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Quinnipiac vs Maine Black Bears Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 20 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 81-62
Projected total 143.1
Scheduled
Position#236
Record2-2
FormLLWWL
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game75.5
Quinnipiac
USA
Vs
94%
■ QUIN 94%■ MAIN 6%
Pythia win probability
Maine Black Bears
USA
Position#337
Record1-4
FormLWLLL
Points / game64.2
Allowed / game72.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Quinnipiac v Maine Black Bears
19 Nov 2026
QUIN v MAIN
upcoming
15 Nov 2024
QUIN58
MAIN55
11 Dec 2021
QUIN73
MAIN47
29 Nov 2020
QUIN v MAIN
upcoming
Sections
Game preview & prediction

On 19 November 2026 the NCAA contest sees Quinnipiac hosting the Maine Black Bears, with the model favouring Quinnipiac at 94% versus 6% for Maine, a reflection of Quinnipiac's 2-2 overall record, 68.5 points scored and 75.5 allowed per game, and a 236th league position, compared with Maine's 1-4 record, 64.2 points scored and 72.0 allowed per game, 337th in the league. Quinnipiac's home slate has been 1-1, 68.0 points for and 65.0 against, and the last five games yielded two wins and three losses, including a 70-74 loss to Monmouth at home, a 79-76 away win over Vermont, and a 66-56 home win over Bryant University. Maine's road record is 1-2, 65.0 points for and 75.3 against, and the last five games produced one win and four losses, with defeats to Drexel, Rhode Island and Manhattan. The teams have met four times, Quinnipiac winning all four, most recently 70-64 on 16 November 2025. The Pythia projection is 81-62 for Quinnipiac, 143.1 total points, with a 1% chance of overtime; the home team is projected to cover the spread with a 94% probability. The game ends with Quinnipiac's 81 points.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Quinnipiac win
94.1%fair 1.06
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Maine Black Bears win
5.9%fair 17.08
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 10 Nov 07:33 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

QuinnipiacUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#78
W
74-62
74
62
+12
A14/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
L
49-56
49
56
-7
H15/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
79-85
79
85
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
L
76-78 OT
76
78
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A01/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
75-77
75
77
-2
H07/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
59-96
59
96
-37
A03/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
66-56
66
56
+10
H06/11
NCAA
Vermont
#194
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#331
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H13/11
NCAA
1H
2H
34-27
40-35
21-21
28-35
36-39
43-46
32-31
36-37
29-30
38-33
32-42
43-35
24-52
35-44
33-29
33-27
37-40
42-36
37-36
33-38
141.7Avg total
69.4Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.575.5144.0-7.050%
Season at home (2)68.065.0133.0+3.050%
Season away (2)69.086.0155.0-17.050%
Last 10 (10)69.472.3141.7-2.940%
Last 5 (5)69.875.8145.6-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)68.082.0150.0-14.033%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.673.0146.6+0.642%
vs Weaker (15)75.269.2144.4+6.073%
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maine Black BearsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
61-58
61
58
+3
A21/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
70-59
70
59
+11
A26/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
L
67-74
67
74
-7
A28/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
L
56-67
56
67
-11
H03/03
NCAA
NJIT
#220
L
58-60
58
60
-2
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#157
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A03/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#191
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A06/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#288
L
62-68
62
68
-6
H08/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#46
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A11/11
NCAA
Drexel
#234
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-25
31-33
37-31
33-28
27-34
40-40
26-35
30-32
29-32
29-28
26-34
30-49
25-27
49-45
29-27
33-41
28-23
37-48
–
–
131.1Avg total
63.3Scored
67.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)64.272.0136.2-7.820%
Season at home (2)63.067.0130.0-4.00%
Season away (3)65.075.3140.3-10.333%
Last 10 (10)63.367.8131.1-4.530%
Last 5 (5)64.272.0136.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)63.371.2134.5-7.929%
vs Similar ◀ (12)61.065.8126.8-4.825%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Quinnipiac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 147
Over 147
40.1%
Under 147
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
28.6%
Under 152
71.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157
Over 157
19.0%
Under 157
81.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Quinnipiac total 81.5
Over 81.5
46.8%
Under 81.5
53.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Quinnipiac total 85.5
Over 85.5
31.4%
Under 85.5
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Quinnipiac total 89.5
Over 89.5
18.7%
Under 89.5
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maine Black Bears total 62
Over 62
51.4%
Under 62
48.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maine Black Bears total 66
Over 66
35.2%
Under 66
64.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maine Black Bears total 70
Over 70
21.5%
Under 70
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Quinnipiac -3
QUIN -3
91.7%
MAIN +3
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
QUIN
No market prices yet.
MAIN
No market prices yet.
Spread Quinnipiac 0
QUIN 0
94.1%
MAIN 0
5.9%
Best 5 market prices
QUIN
No market prices yet.
MAIN
No market prices yet.
Spread Quinnipiac +3
QUIN +3
96.2%
MAIN -3
3.8%
Best 5 market prices
QUIN
No market prices yet.
MAIN
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -3.6-3.6
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -3.2-3.21st half: -1.2-1.22nd half2nd half: +0.5+0.52nd half: -3.6-3.6
QuinnipiacMaine Black Bears
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
QuinnipiacLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Siena
#78
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A14/02
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#66
D
21-21
21
21
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Fairfield
#105
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H22/02
NCAA
Niagara
#351
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A27/02
NCAA
Canisius
#327
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A01/03
NCAA
Marist
#106
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H07/03
NCAA
Michigan State
#29
L
24-52
24
52
-28
A03/11
NCAA
Bryant University
#340
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H06/11
NCAA
Vermont
#194
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A08/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#331
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H13/11
NCAA
66.2Avg total
31.5Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.335.070.2+0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.332.968.3+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)35.237.072.2-1.847%-
Last 10 (10)31.534.766.2-3.240%-
Last 5 (5)32.639.872.4-7.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)30.741.071.7-10.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)34.636.871.3-2.242%-
vs Weaker (15)36.732.369.1+4.473%-
This opponent (Maine Black Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Maine Black BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Hampshire Wildcats
#340
W
30-25
30
25
+5
A21/02
NCAA
Albany Great Danes
#312
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A26/02
NCAA
Binghamton
#352
L
27-34
27
34
-7
A28/02
NCAA
UMass Lowell
#247
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H03/03
NCAA
NJIT
#220
L
29-32
29
32
-3
A07/03
NCAA
Providence
#157
L
26-34
26
34
-8
A03/11
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#191
L
25-27
25
27
-2
A06/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#288
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H08/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#46
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A11/11
NCAA
58.3Avg total
28.6Scored
29.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)28.632.461.0-3.834%-
Last 30 at home (12)28.932.561.4-3.642%-
Last 30 away (17)28.432.460.8-3.929%-
Last 10 (9)28.629.858.3-1.244%-
Last 5 (5)27.428.656.0-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)27.633.160.8-5.524%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)27.831.459.2-3.545%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Quinnipiac) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Quinnipiac wins
0
Maine Black Bears wins
DateGameScore
16/11/25Maine Black Bears v Quinnipiac64-70
16/11/24Quinnipiac v Maine Black Bears58-55
11/12/21Quinnipiac v Maine Black Bears73-47
15/12/19Maine Black Bears v Quinnipiac61-81
Quinnipiaclast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HMonmouth70-74
08/11/26AVermont79-76
06/11/26HBryant University66-56
03/11/26AMichigan State59-96
07/03/26HMarist75-77
01/03/26ACanisius67-63
27/02/26ANiagara76-78 OT
22/02/26HFairfield79-85
15/02/26HMerrimack Warriors49-56
14/02/26ASiena74-62
Maine Black Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HDrexel64-66
11/11/26ARhode Island65-71
08/11/26HManhattan62-68
06/11/26ASacred Heart74-72
03/11/26AProvidence56-83
07/03/26ANJIT58-60
03/03/26HUMass Lowell56-67
28/02/26ABinghamton67-74
26/02/26AAlbany Great Danes70-59
21/02/26ANew Hampshire Wildcats61-58

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Quinnipiac
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game68.568.069.0
Allowed / game75.565.086.0
Point differential-7.0+3.0-17.0
Avg total144.0133.0155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Maine Black Bears
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL20%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games523
Win %20%0%33%
Points / game64.263.065.0
Allowed / game72.067.075.3
Point differential-7.8-4.0-10.3
Avg total136.2130.0140.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Siena32167%85.379.0+6.3
2 Sacred Heart42250%84.868.2+16.5
3 Merrimack Warriors42250%62.865.8-3.0
4 Canisius42250%77.281.5-4.2
5 Quinnipiac42250%68.575.5-7.0
6 Iona52340%64.869.6-4.8
7 Manhattan31233%64.373.0-8.7
8 Fairfield31233%59.075.7-16.7
9 Mount St. Mary's31233%60.778.7-18.0
10 Marist41325%67.869.2-1.5
11 Rider41325%64.572.2-7.8
12 St. Peters4040%47.563.8-16.2
13 Niagara3030%63.084.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
America East conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 UMass Lowell43175%79.262.8+16.5
2 Binghamton43175%70.066.5+3.5
3 Vermont42250%78.565.2+13.2
4 UMBC Retrievers42250%77.575.2+2.2
5 Maine Black Bears51420%64.272.0-7.8
6 Bryant University51420%60.271.8-11.6
7 NJIT51420%54.880.2-25.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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