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Real Valladolid vs Moron Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-91
21-17 20-29 17-16 20-29
Position#16
Record7-17
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Moron 🏆
Spain
Position#18
Record2-22
FormLLLLW
Points / game72.6
Allowed / game83.8
SpainPrimera FEBRound 25
Other2024-25
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Valladolid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Moron winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real ValladolidSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValladolid
Date
Competition
Ourense
#10
L
87-91
87
91
-4
76avg 63
H04/01
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
89-71
89
71
+18
82avg 63
A11/01
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
101-77
101
77
+24
98avg 63
H18/01
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
79-91
79
91
-12
68avg 63
A01/02
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
75-85
75
85
-10
59avg 63
H08/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
76-87
76
87
-11
64avg 63
A12/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
97-104 OT
97
104
-7
88avg 63
H15/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
82-95
82
95
-13
74avg 63
A02/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
W
92-83
92
83
+9
88avg 63
H08/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
69-90
69
90
-21
56avg 63
A12/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-30
26-18
18-17
19-26
25-9
24-19
21-31
19-12
30-20
29-15
24-26
18-16
15-18
19-32
26-21
19-20
18-27
15-16
20-21
22-21
20-26
18-25
23-15
15-21
21-15
16-34
31-20
17-16
16-26
21-19
19-24
26-26
26-22
22-29
20-19
24-13
20-30
15-29
23-20
11-11
172.1Avg total
84.7Scored
87.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.184.7161.8-7.629%
Season at home (11)79.687.6167.3-8.018%
Season away (13)75.082.2157.2-7.238%
Last 10 (10)84.787.4172.1-2.730%
Last 5 (5)83.291.8175.0-8.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)74.487.3161.7-12.99%
vs Similar ◀ (8)78.477.9156.2+0.562%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Moron) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MoronSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMoron
Date
Competition
Castello
#17
W
84-79
84
79
+5
74avg 60
H04/01
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
L
71-89
71
89
-18
57avg 60
H11/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
74-86
74
86
-12
61avg 60
A18/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
74-81
74
81
-7
60avg 60
H01/02
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
71-101
71
101
-30
58avg 60
A08/02
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
68-84
68
84
-16
51avg 60
H12/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
58-70
58
70
-12
46avg 60
A16/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
68-87
68
87
-19
51avg 60
H02/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
73-97
73
97
-24
62avg 60
A07/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
89-59
89
59
+30
79avg 60
H11/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-23
18-17
18-20
23-19
9-25
19-24
31-21
12-19
17-22
16-28
19-23
22-13
21-20
17-20
26-20
10-21
18-31
30-23
9-27
14-20
19-21
12-22
21-24
16-17
15-14
13-19
17-15
13-22
24-13
13-29
23-23
8-22
21-26
16-27
23-21
13-23
19-12
25-10
30-20
15-17
156.3Avg total
73.0Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)72.683.8156.4-11.28%
Season at home (13)75.984.2160.1-8.215%
Season away (11)68.683.5152.1-14.80%
Last 10 (10)73.083.3156.3-10.320%
Last 5 (5)71.279.4150.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)72.183.8156.0-11.75%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.076.8154.8+1.267%
vs Weaker (2)97.567.5165.0+30.0100%
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -4.7-4.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -4.7-4.7
Real ValladolidMoron
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ourense
#10
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H04/01
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
49-28
49
28
+21
A11/01
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H18/01
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
34-50
34
50
-16
A01/02
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H08/02
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A12/02
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H15/02
Primera FEB
Fuenlabrada
#2
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A02/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H08/03
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
35-59
35
59
-24
A12/03
Primera FEB
87.9Avg total
42.0Scored
45.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.943.680.5-6.617%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.145.284.3-6.223%-
Last 30 away (17)35.342.377.6-7.012%-
Last 10 (10)42.045.987.9-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.051.090.0-12.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.046.382.3-10.49%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.636.075.6+3.638%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Moron) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MoronLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Castello
#17
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H04/01
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#16
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H11/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
L
33-50
33
50
-17
A18/01
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H01/02
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
48-54
48
54
-6
A08/02
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H12/02
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
28-33
28
33
-5
A16/02
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H02/03
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A07/03
Primera FEB
Ourense
#10
W
44-22
44
22
+22
H11/03
Primera FEB
79.3Avg total
36.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.041.579.5-3.537%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.339.178.4+0.250%-
Last 30 away (14)36.444.380.7-7.921%-
Last 10 (10)36.742.679.3-5.920%-
Last 5 (5)35.438.674.0-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)37.043.380.3-6.323%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.837.574.3-0.767%-
vs Weaker (2)52.033.585.5+18.5100%-
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Real Valladolid wins
0
Moron wins
DateGameScore
11/01/25Moron v Real Valladolid71-89
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/25AGipuzkoa69-90
08/03/25HPalencia92-83
02/03/25AFuenlabrada82-95
15/02/25HTizona Burgos97-104 OT
12/02/25AEstudiantes76-87
08/02/25HReal Betis75-85
01/02/25AObradoiro CAB79-91
18/01/25HCastello101-77
11/01/25AMoron89-71
04/01/25HOurense87-91
Moronlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/25HOurense89-59
07/03/25ATizona Burgos73-97
02/03/25HEstela68-87
16/02/25AHestia Menorca58-70
12/02/25HZamora68-84
08/02/25ASan Pablo Burgos71-101
01/02/25HGipuzkoa74-81
18/01/25AAlicante74-86
11/01/25HReal Valladolid71-89
04/01/25HCastello84-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Valladolid
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL29%
HomeLWLLW18%
AwayWLLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %29%18%38%
Points / game77.179.675.0
Allowed / game84.787.682.2
Point differential-7.6-8.0-7.2
Avg total161.8167.3157.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)0% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Moron
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW8%
HomeLLLLW15%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %8%15%0%
Points / game72.675.968.6
Allowed / game83.884.283.5
Point differential-11.2-8.2-14.8
Avg total156.4160.1152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)33% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos2422292%89.975.8+14.1
2 Fuenlabrada2421388%85.773.8+11.9
3 Estudiantes2421388%87.477.6+9.8
4 Real Betis2418675%83.174.5+8.6
5 Palencia2417771%87.079.7+7.3
6 Obradoiro CAB2314961%80.874.1+6.7
7 Tizona Burgos24131154%89.588.9+0.7
8 Cartagena24121250%78.484.5-6.1
9 Ourense24111346%82.783.4-0.7
10 Zamora24101442%78.782.5-3.9
11 Hestia Menorca2491538%74.377.3-3.0
12 Estela2381535%75.282.3-7.0
13 Gipuzkoa2481633%76.479.4-3.0
14 Oviedo2481633%77.381.7-4.4
15 Alicante2471729%75.879.6-3.8
16 Real Valladolid2471729%77.184.7-7.6
17 Castello2471729%80.288.5-8.3
18 Moron242228%72.683.8-11.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Valladolid2120172078
Moron1729162991
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