PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Radford hosts Furman on 18 November 2026 in an NCAA clash that pits a team on a starkly different run against a flawless opponent, with Radford entering the game 0-3 and Furman unbeaten at 4-0. Radford has averaged 59.7 points while conceding 76.7, and has lost its last five outings, including defeats to Tennessee 47-70, California 70-84 and San Francisco 62-76, all away games. Furman, meanwhile, has scored 94.5 points per game and allowed only 68.0, winning every game in the season and posting a 2-0 road record with 79.5 points scored and 68.5 allowed on the road. Their last five games include wins over Holy Cross 80-67, Northern Iowa 98-83 and Bob Jones 121-52. The only prior meeting saw Furman defeat Radford 81-64 in 2021. Pythia rates Radford the favourite with a 60% chance of victory against Furman's 40%, projecting a 79-76 scoreline for a total of 155.5 points and a 5% likelihood of overtime. The model also estimates a 60% chance that Radford will cover the line, with the over probability at 40%. Furman's recent dominance suggests they will look to extend their winning streak, while Radford will aim to reverse its losing streak.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 59.7 | 76.7 | 136.3 | -17.0 | 0% |
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away (3) | 59.7 | 76.7 | 136.3 | -17.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 73.1 | 78.0 | 151.1 | -4.9 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 67.6 | 82.2 | 149.8 | -14.6 | 0% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 68.7 | 81.7 | 150.3 | -13.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (11) | 78.5 | 79.9 | 158.4 | -1.5 | 45% |
| vs Weaker (12) | 85.6 | 78.0 | 163.6 | +7.6 | 67% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (4) | 94.5 | 68.0 | 162.5 | +26.5 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 109.5 | 67.5 | 177.0 | +42.0 | 100% |
| Season away (2) | 79.5 | 68.5 | 148.0 | +11.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.1 | 70.8 | 153.9 | +12.3 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.8 | 70.8 | 160.6 | +19.0 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 71.0 | 82.0 | 153.0 | -11.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (12) | 75.3 | 72.3 | 147.7 | +3.0 | 67% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (17) | 82.1 | 68.0 | 150.1 | +14.1 | 76% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.1 | 35.3 | 73.5 | +2.8 | 53% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 40.8 | 34.5 | 75.3 | +6.3 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 35.1 | 36.3 | 71.4 | -1.2 | 43% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 36.1 | 34.2 | 70.3 | +1.9 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.8 | 35.4 | 68.2 | -2.6 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (6) | 33.8 | 37.8 | 71.7 | -4.0 | 17% | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 38.5 | 34.9 | 73.5 | +3.6 | 55% | - |
| vs Weaker (12) | 39.6 | 36.0 | 75.6 | +3.6 | 67% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 38.0 | 32.3 | 70.3 | +5.6 | 70% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 37.5 | 32.0 | 69.5 | +5.5 | 67% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.5 | 32.7 | 71.1 | +5.8 | 73% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.9 | 34.0 | 73.9 | +5.9 | 60% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 30.6 | 74.8 | +13.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 36.0 | 40.0 | 76.0 | -4.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (12) | 37.5 | 33.8 | 71.3 | +3.7 | 67% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (17) | 38.4 | 30.8 | 69.2 | +7.6 | 76% | - |
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| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/11/26 | A | Tennessee | 47-70 |
| 05/11/26 | A | California | 70-84 |
| 03/11/26 | A | San Francisco | 62-76 |
| 07/03/26 | H | Presbyterian | 85-91 OT |
| 28/02/26 | A | Longwood | 74-90 |
| 27/02/26 | H | USC Upstate | 71-59 |
| 21/02/26 | A | UNC Asheville | 73-74 OT |
| 20/02/26 | H | Gardner Webb | 82-70 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Charleston Southern | 90-80 |
| 08/02/26 | A | High Point | 77-86 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/11/26 | A | Holy Cross | 80-67 |
| 07/11/26 | H | Northern Iowa | 98-83 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Bob Jones | 121-52 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Bethune-Cookman | 79-70 |
| 21/03/26 | A | Uconn | 71-82 |
| 09/03/26 | A | East Tennessee St | 76-61 |
| 08/03/26 | H | NC Greensboro | 81-75 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Samford | 86-81 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Western Carolina | 67-86 |
| 25/02/26 | H | Citadel | 72-51 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLL | 0% |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | LLL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | - | 3 |
| Win % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Points / game | 59.7 | - | 59.7 |
| Allowed / game | 76.7 | - | 76.7 |
| Point differential | -17.0 | - | -17.0 |
| Avg total | 136.3 | - | 136.3 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | - | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | - | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 4 | 2 | 2 |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Points / game | 94.5 | 109.5 | 79.5 |
| Allowed / game | 68.0 | 67.5 | 68.5 |
| Point differential | +26.5 | +42.0 | +11.0 |
| Avg total | 162.5 | 177.0 | 148.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  High Point | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 76.5 | 59.0 | +17.5 |
| 2 |  Longwood | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 94.2 | 67.2 | +27.0 |
| 3 |  UNC Asheville | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.5 | 81.8 | -0.2 |
| 4 |  Charleston Southern | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 73.7 | 76.3 | -2.7 |
| 5 |  Gardner Webb | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 61.3 | 83.3 | -22.0 |
| 6 |  USC Upstate | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 75.0 | 68.8 | +6.2 |
| 7 |  Winthrop | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 89.0 | 94.7 | -5.7 |
| 8 | Radford | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 59.7 | 76.7 | -17.0 |
| 9 |  Presbyterian | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0% | 71.7 | 90.7 | -19.0 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Furman | 4 | 4 | 0 | 100% | 94.5 | 68.0 | +26.5 |
| 2 |  Citadel | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 94.3 | 61.3 | +33.0 |
| 3 |  Western Carolina | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 97.0 | 74.3 | +22.7 |
| 4 |  NC Greensboro | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 81.0 | 70.8 | +10.2 |
| 5 |  Samford | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 83.0 | 73.0 | +10.0 |
| 6 |  VMI | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 79.5 | 74.8 | +4.8 |
| 7 |  Wofford | 4 | 2 | 2 | 50% | 80.0 | 78.2 | +1.8 |
| 8 |  Mercer | 5 | 2 | 3 | 40% | 78.2 | 80.6 | -2.4 |
| 9 |  Chattanooga Mocs | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 86.7 | 82.7 | +4.0 |
| 10 |  East Tennessee St | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 65.3 | 68.3 | -3.0 |
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