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San Martino W vs Brixia W Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 03 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 78-76
18-19 31-17 18-18 11-22
Position#9
Record8-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game69.9
San Martino W 🏆
Italy
vs
Brixia W
Italy
Position#10
Record6-10
FormLWLLW
Points / game63.6
Allowed / game70.1
ItalySerie A1 WRound 19· Palazzetto dello sport
Women2023-24
Meetings · San Martino W v Brixia W
08 Nov 2025
SAN 62
BRIX60
23 Mar 2025
SAN 73
BRIX54
03 Mar 2024
SAN 78
BRIX76
04 Mar 2023
SAN 59
BRIX51
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

San Martino W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brixia W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

San Martino WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Oxygen Roma W
#8
W
84-73
84
73
+11
84avg 64
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#2
L
67-74
67
74
-7
59avg 64
A10/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
L
46-49
46
49
-3
37avg 64
H17/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
98-80
98
80
+18
98avg 64
A23/12
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#1
L
55-70
55
70
-15
39avg 64
H30/12
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#5
L
69-73
69
73
-4
62avg 64
H04/01
Coppa Italia Women
Sanga Milano W
#13
W
96-63
96
63
+33
94avg 64
A14/01
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
61-69
61
69
-8
47avg 64
H21/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
70-75 OT
70
75
-5
no box
H03/02
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#3
L
48-78
48
78
-30
27avg 64
A25/02
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-20
19-21
21-19
14-13
18-23
18-23
23-16
8-12
16-15
8-11
8-9
14-14
33-20
20-26
25-14
20-20
21-22
11-7
16-19
7-22
9-16
18-14
23-26
19-17
39-20
22-19
11-13
24-11
16-17
7-26
24-15
14-11
15-18
14-17
18-11
11-12
15-17
8-21
12-19
13-21
139.8Avg total
69.4Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)71.269.9141.1+1.350%
Season at home (8)68.866.8135.5+2.050%
Season away (8)73.673.0146.6+0.650%
Last 10 (10)69.470.4139.8-1.030%
Last 5 (5)68.871.6140.4-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)59.573.2132.7-13.68%
vs Similar ◀ (10)74.368.0142.3+6.370%
vs Weaker (5)76.264.4140.6+11.880%
This opponent (Brixia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brixia WItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Campobasso W
#5
L
75-78
75
78
-3
73avg 54
A10/12
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#8
W
74-62
74
62
+12
62avg 54
H17/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
65-68
65
68
-3
64avg 54
A23/12
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#12
W
75-51
75
51
+24
64avg 54
A29/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#8
W
72-68
72
68
+4
69avg 54
A04/01
Coppa Italia Women
Venezia W
#3
L
44-75
44
75
-31
34avg 54
A07/01
Coppa Italia Women
Faenza W
#11
W
86-70
86
70
+16
78avg 54
A14/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#3
L
34-70
34
70
-36
17avg 54
H21/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#1
L
56-81
56
81
-25
47avg 54
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Sanga Milano W
#13
W
68-54
68
54
+14
61avg 54
H17/02
Serie A1 W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-21
27-20
17-20
21-17
17-17
24-21
13-12
20-12
23-13
13-26
9-12
20-17
13-8
18-16
20-19
24-8
21-18
13-19
20-14
18-17
14-22
7-19
12-23
11-11
20-22
20-12
27-20
19-16
10-21
9-23
7-14
8-12
12-18
16-20
15-16
13-27
14-13
22-14
13-15
19-12
132.6Avg total
64.9Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)63.670.1133.7-6.438%
Season at home (8)57.869.2127.0-11.538%
Season away (8)69.570.9140.4-1.438%
Last 10 (10)64.967.7132.6-2.850%
Last 5 (5)57.670.0127.6-12.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)56.376.0132.3-19.85%
vs Similar ◀ (6)69.770.2139.8-0.550%
vs Weaker (3)74.058.0132.0+16.0100%
This opponent (San Martino W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: -2.1-2.1Q3Q3: +2.0+2.0Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +2.4+2.4
San Martino WBrixia W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
San Martino WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oxygen Roma W
#8
W
49-41
49
41
+8
H03/12
Serie A1 W
Schio W
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A10/12
Serie A1 W
Campobasso W
#5
L
24-26
24
26
-2
H17/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#7
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A23/12
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#1
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H30/12
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#5
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H04/01
Coppa Italia Women
Sanga Milano W
#13
W
61-39
61
39
+22
A14/01
Serie A1 W
Faenza W
#11
L
23-43
23
43
-20
H21/01
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
29-35
29
35
-6
H03/02
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#3
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A25/02
Serie A1 W
73.0Avg total
35.7Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.635.471.1+0.243%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.832.567.3+2.347%-
Last 30 away (15)36.538.474.9-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)35.737.373.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)32.637.069.6-4.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)30.936.066.9-5.123%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.236.375.5+2.960%-
vs Weaker (5)42.632.875.4+9.880%-
This opponent (Brixia W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Brixia WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Campobasso W
#5
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A10/12
Serie A1 W
Oxygen Roma W
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H17/12
Serie A1 W
San Giovanni W
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A23/12
Serie A1 W
Battipaglia W
#12
W
31-24
31
24
+7
A29/12
Serie A1 W
Sassari W
#8
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A04/01
Coppa Italia Women
Venezia W
#3
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A07/01
Coppa Italia Women
Faenza W
#11
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A14/01
Serie A1 W
Virtus Bologna W
#3
L
19-44
19
44
-25
H21/01
Serie A1 W
Venezia W
#1
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A28/01
Serie A1 W
Sanga Milano W
#13
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H17/02
Serie A1 W
68.6Avg total
32.3Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)30.338.068.3-7.730%-
Last 30 at home (13)28.835.864.7-7.038%-
Last 30 away (17)31.539.671.1-8.224%-
Last 10 (10)32.336.368.6-4.040%-
Last 5 (5)28.836.865.6-8.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)28.240.568.8-12.315%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)34.733.868.5+0.867%-
vs Weaker (3)34.729.764.3+5.067%-
This opponent (San Martino W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
San Martino Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Martino W: 67.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.2 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.1 points a game
53%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.219.1
44.2%
45.7%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.86.4
29.4%
32.7%19.2
🏀 Free throws14.310.4
72.7%
74.9%10.4
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brixia Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brixia W: 63.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 67.1 points a game
53%
32%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.015.4
40.5%
45.7%30.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.27.7
33.2%
32.7%23.1
🏀 Free throws12.29.6
78.7%
74.9%9.6
They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 36%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
San Martino W
LLLWLLWLLW
Brixia W
WLLWLWWLWL
#9
League position
#10
-3.7
Net rating
-5.0
90.4
Offensive rating
87.9
94.2
Defensive rating
92.9
44.2%
Effective FG%
44.0%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
21.9%
Turnover %
21.1%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
26.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.20
29.4%
3-point %
33.2%
65.1%
Assist %
59.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence90.4 · 87.9Defence94.2 · 92.9Shooting44.2% · 44.0%3-point %29.4% · 33.2%Ball care21.9% · 21.1%Off. rebounds31.9% · 26.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ San Martino W   ■ Brixia W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
San Martino W wins
0
Brixia W wins
DateGameScore
03/11/23Brixia W v San Martino W54-70
04/03/23San Martino W v Brixia W59-51
19/11/22Brixia W v San Martino W64-81
San Martino Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/02/24AVirtus Bologna W48-78
03/02/24HSan Giovanni W70-75 OT
21/01/24HFaenza W61-69
14/01/24ASanga Milano W96-63
04/01/24HOxygen Roma W69-73
30/12/23HVenezia W55-70
23/12/23ASassari W98-80
17/12/23HCampobasso W46-49
10/12/23ASchio W67-74
03/12/23HOxygen Roma W84-73
Brixia Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/24HSanga Milano W68-54
28/01/24AVenezia W56-81
21/01/24HVirtus Bologna W34-70
14/01/24AFaenza W86-70
07/01/24AVenezia W44-75
04/01/24ASassari W72-68
29/12/23ABattipaglia W75-51
23/12/23ASan Giovanni W65-68
17/12/23HOxygen Roma W74-62
10/12/23ACampobasso W75-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

San Martino W
Serie A1 W 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL50%
HomeWLLLL50%
AwayLLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game71.268.873.6
Allowed / game69.966.873.0
Point differential+1.3+2.0+0.6
Avg total141.1135.5146.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %6%12%0%
Brixia W
Serie A1 W 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW38%
HomeLLWLW38%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%38%38%
Points / game63.657.869.5
Allowed / game70.169.270.9
Point differential-6.4-11.5-1.4
Avg total133.7127.0140.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Venezia W1817194%77.159.8+17.3
2 Virtus Bologna W1714382%74.859.4+15.4
3 Schio W1613381%76.462.8+13.6
4 San Giovanni W1712571%68.663.8+4.8
5 Campobasso W1611569%62.058.8+3.2
6 Ragusa W1710759%70.265.8+4.4
7 San Martino W168850%71.269.9+1.3
8 Oxygen Roma W1661038%64.364.7-0.4
9 Brixia W1661038%63.670.1-6.4
10 Sassari W1861233%64.972.1-7.2
11 Faenza W1741324%64.972.9-8.0
12 Sanga Milano W1721512%61.378.5-17.2
13 Battipaglia W170170%58.879.4-20.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
San Martino W1831181178
Brixia W1917182276
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