Quimsa vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Dec 2019

Tip-off: 01:00

Final 79-68

25-11 14-18 22-11 18-28

Position#1

Record6-2

FormLWWLW

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game80.8

Quimsa 🏆

Estudiantes

Position#19

Record4-4

FormWLLLW

Points / game70.2

Allowed / game73.2

Liga A

Other2019-20

Meetings · Quimsa v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quimsa winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quimsa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

97-96

H03/11

Torneo Super 20

Regatas

96-91 OT

A06/11

Torneo Super 20

Libertad

#20

92-66

+26

H13/11

Liga A

Olimpico

86-83

H16/11

Liga A

Atenas

#17

97-93

A19/11

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

85-101

101

-16

A21/11

Liga A

Libertad

#20

79-74

A23/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

64-61

H04/12

Liga A

Argentino

#14

78-90

-12

A07/12

Liga A

Platense

#18

90-78

+12

A09/12

Liga A

23-25

16-18

35-28

23-25

29-18

15-25

16-20

21-18

26-15

25-14

21-16

20-21

23-21

17-21

25-19

21-22

17-23

19-25

31-18

30-27

27-26

24-21

20-28

14-26

19-24

19-17

20-16

21-17

10-18

18-7

19-23

17-13

19-28

23-18

22-23

14-21

27-25

14-22

23-16

26-15

169.7Avg total

86.4Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	83.9	80.8	164.6	+3.1	75%
Season at home (3)	80.7	70.0	150.7	+10.7	100%
Season away (5)	85.8	87.2	173.0	-1.4	60%
Last 10 (10)	86.4	83.3	169.7	+3.1	80%
Last 5 (5)	79.2	80.8	160.0	-1.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	68.0	86.3	154.3	-18.3	0%
vs Similar (9)	82.1	86.7	168.8	-4.6	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	86.2	79.7	165.9	+6.4	61%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Argentina

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

81-88

-7

H20/10

Torneo Super 20

Comunicaciones Mercedes

82-85

-3

H25/10

Torneo Super 20

Atenas

#17

60-77

-17

H13/11

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

82-78

H16/11

Liga A

Penarol

#15

69-60

H18/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

67-65

H23/11

Liga A

La Union

#16

61-70

-9

A28/11

Liga A

Regatas

68-76

-8

A30/11

Liga A

San Martin

66-80

-14

A02/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

89-80

H08/12

Liga A

24-19

21-17

22-27

14-25

10-19

27-20

20-22

25-24

7-21

20-16

26-19

22-16

13-17

17-18

30-27

13-18

18-10

24-17

14-15

19-13

13-15

20-16

15-21

9-18

20-17

16-23

16-12

12-17

12-13

19-20

25-26

19-20

14-24

15-21

18-15

26-16

21-27

20-17

22-20

148.4Avg total

72.5Scored

75.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (8)	70.2	73.2	143.5	-3.0	50%
Season at home (5)	73.4	72.0	145.4	+1.4	80%
Season away (3)	65.0	75.3	140.3	-10.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	72.5	75.9	148.4	-3.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	70.2	74.2	144.4	-4.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	74.7	82.3	157.0	-7.6	24%
vs Similar (8)	76.4	82.1	158.5	-5.8	50%
vs Weaker (1)	69.0	79.0	148.0	-10.0	0%

This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuimsaEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.4	20.3	40.8	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	19.9	40.8	+1.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.0	20.8	40.8	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	22.3	44.3	-0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	24.2	44.6	-3.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	21.0	39.7	-2.3	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	21.3	20.1	41.4	+1.2	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	19.1	36.7	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.9	17.1	35.0	+0.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	21.1	38.5	-3.7	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.1	17.7	33.8	-1.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.0	16.8	33.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.4	19.8	37.2	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.1	17.9	37.0	+1.2	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	12.0	13.0	25.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	19.5	38.2	-0.7	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	16.2	33.9	+1.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.7	22.3	42.0	-2.6	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.0	36.6	+2.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.7	20.3	35.0	-5.7	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	18.6	18.9	37.4	-0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	19.6	19.6	39.2	-0.1	50%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.3	20.7	38.0	-3.4	20%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	17.7	19.3	36.9	-1.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	22.1	39.0	-5.1	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	18.1	34.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.0	19.2	35.2	-3.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	17.1	20.1	37.2	-3.0	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	0%	-
vs Weaker (1)	15.0	24.0	39.0	-9.0	0%	-

QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

39-43

-4

H03/11

Torneo Super 20

Regatas

44-43

A06/11

Torneo Super 20

Libertad

#20

51-29

+22

H13/11

Liga A

Olimpico

40-42

-2

H16/11

Liga A

Atenas

#17

36-48

-12

A19/11

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

51-47

A21/11

Liga A

Libertad

#20

38-41

-3

A23/11

Liga A

Gimnasia

28-25

H04/12

Liga A

Argentino

#14

42-46

-4

A07/12

Liga A

Platense

#18

41-47

-6

A09/12

Liga A

82.1Avg total

41.0Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.2	39.8	79.0	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.6	36.1	74.7	+2.6	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	39.7	43.1	82.8	-3.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	41.1	82.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	41.2	81.2	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	33.3	41.3	74.7	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	37.9	39.4	77.3	-1.6	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	40.8	39.7	80.6	+1.1	44%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

45-36

H20/10

Torneo Super 20

Comunicaciones Mercedes

37-39

-2

H25/10

Torneo Super 20

Atenas

#17

14-42

-28

H13/11

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

35-33

H16/11

Liga A

Penarol

#15

31-28

H18/11

Liga A

San Lorenzo

32-28

H23/11

Liga A

La Union

#16

29-35

-6

A28/11

Liga A

Regatas

24-30

-6

A30/11

Liga A

San Martin

33-44

-11

A02/12

Liga A

La Union

#16

47-43

H08/12

Liga A

68.5Avg total

32.7Scored

35.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.0	39.7	74.7	-4.8	27%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	35.6	36.3	71.9	-0.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.3	43.1	77.5	-8.8	0%	-
Last 10 (10)	32.7	35.8	68.5	-3.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	36.0	69.0	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	34.5	39.9	74.4	-5.4	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.1	39.6	76.8	-2.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (1)	27.0	37.0	64.0	-10.0	0%	-

This opponent (Quimsa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.8	20.9	42.7	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.7	20.9	42.6	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	21.0	42.9	+0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	20.7	43.9	+2.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.2	42.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.0	26.0	44.0	-8.0	33%	-
vs Similar (9)	21.1	23.1	44.2	-2.0	22%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.8	19.0	41.8	+3.8	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.9	21.6	41.5	-1.7	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.5	22.8	41.3	-4.3	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.7	39.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.4	21.2	40.6	-1.8	38%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.6	24.9	43.5	-6.2	12%	-
vs Weaker (1)	20.0	22.0	42.0	-2.0	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	20.3	41.3	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.5	20.6	42.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.4	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	20.5	41.2	+0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.4	18.4	36.8	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	16.7	19.0	35.7	-2.3	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.3	20.9	41.2	-0.6	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	22.1	20.3	42.3	+1.8	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	19.9	40.0	+0.3	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.9	40.9	-0.8	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.2	18.9	39.1	+1.3	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	18.8	38.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	19.9	20.7	40.6	-0.9	48%	-
vs Similar (8)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.0	62%	-
vs Weaker (1)	22.0	20.0	42.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.8	41.3	84.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.2	41.4	84.6	+1.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	42.4	41.1	83.6	+1.3	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.9	41.2	85.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.2	39.6	78.8	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	34.7	45.0	79.7	-10.3	0%	-
vs Similar (9)	41.4	44.0	85.4	-2.6	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)	44.8	39.3	84.1	+5.6	83%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.4	42.1	81.4	-2.7	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	40.0	42.5	82.5	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.7	41.7	80.4	-2.9	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	40.1	79.9	-0.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	38.2	75.4	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)	39.3	41.9	81.2	-2.6	29%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.2	42.5	81.8	-3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (1)	42.0	42.0	84.0	+0.0	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Quimsatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 82.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀43%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers35.8 pts a game · 43% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game

48%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.3	17.9	50.7%	53.8%	35.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.1	10.5	37.4%	32.9%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	20.6	15.4	74.8%	71.7%	15.4

They take 63.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.5	21.1	57.8%	53.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.3	11.8	41.7%	32.9%	35.4
🏀 Free throws	19.1	14.0	73.3%	71.7%	14.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.7	51.5%	53.8%	39.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	9.3	36.0%	32.9%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	19.7	14.4	73.4%	71.7%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.2	20.9	56.2%	53.8%	41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.3%	32.9%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.8	74.8%	71.7%	14.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quimsa wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
04/03/19	Estudiantes v Quimsa	79-64
24/01/19	Quimsa v Estudiantes	93-75
14/05/18	Estudiantes v Quimsa	73-79
12/05/18	Estudiantes v Quimsa	81-75
09/05/18	Quimsa v Estudiantes	101-66
07/05/18	Quimsa v Estudiantes	80-74
01/05/18	Estudiantes v Quimsa	76-77
09/02/18	Quimsa v Estudiantes	91-88
26/02/17	Quimsa v Estudiantes	73-80
13/12/16	Estudiantes v Quimsa	100-77

Quimsalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/12/19	A	Platense	90-78
07/12/19	A	Argentino	78-90
04/12/19	H	Gimnasia	64-61
23/11/19	A	Libertad	79-74
21/11/19	A	Instituto de Cordoba	85-101
19/11/19	A	Atenas	97-93
16/11/19	H	Olimpico	86-83
13/11/19	H	Libertad	92-66
06/11/19	A	Regatas	96-91 OT
03/11/19	H	Regatas	97-96

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/12/19	H	La Union	89-80
02/12/19	A	San Martin	66-80
30/11/19	A	Regatas	68-76
28/11/19	A	La Union	61-70
23/11/19	H	San Lorenzo	67-65
18/11/19	H	Penarol	69-60
16/11/19	H	Instituto de Cordoba	82-78
13/11/19	H	Atenas	60-77
25/10/19	H	Comunicaciones Mercedes	82-85
20/10/19	H	Regatas	81-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quimsa

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLW	75%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WLWLW	60%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	3	5
Win %	75%	100%	60%
Points / game	83.9	80.7	85.8
Allowed / game	80.8	70.0	87.2
Point differential	+3.1	+10.7	-1.4
Avg total	164.6	150.7	173.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	25%	33%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (4)	100% (2)	100% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	50%
Home	LWWWW	80%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	8	5	3
Win %	50%	80%	0%
Points / game	70.2	73.4	65.0
Allowed / game	73.2	72.0	75.3
Point differential	-3.0	+1.4	-10.3
Avg total	143.5	145.4	140.3
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Lorenzo	9	7	2	78%	88.0	82.3	+5.7
2	Gimnasia	9	7	2	78%	87.9	84.0	+3.9
3	Quimsa	8	6	2	75%	83.9	80.8	+3.1
4	Boca Juniors	7	5	2	71%	83.6	75.0	+8.6
5	Instituto de Cordoba	9	6	3	67%	81.7	76.1	+5.6
6	San Martin	7	4	3	57%	82.6	79.3	+3.3
7	Obras Sanitarias	9	5	4	56%	85.8	79.2	+6.6
8	Comunicaciones Mercedes	11	6	5	55%	86.2	82.6	+3.5
9	Olimpico	6	3	3	50%	81.3	78.7	+2.7
10	Ferro	8	4	4	50%	75.5	77.0	-1.5
11	Estudiantes	8	4	4	50%	70.2	73.2	-3.0
12	Hispano Americano	11	5	6	45%	83.4	82.2	+1.2
13	Argentino	9	4	5	44%	78.7	82.3	-3.7
14	Weber Bahia	7	3	4	43%	91.4	90.9	+0.6
15	Penarol	10	4	6	40%	76.2	79.4	-3.2
16	Regatas	8	3	5	38%	80.6	80.2	+0.4
17	Platense	8	3	5	38%	78.6	83.1	-4.5
18	Atenas	7	2	5	29%	82.6	87.4	-4.9
19	La Union	9	2	7	22%	79.4	85.9	-6.4
20	Libertad	8	1	7	12%	67.6	86.2	-18.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quimsa	25	14	22	18	79
Estudiantes	11	18	11	28	68

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Quimsa vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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