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Radotin vs Valecnici Decin Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 73-85
Projected total 158.0
In play
Position#18
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.1
Allowed / game86.1
Radotin
Czech Republic
Vs
16%
84%
■ RADO 16%■ VALE 84%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.8/10
Around normal
4.1/10
Below normal
Valecnici Decin
Czech Republic
Position#1
Record6-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game71.5
Czech Republic1. LigaRound 9· Sportovní hala
Other2026-27
Meetings · Radotin v Valecnici Decin
15 Nov 2026
RADO v VALE
upcoming
27 Jan 2026
RADO76
VALE89
Sections
Game preview & prediction

Radotin will host Valecnici Decin in the 1. Liga on 15 November 2026, with the model designating Valecnici Decin as the favourite at 84% due to their perfect 6-0 record, 84.2 points per game and only 71.5 allowed, the best in the league. Radotin, meanwhile, sits 18th with a 2-6 record, 73.1 points per game and 86.1 allowed, and has struggled at home 2-1 but lost four of their last five outings, including an 83-89 defeat to Litomerice on 6 November. Valecnici Decin has won all five of their recent games, including a 97-90 win over Sokol Prazsky on 16 October, and has never lost on the road, going 2-0 in their two away games. In the two meetings between the clubs, Valecnici Decin has won both, most recently 89-76 on 27 January. The Pythia model projects a 73-85 score, a total of 158.0, with a 2.5-point line that the home side covers 21% of the time and an over on the 155.5 line at 56%. The chance of overtime is 3%. The next game will see Valecnici Decin extend their unbeaten run against Radotin.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Radotin win
16.0%fair 6.24
Best odds2.85
Implied33.1%
Edge-17.1pp
Valecnici Decin win
84.0%fair 1.19
Best odds1.44
Implied66.9%
Edge+17.1pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 18:31 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RadotinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRadotin
Date
Competition
Svitavy
#5
W
91-78
91
78
+13
88avg 68
H15/03
1. Liga
Brno U23
#14
W
88-79
88
79
+9
78avg 68
H20/03
1. Liga
Liberecko
#15
L
77-81
77
81
-4
64avg 68
A18/09
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
L
63-81
63
81
-18
40avg 68
A27/09
1. Liga
Polabi
#16
W
98-93
98
93
+5
90avg 68
H04/10
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#3
L
63-87
63
87
-24
55avg 68
A11/10
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#17
W
83-74
83
74
+9
76avg 68
H18/10
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#8
L
55-102
55
102
-47
39avg 68
A23/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
L
63-82
63
82
-19
53avg 68
H01/11
1. Liga
Litomerice
#12
L
83-89
83
89
-6
no box
A06/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-17
28-31
29-21
20-9
26-18
25-13
18-24
19-24
27-21
14-26
23-21
13-13
16-20
16-23
19-18
12-20
20-18
19-23
32-16
27-36
23-17
12-15
11-26
17-29
23-13
19-23
24-15
17-23
7-29
16-22
15-30
17-21
15-10
13-21
15-23
20-28
9-25
22-19
20-21
32-24
161.0Avg total
76.4Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)73.186.1159.2-13.025%
Season at home (3)81.383.0164.3-1.767%
Season away (5)68.288.0156.2-19.80%
Last 10 (10)76.484.6161.0-8.240%
Last 5 (5)69.486.8156.2-17.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)71.983.8155.7-11.933%
vs Similar (10)81.185.1166.2-4.030%
vs Weaker (11)86.479.7166.1+6.664%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDecin
Date
Competition
Pardubice 2
#7
W
94-74
94
74
+20
83avg 70
A27/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
85-65
85
65
+20
78avg 70
H29/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
78-93
78
93
-15
62avg 70
A08/04
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
80-86
80
86
-6
68avg 70
H11/04
1. Liga
Polabi
#16
W
84-75
84
75
+9
71avg 70
H18/09
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#3
W
68-64 OT
68
64
+4
56avg 70
A27/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#17
W
79-71
79
71
+8
72avg 70
H02/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
W
97-90
97
90
+7
86avg 70
H16/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#12
W
88-78
88
78
+10
73avg 70
A23/10
1. Liga
Liberecko
#15
W
89-51
89
51
+38
no box
H06/11
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-24
23-15
28-20
24-15
20-13
19-28
26-7
20-17
16-28
26-18
20-27
16-20
17-19
17-23
29-26
17-18
20-19
29-24
23-18
12-14
17-18
15-13
7-18
17-7
14-16
21-21
26-12
18-22
26-18
24-19
20-25
27-28
17-13
25-27
23-18
23-20
24-16
16-14
36-11
13-10
158.9Avg total
84.2Scored
74.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.271.5155.7+12.7100%
Season at home (4)87.271.8159.0+15.5100%
Season away (2)78.071.0149.0+7.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.274.7158.9+9.580%
Last 5 (5)84.270.8155.0+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)74.284.5158.8-10.225%
vs Similar (11)81.775.9157.6+5.864%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)86.374.7161.0+11.587%
This opponent (Radotin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 152
Over 152
64.3%
Under 152
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 157 · main line
Over 157
52.0%
@ 1.83+2.0pp
Under 157
48.0%
@ 1.83-2.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.73
Under
Pinnacle
1.83
1xBet
1.77
Over/Under 162
Over 162
39.7%
Under 162
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Radotin total 71
Over 71
58.9%
Under 71
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radotin total 75 · main line
Over 75
42.7%
@ 1.70-7.9pp
Under 75
57.3%
@ 1.74+7.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.70
Under
1xBet
1.74
Radotin total 79
Over 79
27.9%
Under 79
72.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Valecnici Decin total 75.5
Over 75.5
82.1%
@ 1.36+17.7pp
Under 75.5
17.9%
@ 2.46-17.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.46
Valecnici Decin total 79.5 · main line
Over 79.5
69.8%
@ 1.83+15.8pp
Under 79.5
30.2%
@ 2.08-15.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.08
Betano
1.82
Valecnici Decin total 83.5
Over 83.5
54.7%
@ 1.94+10.1pp
Under 83.5
45.3%
@ 1.56-10.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.94
Under
1xBet
1.56

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Radotin +2.5
RADO +2.5
20.9%
@ 2.46-22.0pp
VALE -2.5
79.1%
@ 1.80+22.0pp
Best 5 market prices
RADO
1xBet
2.46
Betano
1.83
VALE
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.39
Spread Radotin +5.5 · main line
RADO +5.5
29.6%
@ 1.94-20.4pp
VALE -5.5
70.4%
@ 1.80+20.4pp
Best 5 market prices
RADO
1xBet
1.94
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.80
VALE
Pinnacle
1.80
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.62
Spread Radotin +8.5
RADO +8.5
40.0%
@ 1.57-16.2pp
VALE -8.5
60.0%
@ 2.01+16.2pp
Best 5 market prices
RADO
1xBet
1.57
VALE
1xBet
2.01

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.2-3.2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +5.6+5.6Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +1.6+1.6
RadotinValecnici Decin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RadotinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Svitavy
#5
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H15/03
1. Liga
Brno U23
#14
W
51-31
51
31
+20
H20/03
1. Liga
Liberecko
#15
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A18/09
1. Liga
USK Prague B
#6
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A27/09
1. Liga
Polabi
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H04/10
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#3
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/10
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#17
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H18/10
1. Liga
CZ.ACADEMY
#8
L
23-51
23
51
-28
A23/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H01/11
1. Liga
Litomerice
#12
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A06/11
1. Liga
76.8Avg total
36.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78
Last 30 (30)39.338.778.1+0.643%43%
Last 30 at home (14)42.637.179.6+5.550%57%
Last 30 away (16)36.540.276.7-3.738%31%
Last 10 (10)36.440.476.8-4.030%40%
Last 5 (5)31.838.870.6-7.040%0%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (9)33.939.473.3-5.633%22%
vs Similar (10)38.141.579.6-3.430%40%
vs Weaker (11)44.935.680.5+9.364%64%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pardubice 2
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A27/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H29/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A08/04
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H11/04
1. Liga
Polabi
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H18/09
1. Liga
Jindrichuv Hradec
#3
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A27/09
1. Liga
Slavia Prague Tygri
#17
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H02/10
1. Liga
Sokol Prazsky
#9
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H16/10
1. Liga
Litomerice
#12
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A23/10
1. Liga
Liberecko
#15
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H06/11
1. Liga
79.1Avg total
40.5Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 78
Last 30 (30)39.539.578.9+0.047%53%
Last 30 at home (16)38.638.176.7+0.444%38%
Last 30 away (14)40.541.081.5-0.550%71%
Last 10 (10)40.538.679.1+1.960%60%
Last 5 (5)39.835.074.8+4.880%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.544.882.2-7.225%75%
vs Similar (11)38.638.076.6+0.645%45%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)40.639.179.7+1.553%53%
This opponent (Radotin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
RADO win
no forecast
@ 2.87
VALE win
no forecast
@ 1.50
1st half Spread Radotin +3.5 · main line
RADO +3.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
VALE -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 78 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.79
Under
no forecast
@ 1.81
Radotin 1st half total 37.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
Valecnici Decin 1st half total 39.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Over/Under 76.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.80
Under
no forecast
@ 1.87
1st half Spread Radotin +2.5
RADO +2.5
no forecast
@ 1.81
VALE -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.90
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
RADO
no forecast
@ 2.95
Draw
no forecast
@ 19.00
VALE
no forecast
@ 1.42

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
RADO win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
VALE win + total 156.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: RADO leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Valecnici Decin -281.6%1.78
Pinnacle
1.78		----+31.0pp
Valecnici Decin over 7972.3%1.64
1xBet
1.64		----+19.7pp
Valecnici Decin (regulation)82.0%1.38
1xBet
1.38		----+19.5pp
Valecnici Decin win84.0%1.38
WilliamHill
1.44
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
1xBet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35		+17.1pp
Radotin under 80.576.1%1.32
1xBet
1.32		----+9.0pp
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■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
■■■■■■ ■■■■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%■■%
🔒 14 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Radotintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Radotin: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.319.9
46.0%
51.2%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.27.9
32.6%
27.8%23.7
🏀 Free throws21.612.5
57.9%
61.8%12.5
They take 67.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers49.8 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.1 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.724.9
55.7%
51.2%49.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.46.0
21.1%
27.8%18.0
🏀 Free throws26.016.1
61.9%
61.8%16.1
They take 73.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Radotin
LLLWLWLLWW
Valecnici Decin
WWWWWWLLWW
#18
League position
#1
-7.5
Net rating
+5.8
79.3
Offensive rating
85.0
86.8
Defensive rating
79.2
47.0%
Effective FG%
46.4%
48.9%
Opp. effective FG%
46.1%
19.9%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.6%
3-point %
21.1%
51.4%
Assist %
57.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence79.3 · 85.0Defence86.8 · 79.2Shooting47.0% · 46.4%3-point %32.6% · 21.1%Ball care19.9% · 14.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Radotin   ■ Valecnici Decin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Radotin wins
2
Valecnici Decin wins
DateGameScore
27/01/26Radotin v Valecnici Decin76-89
02/11/25Valecnici Decin v Radotin100-67
Radotinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ALitomerice83-89
01/11/26HSokol Prazsky63-82
23/10/26ACZ.ACADEMY55-102
18/10/26HSlavia Prague Tygri83-74
11/10/26AJindrichuv Hradec63-87
04/10/26HPolabi98-93
27/09/26AUSK Prague B63-81
18/09/26ALiberecko77-81
20/03/26HBrno U2388-79
15/03/26HSvitavy91-78
Valecnici Decinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HLiberecko89-51
23/10/26ALitomerice88-78
16/10/26HSokol Prazsky97-90
02/10/26HSlavia Prague Tygri79-71
27/09/26AJindrichuv Hradec68-64 OT
18/09/26HPolabi84-75
11/04/26HZlin80-86
08/04/26AZlin78-93
29/03/26HPardubice 285-65
27/03/26APardubice 294-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Radotin
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%67%0%
Points / game73.181.368.2
Allowed / game86.183.088.0
Point differential-13.0-1.7-19.8
Avg total159.2164.3156.2
Over 15738%33%40%
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games642
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.287.278.0
Allowed / game71.571.871.0
Point differential+12.7+15.5+7.0
Avg total155.7159.0149.0
Over 15750%50%50%
Win by 10+33%25%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %17%0%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Valecnici Decin660100%84.271.5+12.7
2 Novy Jicin98189%86.673.4+13.1
3 Jindrichuv Hradec87188%84.670.0+14.6
4 Zlin97278%87.867.9+19.9
5 Svitavy97278%91.484.1+7.3
6 USK Prague B86275%80.173.9+6.2
7 Brno U2384450%85.180.2+4.9
8 CZ.ACADEMY63350%80.278.2+2.0
9 Sokol Prazsky84450%84.986.0-1.1
10 Vysoka84450%72.173.6-1.5
11 SK Zabovresky94544%72.278.6-6.3
12 Litomerice73443%78.781.4-2.7
13 Pardubice 283538%75.180.0-4.9
14 Opava 293633%73.877.3-3.6
15 Liberecko72529%67.379.7-12.4
16 Polabi82625%82.884.4-1.6
17 Slavia Prague Tygri82625%79.081.9-2.9
18 Radotin82625%73.186.1-13.0
19 MS Academy92722%75.686.3-10.8
20 Basketbal Olomouc81712%65.986.5-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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