Quimsa vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Oct 2026

Tip-off: 14:30

Final 78-73

15-19 23-11 21-20 19-23

Position#1

Record5-0

FormWWWWW

Points / game85.6

Allowed / game74.0

Quimsa 🏆

75%

25%

■ QUIM 75%■ PENA 25%

Pythia win probability

Projected 84-76

Projected total 160.6

Penarol

Position#2

Record4-0

FormLWWWW

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game73.8

Liga A· Ciudad de Santiago del Estero

Other2026-27

Meetings · Quimsa v Penarol

Sections

Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Quimsa host Penarol in the Liga A. Pythia makes Quimsa the favourite at 75% and projects 84-76, about 161 points in all. On the market's main spread (Quimsa -7) Pythia gives Quimsa 53% to cover. Overtime chance: 4%. Quimsa are 5-0 this season (85.6 scored, 74.0 allowed a game), form WWWWW; Penarol are 4-0 this season (83.2 scored, 73.8 allowed a game), form LWWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quimsa winWon

75.5%fair 1.32

Best odds1.35

Implied73.7%

Edge+1.8pp

Penarol winLost

24.5%fair 4.08

Best odds3.58

Implied26.3%

Edge-1.8pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 29 Oct 18:45 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Quimsa

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormQuimsa

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

79-80

-1

70avg 75

H09/06

Liga A

Gimnasia

59-76

-17

46avg 75

A12/06

Liga A

Gimnasia

77-74 OT

69avg 75

A14/06

Liga A

Gimnasia

88-60

+28

92avg 75

H18/06

Liga A

Gimnasia

56-68

-12

41avg 75

A21/06

Liga A

Platense

#10

94-67

+27

89avg 75

H04/10

Liga A

Atenas

83-77

79avg 75

H06/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

105-96

105

98avg 75

H11/10

Liga A

Argentino

#11

78-76

65avg 75

A24/10

Liga A

Racing de Chivilcoy

#12

68-54

+14

63avg 75

A25/10

Liga A

22-15

22-19

17-28

18-18

18-14

14-25

12-16

15-21

16-19

17-22

18-14

15-11

20-9

22-21

21-21

25-9

10-18

21-20

12-13

13-17

22-14

25-14

31-13

16-26

16-21

27-23

23-13

17-20

23-33

26-21

31-21

25-21

20-23

26-15

14-20

18-18

17-16

19-8

14-16

18-14

151.5Avg total

78.7Scored

72.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	85.6	74.0	159.6	+11.6	100%
Season at home (3)	94.0	80.0	174.0	+14.0	100%
Season away (2)	73.0	65.0	138.0	+8.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	78.7	72.8	151.5	+5.9	70%
Last 5 (5)	85.6	74.0	159.6	+11.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	79.7	77.5	157.2	+2.3	55%
vs Weaker (19)	86.1	75.8	161.9	+10.3	79%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Penarol

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPenarol

Date

Competition

Obera TC

81-84

-3

75avg 74

A17/04

Liga A

Ferro

87-80

85avg 74

H20/04

Liga A

Ferro

91-97

-6

81avg 74

A24/04

Liga A

Ferro

78-80

-2

68avg 74

A26/04

Liga A

Ferro

87-75

+12

83avg 74

H01/05

Liga A

Ferro

68-84

-16

61avg 74

H03/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

62-57

54avg 74

H30/09

Liga A

Lanus

#13

84-77

77avg 74

A14/10

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#16

92-85

87avg 74

A17/10

Liga A

San Martin

#18

95-76

+19

86avg 74

H28/10

Liga A

18-26

17-21

21-15

25-22

25-25

22-22

23-18

17-15

30-29

13-24

21-17

27-27

25-21

18-29

20-12

15-18

22-20

18-23

25-21

22-11

19-22

23-26

10-22

16-14

17-14

13-15

14-6

18-22

18-26

27-17

26-23

13-11

28-22

17-22

26-18

21-23

23-11

25-21

24-25

23-19

162.0Avg total

82.5Scored

79.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	83.2	73.8	157.0	+9.5	100%
Season at home (2)	78.5	66.5	145.0	+12.0	100%
Season away (2)	88.0	81.0	169.0	+7.0	100%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	79.5	162.0	+3.0	60%
Last 5 (5)	80.2	75.8	156.0	+4.4	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	71.5	81.0	152.5	-9.5	50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	83.0	81.3	164.4	+1.7	50%
vs Weaker (8)	82.1	76.9	159.0	+5.2	62%

This opponent (Quimsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 154Actual: Under 154

Over 154

65.3%

@ 1.50+2.8pp

Under 154

34.7%

@ 2.50-2.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.50

Under

Bet365

2.50

Over/Under 159.25 · main lineActual: Under 159.25

Over 159.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Under 159.25

no forecast

@ 1.81

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.81

Under

1xBet

1.81

Over/Under 164Actual: Under 164

Over 164

40.9%

@ 2.35+1.3pp

Under 164

59.1%

@ 1.54-1.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.35

Under

Bet365

1.54

📊 3. Team Totals

Quimsa total 79Actual: Quimsa under 79

Over 79

70.4%

Under 79

29.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Quimsa total 83 · main lineActual: Quimsa under 83

Over 83

54.9%

@ 1.84+4.8pp

Under 83

45.1%

@ 1.82-4.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.84

1xBet

1.70

Under

Marathon Be

1.82

1xBet

1.74

Quimsa total 87Actual: Quimsa under 87

Over 87

38.6%

Under 87

61.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Penarol total 72.5Actual: Penarol over 72.5

Over 72.5

64.2%

@ 1.44+1.4pp

Under 72.5

35.8%

@ 2.55-1.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.41

Under

Betano

2.55

1xBet

2.28

Penarol total 76.5 · main lineActual: Penarol under 76.5

Over 76.5

48.9%

@ 1.91-0.7pp

Under 76.5

51.1%

@ 1.85+0.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.91

Betano

1.85

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

1xBet

1.78

Under

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.82

Marathon Be

1.74

1xBet

1.66

Penarol total 80.5Actual: Penarol under 80.5

Over 80.5

34.0%

@ 2.62-1.1pp

Under 80.5

66.0%

@ 1.42+1.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.62

1xBet

2.50

Under

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.35

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Quimsa -10Actual: Penarol +10

QUIM -10

42.0%

@ 2.40+1.7pp

PENA +10

58.0%

@ 1.58-1.7pp

Best 5 market prices

QUIM

Bet365

2.40

Pinnacle

2.34

PENA

Pinnacle

1.58

Bet365

1.54

Spread Quimsa -7 · main lineActual: Penarol +7

QUIM -7

53.4%

@ 1.93+4.0pp

PENA +7

46.6%

@ 1.89-4.0pp

Best 5 market prices

QUIM

Pinnacle

1.93

Bet365

1.90

SBO

1.88

1xBet

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

PENA

Pinnacle

1.89

1xBet

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

Bet365

1.80

SBO

1.78

Spread Quimsa -4Actual: Quimsa -4

QUIM -4

65.0%

@ 1.62+3.7pp

PENA +4

35.0%

@ 2.44-3.7pp

Best 5 market prices

QUIM

Bet365

1.62

Pinnacle

1.54

Marathon Be

1.52

PENA

Pinnacle

2.44

Bet365

2.20

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

QuimsaPenarol

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.5	40.0	+0.9	60%	43%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	18.5	40.9	+3.8	73%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	18.6	20.5	39.1	-1.9	47%	47%
Last 10 (10)	18.4	18.2	36.6	+0.2	50%	20%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.4	41.0	-1.8	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	55%	27%
vs Weaker (19)	21.3	19.9	41.3	+1.4	63%	53%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	20.8	21.1	41.9	-0.3	43%	67%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.1	20.1	40.1	+0.0	36%	64%
Last 30 away (16)	21.4	22.1	43.5	-0.6	50%	69%
Last 10 (10)	22.5	21.6	44.1	+0.9	60%	80%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	19.0	40.0	+2.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	19.5	41.0	+2.0	50%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.9	20.9	41.8	-0.1	45%	65%
vs Weaker (8)	20.4	22.0	42.4	-1.6	38%	75%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	21.4	19.7	41.1	+1.8	67%	70%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.6	18.5	41.1	+4.1	80%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	20.3	20.8	41.1	-0.5	53%	73%
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.8	40.7	+3.1	80%	60%
Last 5 (5)	24.6	16.2	40.8	+8.4	100%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	20.8	20.9	41.7	-0.1	55%	73%
vs Weaker (19)	21.8	18.9	40.7	+2.8	74%	68%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	30%	53%
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	19.4	37.1	-1.7	29%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	20.7	22.3	43.0	-1.6	31%	56%
Last 10 (10)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	20%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.2	41.2	+0.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	21.5	23.5	45.0	-2.0	0%	100%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	19.4	22.2	41.6	-2.8	25%	60%
vs Weaker (8)	18.4	17.2	35.6	+1.1	50%	25%

QuimsaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gimnasia

44-34

+10

H09/06

Liga A

Gimnasia

32-39

-7

A12/06

Liga A

Gimnasia

33-41

-8

A14/06

Liga A

Gimnasia

42-30

+12

H18/06

Liga A

Gimnasia

31-38

-7

A21/06

Liga A

Platense

#10

47-28

+19

H04/10

Liga A

Atenas

43-44

-1

H06/10

Liga A

Boca Juniors

49-54

-5

H11/10

Liga A

Argentino

#11

46-38

A24/10

Liga A

Racing de Chivilcoy

#12

36-24

+12

A25/10

Liga A

77.3Avg total

40.3Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79
Last 30 (30)	41.9	39.2	81.1	+2.7	53%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	44.9	37.1	82.0	+7.9	67%	40%
Last 30 away (15)	38.9	41.3	80.2	-2.5	40%	53%
Last 10 (10)	40.3	37.0	77.3	+3.3	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	44.2	37.6	81.8	+6.6	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	39.8	39.7	79.5	+0.1	45%	36%
vs Weaker (19)	43.1	38.9	82.0	+4.2	58%	53%

This opponent (Penarol) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Obera TC

35-47

-12

A17/04

Liga A

Ferro

47-47

H20/04

Liga A

Ferro

43-53

-10

A24/04

Liga A

Ferro

43-50

-7

A26/04

Liga A

Ferro

40-43

-3

H01/05

Liga A

Ferro

42-48

-6

H03/05

Liga A

Gimnasia

30-29

H30/09

Liga A

Lanus

#13

45-43

A14/10

Liga A

San Lorenzo

#16

45-44

A17/10

Liga A

San Martin

#18

48-32

+16

H28/10

Liga A

85.4Avg total

41.8Scored

43.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79
Last 30 (30)	40.1	42.1	82.2	-2.0	40%	60%
Last 30 at home (14)	37.8	39.5	77.3	-1.7	36%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	42.1	44.4	86.5	-2.2	44%	75%
Last 10 (10)	41.8	43.6	85.4	-1.8	40%	90%
Last 5 (5)	42.0	39.2	81.2	+2.8	80%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	43.0	43.0	86.0	+0.0	50%	100%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	40.4	43.1	83.5	-2.8	35%	60%
vs Weaker (8)	38.8	39.2	78.0	-0.5	50%	50%

This opponent (Quimsa) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Quimsa win

QUIM win

no forecast

@ 1.47

PENA win

no forecast

@ 2.92

1st half Spread Quimsa -3.5 · main lineActual: Quimsa -3.5

QUIM -3.5

no forecast

@ 1.87

PENA +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half Over/Under 79 · main lineActual: Under 79

Over

no forecast

@ 1.90

Under

no forecast

@ 1.92

Quimsa 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Quimsa under 41.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.84

Under

no forecast

@ 2.07

Penarol 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Penarol under 37.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.82

Under

no forecast

@ 2.10

1st half: QUIM + total 79.5

QUIM & over

no forecast

@ 3.00

QUIM & under

no forecast

@ 2.90

1st half: Draw + total 79.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 29.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: PENA + total 79.5

PENA & over

no forecast

@ 5.00

PENA & under

no forecast

@ 4.90

1st half Over/Under 77.75Actual: Under 77.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 80.25Actual: Under 80.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.87

Under

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half Spread Quimsa -4.5Actual: Quimsa -4.5

QUIM -4.5

no forecast

@ 2.04

PENA +4.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Quimsa -2.5Actual: Quimsa -2.5

QUIM -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.70

PENA +2.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Under 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.20

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half Spread Quimsa -5.5Actual: Quimsa -5.5

QUIM -5.5

no forecast

@ 2.20

PENA +5.5

no forecast

@ 1.68

1st half Spread Quimsa -1.5Actual: Quimsa -1.5

QUIM -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

PENA +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.32

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Quimsa (regulation)

QUIM

no forecast

@ 1.52

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.50

PENA

no forecast

@ 2.83

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	20.8	18.3	39.1	+2.5	63%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.0	19.2	41.2	+2.8	60%	80%
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	17.4	37.1	+2.3	67%	40%
Last 10 (10)	19.3	17.5	36.8	+1.8	40%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.6	16.6	39.2	+6.0	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.6	19.4	39.0	+0.3	45%	73%
vs Weaker (19)	21.5	17.7	39.2	+3.8	74%	53%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39
Last 30 (30)	21.7	18.8	40.5	+2.9	73%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.8	17.5	38.3	+3.3	71%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	22.5	19.9	42.4	+2.6	75%	56%
Last 10 (10)	21.0	17.7	38.7	+3.3	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	20.0	18.8	38.8	+1.2	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	17.5	33.5	-1.5	50%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	21.0	18.9	39.9	+2.1	70%	45%
vs Weaker (8)	24.9	19.0	43.9	+5.9	88%	75%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	20.1	18.3	38.4	+1.8	53%	40%
Last 30 at home (15)	19.8	18.2	38.0	+1.6	40%	27%
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	18.5	38.9	+1.9	67%	53%
Last 10 (10)	18.0	17.5	35.5	+0.5	40%	20%
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.8	38.6	-1.0	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	19.3	17.6	36.9	+1.6	45%	27%
vs Weaker (19)	20.6	18.7	39.3	+1.8	58%	47%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	19.7	18.9	38.7	+0.8	50%	40%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.4	64%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	19.0	19.6	38.6	-0.6	38%	44%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	18.2	37.9	+1.5	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.2	17.8	36.0	+0.4	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	12.5	20.5	33.0	-8.0	0%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	20.9	18.9	39.8	+2.1	60%	40%
vs Weaker (8)	18.5	18.6	37.1	-0.1	38%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.5
Last 30 (30)	40.9	36.6	77.6	+4.3	73%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	37.4	79.2	+4.4	67%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	40.1	35.9	75.9	+4.2	80%	40%
Last 10 (10)	37.3	35.0	72.3	+2.3	60%	30%
Last 5 (5)	41.4	36.4	77.8	+5.0	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar ◀ (11)	38.9	37.0	75.9	+1.9	64%	55%
vs Weaker (19)	42.1	36.4	78.5	+5.7	79%	47%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 78.5
Last 30 (30)	41.4	37.7	79.2	+3.7	67%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	41.4	35.6	77.0	+5.7	64%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	41.5	39.6	81.1	+1.9	69%	56%
Last 10 (10)	40.7	35.9	76.6	+4.8	90%	50%
Last 5 (5)	38.2	36.6	74.8	+1.6	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	28.5	38.0	66.5	-9.5	0%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (20)	42.0	37.8	79.7	+4.2	70%	50%
vs Weaker (8)	43.4	37.6	81.0	+5.8	75%	62%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

QUIM win + total 159.5

🔒 Pro

PENA win + total 159.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: QUIM leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: PENA leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (QUIM:PENA): QUIM wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Quimsa -2	72.1%	1.46	Bet365 1.46	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Quimsa -1	74.9%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Won
Quimsa +1	77.1%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Quimsa over 72.5	87.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Quimsa over 74.5	83.1%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Quimsa over 76.5	77.7%	1.31	Bet365 1.31	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Quimsa +13.5	96.1%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Quimsa -1.5	73.1%	1.39	Bet365 1.42	Betano 1.36	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Quimsa over 73.5	85.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Quimsa +3.5	82.6%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Quimsa over 66.5	95.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Quimsa over 70.5	91.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Quimsa over 78.5	71.4%	1.39	Bet365 1.43	1xBet 1.34	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Lost
Quimsa +18.5	98.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.1pp	Won
Quimsa +8.5	91.5%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Quimsa over 68.5	93.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Quimsa over 77.5	74.7%	1.29	1xBet 1.29	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Quimsa +1.5	77.6%	1.29	Bet365 1.31	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Quimsa (regulation)	73.1%	1.33	Betano 1.34	1xBet 1.32	Marathon Bet 1.32	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Overtime: no	95.8%	1.02	Betano 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	-
Over 134.5	94.4%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Penarol under 91.5	92.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Penarol under 87.5	85.8%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Penarol under 85.5	81.2%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Penarol under 89.5	89.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Penarol under 86.5	83.6%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+3.1pp	Won
Penarol over 70.5	71.3%	1.30	1xBet 1.30	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Over 144.5	83.4%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Penarol over 63.5	89.5%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Penarol +21.5	88.4%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Over 139.5	90.0%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Under 184.5	92.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+2.7pp	Won
Penarol under 83.5	75.7%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Penarol over 66.5	83.1%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.6pp	Won
Quimsa under 94.5	84.7%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Over 151.5	70.5%	1.36	Bet365 1.36	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Lost
Penarol over 65.5	85.5%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Over 149.5	74.6%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+2.3pp	Won
Penarol +16.5	78.0%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Quimsa win	75.5%	1.30	Bet365 1.35	1xBet 1.32	Betano 1.31	Marathon Bet 1.31	BetVictor 1.30	+1.8pp	Won
Quimsa under 92.5	79.6%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Quimsa under 93.5	82.3%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Penarol over 67.5	80.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Penarol over 69.5	74.6%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Under 174.5	80.3%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+0.8pp	Won
Under 179.5	87.4%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+0.7pp	Won
Quimsa under 90.5	73.5%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Penarol +14.5	72.5%	1.27	Bet365 1.29	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	+0.1pp	Won
Penarol +14	71.7%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Penarol +15.5	75.4%	1.22	Betano 1.22	-	-	-	-	-0.1pp	Won
Under 169.5	71.1%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Quimsatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Quimsa: 78.7 points a game scored

🏀🏀41%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀20%

🏀🏀 2-pointers32.6 pts a game · 41% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 20% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.8	16.3	49.7%	54.4%	32.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.4	10.1	38.3%	32.6%	30.3
🏀 Free throws	20.5	15.8	77.1%	72.7%	15.8

They take 59.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀21%

🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points

League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.9	56.2%	54.4%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.0	8.4	32.3%	32.6%	25.2
🏀 Free throws	25.6	17.5	68.4%	72.7%	17.5

They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.1	17.4	49.6%	54.4%	34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.2	7.7	28.3%	32.6%	23.1
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.9	76.0%	72.7%	14.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	18.9	54.5%	54.4%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.7	9.4	31.6%	32.6%	28.2
🏀 Free throws	19.2	13.5	70.3%	72.7%	13.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.3	18.9	50.6%	54.4%	37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.9	37.3%	32.6%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	21.2	16.3	77.0%	72.7%	16.3

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.3	18.9	55.2%	54.4%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.6	9.1	34.1%	32.6%	27.2
🏀 Free throws	23.8	17.1	71.6%	72.7%	17.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.7	17.6	53.8%	54.4%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	9.3	32.0%	32.6%	27.9
🏀 Free throws	18.6	13.3	71.4%	72.7%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.4	19.2	54.1%	54.4%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.8	9.3	31.2%	32.6%	28.0
🏀 Free throws	19.9	13.8	69.4%	72.7%	13.8

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Quimsa

WWWWWLWWLL

Penarol

WWWWLWLLWL

League position

+8.5

Net rating

+4.1

113.1

Offensive rating

113.4

104.6

Defensive rating

109.3

53.1%

Effective FG%

52.9%

46.5%

Opp. effective FG%

51.2%

0.0%

Turnover %

0.0%

0.35

Free-throw rate

0.42

38.3%

3-point %

32.3%

47.3%

Assist %

48.4%

70%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Quimsa ■ Penarol

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Quimsa wins

Penarol wins

Date	Game	Score
03/02/26	Quimsa v Penarol	89-66
08/10/25	Penarol v Quimsa	88-85
29/03/25	Penarol v Quimsa	63-81
25/01/25	Quimsa v Penarol	79-84
19/06/24	Quimsa v Penarol	91-60
16/06/24	Penarol v Quimsa	65-64
14/06/24	Penarol v Quimsa	75-83
11/06/24	Quimsa v Penarol	70-85
09/06/24	Quimsa v Penarol	79-47
08/04/24	Quimsa v Penarol	75-80

Quimsalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/10/26	A	Racing de Chivilcoy	68-54
24/10/26	A	Argentino	78-76
11/10/26	H	Boca Juniors	105-96
06/10/26	H	Atenas	83-77
04/10/26	H	Platense	94-67
21/06/26	A	Gimnasia	56-68
18/06/26	H	Gimnasia	88-60
14/06/26	A	Gimnasia	77-74 OT
12/06/26	A	Gimnasia	59-76
09/06/26	H	Gimnasia	79-80

Penarollast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/26	H	San Martin	95-76
17/10/26	A	San Lorenzo	92-85
14/10/26	A	Lanus	84-77
30/09/26	H	Gimnasia	62-57
03/05/26	H	Ferro	68-84
01/05/26	H	Ferro	87-75
26/04/26	A	Ferro	78-80
24/04/26	A	Ferro	91-97
20/04/26	H	Ferro	87-80
17/04/26	A	Obera TC	81-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quimsa

Liga A 2026-27

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	85.6	94.0	73.0
Allowed / game	74.0	80.0	65.0
Point differential	+11.6	+14.0	+8.0
Avg total	159.6	174.0	138.0
Over 159.25	60%	100%	0%
Win by 10+	40%	33%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Penarol

Liga A 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWW	100%
Home	WW	100%
Away	WW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	83.2	78.5	88.0
Allowed / game	73.8	66.5	81.0
Point differential	+9.5	+12.0	+7.0
Avg total	157.0	145.0	169.0
Over 159.25	75%	50%	100%
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	5	5	0	100%	85.6	74.0	+11.6
2	Penarol	4	4	0	100%	83.2	73.8	+9.5
3	Atenas	4	3	1	75%	84.8	81.2	+3.5
4	Instituto de Cordoba	4	3	1	75%	79.0	78.2	+0.8
5	Gimnasia	7	5	2	71%	78.9	75.1	+3.7
6	Olimpico	5	3	2	60%	88.6	83.8	+4.8
7	Argentino	5	3	2	60%	80.6	78.8	+1.8
8	Independiente de Oliva	2	1	1	50%	100.0	95.0	+5.0
9	Boca Juniors	6	3	3	50%	88.2	85.0	+3.2
10	Platense	6	3	3	50%	80.3	80.3	+0.0
11	Racing de Chivilcoy	6	3	3	50%	80.3	82.5	-2.2
12	Lanus	8	3	5	38%	75.8	79.0	-3.2
13	La Union	3	1	2	33%	81.3	84.0	-2.7
14	Ferro	6	2	4	33%	82.0	85.5	-3.5
15	Regatas	4	1	3	25%	74.8	78.2	-3.5
16	San Lorenzo	4	1	3	25%	76.2	80.8	-4.5
17	Obera TC	5	1	4	20%	73.4	81.2	-7.8
18	San Martin	6	0	6	0%	84.8	95.2	-10.3

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Quimsa	15	23	21	19	78
Penarol	19	11	20	23	73

← all games of the day

Quimsa vs Penarol Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

A Pro feature