Real Valladolid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 09 Apr 2024

Tip-off: 18:45

Final 73-88

31-20 13-24 12-21 17-23

Position#9

Record18-10

FormLWWWL

Points / game79.1

Allowed / game78.8

Real Valladolid

Estudiantes 🏆

Position#4

Record19-9

FormWLLWL

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game77.2

Primera FEBRound 29

Other2023-24

Meetings · Real Valladolid v Estudiantes

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Valladolid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValladolid

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

81-84

-3

67avg 68

A04/02

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

99-72

+27

93avg 68

H10/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

84-79

74avg 68

H17/02

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

84-80

76avg 68

A01/03

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

86-72

+14

74avg 68

H08/03

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

57-76

-19

50avg 68

A12/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

81-71

+10

72avg 68

H16/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

81-80

73avg 68

A22/03

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

91-84

82avg 68

H30/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

56-81

-25

49avg 68

A05/04

Primera FEB

18-14

23-20

18-25

22-25

19-15

19-17

29-15

32-25

26-18

26-17

16-18

16-26

18-14

18-22

21-25

27-19

21-19

29-16

16-13

20-24

13-19

9-25

22-19

13-13

22-24

22-19

15-12

22-16

18-23

26-22

21-14

16-21

23-26

20-22

24-16

24-20

11-28

9-20

18-14

18-19

157.9Avg total

80.0Scored

77.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	79.1	78.8	157.9	+0.4	64%
Season at home (14)	81.9	75.9	157.8	+5.9	79%
Season away (14)	76.4	81.6	158.1	-5.2	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.0	77.9	157.9	+2.1	70%
Last 5 (5)	73.2	78.4	151.6	-5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	76.6	82.3	158.9	-5.7	46%
vs Similar (13)	78.5	78.2	156.8	+0.3	69%
vs Weaker (4)	87.2	73.0	160.2	+14.2	100%

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Clavijo

#18

84-59

+25

78avg 77

H04/02

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

75-67

68avg 77

A11/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

79-93

-14

70avg 77

A16/02

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

57-77

-20

40avg 77

H03/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

88-114

114

-26

75avg 77

A08/03

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

98-83

+15

97avg 77

H12/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

65-75

-10

52avg 77

A16/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

71-92

-21

60avg 77

A23/03

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

95-79

+16

94avg 77

H31/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

83-90

-7

74avg 77

A05/04

Primera FEB

28-16

17-16

26-11

13-16

25-17

18-13

13-22

19-15

20-22

18-20

23-22

18-29

9-14

19-22

14-21

15-20

23-38

29-21

18-16

18-39

18-25

33-25

20-16

27-17

20-9

7-20

16-25

22-21

17-23

23-21

17-20

14-28

24-11

18-17

26-19

27-32

22-21

15-19

20-23

26-27

162.4Avg total

79.5Scored

82.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (28)	83.9	77.2	161.0	+6.7	68%
Season at home (14)	87.1	74.8	161.9	+12.4	71%
Season away (14)	80.6	79.6	160.1	+1.0	64%
Last 10 (10)	79.5	82.9	162.4	-3.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	83.8	166.2	-1.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	82.8	88.0	170.8	-5.2	36%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	84.8	72.7	157.5	+12.1	79%

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Real ValladolidEstudiantes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.8	40.7	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.0	19.6	41.6	+2.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.6	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.9	20.0	38.9	-1.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	24.0	41.4	-6.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	20.8	21.8	42.6	-1.1	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.3	19.9	39.2	-0.6	54%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	17.8	39.4	+3.8	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.8	17.1	38.9	+4.7	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.3	18.5	39.9	+2.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	19.6	40.2	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	19.3	20.7	40.0	-1.5	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.9	16.1	39.0	+6.8	79%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	19.1	39.3	+1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	18.4	39.4	+2.7	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	19.8	39.2	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	21.6	38.8	-4.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	18.5	18.5	37.1	+0.0	46%	-
vs Similar (13)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	26.5	16.0	42.5	+10.5	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.3	40.3	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	21.2	43.7	+1.3	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	17.5	36.8	+1.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.4	39.1	+0.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	21.5	21.5	42.9	+0.0	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.5	79%	-

Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Gipuzkoa

41-34

A04/02

Primera FEB

Caceres

#17

38-32

H10/02

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

52-35

+17

H17/02

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

36-36

A01/03

Primera FEB

Clavijo

#18

50-35

+15

H08/03

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

22-44

-22

A12/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

44-43

H16/03

Primera FEB

Melilla

#16

44-45

-1

A22/03

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

43-48

-5

H30/03

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

20-48

-28

A05/04

Primera FEB

79.0Avg total

39.0Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.2	39.9	80.1	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	43.1	37.9	81.0	+5.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.7	41.6	79.2	-3.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	40.0	79.0	-1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.6	45.6	80.2	-11.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	39.3	40.4	79.7	-1.1	46%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.3	40.5	79.8	-1.2	38%	-
vs Weaker (4)	46.0	36.0	82.0	+10.0	100%	-

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Clavijo

#18

45-32

+13

H04/02

Primera FEB

Hestia Menorca

#11

43-30

+13

A11/02

Primera FEB

Forca Lleida

38-42

-4

A16/02

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

28-36

-8

H03/03

Primera FEB

Leyma Coruna

52-59

-7

A08/03

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

#10

51-50

H12/03

Primera FEB

Alicante

27-29

-2

A16/03

Primera FEB

Ourense

#12

40-44

-4

A23/03

Primera FEB

Castello

#15

42-28

+14

H31/03

Primera FEB

Tizona Burgos

37-40

-3

A05/04

Primera FEB

79.3Avg total

40.3Scored

39.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	37.1	79.6	+5.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	44.3	38.3	82.6	+6.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.7	36.0	76.7	+4.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.3	39.0	79.3	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.4	38.2	77.6	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	40.7	42.2	82.9	-1.5	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	43.5	34.2	77.7	+9.3	84%	-

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.2	18.9	37.1	-0.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.1	18.0	36.1	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.2	19.6	37.9	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	17.1	37.1	+2.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	15.0	35.0	+5.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	16.5	20.7	37.2	-4.2	15%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.4	18.9	38.3	+0.5	54%	-
vs Weaker (4)	19.8	12.8	32.5	+7.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.3	40.2	+1.5	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	17.5	39.7	+4.6	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.6	21.1	40.7	-1.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	19.5	38.8	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	19.6	19.6	39.3	+0.0	55%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	21.6	19.2	40.7	+2.4	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.1	20.2	40.3	-0.1	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	20.0	40.6	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	20.4	39.9	-0.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.0	20.8	41.8	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	17.8	36.4	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	19.8	20.4	40.2	-0.5	38%	-
vs Similar (13)	19.8	18.8	38.6	+1.1	62%	-
vs Weaker (4)	21.5	24.2	45.8	-2.8	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	20.0	40.1	+0.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.6	22.9	43.5	-2.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	24.4	44.3	-4.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.2	25.0	48.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	22.5	26.2	48.6	-3.7	27%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	47%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.3	39.1	77.3	-0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.8	38.0	76.8	+0.8	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.8	40.0	77.8	-2.2	56%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.0	37.9	78.9	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	32.8	71.4	+5.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)	36.4	41.1	77.5	-4.7	31%	-
vs Similar (13)	39.2	37.7	76.9	+1.5	69%	-
vs Weaker (4)	41.2	37.0	78.2	+4.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	40.8	82.0	+0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.2	37.5	79.7	+4.7	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.2	44.1	84.3	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.2	43.9	83.1	-4.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	45.6	88.6	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (11)	42.1	45.8	87.9	-3.7	45%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	40.7	37.9	78.6	+2.8	58%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Real Valladolidtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Real Valladolid wins

Estudiantes wins

Date	Game	Score
26/11/23	Estudiantes v Real Valladolid	91-92 OT
05/03/23	Real Valladolid v Estudiantes	81-75
30/10/22	Estudiantes v Real Valladolid	81-70
05/06/22	Real Valladolid v Estudiantes	59-85
03/06/22	Real Valladolid v Estudiantes	67-54
29/05/22	Estudiantes v Real Valladolid	73-58
27/05/22	Estudiantes v Real Valladolid	64-60
29/03/22	Real Valladolid v Estudiantes	62-66
05/12/21	Estudiantes v Real Valladolid	81-60

Real Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/24	A	Forca Lleida	56-81
30/03/24	H	San Pablo Burgos	91-84
22/03/24	A	Melilla	81-80
16/03/24	H	Ourense	81-71
12/03/24	A	Hestia Menorca	57-76
08/03/24	H	Clavijo	86-72
01/03/24	A	Castello	84-80
17/02/24	H	Estela	84-79
10/02/24	H	Caceres	99-72
04/02/24	A	Gipuzkoa	81-84

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
05/04/24	A	Tizona Burgos	83-90
31/03/24	H	Castello	95-79
23/03/24	A	Ourense	71-92
16/03/24	A	Alicante	65-75
12/03/24	H	Fuenlabrada	98-83
08/03/24	A	Leyma Coruna	88-114
03/03/24	H	San Pablo Burgos	57-77
16/02/24	A	Forca Lleida	79-93
11/02/24	A	Hestia Menorca	75-67
04/02/24	H	Clavijo	84-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Valladolid

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	64%
Home	WWWWW	79%
Away	LWLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	64%	79%	50%
Points / game	79.1	81.9	76.4
Allowed / game	78.8	75.9	81.6
Point differential	+0.4	+5.9	-5.2
Avg total	157.9	157.8	158.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	36%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (8)	67% (3)	80% (5)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2023-24

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	68%
Home	WWLWW	71%
Away	LLLLL	64%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	28	14	14
Win %	68%	71%	64%
Points / game	83.9	87.1	80.6
Allowed / game	77.2	74.8	79.6
Point differential	+6.7	+12.4	+1.0
Avg total	161.0	161.9	160.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	39%	57%	21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	71% (7)	33% (3)	100% (4)
Overtime %	4%	7%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Leyma Coruna	28	22	6	79%	90.5	81.7	+8.8
2	Tizona Burgos	28	21	7	75%	88.9	80.7	+8.1
3	San Pablo Burgos	28	20	8	71%	87.2	78.0	+9.2
4	Gipuzkoa	28	20	8	71%	83.0	76.5	+6.4
5	Forca Lleida	28	20	8	71%	80.6	74.9	+5.7
6	Estudiantes	28	19	9	68%	83.9	77.2	+6.7
7	Real Valladolid	28	18	10	64%	79.1	78.8	+0.4
8	Alicante	28	17	11	61%	79.4	75.4	+4.0
9	Real Betis	28	13	15	46%	81.2	78.9	+2.3
10	Ourense	28	12	16	43%	73.5	78.6	-5.1
11	Oviedo	28	11	17	39%	79.6	80.6	-1.0
12	Fuenlabrada	28	11	17	39%	76.6	79.2	-2.6
13	Hestia Menorca	28	11	17	39%	70.7	75.0	-4.3
14	Estela	28	10	18	36%	78.1	82.4	-4.2
15	Melilla	28	9	19	32%	75.6	81.9	-6.2
16	Castello	28	8	20	29%	78.6	86.8	-8.2
17	Caceres	28	6	22	21%	74.6	84.0	-9.4
18	Clavijo	28	4	24	14%	67.7	78.2	-10.6

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Real Valladolid	31	13	12	17	73
Estudiantes	20	24	21	23	88

← all games of the day

Real Valladolid vs Estudiantes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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