PythiaBasketballBETA
Latvia-Estonian League· Komandu Sporta Spelu Halle
Rigas Juniori will host BK Ogre in the Latvia-Estonian League on 17 November 2026, with the Pythia model designating BK Ogre as the clear favourite at 89% versus 11% for Rigas Juniori, a reflection of Ogre's 4-4 record and 87.4 points per game compared with Juniori's 3-5 record and 80.0 points per game. Juniori's season shows a 3-5 record, 80.0 points scored and 88.5 points allowed per game, while Ogre sits 9th with a balanced 4-4 record, 87.4 points scored and 86.4 points allowed. Juniori's home form is 3-3, 78.8 points for and 85.0 against, and their last five games have yielded only one win, including a 89-82 victory over Keila Coolbet, but also two recent losses to BK Liepaja 69-99 and Keila KK 66-79. Ogre's road record is 1-2, 79.7 points for and 87.0 against, yet their last five games include three wins, notably 92-88 over BC Kalev/Cramo and 101-77 over Keila Coolbet, and a 88-92 loss to Ventspils. The model projects a 78-92 score for a 169.4 total, with a 2% chance of overtime.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 80.0 | 88.5 | 168.5 | -8.5 | 38% |
| Season at home (6) | 78.8 | 85.0 | 163.8 | -6.2 | 50% |
| Season away (2) | 83.5 | 99.0 | 182.5 | -15.5 | 0% |
| Last 10 (9) | 77.3 | 91.7 | 169.0 | -14.3 | 33% |
| Last 5 (5) | 78.2 | 91.6 | 169.8 | -13.4 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 77.2 | 94.8 | 172.0 | -17.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (2) | 74.0 | 80.0 | 154.0 | -6.0 | 50% |
| vs Weaker (2) | 91.5 | 84.5 | 176.0 | +7.0 | 100% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 87.4 | 86.4 | 173.8 | +1.0 | 50% |
| Season at home (5) | 92.0 | 86.0 | 178.0 | +6.0 | 60% |
| Season away (3) | 79.7 | 87.0 | 166.7 | -7.3 | 33% |
| Last 10 (10) | 89.3 | 90.1 | 179.4 | -0.8 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 87.0 | 81.6 | 168.6 | +5.4 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 84.7 | 90.8 | 175.5 | -6.1 | 27% |
| vs Similar (7) | 81.0 | 84.0 | 165.0 | -3.0 | 29% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 89.5 | 79.5 | 169.0 | +10.1 | 73% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (9) | 39.0 | 46.8 | 85.8 | -7.8 | 11% | - |
| Last 30 at home (7) | 37.1 | 45.6 | 82.7 | -8.4 | 14% | - |
| Last 30 away (2) | 45.5 | 51.0 | 96.5 | -5.5 | 0% | - |
| Last 10 (9) | 39.0 | 46.8 | 85.8 | -7.8 | 11% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.0 | 45.0 | 87.0 | -3.0 | 20% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (4) | 41.8 | 49.5 | 91.2 | -7.8 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (2) | 38.5 | 42.0 | 80.5 | -3.5 | 0% | - |
| vs Weaker (2) | 42.5 | 40.5 | 83.0 | +2.0 | 50% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 43.3 | 43.3 | 86.7 | +0.0 | 50% | - |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 45.9 | 42.4 | 88.3 | +3.5 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 away (15) | 40.7 | 44.3 | 85.0 | -3.5 | 40% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.3 | 45.2 | 90.5 | +0.1 | 50% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.8 | 40.2 | 85.0 | +4.6 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (11) | 42.9 | 47.5 | 90.4 | -4.5 | 27% | - |
| vs Similar (7) | 43.3 | 43.4 | 86.7 | -0.1 | 43% | - |
| vs Weaker ◀ (11) | 44.0 | 38.0 | 82.0 | +6.0 | 82% | - |
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| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 41.7 | 22.7 | 52.5% | 45.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 20.6 | 7.1 | 31.4% | 21.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 22.1 | 13.3 | 68.3% | 13.3 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.0 | 20.8 | 52.5% | 41.6 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.2 | 10.8 | 31.4% | 32.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 19.5 | 14.0 | 68.3% | 14.0 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | BK Liepaja | 69-99 |
| 05/11/26 | H | Keila KK | 66-79 |
| 27/10/26 | H | Keila Coolbet | 89-82 |
| 17/10/26 | A | BC Kalev/Cramo | 79-100 |
| 11/10/26 | A | BK Liepaja | 88-98 |
| 07/10/26 | H | Viimsi | 82-81 |
| 01/10/26 | H | Latvijas Universitate | 94-87 OT |
| 22/09/26 | H | Valmiera Glass Via | 73-82 |
| 29/12/25 | H | VEF Riga | 56-117 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11/26 | H | BC Kalev/Cramo | 92-88 |
| 31/10/26 | H | Keila Coolbet | 101-77 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Ventspils | 88-92 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Tal Tech | 78-82 |
| 16/10/26 | A | Viimsi | 76-69 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Latvijas Universitate | 106-81 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Rigas Zelli | 85-110 |
| 26/09/26 | H | VEF Riga | 73-92 |
| 14/03/26 | H | Latvijas Universitate | 101-106 |
| 10/03/26 | A | BC Kalev/Cramo | 93-104 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LLWLL | 38% |
| Home | WWWLL | 50% |
| Away | LL | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 6 | 2 |
| Win % | 38% | 50% | 0% |
| Points / game | 80.0 | 78.8 | 83.5 |
| Allowed / game | 88.5 | 85.0 | 99.0 |
| Point differential | -8.5 | -6.2 | -15.5 |
| Avg total | 168.5 | 163.8 | 182.5 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | 100% (1) | - |
| Overtime % | 12% | 17% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLLWW | 50% |
| Home | LWLWW | 60% |
| Away | LWL | 33% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 5 | 3 |
| Win % | 50% | 60% | 33% |
| Points / game | 87.4 | 92.0 | 79.7 |
| Allowed / game | 86.4 | 86.0 | 87.0 |
| Point differential | +1.0 | +6.0 | -7.3 |
| Avg total | 173.8 | 178.0 | 166.7 |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | 25% | 40% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 33% (3) | 50% (2) | 0% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Rigas Zelli | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 93.8 | 74.4 | +19.4 |
| 2 |  VEF Riga | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 89.6 | 75.0 | +14.6 |
| 3 |  Valmiera Glass Via | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 89.9 | 76.9 | +13.0 |
| 4 |  Ventspils | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 86.2 | 82.0 | +4.2 |
| 5 |  Tartu Ulikool | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 82.8 | 76.4 | +6.4 |
| 6 |  Tal Tech | 10 | 6 | 4 | 60% | 73.7 | 73.8 | -0.1 |
| 7 |  Parnu | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 78.9 | 78.1 | +0.7 |
| 8 |  BC Kalev/Cramo | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 84.6 | 82.6 | +2.0 |
| 9 | BK Ogre | 8 | 4 | 4 | 50% | 87.4 | 86.4 | +1.0 |
| 10 |  BK Liepaja | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 83.6 | 76.0 | +7.6 |
| 11 |  Keila KK | 9 | 4 | 5 | 44% | 72.7 | 81.7 | -9.0 |
| 12 | Rigas Juniori | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 80.0 | 88.5 | -8.5 |
| 13 |  Viimsi | 10 | 2 | 8 | 20% | 74.5 | 86.2 | -11.7 |
| 14 |  Latvijas Universitate | 9 | 1 | 8 | 11% | 76.9 | 91.9 | -15.0 |
| 15 |  Keila Coolbet | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0% | 70.3 | 91.1 | -20.8 |
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