Real Valladolid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Dec 2024

Tip-off: 18:00

Final 73-87

21-29 12-22 16-19 24-17

Position#16

Record4-8

FormWLWLL

Points / game71.3

Allowed / game81.8

Real Valladolid

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#4

Record11-1

FormWWWWW

Points / game88.5

Allowed / game79.0

Primera FEBRound 13

Other2024-25

Meetings · Real Valladolid v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Valladolid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValladolid

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

62-96

-34

37avg 62

H12/10

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

85-94

-9

75avg 62

A18/10

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

72-76

-4

62avg 62

H25/10

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

73-68

61avg 62

A02/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

78-82

-4

66avg 62

H09/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

67-65

53avg 62

A16/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

66-79

-13

56avg 62

H30/11

Primera FEB

Cartagena

80-76

69avg 62

A07/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

73-104

104

-31

62avg 62

H11/12

Primera FEB

Real Betis

59-89

-30

46avg 62

A15/12

Primera FEB

12-22

17-24

21-27

12-23

17-28

23-27

19-20

26-19

23-20

14-15

18-15

17-26

18-22

11-13

22-12

22-21

30-24

12-21

15-11

21-26

13-13

10-21

15-13

29-18

18-20

16-16

17-24

15-19

32-21

19-19

16-19

13-17

9-32

22-23

23-27

19-22

16-25

9-24

16-19

18-21

154.4Avg total

71.5Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	71.3	81.8	153.2	-10.5	33%
Season at home (5)	70.2	87.4	157.6	-17.2	0%
Season away (7)	72.1	77.9	150.0	-5.7	57%
Last 10 (10)	71.5	82.9	154.4	-11.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	69.0	82.6	151.6	-13.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	69.5	84.9	154.4	-15.5	12%
vs Similar (11)	74.9	78.3	153.2	-3.4	64%
vs Weaker (2)	92.5	72.0	164.5	+20.5	100%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Tizona Burgos

91-94

-3

73avg 76

A11/10

Primera FEB

Palencia

87-80

81avg 76

A19/10

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

90-84

88avg 76

H27/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

77-66

+11

67avg 76

A02/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

86-82

78avg 76

H10/11

Primera FEB

Cartagena

91-68

+23

83avg 76

H17/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

78-76

68avg 76

A01/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

88-81 OT

76avg 76

H08/12

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

99-93 OT

92avg 76

A11/12

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

85-70

+15

82avg 76

H15/12

Primera FEB

19-29

21-20

26-15

25-30

30-15

19-22

20-24

18-19

28-19

31-26

13-15

18-24

16-8

17-18

24-19

20-21

30-16

12-21

18-22

26-23

22-16

18-18

24-16

27-18

19-20

18-23

23-18

18-15

20-22

17-23

14-14

23-15

21-27

19-17

15-23

29-17

14-12

24-22

25-18

22-18

166.6Avg total

87.2Scored

79.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (12)	88.5	79.0	167.5	+9.5	92%
Season at home (7)	90.0	77.0	167.0	+13.0	100%
Season away (5)	86.4	81.8	168.2	+4.6	80%
Last 10 (10)	87.2	79.4	166.6	+7.8	90%
Last 5 (5)	88.2	77.6	165.8	+10.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	83.4	78.4	161.9	+5.0	71%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	84.9	76.7	161.5	+8.2	78%

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real ValladolidEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.0	21.4	40.4	-2.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.4	21.6	41.9	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	21.2	39.0	-3.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	22.7	41.5	-3.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	22.2	39.8	-4.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.2	23.2	41.5	-5.0	24%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.9	19.4	39.3	+0.5	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	17.0	37.0	+3.0	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.3	39.8	+1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.1	18.8	39.9	+2.3	53%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.8	19.8	39.7	+0.0	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.9	18.4	40.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	22.4	19.4	41.9	+3.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.0	19.2	39.2	+0.8	48%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.5	20.0	36.5	-3.5	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.7	20.1	38.9	-1.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	14.6	19.9	34.5	-5.2	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.3	20.3	35.6	-5.0	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	20.6	35.8	-5.4	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	15.3	20.7	36.0	-5.4	6%	-
vs Similar (11)	17.1	19.5	36.6	-2.5	27%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	16.5	40.5	+7.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.8	20.5	42.2	+1.3	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.0	19.4	37.4	-1.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.6	39.8	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	17.0	20.4	37.4	-3.4	14%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.1	19.9	41.0	+1.2	61%	-

Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Fuenlabrada

29-46

-17

H12/10

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

40-55

-15

A18/10

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

37-35

H25/10

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

29-35

-6

A02/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

42-45

-3

H09/11

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

23-34

-11

A16/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

34-36

-2

H30/11

Primera FEB

Cartagena

51-40

+11

A07/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

31-55

-24

H11/12

Primera FEB

Real Betis

25-49

-24

A15/12

Primera FEB

77.1Avg total

34.1Scored

43.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.5	41.4	76.9	-5.9	20%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.1	41.7	80.8	-2.6	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.4	41.1	73.5	-8.8	6%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.1	43.0	77.1	-8.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.8	42.8	75.6	-10.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	33.5	43.9	77.5	-10.4	6%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.0	38.9	75.9	-1.9	27%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.0	33.5	77.5	+10.5	100%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tizona Burgos

40-49

-9

A11/10

Primera FEB

Palencia

49-37

+12

A19/10

Primera FEB

Zamora

#13

59-45

+14

H27/10

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#15

33-26

A02/11

Primera FEB

Real Betis

42-37

H10/11

Primera FEB

Cartagena

40-34

H17/11

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

37-43

-6

A01/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

37-45

-8

H08/12

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

40-44

-4

A11/12

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

38-34

H15/12

Primera FEB

80.9Avg total

41.5Scored

39.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.7	39.3	80.0	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.9	39.3	82.2	+3.6	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	37.8	39.2	77.1	-1.4	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	39.4	80.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.4	40.0	78.4	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	39.4	39.9	79.3	-0.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	41.1	39.1	80.2	+2.0	57%	-

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	18.8	37.2	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	18.9	38.1	+0.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	18.7	36.5	-0.9	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.7	36.9	-0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	18.3	20.1	38.4	-1.8	41%	-
vs Similar (11)	18.0	17.6	35.6	+0.4	55%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	14.0	36.5	+8.5	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	18.1	39.1	+2.9	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.2	16.9	38.1	+4.4	71%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.7	19.6	40.3	+1.1	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	18.4	38.6	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	21.4	19.4	40.9	+2.0	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.9	17.7	38.5	+3.2	61%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.4	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	22.9	42.1	-3.8	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.3	19.5	37.8	-1.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	21.2	40.4	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.4	38.2	-0.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	17.6	20.9	38.6	-3.3	24%	-
vs Similar (11)	19.0	20.7	39.7	-1.7	36%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	24.5	50.5	+1.5	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.2	41.1	+2.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.8	18.6	41.4	+4.2	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	16.6	40.4	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	22.6	19.1	41.7	+3.4	57%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.7	19.2	40.9	+2.4	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	39.9	77.0	-2.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	41.8	80.1	-3.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.1	38.2	74.3	-2.1	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	39.9	77.3	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	39.8	76.0	-3.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	35.9	41.0	76.9	-5.1	29%	-
vs Similar (11)	37.0	38.4	75.4	-1.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (2)	48.5	38.5	87.0	+10.0	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	37.3	80.1	+5.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	44.1	35.5	79.5	+8.6	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.3	39.6	80.9	+1.7	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.8	38.4	81.2	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	34.4	78.4	+9.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (7)	44.0	38.6	82.6	+5.4	43%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	42.5	36.9	79.4	+5.7	78%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Valladolidtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Valladolid wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
09/04/24	Real Valladolid v Estudiantes	73-88
26/11/23	Estudiantes v Real Valladolid	91-92 OT
05/03/23	Real Valladolid v Estudiantes	81-75
30/10/22	Estudiantes v Real Valladolid	81-70
05/06/22	Real Valladolid v Estudiantes	59-85
03/06/22	Real Valladolid v Estudiantes	67-54
29/05/22	Estudiantes v Real Valladolid	73-58
27/05/22	Estudiantes v Real Valladolid	64-60
29/03/22	Real Valladolid v Estudiantes	62-66
05/12/21	Estudiantes v Real Valladolid	81-60

Real Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/24	A	Real Betis	59-89
11/12/24	H	San Pablo Burgos	73-104
07/12/24	A	Cartagena	80-76
30/11/24	H	Gipuzkoa	66-79
16/11/24	A	Hestia Menorca	67-65
09/11/24	H	Oviedo	78-82
02/11/24	A	Estela	73-68
25/10/24	H	Obradoiro CAB	72-76
18/10/24	A	Tizona Burgos	85-94
12/10/24	H	Fuenlabrada	62-96

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/24	H	Alicante	85-70
11/12/24	A	Moron	99-93 OT
08/12/24	H	Ourense	88-81 OT
01/12/24	A	Oviedo	78-76
17/11/24	H	Cartagena	91-68
10/11/24	H	Real Betis	86-82
02/11/24	A	Hestia Menorca	77-66
27/10/24	H	Zamora	90-84
19/10/24	A	Palencia	87-80
11/10/24	A	Tizona Burgos	91-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Valladolid

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLL	33%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LWWWL	57%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	5	7
Win %	33%	0%	57%
Points / game	71.3	70.2	72.1
Allowed / game	81.8	87.4	77.9
Point differential	-10.5	-17.2	-5.7
Avg total	153.2	157.6	150.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (5)	0% (2)	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	92%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	LWWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	12	7	5
Win %	92%	100%	80%
Points / game	88.5	90.0	86.4
Allowed / game	79.0	77.0	81.8
Point differential	+9.5	+13.0	+4.6
Avg total	167.5	167.0	168.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	42%	57%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	100% (1)	50% (2)
Overtime %	17%	14%	20%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	13	12	1	92%	87.1	73.2	+13.8
2	Fuenlabrada	12	11	1	92%	82.2	69.2	+13.1
3	Estudiantes	12	11	1	92%	88.5	79.0	+9.5
4	Real Betis	13	9	4	69%	82.5	72.8	+9.8
5	Palencia	13	9	4	69%	87.8	78.8	+9.0
6	Ourense	13	8	5	62%	86.0	79.9	+6.1
7	Tizona Burgos	12	7	5	58%	92.8	89.8	+2.9
8	Obradoiro CAB	13	7	6	54%	79.8	74.8	+4.9
9	Zamora	12	6	6	50%	77.3	78.5	-1.2
10	Castello	13	6	7	46%	79.5	86.4	-6.8
11	Gipuzkoa	13	5	8	38%	73.7	77.2	-3.5
12	Cartagena	13	5	8	38%	75.5	84.4	-8.9
13	Hestia Menorca	12	4	8	33%	71.3	75.2	-3.8
14	Estela	12	4	8	33%	72.4	82.3	-9.9
15	Real Valladolid	12	4	8	33%	71.3	81.8	-10.5
16	Oviedo	13	4	9	31%	75.6	81.4	-5.8
17	Alicante	12	1	11	8%	69.7	76.4	-6.8
18	Moron	13	0	13	0%	72.6	85.0	-12.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Valladolid	21	12	16	24	73
Estudiantes	29	22	19	17	87

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Real Valladolid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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