.2	87.6	+3.2	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.7	44.7	84.4	-5.0	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.1	40.3	84.4	+3.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.4	41.4	86.8	+4.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	41.0	49.0	90.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (26)	43.3	42.8	86.1	+0.5	46%	-
vs Weaker (2)	46.0	40.0	86.0	+6.0	50%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quilmes wins

Libertad wins

Date	Game	Score
25/04/15	Libertad v Quilmes	92-90
04/03/15	Quilmes v Libertad	99-89
08/02/14	Quilmes v Libertad	72-77
01/02/14	Libertad v Quilmes	91-90
13/02/12	Quilmes v Libertad	66-73
05/12/11	Libertad v Quilmes	99-80

Quilmeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
23/02/16	H	Lanus	94-68
16/02/16	A	Olimpico	56-76
14/02/16	A	Quimsa	81-83
07/02/16	H	Estudiantes	90-65
31/01/16	H	Boca Juniors	89-85
30/01/16	H	Atenas	73-80
24/01/16	A	Boca Juniors	77-80
23/01/16	A	Lanus	91-63
19/01/16	H	Argentino	95-79
16/01/16	H	La Union	80-84

Libertadlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
20/02/16	A	Argentino	83-73
18/02/16	A	Weber Bahia	75-79
13/02/16	H	Ferro	95-77
10/02/16	H	San Martin	85-67
04/02/16	A	Atenas	80-93
02/02/16	A	Instituto de Cordoba	70-79
30/01/16	H	Olimpico	85-81
28/01/16	H	Obras Sanitarias	86-60
23/01/16	H	Penarol	87-68
16/01/16	H	San Lorenzo	79-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quilmes

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	36%
Home	WLWWW	56%
Away	LWLLL	17%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	36%	56%	17%
Points / game	78.7	82.3	75.1
Allowed / game	81.1	80.6	81.5
Point differential	-2.4	+1.7	-6.4
Avg total	159.7	162.9	156.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	14%	22%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (10)	60% (5)	20% (5)
Overtime %	3%	6%	0%

Libertad

Liga A 2015-16

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	59%
Home	WWWWW	85%
Away	WLLLW	32%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	39	20	19
Win %	59%	85%	32%
Points / game	81.9	86.9	76.7
Allowed / game	77.7	73.6	82.0
Point differential	+4.2	+13.3	-5.3
Avg total	159.6	160.5	158.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	60%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	80% (5)	67% (3)
Overtime %	3%	5%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Olimpico	38	26	12	68%	81.9	76.6	+5.3
2	Gimnasia	35	21	14	60%	82.2	76.4	+5.8
3	Quimsa	32	19	13	59%	80.8	77.2	+3.6
4	Libertad	39	23	16	59%	81.9	77.7	+4.2
5	Penarol	35	20	15	57%	81.9	81.4	+0.5
6	San Martin	37	21	16	57%	85.8	83.4	+2.3
7	Obras Sanitarias	37	21	16	57%	84.1	82.7	+1.4
8	San Lorenzo	39	22	17	56%	84.5	79.7	+4.7
9	Regatas	36	19	17	53%	80.9	79.3	+1.7
10	La Union	39	20	19	51%	79.5	79.4	+0.1
11	Estudiantes	36	18	18	50%	74.4	80.3	-5.9
12	Ferro	39	19	20	49%	77.1	78.8	-1.7
13	Weber Bahia	35	16	19	46%	73.9	78.4	-4.4
14	Instituto de Cordoba	38	17	21	45%	75.3	76.0	-0.7
15	Boca Juniors	39	17	22	44%	80.3	80.7	-0.4
16	Atenas	40	16	24	40%	76.3	79.0	-2.7
17	Sionista	35	14	21	40%	76.9	81.0	-4.1
18	Lanus	37	14	23	38%	79.2	82.6	-3.4
19	Quilmes	36	13	23	36%	78.7	81.1	-2.4
20	Argentino	36	13	23	36%	77.2	81.3	-4.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quilmes	21	30	21	29	101
Libertad	15	30	26	18	89

← all games of the day

Quilmes vs Libertad Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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