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Mestre vs Brindisi Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 86-70
14-11 27-20 26-15 19-24
Position#15
Record13-18
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game80.8
Mestre 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#9
Record21-10
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game73.0
ItalySerie A2Round 33· Palasport Taliercio
Other2025-26
Meetings · Mestre v Brindisi
31 Oct 2026
MEST70
BRI63
28 Mar 2026
MEST86
BRI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mestre winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Brindisi winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MestreItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMestre
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
72-90
72
90
-18
no box
A17/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
85-77
85
77
+8
79avg 67
A21/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
L
74-78
74
78
-4
59avg 67
H24/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
81-80
81
80
+1
70avg 67
H31/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
80-82 OT
80
82
-2
66avg 67
A08/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
73-75
73
75
-2
58avg 67
A15/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
90-85
90
85
+5
83avg 67
H21/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
84-93
84
93
-9
72avg 67
H27/02
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
82-61
82
61
+21
74avg 67
A07/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
75-93
75
93
-18
63avg 67
H21/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-31
15-17
16-30
22-12
15-18
21-14
34-20
15-25
27-19
22-24
19-15
6-20
27-18
22-20
15-23
17-19
22-24
15-20
18-14
19-16
26-22
12-17
16-20
19-16
28-18
17-26
23-15
22-26
25-24
17-26
21-19
21-24
23-17
19-16
28-16
12-12
26-17
18-29
23-32
8-15
161.0Avg total
79.6Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)77.880.8158.6-3.042%
Season at home (16)78.183.0161.1-4.944%
Season away (15)77.578.5156.0-0.940%
Last 10 (10)79.681.4161.0-1.840%
Last 5 (5)80.881.4162.2-0.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)75.983.6159.5-7.829%
vs Similar (14)81.179.2160.4+1.957%
vs Weaker (2)76.574.5151.0+2.050%
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBrindisi
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
86-66
86
66
+20
no box
H17/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
73-81
73
81
-8
64avg 70
A21/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
83-67
83
67
+16
83avg 70
H25/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
82-90
82
90
-8
72avg 70
A30/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
93-74
93
74
+19
89avg 70
H15/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
98-67
98
67
+31
101avg 70
H21/02
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
79-74
79
74
+5
76avg 70
A25/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
70-84
70
84
-14
no box
A08/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
90-81
90
81
+9
79avg 70
H21/03
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
75-74
75
74
+1
65avg 70
A25/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
18-14
18-21
26-14
21-23
13-20
18-20
21-18
26-16
19-14
18-17
20-20
21-24
16-17
18-25
27-24
21-21
23-16
25-21
24-16
22-18
26-14
21-20
29-15
23-29
22-16
21-11
13-18
16-13
20-31
16-17
18-23
21-25
26-10
23-22
20-24
15-20
24-19
19-19
17-16
158.7Avg total
82.9Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)78.673.0151.5+5.668%
Season at home (15)83.169.9152.9+13.293%
Season away (16)74.475.9150.2-1.544%
Last 10 (10)82.975.8158.7+7.170%
Last 5 (5)82.476.0158.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)77.174.8151.9+2.356%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)79.571.5151.0+8.083%
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -3.1-3.1Q2: +3.6+3.6Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.4+0.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +2.7+2.7
MestreBrindisi
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MestreLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A17/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A21/01
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#16
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H24/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H31/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A08/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A15/02
Serie A2
Pistoia
#19
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H21/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H27/02
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A07/03
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H21/03
Serie A2
83.3Avg total
41.6Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.781.5-1.947%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.642.683.1-2.050%-
Last 30 away (14)38.940.679.6-1.743%-
Last 10 (10)41.641.783.3-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.484.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)38.843.382.1-4.536%-
vs Similar (14)40.640.981.4-0.350%-
vs Weaker (2)41.536.077.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Brindisi) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BrindisiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Urania Milano
#14
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H17/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A21/01
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#6
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H25/01
Serie A2
Pesaro
#3
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A30/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H15/02
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H21/02
Serie A2
Forli
#17
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A25/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A08/03
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H21/03
Serie A2
Cento
#18
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A25/03
Serie A2
79.4Avg total
41.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.936.175.0+2.957%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.935.076.9+6.980%-
Last 30 away (15)35.937.173.1-1.233%-
Last 10 (10)41.737.779.4+4.050%-
Last 5 (5)43.039.082.0+4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (18)39.236.375.5+2.856%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)38.635.774.2+2.958%-
This opponent (Mestre) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mestretheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mestre: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.917.6
44.1%
50.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.89.1
34.0%
34.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.415.1
74.0%
74.4%15.1
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Brindisitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Brindisi: 80.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.018.5
56.1%
50.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.8
35.8%
34.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws20.014.4
72.0%
74.4%14.4
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mestre
LWLWLLWLWL
Brindisi
WWLWWWLWLW
#15
League position
#9
-3.7
Net rating
+9.4
91.6
Offensive rating
100.8
95.3
Defensive rating
91.5
46.9%
Effective FG%
55.0%
49.8%
Opp. effective FG%
50.4%
11.0%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.0%
3-point %
35.8%
47.9%
Assist %
59.0%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence91.6 · 100.8Defence95.3 · 91.5Shooting46.9% · 55.0%3-point %34.0% · 35.8%Ball care11.0% · 15.5%Off. rebounds- · 24.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Mestre   ■ Brindisi
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Mestre wins
1
Brindisi wins
DateGameScore
03/12/25Brindisi v Mestre83-72
Mestrelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HPesaro75-93
07/03/26ACento82-61
27/02/26HUrania Milano84-93
21/02/26HPistoia90-85
15/02/26ABasket Torino73-75
08/02/26ASebastiani Rieti80-82 OT
31/01/26HScafati81-80
24/01/26HRuvo Di Puglia74-78
21/01/26ARoseto85-77
17/01/26AFortitudo Bologna72-90
Brindisilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/26ACento75-74
21/03/26HSebastiani Rieti90-81
08/03/26ARimini70-84
25/02/26AForli79-74
21/02/26HBasket Torino98-67
15/02/26HRoseto93-74
30/01/26APesaro82-90
25/01/26HAvellino Basket83-67
21/01/26ACividale73-81
17/01/26HUrania Milano86-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mestre
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL42%
HomeLWWLL44%
AwayLWLLW40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %42%44%40%
Points / game77.878.177.5
Allowed / game80.883.078.5
Point differential-3.0-4.9-0.9
Avg total158.6161.1156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%6%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (14)62% (8)33% (6)
Overtime %3%0%7%
Brindisi
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW68%
HomeWWWWW93%
AwayLLWLW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311516
Win %68%93%44%
Points / game78.683.174.4
Allowed / game73.069.975.9
Point differential+5.6+13.2-1.5
Avg total151.5152.9150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%53%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (8)67% (3)80% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro3223972%82.277.9+4.4
2 Brindisi31211068%78.673.0+5.6
3 Scafati32211166%82.877.8+5.0
4 Fortitudo Bologna32211166%77.373.6+3.8
5 Verona32201262%77.973.6+4.4
6 Avellino Basket31191261%82.279.3+3.0
7 Libertas Livorno32191359%79.073.0+5.9
8 Cividale32191359%77.975.9+2.0
9 Sebastiani Rieti32191359%78.976.9+2.0
10 Rimini31181358%81.378.0+3.3
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona32151747%74.677.3-2.8
13 Basket Torino32141844%73.174.3-1.2
14 Urania Milano32141844%80.282.5-2.2
15 Mestre31131842%77.880.8-3.0
16 Forli31112035%76.780.7-4.0
17 Ruvo Di Puglia31102132%77.486.9-9.5
18 Cento32102231%77.781.2-3.5
19 Pistoia3282425%76.882.5-5.7
20 Roseto3152616%77.685.0-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mestre1427261986
Brindisi1120152470
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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