PythiaBasketballBETA
Liga A· Estadio José Jorge Conte
Regatas will host Quimsa on 17 November 2026 in the Liga A, a clash that pits a team on a steep slide against a dominant force. Regatas enters with a 2-5 record, averaging 73.3 points and conceding 75.7, while Quimsa boasts a 7-1 record, 85.2 points scored and 75.8 allowed, sitting first in the league. Regatas' home form is 1-1, 76.5 points for and 73.0 against, and they have won only one of their last five games, losing 69-79 to Argentino, 65-70 to San Lorenzo and beating Racing de Chivilcoy 80-68. Quimsa, unbeaten on the road with a 2-0 record, has won four of their last five, with recent victories over Lanus 88-71, Penarol 78-73 and a narrow loss to Instituto de Cordoba 88-92. Historically, Quimsa has won eight of ten meetings, though Regatas edged them 70-69 in the last encounter on 17 January 2026. Pythia rates Quimsa as the favourite with a 61% chance of victory versus 39% for Regatas, projecting a 75-78 score and 153.8 total points; the model also assigns a 5% probability that the game will go into overtime. The match will likely see Quimsa maintain their offensive edge while Regatas struggles to keep pace.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 73.3 | 75.7 | 149.0 | -2.4 | 29% |
| Season at home (2) | 76.5 | 73.0 | 149.5 | +3.5 | 50% |
| Season away (5) | 72.0 | 76.8 | 148.8 | -4.8 | 20% |
| Last 10 (10) | 75.2 | 77.8 | 153.0 | -2.6 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.0 | 76.8 | 148.8 | -4.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (1) | 83.0 | 95.0 | 178.0 | -12.0 | 0% |
| vs Similar (20) | 75.3 | 76.3 | 151.6 | -1.0 | 45% |
| vs Weaker (9) | 88.0 | 79.8 | 167.8 | +8.2 | 78% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 85.2 | 75.8 | 161.0 | +9.5 | 88% |
| Season at home (6) | 89.3 | 79.3 | 168.7 | +10.0 | 83% |
| Season away (2) | 73.0 | 65.0 | 138.0 | +8.0 | 100% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.6 | 73.4 | 156.0 | +9.2 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 80.0 | 73.2 | 153.2 | +6.8 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger | no games | ||||
| vs Similar (12) | 81.7 | 78.8 | 160.4 | +2.9 | 58% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 83.5 | 75.2 | 158.7 | +8.3 | 72% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 39.4 | 39.7 | 79.1 | -0.3 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 37.9 | 39.5 | 77.4 | -1.5 | 31% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 40.6 | 39.9 | 80.5 | +0.7 | 47% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 37.9 | 40.0 | 77.9 | -2.1 | 20% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.6 | 40.8 | 77.4 | -4.2 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (1) | 34.0 | 55.0 | 89.0 | -21.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (20) | 37.4 | 39.6 | 77.0 | -2.2 | 25% | - |
| vs Weaker (9) | 44.6 | 38.2 | 82.8 | +6.3 | 78% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.0 | 38.9 | 79.9 | +2.2 | 57% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 43.2 | 36.4 | 79.6 | +6.8 | 73% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 38.9 | 41.3 | 80.2 | -2.5 | 40% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 42.8 | 36.8 | 79.6 | +6.0 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.2 | 34.8 | 78.0 | +8.4 | 100% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger | no games | |||||
| vs Similar (12) | 40.2 | 39.8 | 80.1 | +0.4 | 50% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (18) | 41.6 | 38.2 | 79.8 | +3.3 | 61% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 35.8 | 18.2 | 54.4% | 36.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 28.7 | 9.7 | 32.6% | 29.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.4 | 14.6 | 72.7% | 14.6 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 32.8 | 16.3 | 54.4% | 32.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 26.4 | 10.1 | 32.6% | 30.3 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.5 | 15.8 | 72.7% | 15.8 |
Regatas
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18/01/26 | Quimsa v Regatas | 69-70 |
| 06/11/25 | Regatas v Quimsa | 66-75 |
| 01/03/25 | Regatas v Quimsa | 63-72 |
| 17/10/24 | Quimsa v Regatas | 103-85 |
| 02/04/24 | Regatas v Quimsa | 86-90 |
| 01/02/24 | Quimsa v Regatas | 98-93 |
| 13/05/23 | Regatas v Quimsa | 86-89 |
| 11/05/23 | Quimsa v Regatas | 90-87 OT |
| 09/05/23 | Quimsa v Regatas | 64-57 |
| 19/03/23 | Regatas v Quimsa | 77-75 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/11/26 | A | Argentino | 69-79 |
| 09/11/26 | A | Racing de Chivilcoy | 80-68 |
| 07/11/26 | A | San Lorenzo | 65-70 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Boca Juniors | 83-95 |
| 26/10/26 | A | Lanus | 63-72 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Olimpico | 80-83 |
| 03/10/26 | H | Instituto de Cordoba | 73-63 |
| 19/05/26 | H | Ferro | 85-87 |
| 15/05/26 | A | Ferro | 79-71 |
| 13/05/26 | A | Ferro | 75-90 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Instituto de Cordoba | 88-92 OT |
| 07/11/26 | H | Lanus | 88-71 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Penarol | 78-73 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Racing de Chivilcoy | 68-54 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Argentino | 78-76 |
| 11/10/26 | H | Boca Juniors | 105-96 |
| 06/10/26 | H | Atenas | 83-77 |
| 04/10/26 | H | Platense | 94-67 |
| 21/06/26 | A | Gimnasia | 56-68 |
| 18/06/26 | H | Gimnasia | 88-60 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLLWL | 29% |
| Home | WL | 50% |
| Away | LLLWL | 20% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 2 | 5 |
| Win % | 29% | 50% | 20% |
| Points / game | 73.3 | 76.5 | 72.0 |
| Allowed / game | 75.7 | 73.0 | 76.8 |
| Point differential | -2.4 | +3.5 | -4.8 |
| Avg total | 149.0 | 149.5 | 148.8 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 29% | 50% | 20% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWWWL | 88% |
| Home | WWWWL | 83% |
| Away | WW | 100% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 6 | 2 |
| Win % | 88% | 83% | 100% |
| Points / game | 85.2 | 89.3 | 73.0 |
| Allowed / game | 75.8 | 79.3 | 65.0 |
| Point differential | +9.5 | +10.0 | +8.0 |
| Avg total | 161.0 | 168.7 | 138.0 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 38% | 33% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 67% (3) | 50% (2) | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 12% | 17% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Quimsa | 8 | 7 | 1 | 88% | 85.2 | 75.8 | +9.5 |
| 2 |  Penarol | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 81.7 | 74.6 | +7.1 |
| 3 |  Instituto de Cordoba | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 77.9 | 76.5 | +1.4 |
| 4 |  Gimnasia | 11 | 8 | 3 | 73% | 78.0 | 75.5 | +2.5 |
| 5 |  Atenas | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 85.0 | 83.0 | +2.0 |
| 6 |  Boca Juniors | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 89.5 | 83.2 | +6.2 |
| 7 |  Olimpico | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 86.8 | 85.4 | +1.4 |
| 8 |  Argentino | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 77.9 | 79.5 | -1.6 |
| 9 |  Platense | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 79.6 | 80.1 | -0.6 |
| 10 |  Obera TC | 7 | 3 | 4 | 43% | 80.0 | 83.1 | -3.1 |
| 11 |  Lanus | 11 | 4 | 7 | 36% | 78.5 | 79.3 | -0.7 |
| 12 |  Independiente de Oliva | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 92.0 | 89.0 | +3.0 |
| 13 |  Racing de Chivilcoy | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 79.4 | 82.8 | -3.3 |
| 14 |  La Union | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 78.2 | 83.2 | -5.0 |
| 15 |  San Lorenzo | 6 | 2 | 4 | 33% | 69.5 | 77.2 | -7.7 |
| 16 | Regatas | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 73.3 | 75.7 | -2.4 |
| 17 |  Ferro | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 82.3 | 85.7 | -3.4 |
| 18 |  San Martin | 9 | 2 | 7 | 22% | 81.6 | 87.4 | -5.9 |
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