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Rhode Island vs Md.-East. Shore Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 13 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Projected 82-61
Projected total 142.6
Final 67-47
32-28 35-19
Position#45
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game63.3
Rhode Island 🏆
USA
Vs
96%
■ RHOD 96%■ MD.- 4%
Pythia win probability
Md.-East. Shore
USA
Position#338
Record1-3
FormLLLWL
Points / game61.5
Allowed / game70.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Rhode Island faces Md.-East. Shore on 12 November 2026 in the NCAA, and the Pythia model designates Rhode Island as the clear favourite, assigning it a 96% chance of victory, a figure that reflects the team's undefeated 3-0 season record, 86.0 points scored per game and only 63.3 points allowed, placing them 55th in the league, while Md.-East. Shore sits at 1-3 with 61.5 points per game and 70.8 allowed, ranked 329th. Rhode Island has won all three of its home games, averaging the same 86.0 points and 63.3 allowed, and has won three of its last five games, including a 103-59 rout of Holy Cross, a 84-66 win over Monmouth and a 71-65 victory over Maine Black Bears; Md.-East. Shore has won only one of its last five, with a lone 81-55 win over Cheyney Wolves and losses to Boston College, High Point and Rhode Island. The projected score is 82-61, giving a projected total of 142.6 points, and the home team's line of -24.5 carries a 38% chance of covering while the over on the 144.5 line has a 45% probability; overtime is unlikely at 1%.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rhode Island winWon
96.2%fair 1.04
Best odds1.01
Implied94.5%
Edge+1.7pp
Md.-East. Shore winLost
3.8%fair 26.67
Best odds34.00
Implied5.5%
Edge-1.7pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 11 Nov 14:18 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rhode IslandUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
81-76
81
76
+5
H18/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
46-59
46
59
-13
A21/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
76-94
76
94
-18
A26/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
55-61
55
61
-6
H28/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
W
64-52
64
52
+12
H05/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
L
49-61
49
61
-12
A07/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
61-67
61
67
-6
A12/03
NCAA
Holy Cross
#410
W
103-59
103
59
+44
H04/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#333
W
84-66
84
66
+18
H07/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#336
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
43-37
38-39
25-39
21-20
30-39
46-55
27-30
28-31
19-24
45-28
28-25
21-36
28-35
33-32
58-27
45-32
36-22
48-44
23-28
48-37
135.0Avg total
69.0Scored
66.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.063.3149.3+22.7100%
Season at home (3)86.063.3149.3+22.7100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)69.066.0135.0+3.050%
Last 5 (5)73.663.6137.2+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)69.071.2140.2-2.233%
vs Similar (16)68.568.4136.9+0.150%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)72.563.9136.4+8.662%
This opponent (Md.-East. Shore) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Md.-East. ShoreUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#233
L
66-70
66
70
-4
H17/02
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
L
65-71 OT
65
71
-6
A21/02
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
69-57
69
57
+12
H28/02
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H03/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
L
56-57
56
57
-1
H06/03
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
L
76-83 OT
76
83
-7
A13/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#170
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A03/11
NCAA
High Point
#65
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A05/11
NCAA
Cheyney Wolves
#442
W
81-55
81
55
+26
H07/11
NCAA
Boston College
#38
L
54-82
54
82
-28
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
28-31
38-39
25-33
35-27
25-22
44-35
30-23
43-54
25-26
31-31
40-34
34-40
33-40
29-43
19-31
30-32
37-24
44-31
25-43
29-39
134.9Avg total
65.1Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)61.570.8132.2-9.225%
Season at home (1)81.055.0136.0+26.0100%
Season away (3)55.076.0131.0-21.00%
Last 10 (10)65.169.8134.9-4.720%
Last 5 (5)64.473.2137.6-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)61.876.5138.2-14.715%
vs Similar (11)65.267.0132.2-1.818%
vs Weaker (5)67.862.6130.4+5.260%
This opponent (Rhode Island) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 140.5Actual: Under 140.5
Over 140.5
55.1%
@ 1.96+2.9pp
Under 140.5
44.9%
@ 2.15-2.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.96
WilliamHill
1.91
Pinnacle
1.81
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Under
Betano
2.15
Bet365
2.15
Pinnacle
1.98
WilliamHill
1.80
Marathon Be
1.74
Over/Under 145.5 · main lineActual: Under 145.5
Over 145.5
42.8%
@ 2.20-5.7pp
Under 145.5
57.2%
@ 1.83+5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
Betano
2.07
Marathon Be
1.95
WilliamHill
1.91
SBO
1.88
Under
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.81
WilliamHill
1.80
BetVictor
1.80
Betano
1.65
Over/Under 150.5Actual: Under 150.5
Over 150.5
31.1%
@ 3.20+0.4pp
Under 150.5
68.9%
@ 1.36-0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.20
Betano
2.85
Under
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.31

📊 3. Team Totals

Rhode Island total 81Actual: Rhode Island under 81
Over 81
53.6%
Under 81
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rhode Island total 85 · main lineActual: Rhode Island under 85
Over 85
37.0%
@ 1.87-12.8pp
Under 85
63.0%
@ 1.85+12.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Rhode Island total 89Actual: Rhode Island under 89
Over 89
22.6%
Under 89
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Md.-East. Shore total 55.5Actual: Md.-East. Shore under 55.5
Over 55.5
70.0%
@ 1.90+20.2pp
Under 55.5
30.0%
@ 2.47-20.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.90
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.47
Pinnacle
1.88
Md.-East. Shore total 59.5 · main lineActual: Md.-East. Shore under 59.5
Over 59.5
54.8%
@ 1.93+5.1pp
Under 59.5
45.2%
@ 1.85-5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91
Marathon Be
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.84
Bet365
1.83
WilliamHill
1.80
Betano
1.78
Md.-East. Shore total 63.5Actual: Md.-East. Shore under 63.5
Over 63.5
38.9%
@ 2.72+5.6pp
Under 63.5
61.1%
@ 1.36-5.6pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.72
Under
Betano
1.36

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Rhode Island -28Actual: Md.-East. Shore +28
RHOD -28
no forecast
@ 2.20
MD.- +28
no forecast
@ 1.70
Best 5 market prices
RHOD
Bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
2.17
MD.-
Pinnacle
1.70
Bet365
1.60
Spread Rhode Island -25 · main lineActual: Md.-East. Shore +25
RHOD -25
35.8%
@ 1.89-14.9pp
MD.- +25
64.2%
@ 1.94+14.9pp
Best 5 market prices
RHOD
Pinnacle
1.89
Bet365
1.86
SBO
1.85
Marathon Be
1.80
MD.-
Pinnacle
1.94
Marathon Be
1.91
Bet365
1.86
SBO
1.85
Spread Rhode Island -22Actual: Md.-East. Shore +22
RHOD -22
46.5%
@ 1.54-13.9pp
MD.- +22
53.5%
@ 2.35+13.9pp
Best 5 market prices
RHOD
Bet365
1.54
MD.-
Bet365
2.35

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -1.4-1.4
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +1.1+1.11st half: -2.0-2.02nd half2nd half: +1.9+1.92nd half: -1.4-1.4
Rhode IslandMd.-East. Shore
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Rhode IslandLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Louis Billikens
#13
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H18/02
NCAA
La Salle
#346
L
25-39
25
39
-14
A21/02
NCAA
St. Bonaventure
#207
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A26/02
NCAA
Saint Josephs Hawks
#75
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H28/02
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
19-24
19
24
-5
H05/03
NCAA
Fordham
#177
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A07/03
NCAA
Duquesne
#166
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A12/03
NCAA
Holy Cross
#410
W
58-27
58
27
+31
H04/11
NCAA
Monmouth
#333
W
36-22
36
22
+14
H07/11
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#336
L
23-28
23
28
-5
H11/11
NCAA
62.3Avg total
31.7Scored
30.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 67.5
Last 30 (30)31.932.464.3-0.533%33%
Last 30 at home (16)33.631.465.1+2.238%38%
Last 30 away (14)29.933.663.5-3.629%29%
Last 10 (10)31.730.662.3+1.140%30%
Last 5 (5)34.627.462.0+7.260%20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)31.035.366.3-4.317%50%
vs Similar (16)30.731.762.4-1.038%25%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)35.031.866.8+3.238%38%
This opponent (Md.-East. Shore) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Md.-East. ShoreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Norfolk State
#233
L
28-31
28
31
-3
H17/02
NCAA
Coppin State
#354
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A21/02
NCAA
South Carolina St
#336
W
25-22
25
22
+3
H28/02
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
30-23
30
23
+7
H03/03
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
L
25-26
25
26
-1
H06/03
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A13/03
NCAA
Wake Forest
#170
L
33-40
33
40
-7
A03/11
NCAA
High Point
#65
L
19-31
19
31
-12
A05/11
NCAA
Cheyney Wolves
#442
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H07/11
NCAA
Boston College
#38
L
25-43
25
43
-18
A11/11
NCAA
59.4Avg total
28.7Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 67.5
Last 30 (30)29.732.562.2-2.833%33%
Last 30 at home (10)31.528.560.0+3.060%20%
Last 30 away (20)28.834.563.3-5.720%40%
Last 10 (10)28.730.759.4-2.040%30%
Last 5 (5)30.834.465.2-3.640%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)28.836.765.5-7.815%38%
vs Similar (11)30.829.660.5+1.245%36%
vs Weaker (5)27.029.056.0-2.040%0%
This opponent (Rhode Island) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Rhode Island win
RHOD win
no forecast
@ 1.04
MD.- win
no forecast
@ 11.25
1st half Spread Rhode Island -14.5 · main lineActual: Md.-East. Shore +14.5
RHOD -14.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
MD.- +14.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 67.5 · main lineActual: Under 67.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.87
Under
no forecast
@ 1.90
Rhode Island 1st half total 41.5 · main lineActual: Rhode Island under 41.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Md.-East. Shore 1st half total 27.5 · main lineActual: Md.-East. Shore over 27.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.91
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Spread Rhode Island -15.5Actual: Md.-East. Shore +15.5
RHOD -15.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
MD.- +15.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Rhode Island -13.5Actual: Md.-East. Shore +13.5
RHOD -13.5
no forecast
@ 1.83
MD.- +13.5
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 65.5Actual: Under 65.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.83
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
1st half Over/Under 69.5Actual: Under 69.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.02
Under
no forecast
@ 1.78
1st half Spread Rhode Island -16.5Actual: Md.-East. Shore +16.5
RHOD -16.5
no forecast
@ 2.35
MD.- +16.5
no forecast
@ 1.52
1st half Spread Rhode Island -12.5Actual: Md.-East. Shore +12.5
RHOD -12.5
no forecast
@ 1.70
MD.- +12.5
no forecast
@ 2.12
1st half Over/Under 71.5Actual: Under 71.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.35
Under
no forecast
@ 1.52
1st half Spread Rhode Island -17.5Actual: Md.-East. Shore +17.5
RHOD -17.5
no forecast
@ 2.60
MD.- +17.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
1st half Spread Rhode Island -11.5Actual: Md.-East. Shore +11.5
RHOD -11.5
no forecast
@ 1.55
MD.- +11.5
no forecast
@ 2.25
1st half Over/Under 73.5Actual: Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.70
Under
no forecast
@ 1.40
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Rhode Island (regulation)
RHOD
no forecast
@ 1.05
Draw
no forecast
@ 41.00
MD.-
no forecast
@ 14.50

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
RHOD win + total 145.5
🔒 Pro
MD.- win + total 145.5
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: RHOD leads at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: level at half
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: MD.- leads at half
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: close (1-10 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: clear (11-20 points)
🔒 Pro
Winning margin: blowout (21+ points)
🔒 Pro
🔒 8 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Md.-East. Shore over 54.573.4%1.48
Pinnacle
1.78
Betano
1.35
Bet365
1.30		--+20.3ppLost
Rhode Island under 90.581.0%1.33
Betano
1.33		----+12.2ppWon
Md.-East. Shore over 51.582.3%1.30
Bet365
1.30		----+10.8ppLost
Rhode Island under 87.571.7%1.47
Betano
1.47		----+10.0ppWon
Rhode Island under 89.578.1%1.33
Betano
1.33		----+9.9ppWon
Rhode Island under 88.575.0%1.39
Betano
1.39		----+9.8ppWon
Rhode Island under 94.589.9%1.12
Bet365
1.12		----+6.8ppWon
Under 152.573.1%1.38
Betano
1.38		----+6.1ppWon
Rhode Island (regulation)95.6%1.01
Betano
1.01		----+4.8ppWon
Md.-East. Shore over 53.576.6%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+3.8ppLost
Rhode Island over 72.582.8%1.16
Bet365
1.16		----+3.3ppLost
Rhode Island over 70.587.5%1.10
Bet365
1.10		----+2.4ppLost
Rhode Island win96.2%1.01
Betano
1.01		----+1.7ppWon
Under 168.594.5%1.01
Bet365
1.01		----+0.8ppWon
Md.-East. Shore over 52.579.5%1.18
Bet365
1.18		----+0.7ppLost
Under 151.571.0%1.31
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.27		---+0.5ppWon
Under 163.590.2%1.03
Bet365
1.03		-----0.2ppWon
Over 123.588.3%1.04
Bet365
1.04		-----1.4ppLost
Under 15170.4%1.29
Bet365
1.29		-----1.5ppWon
Rhode Island over 71.585.3%1.07
Bet365
1.07		-----2.2ppLost
Under 153.575.1%1.20
Bet365
1.20		-----2.6ppWon
Under 158.583.8%1.08
Bet365
1.08		-----2.8ppWon
Over 133.571.4%1.23
Bet365
1.23		-----3.9ppLost
Over 128.580.9%1.10
Bet365
1.10		-----4.1ppLost
Rhode Island over 74.577.2%1.14
Bet365
1.14		-----4.2ppLost
Rhode Island over 73.580.1%1.11
Bet365
1.11		-----4.2ppLost
Rhode Island over 75.574.0%1.18
Bet365
1.18		-----4.8ppLost
Md.-East. Shore under 68.578.2%1.09
Bet365
1.09		-----7.9ppWon
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rhode Island wins
0
Md.-East. Shore wins
No previous meetings.
Rhode Islandlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HMaine Black Bears71-65
07/11/26HMonmouth84-66
04/11/26HHoly Cross103-59
12/03/26ADuquesne61-67
07/03/26AFordham49-61
05/03/26HDuquesne64-52
28/02/26HSaint Josephs Hawks55-61
26/02/26ASt. Bonaventure76-94
21/02/26ALa Salle46-59
18/02/26HSt. Louis Billikens81-76
Md.-East. Shorelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ABoston College54-82
07/11/26HCheyney Wolves81-55
05/11/26AHigh Point49-63
03/11/26AWake Forest62-83
13/03/26AN. Carolina Central76-83 OT
06/03/26HDelaware State56-57
03/03/26HN. Carolina Central73-77
28/02/26HSouth Carolina St69-57
21/02/26ACoppin State65-71 OT
17/02/26HNorfolk State66-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rhode Island
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games33-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game86.086.0-
Allowed / game63.363.3-
Point differential+22.7+22.7-
Avg total149.3149.3-
Over 145.567%67%-
Win by 10+67%67%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Md.-East. Shore
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWL25%
HomeW100%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %25%100%0%
Points / game61.581.055.0
Allowed / game70.855.076.0
Point differential-9.2+26.0-21.0
Avg total132.2136.0131.0
Over 145.50%0%0%
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic 10 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Richmond Spiders330100%95.358.7+36.7
2 St. Louis Billikens330100%102.371.3+31.0
3 George Washington330100%78.350.0+28.3
4 Rhode Island330100%86.063.3+22.7
5 George Mason330100%75.357.7+17.7
6 Davidson330100%75.360.7+14.7
7 Saint Josephs Hawks330100%77.370.0+7.3
8 Duquesne330100%72.766.7+6.0
9 St. Bonaventure32167%82.364.0+18.3
10 VCU Rams32167%85.770.0+15.7
11 Loyola Chicago32167%82.070.7+11.3
12 Fordham32167%75.376.7-1.3
13 Dayton31233%84.779.3+5.3
14 La Salle31233%67.384.7-17.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morgan State43175%85.265.5+19.8
2 South Carolina St43175%78.272.8+5.5
3 Norfolk State42250%69.872.8-3.0
4 Delaware State31233%74.767.0+7.7
5 Howard31233%73.777.7-4.0
6 Coppin State41325%62.266.2-4.0
7 Md.-East. Shore41325%61.570.8-9.2
8 N. Carolina Central3030%62.774.3-11.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Rhode Island323567
Md.-East. Shore281947
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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