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Tartu Ulikool vs Rigas Zelli Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 09 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 74-94
19-29 18-17 26-24 11-24
Position#5
Record2-1
FormLWWLL
Points / game87.3
Allowed / game79.3
Tartu Ulikool
vs
Rigas Zelli 🏆
Position#1
Record3-0
FormWWWWL
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game76.3
EuropeLatvia-Estonian League· Tartu Ulikooli spordihoone
Other2026
Meetings · Tartu Ulikool v Rigas Zelli
09 Oct 2026
TUL74
RZE94
14 Feb 2026
TUL83
RZE80
18 Oct 2024
TUL77
RZE71
06 Oct 2023
TUL63
RZE56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Tartu Ulikool winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rigas Zelli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUlikool
Date
Competition
Parnu
#9
W
80-71
80
71
+9
74avg 80
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
W
89-88 OT
89
88
+1
82avg 80
A23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
98-85
98
85
+13
no box
H28/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
83-86
83
86
-3
74avg 80
A01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
89-81
89
81
+8
83avg 80
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
95-100
95
100
-5
82avg 80
H08/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
90-63
90
63
+27
89avg 80
H24/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
86avg 80
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
79avg 80
A02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 80
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-21
25-20
22-13
21-17
16-20
13-15
23-20
22-19
22-19
26-29
27-26
23-11
13-22
24-23
30-20
16-21
15-30
28-16
26-16
20-19
26-26
17-29
34-22
18-23
21-18
30-18
12-18
27-9
25-20
23-22
20-24
19-17
23-25
32-27
13-20
17-20
12-36
17-19
20-19
27-29
172.4Avg total
87.2Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)87.379.3166.7+8.067%
Season at home (1)90.063.0153.0+27.0100%
Season away (2)86.087.5173.5-1.550%
Last 10 (10)87.285.2172.4+2.060%
Last 5 (5)86.688.2174.8-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)82.286.9169.2-4.742%
vs Similar (4)83.288.0171.2-4.850%
vs Weaker (14)89.775.3165.0+14.493%
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZelli
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
W
83-69
83
69
+14
81avg 84
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
86-93
86
93
-7
78avg 84
H22/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
100-102 OT
100
102
-2
95avg 84
A25/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#3
L
80-81
80
81
-1
69avg 84
H05/04
ENBL
Voluntari
#3
L
91-96
91
96
-5
82avg 84
A09/04
ENBL
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
94-71
94
71
+23
98avg 84
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
W
79-73
79
73
+6
72avg 84
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tortona
#18
W
86-84
86
84
+2
77avg 84
H30/09
Eurocup
BK Ogre
#9
W
110-85
110
85
+25
120avg 84
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rostock
#28
L
86-87
86
87
-1
75avg 84
A06/10
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
18-16
26-18
23-14
21-27
22-26
23-17
20-23
21-24
26-23
22-20
18-20
23-25
19-11
24-24
14-21
27-28
25-21
23-20
16-27
20-18
21-17
26-20
27-16
18-27
21-10
18-14
22-22
31-21
19-25
13-16
23-22
34-15
28-21
29-23
19-26
26-20
15-22
25-22
20-23
173.6Avg total
89.5Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)94.376.3170.7+18.0100%
Season at home (1)110.085.0195.0+25.0100%
Season away (2)86.572.0158.5+14.5100%
Last 10 (10)89.584.1173.6+5.450%
Last 5 (5)91.080.0171.0+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)86.788.4175.1-1.729%
vs Similar (9)87.890.3178.1-2.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)89.880.2170.1+9.677%
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -5.2-5.2Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +3.5+3.5Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -1.2-1.2
Tartu UlikoolRigas Zelli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Tartu UlikoolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Parnu
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Parnu
#9
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A23/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H28/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
37-45
37
45
-8
A01/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
43-46
43
46
-3
H03/04
Latvia-Estonian League
Valmiera Glass Via
#1
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H08/04
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#8
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H24/09
Latvia-Estonian League
BK Liepaja
#10
W
48-42
48
42
+6
A30/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Ventspils
#4
W
55-52
55
52
+3
A02/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Dziki Warszawa
#8
L
29-55
29
55
-26
H06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
87.5Avg total
42.0Scored
45.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.041.984.9+1.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.842.283.0-1.525%-
Last 30 away (14)45.641.687.1+4.071%-
Last 10 (10)42.045.587.5-3.530%-
Last 5 (5)45.248.093.2-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)38.145.483.5-7.38%-
vs Similar (4)48.045.093.0+3.075%-
vs Weaker (14)45.838.183.9+7.771%-
This opponent (Rigas Zelli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Rigas ZelliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
34-37
34
37
-3
A20/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H22/03
Latvia-Estonian League
BC Kalev/Cramo
#5
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A25/03
Latvia-Estonian League
Voluntari
#3
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H05/04
ENBL
Voluntari
#3
W
52-49
52
49
+3
A09/04
ENBL
Keila Coolbet
#15
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A25/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tal Tech
#6
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A26/09
Latvia-Estonian League
Tortona
#18
W
50-46
50
46
+4
H30/09
Eurocup
BK Ogre
#9
W
62-36
62
36
+26
H03/10
Latvia-Estonian League
Rostock
#28
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A06/10
Eurocup
86.9Avg total
45.1Scored
41.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.142.186.2+2.157%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.841.184.9+2.757%-
Last 30 away (16)44.442.987.4+1.556%-
Last 10 (10)45.141.886.9+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)46.639.285.8+7.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)41.644.686.1-3.043%-
vs Similar (9)43.245.388.6-2.133%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.939.685.5+6.377%-
This opponent (Tartu Ulikool) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Tartu Ulikooltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Tartu Ulikool: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.3 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.919.5
52.8%
52.5%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.78.9
30.0%
31.4%26.7
🏀 Free throws27.919.3
69.2%
68.3%19.3
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rigas Zellitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rigas Zelli: 89.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.7 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.6 points a game
52%
30%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.0
55.1%
52.5%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.59.3
35.1%
31.4%27.9
🏀 Free throws28.021.7
77.5%
68.3%21.7
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Tartu Ulikool
LLWWLWLWWW
Rigas Zelli
LWWWWLLLLW
#5
League position
#1
+0.5
Net rating
+6.1
92.3
Offensive rating
100.2
91.7
Defensive rating
94.0
49.3%
Effective FG%
54.1%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
50.1%
13.8%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.45
30.0%
3-point %
35.1%
64.4%
Assist %
59.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence92.3 · 100.2Defence91.7 · 94.0Shooting49.3% · 54.1%3-point %30.0% · 35.1%Ball care13.8% · 15.1%Free throws0.42 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Tartu Ulikool   ■ Rigas Zelli
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Tartu Ulikool wins
2
Rigas Zelli wins
DateGameScore
14/02/26Tartu Ulikool v Rigas Zelli83-80
27/12/25Rigas Zelli v Tartu Ulikool76-78
28/12/24Rigas Zelli v Tartu Ulikool79-65
18/10/24Tartu Ulikool v Rigas Zelli77-71
16/03/24Rigas Zelli v Tartu Ulikool59-56
06/10/23Tartu Ulikool v Rigas Zelli63-56
Tartu Ulikoollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/26HDziki Warszawa76-103
02/10/26AVentspils85-92
30/09/26ABK Liepaja87-83
24/09/26HBC Kalev/Cramo90-63
08/04/26HValmiera Glass Via95-100
03/04/26HBC Kalev/Cramo89-81
01/04/26ABC Kalev/Cramo83-86
28/03/26HBC Kalev/Cramo98-85
23/03/26AParnu89-88 OT
20/03/26HParnu80-71
Rigas Zellilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/10/26ARostock86-87
03/10/26HBK Ogre110-85
30/09/26HTortona86-84
26/09/26ATal Tech79-73
25/09/26AKeila Coolbet94-71
09/04/26AVoluntari91-96
05/04/26HVoluntari80-81
25/03/26ABC Kalev/Cramo100-102 OT
22/03/26HBC Kalev/Cramo86-93
20/03/26ABC Kalev/Cramo83-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Tartu Ulikool
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWL67%
HomeW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %67%100%50%
Points / game87.390.086.0
Allowed / game79.363.087.5
Point differential+8.0+27.0-1.5
Avg total166.7153.0173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rigas Zelli
Latvia-Estonian League 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.3110.086.5
Allowed / game76.385.072.0
Point differential+18.0+25.0+14.5
Avg total170.7195.0158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 VEF Riga440100%92.063.5+28.5
2 Valmiera Glass Via440100%95.271.8+23.5
3 Rigas Zelli330100%94.376.3+18.0
4 Tartu Ulikool32167%87.379.3+8.0
5 Ventspils32167%92.091.7+0.3
6 Rigas Juniori32167%83.083.3-0.3
7 BC Kalev/Cramo32167%77.078.0-1.0
8 Tal Tech21150%79.071.5+7.5
9 Parnu21150%77.076.0+1.0
10 Latvijas Universitate41325%82.595.8-13.2
11 BK Liepaja3030%70.381.7-11.3
12 Viimsi3030%70.385.3-15.0
13 BK Ogre2020%79.0101.0-22.0
14 Keila Coolbet3030%68.091.3-23.3
15 Keila KK2020%71.098.0-27.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Tartu Ulikool1918261174
Rigas Zelli2917242494
← all games of the day
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