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Regatas vs Ferro Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 11 May 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 81-60
23-21 20-16 14-10 24-13
Position#4
Record23-14
FormWWWWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game76.7
Regatas 🏆
Argentina
vs
Position#6
Record25-16
FormWWLWW
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game82.0
ArgentinaLiga ALiga A - Quarter-finals· Estadio José Jorge Conte
Other2025-26
Meetings · Regatas v Ferro
28 Jan 2027
REGA v FERR
upcoming
18 May 2026
REGA85
FERR87
10 May 2026
REGA81
FERR60
08 May 2026
REGA89
FERR95
23 Mar 2026
REGA77
FERR70
27 Mar 2025
REGA84
FERR80
09 Feb 2024
REGA93
FERR47
13 Jan 2023
REGA71
FERR61
23 Mar 2022
REGA83
FERR92
20 Mar 2021
REGA74
FERR77
21 Nov 2019
REGA82
FERR83
16 Apr 2019
REGA74
FERR80
15 Jan 2018
REGA80
FERR82
25 Mar 2017
REGA92
FERR95
30 Jan 2016
REGA76
FERR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Regatas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RegatasArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRegatas
Date
Competition
Atenas
#18
W
98-90
98
90
+8
90avg 72
A14/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
67-97
67
97
-30
54avg 72
A16/03
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
77-70
77
70
+7
65avg 72
H24/03
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
89-83
89
83
+6
92avg 72
A27/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
65avg 72
H05/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
99-75
99
75
+24
91avg 72
H11/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
95-87
95
87
+8
94avg 72
A15/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
93-76
93
76
+17
94avg 72
A18/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
93-69
93
69
+24
88avg 72
A20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
77avg 72
H08/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
21-18
20-22
28-29
21-24
16-26
14-27
16-20
20-27
20-17
17-12
20-14
22-13
23-30
18-16
26-24
21-26
18-22
18-13
22-16
27-15
30-27
21-16
21-17
35-22
21-19
13-22
26-24
16-19
27-16
22-24
28-17
23-23
21-11
27-14
22-21
20-18
24-19
24-28
21-30
169.8Avg total
87.9Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)79.976.7156.6+3.262%
Season at home (19)76.373.2149.5+3.153%
Season away (18)83.780.4164.1+3.372%
Last 10 (10)87.981.9169.8+6.080%
Last 5 (5)93.880.4174.2+13.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.177.6152.7-2.653%
vs Weaker (13)86.876.9163.8+9.977%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
W
100-74
100
74
+26
105avg 75
H05/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
75-76
75
76
-1
59avg 75
H08/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
90-81
90
81
+9
82avg 75
A11/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 75
A16/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
80-87
80
87
-7
71avg 75
A20/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
97-91
97
91
+6
87avg 75
H24/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
80-78
80
78
+2
66avg 75
H26/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
75-87
75
87
-12
64avg 75
A01/05
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
84-68
84
68
+16
80avg 75
A03/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
W
95-89
95
89
+6
86avg 75
A08/05
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
30-21
29-15
25-19
16-19
22-14
16-24
19-14
18-24
23-21
25-21
20-29
22-10
21-14
16-27
20-16
24-17
25-25
22-22
18-23
15-17
29-30
24-13
17-21
27-27
21-25
29-18
12-20
18-15
20-22
23-18
21-25
11-22
22-19
26-23
22-10
14-16
18-20
19-24
28-24
30-21
166.2Avg total
85.7Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (41)84.082.0166.0+2.061%
Season at home (20)87.279.8167.1+7.475%
Season away (21)80.984.1165.0-3.248%
Last 10 (10)85.780.5166.2+5.270%
Last 5 (5)86.282.6168.8+3.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)81.0103.5184.5-22.50%
vs Similar ◀ (24)82.181.7163.8+0.550%
vs Weaker (4)88.081.5169.5+6.575%
This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.1+0.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
RegatasFerro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RegatasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atenas
#18
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A14/03
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
L
37-50
37
50
-13
A16/03
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H24/03
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A27/03
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H05/04
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H11/04
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A15/04
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#14
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A18/04
Liga A
Argentino
#19
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A20/04
Liga A
Ferro
#6
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H08/05
Liga A
86.8Avg total
45.5Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.739.279.9+1.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.938.976.9-1.033%-
Last 30 away (15)43.539.583.0+3.973%-
Last 10 (10)45.541.386.8+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)48.837.886.6+11.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (17)36.940.777.6-3.829%-
vs Weaker (13)45.637.382.9+8.385%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Argentino
#19
W
59-36
59
36
+23
H05/04
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H08/04
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A11/04
Liga A
Union De Santa Fe
#15
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A20/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
53-43
53
43
+10
H24/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H26/04
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A01/05
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A03/05
Liga A
Regatas
#4
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/05
Liga A
87.6Avg total
46.0Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.141.685.7+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.339.785.9+6.667%-
Last 30 away (15)41.943.685.5-1.747%-
Last 10 (10)46.041.687.6+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)46.242.488.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)40.558.599.0-18.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)43.440.583.8+2.958%-
vs Weaker (4)50.240.290.5+10.075%-
This opponent (Regatas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Regatastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Regatas: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.518.8
54.5%
53.7%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.9
39.0%
32.9%35.7
🏀 Free throws18.914.6
77.2%
71.5%14.6
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.9 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.9
59.2%
53.7%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.111.0
33.2%
32.9%33.0
🏀 Free throws17.612.9
73.3%
71.5%12.9
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 50% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Regatas
LWWWWWWWLW
Ferro
WWLWWLWWLW
#4
League position
#6
+8.3
Net rating
+7.2
121.6
Offensive rating
119.1
113.3
Defensive rating
111.9
56.4%
Effective FG%
54.6%
53.9%
Opp. effective FG%
54.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
39.0%
3-point %
33.2%
50.8%
Assist %
58.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence121.6 · 119.1Defence113.3 · 111.9Shooting56.4% · 54.6%3-point %39.0% · 33.2%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Regatas   ■ Ferro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Regatas wins
2
Ferro wins
DateGameScore
08/05/26Regatas v Ferro89-95
24/03/26Regatas v Ferro77-70
19/12/25Ferro v Regatas77-79
28/03/25Regatas v Ferro84-80
31/01/25Ferro v Regatas88-93 OT
10/02/24Regatas v Ferro93-47
17/10/23Ferro v Regatas71-81
08/02/23Ferro v Regatas80-81
14/01/23Regatas v Ferro71-61
24/03/22Regatas v Ferro83-92
Regataslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/26HFerro89-95
20/04/26AArgentino93-69
18/04/26ARacing de Chivilcoy93-76
15/04/26APlatense95-87
11/04/26HOlimpico99-75
05/04/26HObras Sanitarias79-77
27/03/26AUnion De Santa Fe89-83
24/03/26HFerro77-70
16/03/26AInstituto de Cordoba67-97
14/03/26AAtenas98-90
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/05/26ARegatas95-89
03/05/26APenarol84-68
01/05/26APenarol75-87
26/04/26HPenarol80-78
24/04/26HPenarol97-91
20/04/26APenarol80-87
16/04/26AUnion De Santa Fe81-74
11/04/26ABoca Juniors90-81
08/04/26HObera TC75-76
05/04/26HArgentino100-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Regatas
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL62%
HomeLWWWL53%
AwayLWWWW72%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371918
Win %62%53%72%
Points / game79.976.383.7
Allowed / game76.773.280.4
Point differential+3.2+3.1+3.3
Avg total156.6149.5164.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%37%28%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Ferro
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW61%
HomeLWLWW75%
AwayWLLWW48%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games412021
Win %61%75%48%
Points / game84.087.280.9
Allowed / game82.079.884.1
Point differential+2.0+7.4-3.2
Avg total166.0167.1165.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%45%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won54% (13)44% (9)75% (4)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Gimnasia38261268%81.576.1+5.4
2 Quimsa37251268%83.476.0+7.4
3 Boca Juniors40261465%82.178.5+3.6
4 Obera TC37231462%80.876.8+3.9
5 Regatas37231462%79.976.7+3.2
6 Ferro41251661%84.082.0+2.0
7 Obras Sanitarias41231856%80.779.0+1.7
8 Independiente de Oliva42231955%86.684.5+2.0
9 Instituto de Cordoba42231955%77.176.1+1.0
10 La Union40211952%81.880.8+1.0
11 Penarol40202050%81.481.7-0.2
12 San Martin39172244%76.577.8-1.3
13 Olimpico36152142%79.280.0-0.9
14 Racing de Chivilcoy36142239%79.481.8-2.4
15 Union De Santa Fe36132336%81.583.8-2.3
16 Platense36132336%82.385.2-2.9
17 San Lorenzo36132336%78.782.3-3.7
18 Atenas39142536%76.881.4-4.5
19 Argentino3993023%74.387.9-13.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Regatas2320142481
Ferro2116101360
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