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Rice vs East Carolina Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 75-85
0-0 34-38 0-0 41-47
Position#268
Record11-14
FormWLWLW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game74.5
Rice
USA
vs
East Carolina 🏆
USA
Position#310
Record8-16
FormWLWLW
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game76.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rice v East Carolina
14 Feb 2026
RICE75
EAST85
24 Feb 2024
RICE70
EAST52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rice winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
East Carolina winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RiceUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
W
66-64
66
64
+2
A08/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
73-74
73
74
-1
H11/01
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
89-73
89
73
+16
A15/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
65-69
65
69
-4
H22/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
81-87
81
87
-6
H24/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
83-77
83
77
+6
A29/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
70-80
70
80
-10
A31/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
86-83 OT
86
83
+3
H05/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
65-71
65
71
-6
A08/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H12/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
28-25
0-0
38-39
0-0
31-33
0-0
42-41
0-0
51-40
0-0
38-33
0-0
32-33
0-0
33-36
0-0
31-51
0-0
50-36
0-0
33-33
0-0
50-44
0-0
30-37
0-0
40-43
0-0
25-34
0-0
40-31
0-0
33-34
0-0
32-37
0-0
40-27
0-0
41-46
151.0Avg total
75.9Scored
75.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)74.774.5149.2+0.244%
Season at home (14)79.170.9150.0+8.357%
Season away (11)69.079.2148.2-10.227%
Last 10 (10)75.975.1151.0+0.850%
Last 5 (5)77.076.8153.8+0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)72.381.5153.7-9.236%
vs Similar (14)68.170.9139.1-2.829%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)87.463.8151.2+23.680%
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East CarolinaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#205
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A08/01
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
H11/01
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A15/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
70-73
70
73
-3
H18/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A22/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
63-59
63
59
+4
A23/01
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H29/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
76-75
76
75
+1
A01/02
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H07/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
88-72
88
72
+16
H12/02
NCAA
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
0-0
21-36
0-0
46-39
0-0
37-39
0-0
42-40
0-0
31-44
0-0
40-38
0-0
33-45
0-0
37-28
0-0
32-44
0-0
28-33
0-0
28-23
0-0
35-36
0-0
33-33
0-0
44-50
0-0
38-36
0-0
38-39
0-0
28-35
0-0
45-46
0-0
46-31
0-0
42-41
149.4Avg total
73.0Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)69.776.4146.1-6.833%
Season at home (16)72.074.7146.7-2.738%
Season away (8)65.079.9144.9-14.925%
Last 10 (10)73.076.4149.4-3.430%
Last 5 (5)75.474.0149.4+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)69.178.6147.8-9.524%
vs Similar (6)71.772.3144.0-0.767%
vs Weaker (3)79.072.7151.7+6.3100%
This opponent (Rice) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -3.9-3.9Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
RiceEast Carolina
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RiceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wichita State
#71
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A08/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H11/01
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A15/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H22/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
31-51
31
51
-20
H24/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A29/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A31/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H05/02
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/02
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H12/02
NCAA
68.1Avg total
33.4Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.332.266.5+2.250%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.531.067.5+5.559%-
Last 30 away (13)31.533.765.2-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)33.434.768.1-1.330%-
Last 5 (5)32.233.065.2-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)31.536.467.9-4.827%-
vs Similar (14)32.629.562.1+3.164%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.230.475.6+14.860%-
This opponent (East Carolina) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
East CarolinaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#205
L
21-36
21
36
-15
A08/01
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H11/01
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A15/01
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
33-45
33
45
-12
H18/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A22/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A23/01
NCAA
Rice
#268
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H29/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A01/02
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
28-35
28
35
-7
H07/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H12/02
NCAA
69.3Avg total
32.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.037.069.0-5.037%-
Last 30 at home (20)33.435.268.6-1.845%-
Last 30 away (10)29.240.669.8-11.420%-
Last 10 (10)32.736.669.3-3.930%-
Last 5 (5)34.631.666.2+3.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)30.638.869.4-8.224%-
vs Similar (6)34.733.768.3+1.067%-
vs Weaker (3)36.331.067.3+5.367%-
This opponent (Rice) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Rice wins
0
East Carolina wins
DateGameScore
29/01/26East Carolina v Rice77-83
06/02/25East Carolina v Rice60-73
24/02/24Rice v East Carolina70-52
24/11/19East Carolina v Rice69-77
Ricelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HFlorida Atlantic81-73
08/02/26AUAB65-71
05/02/26HNorth Texas86-83 OT
31/01/26ACharlotte70-80
29/01/26AEast Carolina83-77
24/01/26HTulsa81-87
22/01/26HTemple65-69
15/01/26AUTSA Roadrunners89-73
11/01/26HCharlotte73-74
08/01/26AWichita State66-64
East Carolinalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26HUTSA Roadrunners88-72
07/02/26HTemple73-81
01/02/26AFlorida Atlantic76-75
29/01/26HRice77-83
23/01/26ANorth Texas63-59
22/01/26AWichita State60-77
18/01/26HCharlotte70-73
15/01/26ASouth Florida71-82
11/01/26HUAB85-87 OT
08/01/26ATemple67-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rice
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW44%
HomeLLLWW57%
AwayWWWLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251411
Win %44%57%27%
Points / game74.779.169.0
Allowed / game74.570.979.2
Point differential+0.2+8.3-10.2
Avg total149.2150.0148.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%21%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %12%7%18%
East Carolina
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW33%
HomeLLLLW38%
AwayLLLWW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games24168
Win %33%38%25%
Points / game69.772.065.0
Allowed / game76.474.779.9
Point differential-6.8-2.7-14.9
Avg total146.1146.7144.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%19%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %4%6%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa2520580%86.072.7+13.3
2 South Florida2517868%89.078.4+10.6
3 UAB2516964%80.874.6+6.2
4 Temple2415962%75.270.7+4.5
5 Wichita State25151060%77.069.8+7.2
6 Tulane24141058%73.474.4-1.0
7 Florida Atlantic25141156%81.075.0+6.0
8 North Texas25141156%70.866.3+4.5
9 Charlotte24131154%73.373.5-0.2
10 Memphis24121250%74.872.8+2.0
11 Rice25111444%74.774.5+0.2
12 East Carolina2481633%69.776.4-6.8
13 UTSA Roadrunners2442017%68.880.7-11.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rice03404175
East Carolina03804785
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