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Valecnici Decin vs Zlin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 11 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 80-86
17-19 17-23 29-26 17-18
Position#6
Record17-10
FormLLWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game76.0
vs
Zlin 🏆
Czech Republic
Position#3
Record18-9
FormWWWWW
Points / game83.7
Allowed / game74.0
Czech Republic1. Liga1. Liga - Semi-finals· ARMEX Sportcentrum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Valecnici Decin v Zlin
11 Apr 2026
VALE80
ZLIN86
13 Mar 2026
VALE53
ZLIN81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Valecnici Decin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zlin winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

🔥 Form · Valecnici Decin
4.1out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Below their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 81.4
79.2▼ 2.2
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 76.0
81.6▲ 5.6
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 49%
49%▲ 0%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 15.4
17.8▲ 2.4
🔥 Form · Zlin
4.8out of 10 · 5 = normal010
Around their normal
🏀
Attack
Points scored per game
Last 5 v their normal 83.7
85.2▲ 1.5
🛡️
Defence
Points allowed per game
Last 5 v their normal 74.0
66.6▼ 7.4
🎯
Accuracy
True shooting %
Last 5 v their normal 54%
57%▲ 2%
🤝
Playmaking
Assists per game
Last 5 v their normal 18.0
16.6▼ 1.4
Valecnici DecinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polabi
#11
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A30/01
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H13/02
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A20/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
58-81
58
81
-23
H01/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A06/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
53-81
53
81
-28
H13/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
86-95
86
95
-9
A20/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
94-74
94
74
+20
A27/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
85-65
85
65
+20
H29/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
78-93
78
93
-15
A08/04
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-32
19-23
22-20
20-16
25-15
18-16
23-12
19-22
12-19
28-20
23-21
23-18
13-24
15-19
15-26
15-12
17-19
17-16
16-32
19-18
20-24
14-28
11-13
8-16
18-33
27-22
22-17
19-23
19-24
23-15
28-20
24-15
20-13
19-28
26-7
20-17
16-28
26-18
20-27
16-20
158.6Avg total
77.8Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)81.476.0157.3+5.463%
Season at home (13)77.871.9149.7+5.862%
Season away (14)84.779.7164.4+5.064%
Last 10 (10)77.880.8158.6-3.040%
Last 5 (5)79.281.6160.8-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)72.384.0156.3-11.733%
vs Similar (10)83.177.1160.2+6.060%
vs Weaker (14)82.173.4155.5+8.671%
This opponent (Zlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZlinCzech RepublicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jindrichuv Hradec
#13
L
80-83
80
83
-3
A30/01
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
52-98
52
98
-46
A15/02
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H20/02
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
L
95-102
95
102
-7
A27/02
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
W
87-66
87
66
+21
H06/03
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
W
81-53
81
53
+28
A13/03
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
89-76
89
76
+13
H20/03
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
88-62
88
62
+26
H27/03
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
75-64
75
64
+11
A29/03
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H08/04
1. Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
19-23
18-17
21-25
15-27
10-16
9-27
18-28
19-12
20-28
21-23
18-23
32-27
25-25
22-29
16-21
24-15
25-26
21-8
17-17
24-20
28-14
13-11
16-8
29-22
15-21
30-20
15-13
18-13
30-27
18-7
22-15
26-22
14-7
18-19
17-16
28-16
18-26
27-20
20-16
158.6Avg total
81.8Scored
76.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.774.0157.7+9.767%
Season at home (14)88.471.3159.6+17.186%
Season away (13)78.876.9155.7+1.846%
Last 10 (10)81.876.8158.6+5.060%
Last 5 (5)85.266.6151.8+18.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)71.680.8152.4-9.240%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.373.1157.4+11.268%
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: +4.5+4.5Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: -0.2-0.2
Valecnici DecinZlin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Valecnici DecinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Polabi
#11
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A30/01
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H13/02
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/02
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
28-43
28
43
-15
H01/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
34-35
34
35
-1
A06/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
34-52
34
52
-18
H13/03
1. Liga
Novy Jicin
#2
L
45-55
45
55
-10
A20/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A27/03
1. Liga
Pardubice 2
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H29/03
1. Liga
Zlin
#3
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A08/04
1. Liga
82.5Avg total
38.9Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)38.639.478.0-0.937%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.137.574.6-0.538%-
Last 30 away (14)40.041.281.2-1.236%-
Last 10 (10)38.943.682.5-4.730%-
Last 5 (5)40.446.687.0-6.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)38.745.784.3-7.033%-
vs Similar (10)39.338.778.0+0.640%-
vs Weaker (14)38.138.676.7-0.636%-
This opponent (Zlin) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZlinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jindrichuv Hradec
#13
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A30/01
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A15/02
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H20/02
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
57-52
57
52
+5
A27/02
1. Liga
Plzen
#4
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H06/03
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A13/03
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H20/03
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H27/03
1. Liga
Litomerice
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A29/03
1. Liga
Valecnici Decin
#6
W
46-42
46
42
+4
H08/04
1. Liga
84.6Avg total
44.1Scored
40.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.837.580.3+5.367%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.536.683.1+9.980%-
Last 30 away (15)39.138.477.5+0.753%-
Last 10 (10)44.140.584.6+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)46.037.683.6+8.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (5)38.238.676.8-0.460%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)43.837.381.0+6.568%-
This opponent (Valecnici Decin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Valecnici Decintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Valecnici Decin: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.821.9
50.0%
51.4%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.57.0
24.6%
29.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws21.813.0
59.6%
65.8%13.0
They take 72.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zlintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlin: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.619.0
53.4%
51.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.69.3
33.7%
29.5%27.9
🏀 Free throws24.315.9
65.4%
65.8%15.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Valecnici Decin
LWWLLLLWWL
Zlin
WWWWWWLLLL
#6
League position
#3
-3.1
Net rating
+5.4
81.1
Offensive rating
88.9
84.2
Defensive rating
83.5
44.8%
Effective FG%
52.1%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
46.9%
14.7%
Turnover %
18.9%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.38
24.6%
3-point %
33.7%
58.1%
Assist %
58.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence81.1 · 88.9Defence84.2 · 83.5Shooting44.8% · 52.1%3-point %24.6% · 33.7%Ball care14.7% · 18.9%Free throws0.30 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ Valecnici Decin   ■ Zlin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Valecnici Decin wins
2
Zlin wins
DateGameScore
08/04/26Zlin v Valecnici Decin93-78
13/03/26Valecnici Decin v Zlin53-81
20/02/26Zlin v Valecnici Decin78-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26AZlin78-93
29/03/26HPardubice 285-65
27/03/26APardubice 294-74
20/03/26ANovy Jicin86-95
13/03/26HZlin53-81
06/03/26APardubice 269-85
01/03/26HNovy Jicin58-81
20/02/26AZlin86-78
13/02/26HPardubice 285-65
30/01/26APolabi84-91
Zlinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/04/26HValecnici Decin93-78
29/03/26ALitomerice75-64
27/03/26HLitomerice88-62
20/03/26HLitomerice89-76
13/03/26AValecnici Decin81-53
06/03/26HPlzen87-66
27/02/26ALitomerice95-102
20/02/26HValecnici Decin78-86
15/02/26APlzen52-98
30/01/26AJindrichuv Hradec80-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Valecnici Decin
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL63%
HomeWWLLW62%
AwayWLLWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %63%62%64%
Points / game81.477.884.7
Allowed / game76.071.979.7
Point differential+5.4+5.8+5.0
Avg total157.3149.7164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%46%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %4%0%7%
Zlin
1. Liga 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeLWWWW86%
AwayLLLWW46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %67%86%46%
Points / game83.788.478.8
Allowed / game74.071.376.9
Point differential+9.7+17.1+1.8
Avg total157.7159.6155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%79%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)100% (1)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Novy Jicin2721678%88.478.1+10.3
2 Zlin2718967%83.774.0+9.7
3 Plzen2617965%82.874.6+8.2
4 Valecnici Decin27171063%81.476.0+5.4
5 Svitavy27171063%89.585.0+4.5
6 Pardubice 226151158%78.376.7+1.6
7 Liberecko26141254%80.180.0+0.0
8 Litomerice26141254%82.783.5-0.8
9 Radotin24121250%82.881.2+1.6
10 Polabi24121250%81.282.2-1.0
11 CZ.ACADEMY26131350%82.585.2-2.7
12 Jindrichuv Hradec26121446%85.482.3+3.2
13 Brno U2324111346%79.882.4-2.5
14 Vysoka26111542%76.582.2-5.7
15 Opava 224101442%78.982.8-4.0
16 USK Prague B26101638%76.980.1-3.2
17 MS Academy26101638%82.089.0-7.0
18 Basketbal Olomouc2691735%76.780.8-4.2
19 Sokol Prazsky2681831%81.289.7-8.6
20 Chomutov2671927%80.286.8-6.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Valecnici Decin1717291780
Zlin1923261886
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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