Estudiantes vs Real Valladolid Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 12 Feb 2025

Tip-off: 19:30

Final 87-76

26-20 25-18 15-23 21-15

Position#4

Record16-3

FormWLWLW

Points / game87.7

Allowed / game78.7

Estudiantes 🏆

Real Valladolid

Position#16

Record6-13

FormLWWLL

Points / game75.5

Allowed / game82.8

Primera FEBRound 20· WiZink Center

Other2024-25

Meetings · Estudiantes v Real Valladolid

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Real Valladolid winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEstudiantes

Date

Competition

Ourense

#10

88-81 OT

76avg 76

H08/12

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

99-93 OT

92avg 76

A11/12

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

85-70

+15

82avg 76

H15/12

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

87-73

+14

77avg 76

A21/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

90-78

+12

86avg 76

H29/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

92-75

+17

86avg 76

A04/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

91-95

-4

82avg 76

H12/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

88-75

+13

80avg 76

A17/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

76-81

-5

73avg 76

H02/02

Primera FEB

Cartagena

80-70

+10

76avg 76

A08/02

Primera FEB

20-22

17-23

14-14

23-15

21-27

19-17

15-23

29-17

14-12

24-22

25-18

22-18

29-21

22-12

19-16

17-24

31-17

20-26

22-16

17-19

23-17

26-21

20-17

23-20

21-23

23-16

25-32

22-24

26-14

14-20

27-19

21-22

26-9

16-26

19-18

15-28

17-14

25-18

19-19

166.7Avg total

87.6Scored

79.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	87.7	78.7	166.4	+9.0	84%
Season at home (10)	88.7	79.3	168.0	+9.4	80%
Season away (9)	86.6	78.0	164.6	+8.6	89%
Last 10 (10)	87.6	79.1	166.7	+8.5	80%
Last 5 (5)	85.4	79.2	164.6	+6.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	91.0	95.0	186.0	-4.0	0%
vs Similar (6)	83.5	76.0	159.5	+7.5	83%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	85.1	75.4	160.6	+9.7	83%

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real Valladolid Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormValladolid

Date

Competition

Cartagena

80-76

69avg 63

A07/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

73-104

104

-31

62avg 63

H11/12

Primera FEB

Real Betis

59-89

-30

46avg 63

A15/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

73-87

-14

58avg 63

H21/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

75-90

-15

62avg 63

A28/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

87-91

-4

76avg 63

H04/01

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

89-71

+18

82avg 63

A11/01

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

101-77

101

+24

98avg 63

H18/01

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

79-91

-12

68avg 63

A01/02

Primera FEB

Real Betis

75-85

-10

59avg 63

H08/02

Primera FEB

32-21

19-19

16-19

13-17

9-32

22-23

23-27

19-22

16-25

9-24

16-19

18-21

21-29

12-22

16-19

24-17

10-24

25-14

19-30

21-22

24-30

26-18

18-17

19-26

25-9

24-19

21-31

19-12

30-20

29-15

24-26

18-16

15-18

19-32

26-21

19-20

18-27

15-16

20-21

22-21

165.2Avg total

79.1Scored

86.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	75.5	82.8	158.4	-7.3	32%
Season at home (9)	76.3	86.3	162.7	-10.0	11%
Season away (10)	74.8	79.7	154.5	-4.9	50%
Last 10 (10)	79.1	86.1	165.2	-7.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	86.2	83.0	169.2	+3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	71.4	85.8	157.2	-14.5	9%
vs Similar (8)	78.4	77.9	156.2	+0.5	62%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

EstudiantesReal Valladolid

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.6	18.3	39.9	+3.3	60%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	22.0	18.1	40.1	+3.9	59%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.1	18.5	39.5	+2.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.8	17.6	40.4	+5.2	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	15.4	38.0	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	21.0	23.0	44.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.2	17.8	42.0	+6.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.0	18.2	39.1	+2.8	61%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.2	41.4	-3.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.7	23.7	44.4	-3.0	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	20.9	38.8	-3.1	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	23.5	43.5	-3.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.8	43.2	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.1	23.8	41.9	-5.7	18%	-
vs Similar (8)	22.1	18.0	40.1	+4.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.0	20.3	40.3	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	47%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.4	19.2	38.6	+0.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	20.2	41.0	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	23.0	16.0	39.0	+7.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	15.5	22.7	38.2	-7.2	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.0	19.9	40.9	+1.1	57%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	16.6	19.9	36.5	-3.4	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.7	20.3	38.0	-2.6	14%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.6	19.6	35.2	-4.1	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.0	20.2	40.2	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.0	42.6	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	16.2	20.6	36.9	-4.4	14%	-
vs Similar (8)	17.5	18.0	35.5	-0.5	25%	-
vs Weaker	no games

EstudiantesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ourense

#10

37-45

-8

H08/12

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

40-44

-4

A11/12

Primera FEB

Alicante

#12

38-34

H15/12

Primera FEB

Real Valladolid

#16

51-33

+18

A21/12

Primera FEB

Fuenlabrada

51-43

H29/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#14

49-38

+11

A04/01

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

44-39

H12/01

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

40-34

A17/01

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#11

42-35

H02/02

Primera FEB

Cartagena

42-32

+10

A08/02

Primera FEB

81.1Avg total

43.4Scored

37.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.6	38.6	80.2	+3.0	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	42.4	39.3	81.7	+3.1	82%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.5	37.7	78.2	+2.8	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.4	37.7	81.1	+5.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	35.6	79.0	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	44.0	39.0	83.0	+5.0	100%	-
vs Similar (6)	39.7	40.5	80.2	-0.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	42.0	38.1	80.0	+3.9	70%	-

This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Cartagena

51-40

+11

A07/12

Primera FEB

San Pablo Burgos

31-55

-24

H11/12

Primera FEB

Real Betis

25-49

-24

A15/12

Primera FEB

Estudiantes

33-51

-18

H21/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

35-38

-3

A28/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#10

50-48

H04/01

Primera FEB

Moron

#18

49-28

+21

A11/01

Primera FEB

Castello

#17

59-35

+24

H18/01

Primera FEB

Obradoiro CAB

34-50

-16

A01/02

Primera FEB

Real Betis

33-43

-10

H08/02

Primera FEB

83.7Avg total

40.0Scored

43.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	42.2	77.9	-6.4	17%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.4	44.0	82.4	-5.6	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.4	40.6	73.9	-7.2	12%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	43.7	83.7	-3.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	40.8	85.8	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	34.3	44.4	78.7	-10.1	9%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.6	36.0	75.6	+3.6	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Estudiantes) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.2	39.6	+3.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.3	17.7	39.0	+3.6	65%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.5	18.9	40.5	+2.6	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	21.0	43.0	+1.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	25.0	32.0	57.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.2	18.7	40.8	+3.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	21.0	17.5	38.6	+3.5	65%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	20.6	40.0	-1.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.9	20.2	38.1	-2.2	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	23.0	42.9	-3.1	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	23.2	45.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.6	20.4	39.0	-1.8	41%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.5	20.4	38.9	-1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.1	18.8	39.9	+2.2	63%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	21.7	18.4	40.1	+3.3	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.2	19.4	39.6	+0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	20.6	41.4	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	21.7	16.8	38.5	+4.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	20.9	19.1	40.0	+1.7	65%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	20.8	39.3	-2.2	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.6	22.1	40.8	-3.5	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.5	19.6	38.1	-1.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.2	19.4	38.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	19.0	38.4	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	18.4	21.0	39.4	-2.6	27%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.0	20.1	39.1	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.5	37.1	79.5	+5.4	70%	-
Last 30 at home (17)	43.0	36.1	79.1	+6.9	76%	-
Last 30 away (13)	41.8	38.3	80.1	+3.5	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.3	39.8	81.1	+1.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	43.6	85.6	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)	47.0	56.0	103.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Similar (6)	43.8	35.5	79.3	+8.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)	41.9	36.7	78.6	+5.3	74%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.2	41.2	78.3	-4.0	33%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.0	42.8	80.8	-4.8	21%	-
Last 30 away (16)	36.4	39.8	76.2	-3.3	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.1	42.4	81.5	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	42.2	83.4	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)	37.0	41.4	78.5	-4.4	32%	-
vs Similar (8)	37.5	40.5	78.0	-3.0	38%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Estudiantestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes: 83.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀33%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	42.3	21.2	50.1%	51.8%	42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.1	34.3%	33.7%	27.3
🏀 Free throws	19.5	13.5	69.2%	73.6%	13.5

They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Real Valladolidtheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.5	23.5	58.0%	51.8%	47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	10.8	43.2%	33.7%	32.4
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.5	78.0%	73.6%	14.5

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.2	21.0	51.0%	51.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.8	8.8	34.1%	33.7%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	15.8	11.5	72.8%	73.6%	11.5

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	21.1	53.9%	51.8%	42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.4	9.9	40.4%	33.7%	29.6
🏀 Free throws	21.4	15.7	73.5%	73.6%	15.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Estudiantes wins

Real Valladolid wins

Date	Game	Score
21/12/24	Real Valladolid v Estudiantes	73-87
09/04/24	Real Valladolid v Estudiantes	73-88
26/11/23	Estudiantes v Real Valladolid	91-92 OT
05/03/23	Real Valladolid v Estudiantes	81-75
30/10/22	Estudiantes v Real Valladolid	81-70
05/06/22	Real Valladolid v Estudiantes	59-85
03/06/22	Real Valladolid v Estudiantes	67-54
29/05/22	Estudiantes v Real Valladolid	73-58
27/05/22	Estudiantes v Real Valladolid	64-60
29/03/22	Real Valladolid v Estudiantes	62-66

Estudianteslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/02/25	A	Cartagena	80-70
02/02/25	H	Oviedo	76-81
17/01/25	A	Gipuzkoa	88-75
12/01/25	H	San Pablo Burgos	91-95
04/01/25	A	Estela	92-75
29/12/24	H	Fuenlabrada	90-78
21/12/24	A	Real Valladolid	87-73
15/12/24	H	Alicante	85-70
11/12/24	A	Moron	99-93 OT
08/12/24	H	Ourense	88-81 OT

Real Valladolidlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/02/25	H	Real Betis	75-85
01/02/25	A	Obradoiro CAB	79-91
18/01/25	H	Castello	101-77
11/01/25	A	Moron	89-71
04/01/25	H	Ourense	87-91
28/12/24	A	Palencia	75-90
21/12/24	H	Estudiantes	73-87
15/12/24	A	Real Betis	59-89
11/12/24	H	San Pablo Burgos	73-104
07/12/24	A	Cartagena	80-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWLW	84%
Home	WWWLL	80%
Away	WWWWW	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	84%	80%	89%
Points / game	87.7	88.7	86.6
Allowed / game	78.7	79.3	78.0
Point differential	+9.0	+9.4	+8.6
Avg total	166.4	168.0	164.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	53%	50%	56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	33% (3)	50% (2)
Overtime %	11%	10%	11%

Real Valladolid

Primera FEB 2024-25

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	32%
Home	LLLWL	11%
Away	WLLWL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	9	10
Win %	32%	11%	50%
Points / game	75.5	76.3	74.8
Allowed / game	82.8	86.3	79.7
Point differential	-7.3	-10.0	-4.9
Avg total	158.4	162.7	154.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	11%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (6)	0% (3)	100% (3)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	San Pablo Burgos	19	18	1	95%	90.7	74.9	+15.8
2	Fuenlabrada	20	17	3	85%	85.0	74.2	+10.8
3	Estudiantes	19	16	3	84%	87.7	78.7	+9.0
4	Real Betis	20	15	5	75%	83.3	74.2	+9.1
5	Palencia	19	14	5	74%	87.2	78.9	+8.2
6	Obradoiro CAB	19	11	8	58%	80.3	74.5	+5.8
7	Ourense	19	10	9	53%	84.8	82.3	+2.5
8	Tizona Burgos	19	10	9	53%	89.4	90.0	-0.6
9	Cartagena	20	9	11	45%	77.5	85.2	-7.7
10	Zamora	19	8	11	42%	79.6	81.4	-1.8
11	Hestia Menorca	19	8	11	42%	74.4	76.6	-2.2
12	Gipuzkoa	19	7	12	37%	75.2	78.6	-3.4
13	Oviedo	19	7	12	37%	77.3	81.8	-4.5
14	Castello	20	7	13	35%	79.7	87.8	-8.1
15	Real Valladolid	19	6	13	32%	75.5	82.8	-7.3
16	Estela	19	5	14	26%	73.4	83.3	-9.9
17	Alicante	19	4	15	21%	74.9	78.7	-3.8
18	Moron	19	1	18	5%	72.9	85.0	-12.1

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Estudiantes	26	25	15	21	87
Real Valladolid	20	18	23	15	76

← all games of the day

Estudiantes vs Real Valladolid Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

Manage Cookies

Strictly Necessary

Functionality Cookies

Performance Cookies

Third Party Marketing/Targeting

A Pro feature