Tennessee faces Radford in an NCAA contest on 9 November 2026, with the model rating Tennessee as the clear favourite at 99% versus 1% for Radford, a reflection of Tennessee's 1-0 record, 90.0 points per game and 59.0 allowed, while Radford sits 0-2, 66.0 points per game and 80.0 allowed. Tennessee's lone game was a 90-59 win at home, and their last five games show four wins and one loss, with a recent 90-59 victory over Wofford at home; Radford's two games have both been losses, 70-84 to California and 62-76 to San Francisco, and their last five contain one win and four losses. The teams have not met before, so no head-to-head history is available. Pythia projects a 89-63 score, 152.2 total points, and a 49% chance of the over on the 152.5 line, with a 0% overtime probability. Tennessee's dominance in points and defense, combined with Radford's struggles, makes the projected outcome a decisive win for the Volunteers.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Tennessee winWon
98.5%fair 1.01
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Radford winLost
1.5%fair 68.01
Best odds65.00
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Tennessee) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 148.5Actual: Under 148.5
Over 148.5
59.1%
@ 1.50-4.6pp
Under 148.5
40.9%
@ 2.75+4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.75
Betano
2.37
Over/Under 153.5 · main lineActual: Under 153.5
Over 153.5
46.8%
@ 1.88-3.9pp
Under 153.5
53.2%
@ 2.00+3.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
1xBet
1.80
Under
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.91
Marathon Be
1.86
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 158.5Actual: Under 158.5
Over 158.5
34.7%
@ 2.50-3.0pp
Under 158.5
65.3%
@ 1.52+3.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.50
Bet365
2.40
Under
Bet365
1.52
Betano
1.45
📊 3. Team Totals
Tennessee total 87Actual: Tennessee under 87
Over 87
60.2%
Under 87
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tennessee total 91 · main lineActual: Tennessee under 91
Over 91
43.5%
@ 1.85-6.6pp
Under 91
56.5%
@ 1.86+6.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Tennessee total 95Actual: Tennessee under 95
Over 95
28.0%
Under 95
72.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radford total 57.5Actual: Radford under 57.5
Over 57.5
70.2%
@ 1.35+0.9pp
Under 57.5
29.8%
@ 3.25-0.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betano
2.75
Radford total 61.5 · main lineActual: Radford under 61.5
Over 61.5
55.0%
@ 1.88+5.0pp
Under 61.5
45.0%
@ 1.93-5.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.88
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
Bet365
1.86
Marathon Be
1.83
Radford total 65.5Actual: Radford under 65.5
Over 65.5
39.0%
@ 2.55+2.2pp
Under 65.5
61.0%
@ 1.47-2.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.55
Betano
2.45
Under
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.44
⚖️ 4. Spread
Spread Tennessee -32.5Actual: Radford +32.5
TENN -32.5
no forecast
@ 2.40
RADF +32.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
Best 5 market prices
TENN
Bet365
2.40
Betano
2.35
RADF
Betano
1.52
Bet365
1.52
Spread Tennessee -29.5 · main lineActual: Radford +29.5
TENN -29.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
RADF +29.5
no forecast
@ 2.00
Best 5 market prices
TENN
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.91
Betano
1.88
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.80
RADF
1xBet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.93
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.83
Spread Tennessee -26.5Actual: Radford +26.5
TENN -26.5
no forecast
@ 1.66
RADF +26.5
no forecast
@ 2.15
Best 5 market prices
TENN
Bet365
1.66
Betano
1.62
RADF
Betano
2.15
Bet365
2.10
⏱️ 5. Halves
Half by half
TennesseeRadford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Tennessee under 96.5
76.2%
1.35
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.34
-
-
-
+8.1pp
Won
Tennessee under 100.5
86.8%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+7.3pp
Won
Tennessee under 95.5
73.0%
1.38
Betano
1.38
-
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
Tennessee under 98.5
82.0%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+7.2pp
Won
Tennessee under 101.5
88.8%
1.13
Bet365
1.13
-
-
-
-
+6.5pp
Won
Tennessee (regulation)
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.4pp
Won
Tennessee under 102.5
90.6%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+6.2pp
Won
Under 161
71.3%
1.37
Bet365
1.37
-
-
-
-
+3.7pp
Won
Tennessee over 73.5
94.6%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.5pp
Lost
Under 162
73.4%
1.33
Bet365
1.33
-
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Won
Tennessee over 72.5
95.6%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+3.4pp
Lost
Under 161.5
71.9%
1.35
Bet365
1.35
-
-
-
-
+2.9pp
Won
Tennessee over 74.5
93.4%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+2.7pp
Lost
Tennessee over 75.5
92.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+2.7pp
Lost
Under 178.5
94.9%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+2.7pp
Won
Under 162.5
73.9%
1.30
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
-
+2.5pp
Won
Tennessee -8.5
94.0%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.7pp
Won
Radford under 79.5
95.2%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.5pp
Won
Tennessee over 76.5
90.5%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Lost
Radford under 77.5
92.9%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Won
Under 173.5
90.7%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+1.4pp
Won
Under 163.5
75.9%
1.25
Bet365
1.25
-
-
-
-
+1.2pp
Won
Tennessee over 77.5
88.6%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
+1.1pp
Lost
Radford over 57.5
70.2%
1.33
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30
-
-
-
+0.9pp
Lost
Under 168.5
84.5%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+0.7pp
Won
Tennessee over 79.5
84.3%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Lost
Radford over 56.5
73.6%
1.27
Bet365
1.27
-
-
-
-
+0.5pp
Lost
Radford under 75.5
89.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+0.3pp
Won
Radford over 54.5
79.7%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
+0.2pp
Lost
Tennessee over 78.5
86.6%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-0.0pp
Lost
Tennessee -10.5
91.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.5pp
Won
Over 128.5
93.1%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.6pp
Lost
Radford over 51.5
87.1%
1.06
Bet365
1.06
-
-
-
-
-0.9pp
Lost
Radford over 55.5
76.7%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-1.0pp
Lost
Tennessee over 80.5
81.7%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-1.3pp
Lost
Radford over 53.5
82.4%
1.11
Bet365
1.11
-
-
-
-
-1.4pp
Lost
Radford under 73.5
86.0%
1.07
Bet365
1.07
-
-
-
-
-1.5pp
Won
Tennessee over 81.5
78.9%
1.15
Bet365
1.15
-
-
-
-
-1.6pp
Lost
Tennessee -13.5
87.4%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-1.6pp
Won
Radford over 52.5
84.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-1.8pp
Lost
Tennessee over 82.5
75.9%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-1.9pp
Lost
Radford under 71.5
81.1%
1.12
Bet365
1.12
-
-
-
-
-2.0pp
Won
Over 133.5
87.8%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
-
-2.4pp
Lost
Radford under 72.5
83.6%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-2.5pp
Won
Radford under 69.5
75.2%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-2.6pp
Won
Tennessee -20.5
70.8%
1.26
Bet365
1.26
-
-
-
-
-3.0pp
Won
Tennessee -18.5
76.5%
1.16
Bet365
1.16
-
-
-
-
-3.0pp
Won
Tennessee -15.5
83.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-5.4pp
Won
Over 138.5
80.4%
1.09
Bet365
1.09
-
-
-
-
-5.7pp
Lost
Over 143.5
70.6%
1.20
Bet365
1.20
-
-
-
-
-7.1pp
Lost
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Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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