PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
Rhode Island faces the Maine Black Bears on 10 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the model designating Rhode Island as the clear favourite thanks to a 2-0 record, 93.5 points scored per game and 62.5 points allowed per game, ranking 43rd, versus Maine's 1-2 record, 64.0 points scored and 74.3 points allowed, ranking 296th; Rhode Island's 95% win probability reflects this disparity. Rhode Island has won both of its games, averaging 93.5 points and conceding 62.5, and remains undefeated in its two home contests, with a 2-0 home record and a 3-2 record over the last five games; its recent victories include 84-66 over Monmouth and 103-59 over Holy Cross, while it suffered a 61-67 loss to Duquesne away. Maine's season shows a 1-2 record, 64.0 points scored and 74.3 points allowed, with a 1-1 road record and a 1-4 record over five games; recent results include a 62-68 loss to Manhattan at home, a 74-72 win over Sacred Heart away, and a 56-83 defeat to Providence away. Pythia projects a 80-61 score, 141.4 total points, a 95% probability that Rhode Island wins, a 5% chance for Maine, and a 1% chance of overtime. The home team's line is 80-61, and the model gives a 95% probability that Rhode Island covers the spread.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 93.5 | 62.5 | 156.0 | +31.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (2) | 93.5 | 62.5 | 156.0 | +31.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 68.5 | 66.5 | 135.0 | +2.0 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 72.2 | 61.0 | 133.2 | +11.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 71.4 | 72.0 | 143.4 | -0.6 | 43% |
| vs Similar (16) | 68.5 | 68.4 | 136.9 | +0.1 | 50% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 72.7 | 63.7 | 136.4 | +9.0 | 57% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (3) | 64.0 | 74.3 | 138.3 | -10.3 | 33% |
| Season at home (1) | 62.0 | 68.0 | 130.0 | -6.0 | 0% |
| Season away (2) | 65.0 | 77.5 | 142.5 | -12.5 | 50% |
| Last 10 (10) | 62.4 | 68.6 | 131.0 | -6.2 | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 61.2 | 70.0 | 131.2 | -8.8 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 62.5 | 70.6 | 133.1 | -8.1 | 28% |
| vs Similar (11) | 60.7 | 65.8 | 126.5 | -5.1 | 27% |
| vs Weaker | no games | ||||
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.5 | 33.0 | 65.5 | -0.6 | 33% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 34.3 | 31.7 | 66.0 | +2.7 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 30.6 | 34.4 | 65.0 | -3.8 | 27% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.5 | 30.2 | 62.7 | +2.3 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 33.8 | 26.6 | 60.4 | +7.2 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (7) | 32.3 | 36.9 | 69.1 | -4.6 | 14% | - |
| vs Similar (16) | 30.7 | 31.7 | 62.4 | -1.0 | 38% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (7) | 36.7 | 32.3 | 69.0 | +4.4 | 43% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 28.4 | 33.0 | 61.4 | -4.5 | 30% | - |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 28.5 | 32.5 | 61.0 | -4.1 | 38% | - |
| Last 30 away (17) | 28.4 | 33.3 | 61.7 | -4.9 | 24% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 28.8 | 31.3 | 60.1 | -2.5 | 40% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 27.0 | 31.0 | 58.0 | -4.0 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (18) | 27.4 | 34.0 | 61.4 | -6.6 | 17% | - |
| vs Similar (11) | 27.8 | 31.4 | 59.2 | -3.5 | 45% | - |
| vs Weaker | no games | |||||
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | Monmouth | 84-66 |
| 04/11/26 | H | Holy Cross | 103-59 |
| 12/03/26 | A | Duquesne | 61-67 |
| 07/03/26 | A | Fordham | 49-61 |
| 05/03/26 | H | Duquesne | 64-52 |
| 28/02/26 | H | Saint Josephs Hawks | 55-61 |
| 26/02/26 | A | St. Bonaventure | 76-94 |
| 21/02/26 | A | La Salle | 46-59 |
| 18/02/26 | H | St. Louis Billikens | 81-76 |
| 14/02/26 | H | Fordham | 66-70 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/26 | H | Manhattan | 62-68 |
| 06/11/26 | A | Sacred Heart | 74-72 |
| 03/11/26 | A | Providence | 56-83 |
| 07/03/26 | A | NJIT | 58-60 |
| 03/03/26 | H | UMass Lowell | 56-67 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Binghamton | 67-74 |
| 26/02/26 | A | Albany Great Danes | 70-59 |
| 21/02/26 | A | New Hampshire Wildcats | 61-58 |
| 14/02/26 | H | NJIT | 58-67 |
| 12/02/26 | H | UMBC Retrievers | 62-78 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WW | 100% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 2 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 93.5 | 93.5 | - |
| Allowed / game | 62.5 | 62.5 | - |
| Point differential | +31.0 | +31.0 | - |
| Avg total | 156.0 | 156.0 | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWL | 33% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | LW | 50% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Win % | 33% | 0% | 50% |
| Points / game | 64.0 | 62.0 | 65.0 |
| Allowed / game | 74.3 | 68.0 | 77.5 |
| Point differential | -10.3 | -6.0 | -12.5 |
| Avg total | 138.3 | 130.0 | 142.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Richmond Spiders | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 95.3 | 58.7 | +36.7 |
| 2 |  George Washington | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 83.0 | 50.0 | +33.0 |
| 3 | Rhode Island | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 93.5 | 62.5 | +31.0 |
| 4 |  Loyola Chicago | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 76.5 | 52.5 | +24.0 |
| 5 |  George Mason | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 75.0 | 52.5 | +22.5 |
| 6 |  St. Louis Billikens | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 91.0 | 75.5 | +15.5 |
| 7 |  Davidson | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 82.0 | 68.5 | +13.5 |
| 8 |  Saint Josephs Hawks | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 74.5 | 65.0 | +9.5 |
| 9 |  Duquesne | 2 | 2 | 0 | 100% | 73.0 | 64.5 | +8.5 |
| 10 |  St. Bonaventure | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 79.5 | 64.0 | +15.5 |
| 11 |  Dayton | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 82.5 | 69.5 | +13.0 |
| 12 |  VCU Rams | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 85.0 | 80.5 | +4.5 |
| 13 |  Fordham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 74.0 | 79.0 | -5.0 |
| 14 |  La Salle | 2 | 1 | 1 | 50% | 71.5 | 87.0 | -15.5 |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UMass Lowell | 3 | 3 | 0 | 100% | 85.0 | 59.7 | +25.3 |
| 2 |  Binghamton | 3 | 2 | 1 | 67% | 64.3 | 68.0 | -3.7 |
| 3 |  Vermont | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 70.0 | 67.3 | +2.7 |
| 4 |  UMBC Retrievers | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 75.0 | 77.0 | -2.0 |
| 5 |  Bryant University | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 65.0 | 69.7 | -4.7 |
| 6 | Maine Black Bears | 3 | 1 | 2 | 33% | 64.0 | 74.3 | -10.3 |
| 7 |  NJIT | 4 | 1 | 3 | 25% | 56.2 | 78.5 | -22.2 |
| Team | 1H | 2H | Final |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rhode Island | 23 | 48 | 71 |
| Maine Black Bears | 28 | 37 | 65 |
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