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Ragusa W vs Brixia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 83-68
26-8 21-21 17-24 19-15
Position#6
Record11-7
FormWLWWW
Points / game70.0
Allowed / game65.7
Ragusa W 🏆
Italy
vs
Brixia W
Italy
Position#10
Record7-11
FormLLWLW
Points / game65.1
Allowed / game70.4
ItalySerie A1 WRound 21· PalaMinardi
Women2023-24
Meetings · Ragusa W v Brixia W
17 Mar 2024
RAGU83
BRIX68
08 Jan 2023
RAGU79
BRIX53
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ragusa W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brixia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ragusa WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Battipaglia W
#12
W
78-68
78
68
+10
75avg 65
H23/12
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#12
W
83-59
83
59
+24
77avg 65
H04/01
Coppa Italia Women
Virtus Bologna W
#9
W
76-67
76
67
+9
74avg 65
A07/01
Coppa Italia Women
Virtus Bologna W
#3
L
60-69
60
69
-9
57avg 65
H14/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
66-70 OT
66
70
-4
no box
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
W
63-49
63
49
+14
61avg 65
H03/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
L
58-67
58
67
-9
51avg 65
A16/02
Coppa Italia Women
Sassari W
#7
W
76-71
76
71
+5
72avg 65
A24/02
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#8
W
59-49
59
49
+10
58avg 65
H01/03
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
W
66-64
66
64
+2
60avg 65
A10/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-26
17-18
14-17
19-7
22-16
25-18
21-14
15-11
19-16
19-18
25-18
13-15
21-17
17-24
8-18
14-10
14-16
19-16
8-10
15-14
21-11
13-6
14-16
15-16
20-10
23-26
10-19
5-12
13-24
20-19
19-15
24-13
18-12
17-13
5-16
19-8
13-24
15-16
23-9
15-15
131.8Avg total
68.5Scored
63.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)70.065.7135.7+4.361%
Season at home (10)71.765.0136.7+6.760%
Season away (8)67.966.6134.5+1.262%
Last 10 (10)68.563.3131.8+5.270%
Last 5 (5)64.460.0124.4+4.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)61.974.1136.0-12.30%
vs Similar (7)62.666.3128.9-3.729%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)75.564.7140.2+10.892%
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brixia WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
San Giovanni W
#4
L
65-68
65
68
-3
64avg 55
A23/12
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#12
W
75-51
75
51
+24
64avg 55
A29/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#8
W
72-68
72
68
+4
69avg 55
A04/01
Coppa Italia Women
Venezia W
#3
L
44-75
44
75
-31
34avg 55
A07/01
Coppa Italia Women
Faenza W
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
78avg 55
A14/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#3
L
34-70
34
70
-36
17avg 55
H21/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#1
L
56-81
56
81
-25
47avg 55
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Sanga Milano W
#13
W
68-54
68
54
+14
61avg 55
H17/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
L
76-78
76
78
-2
69avg 55
A03/03
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#12
W
78-69
78
69
+9
73avg 55
H09/03
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-13
13-26
9-12
20-17
13-8
18-16
20-19
24-8
21-18
13-19
20-14
18-17
14-22
7-19
12-23
11-11
20-22
20-12
27-20
19-16
10-21
9-23
7-14
8-12
12-18
16-20
15-16
13-27
14-13
22-14
13-15
19-12
19-18
17-31
18-18
22-11
23-21
20-20
14-13
21-15
133.8Avg total
65.4Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)65.170.4135.6-5.339%
Season at home (9)60.069.2129.2-9.244%
Season away (9)70.271.7141.9-1.433%
Last 10 (10)65.468.4133.8-3.050%
Last 5 (5)62.470.4132.8-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)56.477.4133.8-20.90%
vs Similar (7)70.671.3141.9-0.743%
vs Weaker (4)75.060.8135.8+14.2100%
This opponent (Ragusa W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.7+1.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: +1.1+1.1Q2: -4.5-4.5Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: +3.3+3.3Q4: +2.9+2.9
Ragusa WBrixia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ragusa WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Battipaglia W
#12
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H23/12
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#12
W
47-34
47
34
+13
H04/01
Coppa Italia Women
Virtus Bologna W
#9
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A07/01
Coppa Italia Women
Virtus Bologna W
#3
L
38-41
38
41
-3
H14/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
W
34-17
34
17
+17
H03/02
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A16/02
Coppa Italia Women
Sassari W
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A24/02
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#8
W
35-25
35
25
+10
H01/03
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
28-40
28
40
-12
A10/03
Serie A1 W
72.0Avg total
37.4Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.536.071.5-0.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.135.572.6+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)33.936.570.3-2.647%-
Last 10 (10)37.434.672.0+2.870%-
Last 5 (5)34.632.266.8+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.036.968.9-4.914%-
vs Similar (7)33.935.068.9-1.157%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)36.835.772.5+1.262%-
This opponent (Brixia W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brixia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Giovanni W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A23/12
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#12
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A29/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/01
Coppa Italia Women
Venezia W
#3
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A07/01
Coppa Italia Women
Faenza W
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A14/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#3
L
19-44
19
44
-25
H21/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#1
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Sanga Milano W
#13
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H17/02
Serie A1 W
San Martino W
#9
L
36-49
36
49
-13
A03/03
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#12
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H09/03
Serie A1 W
69.8Avg total
32.4Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.039.070.0-8.030%-
Last 30 at home (13)29.737.467.1-7.738%-
Last 30 away (17)32.040.272.2-8.224%-
Last 10 (10)32.437.469.8-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)32.439.872.2-7.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)28.141.769.7-13.611%-
vs Similar (7)34.936.070.9-1.157%-
vs Weaker (4)36.832.569.2+4.275%-
This opponent (Ragusa W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ragusa Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ragusa W: 70.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.8 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.1 points a game
53%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.119.0
46.2%
45.7%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.07.9
37.6%
32.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws11.78.8
75.2%
74.9%8.8
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brixia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brixia W: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.1 points a game
53%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.215.0
39.3%
45.7%30.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.77.9
34.8%
32.7%23.7
🏀 Free throws12.710.3
81.1%
74.9%10.3
They take 60.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ragusa W
WWWLWLLWWW
Brixia W
WLWLLWLWWL
#6
League position
#10
+12.5
Net rating
-5.2
100.3
Offensive rating
88.0
87.8
Defensive rating
93.2
49.7%
Effective FG%
44.1%
46.3%
Opp. effective FG%
45.6%
18.6%
Turnover %
21.8%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.19
Free-throw rate
0.21
37.6%
3-point %
34.8%
72.5%
Assist %
59.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence100.3 · 88.0Defence87.8 · 93.2Shooting49.7% · 44.1%3-point %37.6% · 34.8%Ball care18.6% · 21.8%Off. rebounds28.8% · 26.0%Free throws0.19 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Ragusa W   ■ Brixia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ragusa W wins
0
Brixia W wins
DateGameScore
19/11/23Brixia W v Ragusa W58-74
08/01/23Ragusa W v Brixia W79-53
05/10/22Brixia W v Ragusa W65-83
Ragusa Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24AFaenza W66-64
01/03/24HOxygen Roma W59-49
24/02/24ASassari W76-71
16/02/24ASchio W58-67
03/02/24HCampobasso W63-49
28/01/24ASan Giovanni W66-70 OT
14/01/24HVirtus Bologna W60-69
07/01/24AVirtus Bologna W76-67
04/01/24HFaenza W83-59
23/12/23HBattipaglia W78-68
Brixia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/03/24HBattipaglia W78-69
03/03/24ASan Martino W76-78
17/02/24HSanga Milano W68-54
28/01/24AVenezia W56-81
21/01/24HVirtus Bologna W34-70
14/01/24AFaenza W86-70
07/01/24AVenezia W44-75
04/01/24ASassari W72-68
29/12/23ABattipaglia W75-51
23/12/23ASan Giovanni W65-68

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ragusa W
Serie A1 W 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeWWLWW60%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %61%60%62%
Points / game70.071.767.9
Allowed / game65.765.066.6
Point differential+4.3+6.7+1.2
Avg total135.7136.7134.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (1)75% (4)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Brixia W
Serie A1 W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW39%
HomeLWLWW44%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %39%44%33%
Points / game65.160.070.2
Allowed / game70.469.271.7
Point differential-5.3-9.2-1.4
Avg total135.6129.2141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%22%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)-0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia W1817194%77.159.8+17.3
2 Schio W1714382%76.162.7+13.4
3 Virtus Bologna W1915479%74.159.4+14.7
4 San Giovanni W1914574%67.562.7+4.7
5 Campobasso W1812667%62.258.6+3.7
6 Ragusa W1811761%70.065.7+4.3
7 San Martino W189950%71.871.4+0.4
8 Brixia W1871139%65.170.4-5.3
9 Sassari W1971237%65.871.9-6.1
10 Oxygen Roma W1761135%64.164.8-0.6
11 Faenza W1941521%65.072.5-7.5
12 Battipaglia W2021810%61.578.5-17.1
13 Sanga Milano W2021810%61.078.7-17.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ragusa W2621171983
Brixia W821241568
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