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Real Valladolid vs Ourense Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 87-91
24-30 26-18 18-17 19-26
Position#16
Record4-10
FormWLLLL
Points / game71.7
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Ourense 🏆
Spain
Position#10
Record9-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game79.1
SpainPrimera FEBRound 15
Other2024-25
Meetings · Real Valladolid v Ourense
04 Jan 2025
REAL87
OURE91
16 Mar 2024
REAL81
OURE71
26 Nov 2022
REAL86
OURE76
18 Oct 2020
REAL89
OURE87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Valladolid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ourense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real ValladolidSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormValladolid
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#5
L
72-76
72
76
-4
62avg 62
H25/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
W
73-68
73
68
+5
61avg 62
A02/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
78-82
78
82
-4
66avg 62
H09/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
W
67-65
67
65
+2
53avg 62
A16/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
66-79
66
79
-13
56avg 62
H30/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
80-76
80
76
+4
69avg 62
A07/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
73-104
73
104
-31
62avg 62
H11/12
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
59-89
59
89
-30
46avg 62
A15/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
73-87
73
87
-14
58avg 62
H21/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
62avg 62
A28/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
14-15
18-15
17-26
18-22
11-13
22-12
22-21
30-24
12-21
15-11
21-26
13-13
10-21
15-13
29-18
18-20
16-16
17-24
15-19
32-21
19-19
16-19
13-17
9-32
22-23
23-27
19-22
16-25
9-24
16-19
18-21
21-29
12-22
16-19
24-17
10-24
25-14
19-30
21-22
153.2Avg total
71.6Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.782.8154.5-11.129%
Season at home (6)70.787.3158.0-16.70%
Season away (8)72.579.4151.9-6.950%
Last 10 (10)71.681.6153.2-10.030%
Last 5 (5)72.089.2161.2-17.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)69.985.3155.3-15.411%
vs Similar (10)74.078.2152.2-4.260%
vs Weaker (1)86.072.0158.0+14.0100%
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOurense
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
76-83
76
83
-7
65avg 71
H26/10
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
99-66
99
66
+33
90avg 71
H02/11
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
L
86-95
86
95
-9
76avg 71
A08/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
85-81 OT
85
81
+4
83avg 71
H16/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
L
86-87
86
87
-1
78avg 71
H01/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
81-88 OT
81
88
-7
71avg 71
A08/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
69avg 71
H11/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
81-114
81
114
-33
64avg 71
A14/12
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
W
94-86
94
86
+8
89avg 71
H20/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
71-68
71
68
+3
52avg 71
A29/12
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
11-22
19-22
28-16
25-16
27-16
26-23
21-11
24-26
23-20
21-26
18-23
24-17
12-14
13-21
24-21
36-24
16-23
14-21
20-19
22-20
23-17
14-14
15-23
16-18
14-19
19-18
30-18
14-31
21-30
21-26
25-27
22-30
25-16
27-24
20-16
20-16
15-16
19-20
17-16
167.9Avg total
83.8Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.979.1164.0+5.964%
Season at home (8)89.176.8165.9+12.475%
Season away (6)79.382.2161.5-2.850%
Last 10 (10)83.884.1167.9-0.350%
Last 5 (5)81.285.8167.0-4.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)76.384.3160.6-8.023%
vs Similar (11)77.275.6152.8+1.555%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)89.774.7164.3+15.083%
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -3.8-3.8Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
Real ValladolidOurense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real ValladolidLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H25/10
Primera FEB
Estela
#14
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A02/11
Primera FEB
Oviedo
#11
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H09/11
Primera FEB
Hestia Menorca
#15
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A16/11
Primera FEB
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
34-36
34
36
-2
H30/11
Primera FEB
Cartagena
#8
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A07/12
Primera FEB
San Pablo Burgos
#1
L
31-55
31
55
-24
H11/12
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
L
25-49
25
49
-24
A15/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
H21/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A28/12
Primera FEB
75.8Avg total
34.0Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.842.176.9-7.413%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.743.781.4-6.023%-
Last 30 away (17)32.540.973.5-8.46%-
Last 10 (10)34.041.875.8-7.820%-
Last 5 (5)35.046.681.6-11.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)33.644.077.6-10.45%-
vs Similar (10)35.539.374.8-3.820%-
vs Weaker (1)50.035.085.0+15.0100%-
This opponent (Ourense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
OurenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gipuzkoa
#7
L
29-45
29
45
-16
H26/10
Primera FEB
Moron
#18
W
52-32
52
32
+20
H02/11
Primera FEB
Castello
#17
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A08/11
Primera FEB
Alicante
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H16/11
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#9
W
52-47
52
47
+5
H01/12
Primera FEB
Estudiantes
#4
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A08/12
Primera FEB
Zamora
#13
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H11/12
Primera FEB
Palencia
#6
L
35-61
35
61
-26
A14/12
Primera FEB
Real Betis
#3
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H20/12
Primera FEB
Obradoiro CAB
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A29/12
Primera FEB
82.2Avg total
40.8Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.440.077.4-2.750%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.239.476.7-2.244%-
Last 30 away (14)37.540.778.2-3.257%-
Last 10 (10)40.841.482.2-0.670%-
Last 5 (5)38.442.681.0-4.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.743.178.8-7.446%-
vs Similar (11)35.538.373.8-2.736%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.336.781.0+7.783%-
This opponent (Real Valladolid) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Real Valladolid wins
2
Ourense wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/12/24APalencia75-90
21/12/24HEstudiantes73-87
15/12/24AReal Betis59-89
11/12/24HSan Pablo Burgos73-104
07/12/24ACartagena80-76
30/11/24HGipuzkoa66-79
16/11/24AHestia Menorca67-65
09/11/24HOviedo78-82
02/11/24AEstela73-68
25/10/24HObradoiro CAB72-76
Ourenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/24AObradoiro CAB71-68
20/12/24HReal Betis94-86
14/12/24APalencia81-114
11/12/24HZamora79-73
08/12/24AEstudiantes81-88 OT
01/12/24HTizona Burgos86-87
16/11/24HAlicante85-81 OT
08/11/24ACastello86-95
02/11/24HMoron99-66
26/10/24HGipuzkoa76-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Valladolid
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeLLLLL0%
AwayWWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %29%0%50%
Points / game71.770.772.5
Allowed / game82.887.379.4
Point differential-11.1-16.7-6.9
Avg total154.5158.0151.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)0% (2)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ourense
Primera FEB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWWLWW75%
AwayWLLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %64%75%50%
Points / game84.989.179.3
Allowed / game79.176.882.2
Point differential+5.9+12.4-2.8
Avg total164.0165.9161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%38%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%12%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 San Pablo Burgos1413193%87.173.2+13.9
2 Estudiantes1413193%88.578.5+10.0
3 Fuenlabrada1412286%82.672.1+10.6
4 Real Betis1511473%83.573.9+9.5
5 Palencia1410471%87.978.5+9.4
6 Ourense149564%84.979.1+5.9
7 Obradoiro CAB147750%78.974.6+4.4
8 Tizona Burgos147750%91.190.7+0.4
9 Zamora157847%79.681.1-1.5
10 Cartagena146843%77.785.9-8.2
11 Gipuzkoa156940%74.376.7-2.5
12 Castello156940%81.387.6-6.3
13 Hestia Menorca145936%72.776.1-3.4
14 Estela145936%72.781.6-8.9
15 Oviedo1551033%76.782.1-5.3
16 Real Valladolid1441029%71.782.8-11.1
17 Alicante1421214%72.277.1-4.9
18 Moron151147%73.183.9-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Valladolid2426181987
Ourense3018172691
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