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Rimini vs Monferrato Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 31 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 93-77
27-19 20-20 19-21 27-17
Position#10
Record14-14
FormLWWWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game76.1
vs
Position#24
Record6-22
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game84.6
ItalySerie A2Round 29· Palasport Flaminio
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rimini winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

RiminiItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRimini
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
L
67-69
67
69
-2
60avg 70
H13/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
83-65
83
65
+18
78avg 70
H21/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
90-76
90
76
+14
85avg 70
A28/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
78-73
78
73
+5
70avg 70
H04/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
73-61
73
61
+12
70avg 70
H11/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
86-93
86
93
-7
80avg 70
A18/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
84-83
84
83
+1
80avg 70
A03/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
82-72
82
72
+10
80avg 70
H10/03
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
92-73
92
73
+19
97avg 70
H17/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
64-58
64
58
+6
60avg 70
A25/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-11
18-19
21-18
12-21
27-13
20-13
16-23
20-16
22-11
22-23
20-16
26-26
24-22
25-10
10-17
19-24
21-16
22-17
10-13
20-15
25-25
20-25
16-25
25-18
21-20
24-23
20-16
19-24
26-20
18-17
27-17
11-18
27-23
17-14
25-20
23-16
14-15
20-9
22-20
8-14
152.2Avg total
79.9Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.876.1153.8+1.750%
Season at home (14)77.173.4150.5+3.864%
Season away (14)78.478.8157.1-0.436%
Last 10 (10)79.972.3152.2+7.680%
Last 5 (5)81.675.8157.4+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.081.8156.8-6.825%
vs Similar (14)76.180.4156.4-4.329%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)78.970.0148.9+8.975%
This opponent (Monferrato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonferrato
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
62avg 69
H14/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
103-94
103
94
+9
95avg 69
A21/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
71-92
71
92
-21
61avg 69
H26/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
75-92
75
92
-17
65avg 69
A04/02
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
73-79
73
79
-6
65avg 69
A10/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
89-67
89
67
+22
83avg 69
H18/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
76-89
76
89
-13
66avg 69
A24/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
79-80
79
80
-1
69avg 69
H03/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
L
80-100
80
100
-20
74avg 69
A09/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
75-77
75
77
-2
68avg 69
H23/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-24
13-21
17-13
16-24
24-19
29-19
22-26
28-30
17-21
16-26
20-21
18-24
14-19
18-27
19-20
24-26
17-16
20-24
19-17
17-22
12-21
16-18
33-10
28-18
18-18
20-22
17-21
21-28
14-15
18-21
24-25
23-19
18-25
26-16
18-30
18-29
13-20
21-20
21-21
20-16
164.4Avg total
79.2Scored
85.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)79.484.6164.0-5.121%
Season at home (14)77.979.4157.2-1.536%
Season away (14)81.089.8170.8-8.87%
Last 10 (10)79.285.2164.4-6.020%
Last 5 (5)79.882.6162.4-2.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)79.485.2164.6-5.817%
vs Similar (18)80.382.8163.1-2.433%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -2.6-2.6Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: +0.6+0.6Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: -2.3-2.3
RiminiMonferrato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
RiminiLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cividale
#11
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H13/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
47-26
47
26
+21
H21/01
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A28/01
Serie A2
Udine
#6
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H04/02
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H11/02
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A18/02
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A03/03
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H10/03
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H17/03
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
W
34-24
34
24
+10
A25/03
Serie A2
77.5Avg total
42.9Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.839.380.1+1.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.738.177.8+1.656%-
Last 30 away (14)42.140.782.8+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)42.934.677.5+8.390%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.280.6+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)40.244.084.2-3.825%-
vs Similar (14)40.641.081.6-0.457%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.235.877.0+5.567%-
This opponent (Monferrato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A21/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H26/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A04/02
Serie A2
Cento
#12
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A10/02
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
L
28-39
28
39
-11
H18/02
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A24/02
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H03/03
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A09/03
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H23/03
Serie A2
78.1Avg total
36.9Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.942.079.9-4.027%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.240.476.6-4.125%-
Last 30 away (14)39.943.883.6-3.929%-
Last 10 (10)36.941.278.1-4.320%-
Last 5 (5)35.239.274.4-4.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.044.281.2-7.217%-
vs Similar (18)38.640.579.1-1.933%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rimini) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Riminitheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rimini: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.520.5
56.2%
50.3%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.9
35.7%
34.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws15.612.0
76.9%
74.2%12.0
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monferratotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monferrato: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.818.8
49.7%
50.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.88.9
33.2%
34.1%26.7
🏀 Free throws16.612.8
77.1%
74.2%12.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rimini
WWWWLWWWWL
Monferrato
LLLLWLLLWL
#10
League position
#24
+9.5
Net rating
-7.4
109.7
Offensive rating
104.1
100.2
Defensive rating
111.6
55.1%
Effective FG%
49.8%
45.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
16.1%
Turnover %
16.3%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
26.1%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.26
35.7%
3-point %
33.2%
52.4%
Assist %
52.3%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence109.7 · 104.1Defence100.2 · 111.6Shooting55.1% · 49.8%3-point %35.7% · 33.2%Ball care16.1% · 16.3%Off. rebounds24.2% · 26.1%Free throws0.25 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Rimini   ■ Monferrato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Rimini wins
0
Monferrato wins
No previous meetings.
Riminilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/24AJuVi Cremona64-58
17/03/24HLatina92-73
10/03/24HVigevano82-72
03/03/24ACantu84-83
18/02/24ASebastiani Rieti86-93
11/02/24HAgrigento73-61
04/02/24HUdine78-73
28/01/24ATrieste90-76
21/01/24HNardo83-65
13/01/24HCividale67-69
Monferratolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/03/24HForli75-77
09/03/24ANardo80-100
03/03/24HVerona79-80
24/02/24AAssigeco Piacenza76-89
18/02/24HFortitudo Bologna89-67
10/02/24ACento73-79
04/02/24AUrania Milano75-92
26/01/24HCantu71-92
21/01/24ALatina103-94
14/01/24HBasket Torino71-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rimini
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW50%
HomeWWWWW64%
AwayWWLWW36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %50%64%36%
Points / game77.877.178.4
Allowed / game76.173.478.8
Point differential+1.7+3.8-0.4
Avg total153.8150.5157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%43%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)60% (5)20% (5)
Overtime %11%7%14%
Monferrato
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL21%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayWLLLL7%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %21%36%7%
Points / game79.477.981.0
Allowed / game84.679.489.8
Point differential-5.1-1.5-8.8
Avg total164.0157.2170.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%21%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)40% (5)0% (3)
Overtime %4%0%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2826293%88.976.5+12.4
2 Forli2924583%79.272.6+6.7
3 Fortitudo Bologna2821775%76.871.3+5.4
4 Udine2921872%78.869.8+9.0
5 Basket Torino2820871%84.980.8+4.1
6 Cantu2920969%86.079.9+6.1
7 Verona29181162%76.673.9+2.7
8 Sebastiani Rieti28171161%81.178.0+3.1
9 Trieste29171259%81.078.0+3.0
10 Rimini28141450%77.876.1+1.7
11 Assigeco Piacenza29141548%78.076.1+1.9
12 Cividale29141548%75.575.1+0.4
13 Urania Milano29141548%81.783.9-2.2
14 Cento28131546%74.777.7-3.0
15 JuVi Cremona29131645%82.984.4-1.6
16 Treviglio28121643%79.079.5-0.5
17 Vigevano29111838%77.481.7-4.2
18 Nardo29111838%74.980.5-5.6
19 Luiss Roma2992031%78.085.2-7.2
20 Orzinuovi2882029%74.278.0-3.7
21 Chiusi2882029%66.673.9-7.2
22 Monferrato2862221%79.484.6-5.1
23 Agrigento2962321%74.081.3-7.2
24 Latina2962321%76.284.8-8.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rimini2720192793
Monferrato1920211777
← all games of the day
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