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Regatas vs San Lorenzo Prediction & Stats

Date: Mon 15 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 21:00
Scheduled
Position#15
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game74.8
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#16
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game80.8
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio José Jorge Conte
Other2026-27
Meetings · Regatas v San Lorenzo
15 Mar 2027
REGA v SAN
upcoming
06 Mar 2026
REGA69
SAN 89
16 Apr 2025
REGA88
SAN 78
14 May 2024
REGA82
SAN 66
30 Mar 2023
REGA79
SAN 73
17 Mar 2022
REGA98
SAN 72
12 Mar 2021
REGA69
SAN 62
22 Apr 2020
REGA v SAN
upcoming
01 Mar 2019
REGA85
SAN 103
06 Apr 2018
REGA78
SAN 66
12 Jul 2017
REGA58
SAN 79
10 Jul 2017
REGA78
SAN 62
14 Dec 2016
REGA71
SAN 84
28 Jan 2016
REGA73
SAN 102
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Regatas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
San Lorenzo win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RegatasArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRegatas
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
W
93-69
93
69
+24
88avg 74
A20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
77avg 74
H08/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
81-60
81
60
+21
80avg 74
H11/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
75-90
75
90
-15
62avg 74
A13/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
79-71
79
71
+8
63avg 74
A15/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
85-87
85
87
-2
72avg 74
H19/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#7
W
73-63
73
63
+10
61avg 74
H03/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#5
L
80-83
80
83
-3
66avg 74
H18/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
63-72
63
72
-9
56avg 74
A26/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#9
L
83-95
83
95
-12
71avg 74
A28/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-23
21-11
27-14
22-21
20-18
24-19
24-28
21-30
23-21
20-16
14-10
24-13
16-24
17-16
25-30
17-20
20-21
21-21
20-15
18-14
31-24
23-17
13-19
18-27
17-12
12-19
18-16
26-16
16-25
23-17
18-19
23-22
22-18
21-19
8-12
12-23
14-32
20-23
25-21
24-19
158.6Avg total
80.1Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)74.878.2153.0-3.525%
Season at home (2)76.573.0149.5+3.550%
Season away (2)73.083.5156.5-10.50%
Last 10 (10)80.178.5158.6+1.640%
Last 5 (5)76.880.0156.8-3.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.589.0170.5-7.50%
vs Similar ◀ (18)75.076.9151.9-1.944%
vs Weaker (10)88.677.7166.3+10.980%
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San LorenzoArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLorenzo
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#13
W
80-69
80
69
+11
70avg 69
H26/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
73-81
73
81
-8
64avg 69
H30/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
68avg 69
H04/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
66-80
66
80
-14
56avg 69
A12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
70-80
70
80
-10
62avg 69
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
70-76
70
76
-6
64avg 69
A18/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#4
W
89-73
89
73
+16
84avg 69
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
85-92
85
92
-7
70avg 69
H17/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
H18/10
Liga A
Platense
#10
L
58-80
58
80
-22
47avg 69
H28/10
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-14
18-21
29-22
17-12
14-22
20-23
18-21
21-15
18-26
22-23
19-14
18-20
14-17
19-28
19-16
14-19
16-21
21-26
9-18
24-15
17-21
18-19
14-20
21-16
20-22
18-18
29-14
22-19
22-28
22-17
18-26
23-21
18-21
26-25
14-17
15-15
18-16
18-28
16-22
6-14
153.3Avg total
74.1Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.280.8157.0-4.525%
Season at home (4)76.280.8157.0-4.525%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)74.179.2153.3-5.120%
Last 5 (5)75.079.8154.8-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)78.082.2160.2-4.228%
vs Similar ◀ (10)80.080.0160.0+0.050%
vs Weaker (2)79.066.0145.0+13.050%
This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -2.6-2.6Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +1.5+1.5
RegatasSan Lorenzo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RegatasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H08/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H11/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A13/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A15/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
54-41
54
41
+13
H19/05
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#7
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H03/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#5
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H18/10
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A26/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#9
L
34-55
34
55
-21
A28/10
Liga A
80.0Avg total
40.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.339.780.0+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.139.378.4-0.133%-
Last 30 away (15)41.540.181.6+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)40.439.680.0+0.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.281.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)36.548.585.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)37.740.177.7-2.428%-
vs Weaker (10)45.837.383.1+8.590%-
This opponent (San Lorenzo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
San LorenzoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpico
#13
L
34-35
34
35
-1
H26/03
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
34-45
34
45
-11
H30/03
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
40-49
40
49
-9
H04/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A12/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A15/04
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
A18/04
Liga A
Gimnasia
#4
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H09/10
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H17/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#17
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/10
Liga A
Platense
#10
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H28/10
Liga A
81.1Avg total
37.5Scored
43.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.442.580.9-4.127%-
Last 30 at home (19)39.543.583.0-3.926%-
Last 30 away (11)36.540.877.4-4.327%-
Last 10 (10)37.543.681.1-6.10%-
Last 5 (5)39.443.082.4-3.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)37.943.981.9-6.022%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.740.779.4-2.030%-
vs Weaker (2)41.538.580.0+3.050%-
This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Regatastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Regatas: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.818.2
50.8%
54.4%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.7
33.8%
32.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws19.414.6
75.3%
72.7%14.6
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
San Lorenzotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Lorenzo: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.0
55.1%
54.4%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.5
30.1%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.0
74.9%
72.7%17.0
They take 59.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Regatas
LLLWLWLWLW
San Lorenzo
LLLWLLLLLW
#15
League position
#16
+6.4
Net rating
-6.0
113.1
Offensive rating
110.0
106.8
Defensive rating
116.0
50.8%
Effective FG%
50.9%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.38
33.8%
3-point %
30.1%
43.7%
Assist %
50.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.1 · 110.0Defence106.8 · 116.0Shooting50.8% · 50.9%3-point %33.8% · 30.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.30 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Regatas   ■ San Lorenzo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Regatas wins
2
San Lorenzo wins
DateGameScore
07/03/26Regatas v San Lorenzo69-89
16/12/25San Lorenzo v Regatas70-92
17/04/25Regatas v San Lorenzo88-78
11/12/24San Lorenzo v Regatas74-79
15/05/24Regatas v San Lorenzo82-66
20/10/23San Lorenzo v Regatas69-73
31/03/23Regatas v San Lorenzo79-73
11/12/22San Lorenzo v Regatas79-89
18/03/22Regatas v San Lorenzo98-72
02/12/21San Lorenzo v Regatas84-79
Regataslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ABoca Juniors83-95
26/10/26ALanus63-72
18/10/26HOlimpico80-83
03/10/26HInstituto de Cordoba73-63
19/05/26HFerro85-87
15/05/26AFerro79-71
13/05/26AFerro75-90
11/05/26HFerro81-60
08/05/26HFerro89-95
20/04/26AArgentino93-69
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26HPlatense58-80
18/10/26HObera TC73-78
17/10/26HPenarol85-92
09/10/26HGimnasia89-73
18/04/26AObras Sanitarias70-76
15/04/26AArgentino70-80
12/04/26ARacing de Chivilcoy66-80
04/04/26HBoca Juniors77-83
30/03/26HGimnasia73-81
26/03/26HOlimpico80-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Regatas
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game74.876.573.0
Allowed / game78.273.083.5
Point differential-3.5+3.5-10.5
Avg total153.0149.5156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
San Lorenzo
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWLLL25%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %25%25%-
Points / game76.276.2-
Allowed / game80.880.8-
Point differential-4.5-4.5-
Avg total157.0157.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa660100%84.373.8+10.5
2 Penarol54180%81.274.6+6.6
3 Atenas54180%86.883.8+3.0
4 Gimnasia86275%76.272.9+3.4
5 Olimpico53260%88.683.8+4.8
6 Argentino53260%80.678.8+1.8
7 Instituto de Cordoba53260%74.674.2+0.4
8 Independiente de Oliva21150%100.095.0+5.0
9 Boca Juniors63350%88.285.0+3.2
10 Platense63350%80.380.3+0.0
11 Racing de Chivilcoy73443%82.384.3-2.0
12 Lanus83538%75.879.0-3.2
13 La Union31233%81.384.0-2.7
14 Ferro62433%82.085.5-3.5
15 Regatas41325%74.878.2-3.5
16 San Lorenzo41325%76.280.8-4.5
17 Obera TC51420%73.481.2-7.8
18 San Martin6060%84.895.2-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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