Quimsa faces Lanus on 6 November 2026 in Liga A, with the model favouring Quimsa at 87% due to their undefeated 6-0 season, 84.3 points per game and 73.8 allowed, topping the league. Lanus, 3-6 overall, averages 77.8 points and concedes 80.8, struggling on the road with a 0-4 record and 89.5 allowed. Quimsa's home form is flawless, 4-0 with 90.0 points per game and 78.2 allowed, and they have won their last five games, including a 78-73 home victory over Penarol on 31 October. Lanus has won two of their last five, with a recent 81-72 win over San Martin at home, but lost 94-95 to Olimpico away on 4 November. Historically, Quimsa leads the 10-meeting series 7-3 and last met in 2016 when Quimsa won 80-68. The model projects an 85-73 score, 158 total points, and gives Quimsa a 61% chance to cover the -9.5 spread, while the over at 160.0 has a 45% probability; overtime is unlikely at 3%. The game will hinge on Lanus' ability to contain Quimsa's high-scoring offense.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (6) | 84.3 | 73.8 | 158.2 | +10.5 | 100% |
| Season at home (4) | 90.0 | 78.2 | 168.2 | +11.8 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 73.0 | 65.0 | 138.0 | +8.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 78.6 | 72.1 | 150.7 | +6.5 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.4 | 75.2 | 157.6 | +7.2 | 100% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (13) | 81.5 | 78.5 | 160.1 | +3.0 | 62% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (17) | 83.3 | 74.8 | 158.1 | +8.5 | 76% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 77.8 | 80.8 | 158.6 | -3.0 | 33% |
| Season at home (5) | 74.2 | 73.8 | 148.0 | +0.4 | 60% |
| Season away (4) | 82.2 | 89.5 | 171.8 | -7.2 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 77.3 | 79.4 | 156.7 | -2.1 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 77.8 | 77.0 | 154.8 | +0.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 81.8 | 87.2 | 169.0 | -5.4 | 20% |
| vs Similar (15) | 79.5 | 74.7 | 154.2 | +4.7 | 67% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 83.8 | 77.0 | 160.8 | +6.8 | 80% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.0 | 38.9 | 79.8 | +2.1 | 53% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.1 | 36.4 | 79.5 | +6.7 | 67% | 33% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.9 | 41.3 | 80.2 | -2.5 | 40% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.7 | 36.6 | 76.3 | +3.1 | 50% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.4 | 38.0 | 80.4 | +4.4 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (13) | 40.4 | 40.1 | 80.5 | +0.3 | 46% | 38% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (17) | 41.4 | 37.9 | 79.4 | +3.5 | 59% | 47% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.5 | 39.1 | 78.6 | +0.4 | 53% | 40% |
| Last 30 at home (17) | 40.5 | 38.0 | 78.5 | +2.5 | 65% | 35% |
| Last 30 away (13) | 38.2 | 40.5 | 78.8 | -2.3 | 38% | 46% |
| Last 10 (10) | 38.6 | 41.3 | 79.9 | -2.7 | 50% | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 41.4 | 38.6 | 80.0 | +2.8 | 80% | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 41.1 | 44.2 | 85.3 | -3.1 | 50% | 60% |
| vs Similar (15) | 39.1 | 37.2 | 76.3 | +1.9 | 60% | 40% |
| vs Weaker (5) | 37.8 | 34.6 | 72.4 | +3.2 | 40% | 0% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quimsa -6 | 73.4% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +12.2pp | Won |
| Quimsa -5 | 76.5% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +12.0pp | Won |
| Quimsa -4 | 79.5% | 1.37 | 1.37 | - | - | - | - | +11.9pp | Won |
| Quimsa -7 | 70.2% | 1.56 | 1.58 | 1.53 | - | - | - | +11.7pp | Won |
| Quimsa -3 | 81.8% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +11.4pp | Won |
| Quimsa -5.5 | 74.2% | 1.47 | 1.50 | 1.44 | - | - | - | +11.2pp | Won |
| Quimsa -4.5 | 77.2% | 1.40 | 1.41 | 1.38 | - | - | - | +11.1pp | Won |
| Quimsa -3.5 | 80.0% | 1.33 | 1.35 | 1.32 | - | - | - | +10.8pp | Won |
| Quimsa -2 | 84.5% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Quimsa -6.5 | 71.1% | 1.50 | 1.55 | 1.52 | 1.51 | 1.44 | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Lanus under 79.5 | 75.2% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Quimsa -1.5 | 85.0% | 1.25 | 1.25 | - | - | - | - | +10.5pp | Won |
| Quimsa -2.5 | 82.2% | 1.29 | 1.30 | 1.27 | - | - | - | +10.4pp | Won |
| Quimsa (regulation) | 84.8% | 1.20 | 1.21 | 1.19 | 1.19 | - | - | +10.0pp | Won |
| Lanus under 78.5 | 72.0% | 1.42 | 1.44 | 1.39 | - | - | - | +8.9pp | Won |
| Quimsa over 73.5 | 88.2% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Won |
| Lanus under 84.5 | 87.5% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Quimsa +4.5 | 92.3% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Won |
| Quimsa over 72.5 | 90.0% | 1.13 | 1.13 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Quimsa +10.5 | 97.1% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Quimsa over 70.5 | 93.1% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Quimsa over 66.5 | 96.9% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Quimsa over 68.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +6.6pp | Won |
| Quimsa +15.5 | 98.7% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +6.5pp | Won |
| Quimsa win | 86.6% | 1.18 | 1.20 | 1.20 | 1.19 | 1.18 | 1.17 | +6.1pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 97.2% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +5.4pp | - |
| Under 183.5 | 93.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +4.2pp | Won |
| Under 166.5 | 70.2% | 1.38 | 1.39 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +3.2pp | Won |
| Over 133.5 | 93.4% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +3.0pp | Won |
| Under 178.5 | 89.4% | 1.08 | 1.08 | - | - | - | - | +2.8pp | Won |
| Under 173.5 | 83.0% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Under 168.5 | 74.3% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +2.4pp | Won |
| Over 138.5 | 88.4% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +1.3pp | Won |
| Over 143.5 | 81.2% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Quimsa under 93.5 | 79.5% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | +0.7pp | Won |
| Over 148.5 | 71.7% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Lanus +24.5 | 85.2% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | -0.9pp | Won |
| Lanus over 63.5 | 81.6% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -2.2pp | Won |
| Lanus over 64.5 | 78.8% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -2.6pp | Won |
| Lanus over 65.5 | 75.8% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -3.0pp | Won |
| Lanus +19.5 | 73.1% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -4.7pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.8 | 16.3 | 54.4% | 32.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.4 | 10.1 | 32.6% | 30.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.5 | 15.8 | 72.7% | 15.8 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 34.1 | 16.9 | 54.4% | 33.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 30.1 | 8.4 | 32.6% | 25.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.4 | 16.9 | 72.7% | 16.9 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29/01/16 | Quimsa v Lanus | 80-68 |
| 19/01/16 | Lanus v Quimsa | 83-80 |
| 03/05/15 | Quimsa v Lanus | 101-89 |
| 31/03/15 | Lanus v Quimsa | 68-93 |
| 22/03/14 | Quimsa v Lanus | 99-89 |
| 14/01/14 | Lanus v Quimsa | 69-80 |
| 20/02/13 | Lanus v Quimsa | 68-76 |
| 17/11/12 | Quimsa v Lanus | 77-81 |
| 13/02/12 | Lanus v Quimsa | 71-67 |
| 05/12/11 | Quimsa v Lanus | 67-60 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | H | Penarol | 78-73 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Racing de Chivilcoy | 68-54 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Argentino | 78-76 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Boca Juniors | 105-96 |
| 06/10/26 | H | Atenas | 83-77 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Platense | 94-67 |
| 21/06/26 | A | Gimnasia | 56-68 |
| 18/06/26 | H | Gimnasia | 88-60 |
| 14/06/26 | A | Gimnasia | 77-74 OT |
| 12/06/26 | A | Gimnasia | 59-76 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/11/26 | A | Olimpico | 94-95 |
| 30/10/26 | H | San Martin | 81-72 |
| 26/10/26 | H | Regatas | 72-63 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Atenas | 69-80 |
| 22/10/26 | A | Instituto de Cordoba | 73-75 |
| 20/10/26 | A | Independiente de Oliva | 93-108 |
| 14/10/26 | H | Penarol | 77-84 |
| 09/10/26 | H | Obera TC | 67-58 |
| 29/09/26 | H | Gimnasia | 74-92 |
| 19/05/16 | A | Sionista | 73-67 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWW | 100% |
| Home | WWWW | 100% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 84.3 | 90.0 | 73.0 |
| Allowed / game | 73.8 | 78.2 | 65.0 |
| Point differential | +10.5 | +11.8 | +8.0 |
| Avg total | 158.2 | 168.2 | 138.0 |
| Over 159.25 | 50% | 75% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 33% | 25% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | 100% (1) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWWL | 33% |
| Home | LWLWW | 60% |
| Away | LLLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 5 | 4 |
| Win % | 33% | 60% | 0% |
| Points / game | 77.8 | 74.2 | 82.2 |
| Allowed / game | 80.8 | 73.8 | 89.5 |
| Point differential | -3.0 | +0.4 | -7.2 |
| Avg total | 158.6 | 148.0 | 171.8 |
| Over 159.25 | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | - | 0% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 100% | 84.3 | 73.8 | +10.5 | |
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 82.2 | 74.5 | +7.7 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 80% | 76.6 | 73.5 | +3.1 | |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 85.0 | 83.0 | +2.0 | |
| 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 74.7 | 73.7 | +1.0 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 87.4 | 85.7 | +1.7 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 88.2 | 85.0 | +3.2 | |
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.8 | 77.2 | +2.5 | |
| 9 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 50% | 80.3 | 80.3 | +0.0 | |
| 10 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 77.7 | 81.0 | -3.3 | |
| 11 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.9 | 83.1 | -2.2 | |
| 12 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 92.0 | 89.0 | +3.0 | |
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 77.8 | 80.8 | -3.0 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 82.0 | 85.5 | -3.5 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 77.5 | 81.7 | -4.2 | |
| 16 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 74.8 | 78.2 | -3.5 | |
| 17 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 76.2 | 80.8 | -4.5 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 0% | 84.8 | 95.2 | -10.3 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | 27 | 29 | 14 | 88 | |
| 19 | 22 | 11 | 19 | 71 |
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