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Palencia vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-87
15-30 22-19 24-20 19-18
Position#6
Record2-1
FormLLWWL
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game80.7
vs
Position#4
Record2-1
FormWLWWL
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game82.7
SpainPrimera FEBRound 4· Pabellon Municipal de Deportes
Other2024-25
Meetings · Palencia v Estudiantes
19 Feb 2027
PAL v EST
upcoming
22 Nov 2025
PAL83
EST52
19 Oct 2024
PAL80
EST87
05 May 2023
PAL74
EST66
13 Feb 2022
PAL66
EST62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Palencia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Estudiantes winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PalenciaSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPalencia
Date
Competition
Breogan
#16
L
65-73
65
73
-8
44avg 73
A06/04
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
77-90
77
90
-13
63avg 73
A13/04
ACB
Granada
#17
L
83-91
83
91
-8
75avg 73
H20/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
L
94-101
94
101
-7
94avg 73
H27/04
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
97-80
97
80
+17
95avg 73
A04/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
L
75-81
75
81
-6
57avg 73
H09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
69-93
69
93
-24
64avg 73
A12/05
ACB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
91-85
91
85
+6
81avg 73
A27/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
73avg 73
H04/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
77-88
77
88
-11
66avg 73
A12/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-16
19-17
12-15
18-25
11-19
19-20
29-22
18-29
14-21
20-26
21-19
28-25
32-27
25-21
15-28
22-25
24-17
27-20
22-21
24-22
17-19
21-14
19-22
18-26
17-17
17-25
14-26
21-25
21-18
21-23
27-27
22-17
20-18
22-9
21-16
15-26
13-24
21-19
17-20
26-25
165.7Avg total
80.6Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)82.080.7162.7+1.367%
Season at home (1)78.069.0147.0+9.0100%
Season away (2)84.086.5170.5-2.550%
Last 10 (10)80.685.1165.7-4.530%
Last 5 (5)78.083.2161.2-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)79.588.2167.7-8.717%
vs Similar ◀ (5)81.490.6172.0-9.220%
vs Weaker (2)84.577.0161.5+7.5100%
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormEstudiantes
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#8
W
86-77
86
77
+9
74avg 77
H17/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
W
98-73
98
73
+25
92avg 77
H19/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
84-90
84
90
-6
75avg 77
A24/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
65-77
65
77
-12
51avg 77
A26/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
W
65-54
65
54
+11
62avg 77
H30/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
W
86-62
86
62
+24
78avg 77
H08/06
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
70-85
70
85
-15
51avg 77
H09/06
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
82-69
82
69
+13
78avg 77
H29/09
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
108-85
108
85
+23
104avg 77
H06/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
91-94
91
94
-3
73avg 77
A11/10
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-9
20-31
17-19
23-18
19-23
31-15
24-17
24-18
23-23
21-23
20-24
20-20
9-17
22-18
17-27
17-15
19-15
14-11
13-17
19-11
26-16
18-19
18-14
24-13
10-25
11-27
27-20
22-13
18-18
13-21
28-16
23-14
23-24
28-18
31-20
26-23
19-29
21-20
26-15
25-30
160.1Avg total
83.5Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.782.7176.3+11.067%
Season at home (2)95.077.0172.0+18.0100%
Season away (1)91.094.0185.0-3.00%
Last 10 (10)83.576.6160.1+6.960%
Last 5 (5)87.479.0166.4+8.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)81.184.1165.2-3.050%
vs Weaker (20)84.774.7159.4+10.075%
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +4.8+4.8
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.2+3.2Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +4.8+4.8
PalenciaEstudiantes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PalenciaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Breogan
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A06/04
ACB
Murcia
#6
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A13/04
ACB
Granada
#17
L
34-47
34
47
-13
H20/04
ACB
Baskonia
#8
W
57-48
57
48
+9
H27/04
ACB
Bilbao
#13
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A04/05
ACB
Obradoiro CAB
#15
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H09/05
ACB
Unicaja
#2
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A12/05
ACB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/09
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
W
42-27
42
27
+15
H04/10
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A12/10
Primera FEB
78.7Avg total
39.7Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.641.581.1-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.839.379.1+0.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.543.783.1-4.240%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.078.7+0.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.037.275.2+0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)40.041.581.5-1.543%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)37.044.481.4-7.440%-
vs Weaker (2)42.034.076.0+8.0100%-
This opponent (Estudiantes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Betis
#8
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H17/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
W
50-38
50
38
+12
H19/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A24/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A26/05
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#8
W
33-26
33
26
+7
H30/05
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#5
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H08/06
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#1
L
21-52
21
52
-31
H09/06
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
31-39
31
39
-8
H29/09
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H06/10
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A11/10
Primera FEB
79.3Avg total
39.1Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.939.180.0+1.853%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.837.980.7+4.981%-
Last 30 away (14)38.840.579.3-1.721%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.279.3-1.150%-
Last 5 (5)37.443.480.8-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.041.879.8-3.830%-
vs Weaker (20)42.437.880.2+4.665%-
This opponent (Palencia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Palenciatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Palencia: 79.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.1
52.2%
51.8%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.68.4
34.1%
33.7%25.2
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
73.6%13.8
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.321.2
50.1%
51.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.1
34.3%
33.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws19.513.5
69.2%
73.6%13.5
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Palencia
LWWLLWLLLL
Estudiantes
LWWLWWLLWW
#6
League position
#4
-11.7
Net rating
-13.9
106.7
Offensive rating
107.8
118.4
Defensive rating
121.7
51.8%
Effective FG%
50.7%
55.1%
Opp. effective FG%
60.6%
16.8%
Turnover %
16.2%
25.8%
Off. rebound %
31.8%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.1%
3-point %
34.3%
64.2%
Assist %
52.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence106.7 · 107.8Defence118.4 · 121.7Shooting51.8% · 50.7%3-point %34.1% · 34.3%Ball care16.8% · 16.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)30% · 60%
■ Palencia   ■ Estudiantes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Palencia wins
1
Estudiantes wins
DateGameScore
05/05/23Palencia v Estudiantes74-66
08/01/23Estudiantes v Palencia73-83
18/06/22Estudiantes v Palencia89-62
08/05/22Estudiantes v Palencia71-73
13/02/22Palencia v Estudiantes66-62
Palencialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/10/24ASan Pablo Burgos77-88
04/10/24HGipuzkoa78-69
27/09/24ATizona Burgos91-85
12/05/24AUnicaja69-93
09/05/24HObradoiro CAB75-81
04/05/24ABilbao97-80
27/04/24HBaskonia94-101
20/04/24HGranada83-91
13/04/24AMurcia77-90
06/04/24ABreogan65-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/24ATizona Burgos91-94
06/10/24HCastello108-85
29/09/24HObradoiro CAB82-69
09/06/24HForca Lleida70-85
08/06/24HTizona Burgos86-62
30/05/24HReal Betis65-54
26/05/24AReal Betis65-77
24/05/24AReal Betis84-90
19/05/24HReal Betis98-73
17/05/24HReal Betis86-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Palencia
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game82.078.084.0
Allowed / game80.769.086.5
Point differential+1.3+9.0-2.5
Avg total162.7147.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Estudiantes
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeWW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %67%100%0%
Points / game93.795.091.0
Allowed / game82.777.094.0
Point differential+11.0+18.0-3.0
Avg total176.3172.0185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ourense330100%89.067.0+22.0
2 San Pablo Burgos330100%84.371.3+13.0
3 Fuenlabrada43175%84.869.0+15.8
4 Zamora43175%84.074.8+9.2
5 Real Betis43175%78.069.0+9.0
6 Estudiantes32167%93.782.7+11.0
7 Hestia Menorca32167%73.371.7+1.7
8 Palencia32167%82.080.7+1.3
9 Gipuzkoa42250%64.066.0-2.0
10 Tizona Burgos42250%87.290.5-3.2
11 Oviedo42250%74.580.2-5.8
12 Cartagena42250%75.283.0-7.8
13 Obradoiro CAB31233%71.773.3-1.7
14 Castello41325%80.288.5-8.2
15 Estela41325%74.885.5-10.8
16 Real Valladolid41325%72.085.8-13.8
17 Alicante4040%66.071.8-5.8
18 Moron4040%65.577.8-12.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Palencia1522241980
Estudiantes3019201887
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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