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Rimini vs Mestre Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 91-76
20-16 26-23 29-17 16-20
Position#5
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game74.0
Allowed / game70.0
Rimini 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#14
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game67.3
Allowed / game77.3
ItalySerie A2Round 4· Palasport Flaminio
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rimini v Mestre
18 Oct 2026
RIMI91
MEST76
05 Apr 2026
RIMI95
MEST81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rimini winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mestre winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
L
69-85
69
85
-16
A23/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
83-66
83
66
+17
H26/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
87-76
87
76
+11
H28/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A07/06
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
76-84
76
84
-8
A09/06
Serie A2
Verona
#2
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H12/06
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
75-83
75
83
-8
H14/06
Serie A2
Montecatini
#18
W
84-59
84
59
+25
A27/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
L
72-73
72
73
-1
H04/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
66-78
66
78
-12
A11/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
17-13
18-33
16-20
22-19
27-14
19-23
15-10
21-25
24-22
24-12
18-17
24-22
18-29
18-20
14-13
20-17
17-23
21-13
18-31
21-20
20-21
27-11
14-18
16-30
28-16
17-15
14-22
20-21
14-18
28-13
22-7
23-23
22-11
11-21
16-18
16-28
19-4
21-22
10-24
152.6Avg total
76.8Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)74.070.0144.0+4.033%
Season at home (1)72.073.0145.0-1.00%
Season away (2)75.068.5143.5+6.550%
Last 10 (10)76.875.8152.6+1.040%
Last 5 (5)75.872.6148.4+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (21)82.982.3165.2+0.643%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)83.876.8160.6+7.067%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H21/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
86-70
86
70
+16
H28/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A05/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H08/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A12/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
H18/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
82-83
82
83
-1
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#4
W
79-57
79
57
+22
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
49-88
49
88
-39
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
74-87
74
87
-13
H10/10
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
18-29
23-32
8-15
14-11
27-20
26-15
19-24
16-22
22-28
21-24
22-21
22-26
24-19
20-24
17-16
11-21
21-29
16-20
20-17
26-17
13-28
19-21
24-24
24-21
26-29
20-16
12-17
23-15
19-26
21-11
16-5
9-19
11-22
12-26
17-21
27-25
21-25
15-19
11-18
159.4Avg total
75.9Scored
83.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.377.3144.7-10.033%
Season at home (2)61.587.5149.0-26.00%
Season away (1)79.057.0136.0+22.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.983.5159.4-7.620%
Last 5 (5)73.281.0154.2-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)74.281.2155.4-7.035%
vs Similar (12)78.779.9158.6-1.242%
vs Weaker (1)74.078.0152.0-4.00%
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +3.5+3.5Q2: -5.3-5.3Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: -2.3-2.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
RiminiMestre
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A23/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
49-33
49
33
+16
H26/05
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H28/05
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A07/06
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A09/06
Serie A2
Verona
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H12/06
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H14/06
Serie A2
Montecatini
#18
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A27/09
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#2
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H04/10
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A11/10
Serie A2
80.2Avg total
40.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.542.284.7+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.142.886.9+1.347%-
Last 30 away (15)41.041.582.5-0.547%-
Last 10 (10)40.739.580.2+1.240%-
Last 5 (5)39.838.478.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (21)42.542.985.4-0.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)42.740.483.1+2.267%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pesaro
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H21/03
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
41-31
41
31
+10
H28/03
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A05/04
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H08/04
Serie A2
Verona
#2
L
32-50
32
50
-18
A12/04
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H18/04
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
D
50-50
50
50
+0
A26/04
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#4
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A27/09
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
20-41
20
41
-21
H03/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H10/10
Serie A2
84.9Avg total
40.0Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.841.580.4-2.743%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.541.380.8-1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)38.141.879.9-3.736%-
Last 10 (10)40.044.984.9-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)39.845.485.2-5.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)37.142.479.5-5.335%-
vs Similar (12)40.440.280.6+0.250%-
vs Weaker (1)49.043.092.0+6.0100%-
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.516.2
47.0%
51.5%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.29.0
35.7%
34.5%27.0
🏀 Free throws16.611.8
71.1%
70.9%11.8
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.3 points a game
47%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.816.5
46.1%
51.5%33.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.48.4
31.8%
34.5%25.2
🏀 Free throws21.715.9
73.3%
70.9%15.9
They take 62.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rimini
LLWLWLLWWL
Mestre
LLWLLLLLWL
#5
League position
#14
+0.5
Net rating
-8.4
94.6
Offensive rating
89.9
94.1
Defensive rating
98.2
49.7%
Effective FG%
46.8%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.5%
11.0%
Turnover %
12.9%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.35
35.7%
3-point %
31.8%
57.9%
Assist %
45.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence94.6 · 89.9Defence94.1 · 98.2Shooting49.7% · 46.8%3-point %35.7% · 31.8%Ball care11.0% · 12.9%Free throws0.28 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Rimini   ■ Mestre
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Rimini wins
0
Mestre wins
DateGameScore
05/04/26Rimini v Mestre95-81
12/10/25Mestre v Rimini73-92
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/10/26AFortitudo Bologna66-78
04/10/26HAvellino Basket72-73
27/09/26AMontecatini84-59
14/06/26HVerona75-83
12/06/26HVerona82-70
09/06/26AVerona76-84
07/06/26AVerona74-84
28/05/26HCividale87-76
26/05/26HCividale83-66
23/05/26ACividale69-85
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/10/26HSassari74-87
03/10/26HLibertas Livorno49-88
27/09/26ABasket Torino79-57
26/04/26AJuVi Cremona82-83
18/04/26HLibertas Livorno82-90
12/04/26AVerona68-87
08/04/26HAvellino Basket83-85
05/04/26ARimini81-95
28/03/26HBrindisi86-70
21/03/26HPesaro75-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rimini
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game74.072.075.0
Allowed / game70.073.068.5
Point differential+4.0-1.0+6.5
Avg total144.0145.0143.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mestre
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game67.361.579.0
Allowed / game77.387.557.0
Point differential-10.0-26.0+22.0
Avg total144.7149.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna440100%86.071.5+14.5
2 Libertas Livorno440100%78.264.0+14.2
3 Avellino Basket440100%82.871.0+11.8
4 Sebastiani Rieti330100%79.369.0+10.3
5 Pesaro330100%88.780.7+8.0
6 Brindisi43175%81.875.8+6.0
7 Sassari43175%77.273.2+4.0
8 Basket Torino43175%75.574.0+1.5
9 Forli32167%82.078.3+3.7
10 Rimini31233%74.070.0+4.0
11 Ruvo Di Puglia31233%83.088.7-5.7
12 Mestre31233%67.377.3-10.0
13 Cento41325%80.586.0-5.5
14 Cividale41325%68.880.2-11.5
15 Montecatini41325%71.885.8-14.0
16 JuVi Cremona3030%72.076.0-4.0
17 Caserta3030%77.082.3-5.3
18 Pistoia3030%69.775.0-5.3
19 Urania Milano4040%77.284.2-7.0
20 Vigevano3030%73.788.0-14.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rimini2026291691
Mestre1623172076
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