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Cento vs Monferrato Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 79-73
16-17 24-20 17-19 22-17
Position#12
Record9-13
FormLWWLW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game78.6
Cento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#24
Record5-17
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game85.3
ItalySerie A2Round 23· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Monferrato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
L
78-85
78
85
-7
69avg 62
H06/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
L
59-77
59
77
-18
49avg 62
A10/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
66-80
66
80
-14
59avg 62
A17/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
71-62
71
62
+9
63avg 62
H23/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
61-82
61
82
-21
49avg 62
A29/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
78-89
78
89
-11
66avg 62
H07/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
86-79 OT
86
79
+7
no box
A14/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
61-57
61
57
+4
53avg 62
H21/01
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
82-96
82
96
-14
72avg 62
H28/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
86-83
86
83
+3
80avg 62
A04/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-15
24-22
16-25
16-23
20-26
16-8
11-19
12-24
10-21
16-23
23-18
17-18
18-10
25-12
12-21
16-19
16-21
17-21
8-20
20-20
21-25
16-20
23-16
18-28
13-14
24-16
14-19
20-22
18-14
18-13
10-13
15-17
24-25
17-20
13-21
28-30
18-29
28-14
15-15
25-25
151.8Avg total
72.8Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)73.878.6152.5-4.841%
Season at home (11)77.381.5158.7-4.236%
Season away (11)70.475.8146.2-5.545%
Last 10 (10)72.879.0151.8-6.240%
Last 5 (5)78.680.8159.4-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.280.5153.8-7.331%
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.977.9153.8-2.041%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonferratoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMonferrato
Date
Competition
Trapani
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 68
H06/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
86-61
86
61
+25
85avg 68
H10/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
66-83
66
83
-17
56avg 68
A17/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
L
71-72
71
72
-1
62avg 68
A23/12
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
67-86
67
86
-19
51avg 68
H30/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
103-110 OT
103
110
-7
no box
A06/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
62avg 68
H14/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
103-94
103
94
+9
95avg 68
A21/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
71-92
71
92
-21
61avg 68
H26/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
75-92
75
92
-17
65avg 68
A04/02
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-26
20-23
12-15
21-14
18-14
23-14
19-13
26-20
18-25
15-17
20-17
13-24
20-15
20-19
13-20
18-18
11-27
22-26
20-21
14-12
22-23
23-26
22-23
22-17
25-24
13-21
17-13
16-24
24-19
29-19
22-26
28-30
17-21
16-26
20-21
18-24
14-19
18-27
19-20
24-26
163.0Avg total
78.0Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)79.685.3164.9-5.623%
Season at home (11)77.080.6157.6-3.636%
Season away (11)82.389.9172.2-7.69%
Last 10 (10)78.085.0163.0-7.020%
Last 5 (5)84.694.0178.6-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)79.288.6167.9-9.412%
vs Similar ◀ (22)80.582.0162.5-1.436%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -3.0-3.0Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -4.2-4.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -0.9-0.9
CentoMonferrato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H06/12
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#13
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A10/12
Serie A2
Trieste
#5
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A17/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#18
W
43-22
43
22
+21
H23/12
Serie A2
Udine
#6
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A29/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#10
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H07/01
Serie A2
Nardo
#15
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A14/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#3
W
36-27
36
27
+9
H21/01
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#21
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H28/01
Serie A2
Cividale
#11
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A04/02
Serie A2
75.0Avg total
38.1Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.839.478.3-0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.041.182.1-0.140%-
Last 30 away (15)36.737.774.4-1.153%-
Last 10 (10)38.136.975.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)39.438.077.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.742.879.5-6.123%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.536.977.4+3.665%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Monferrato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MonferratoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trapani
#1
L
34-49
34
49
-15
H06/12
Serie A2
Vigevano
#20
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H10/12
Serie A2
Agrigento
#19
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A17/12
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A23/12
Serie A2
Treviglio
#16
L
33-53
33
53
-20
H30/12
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#17
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A06/01
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H14/01
Serie A2
Latina
#23
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A21/01
Serie A2
Cantu
#4
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H26/01
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A04/02
Serie A2
81.3Avg total
38.2Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.541.079.5-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.740.377.9-2.640%-
Last 30 away (15)39.441.781.1-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)38.243.181.3-4.930%-
Last 5 (5)40.245.085.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)39.046.985.9-7.925%-
vs Similar ◀ (22)38.438.877.2-0.550%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 69.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.817.6
49.2%
50.3%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.17.5
28.7%
34.1%22.5
🏀 Free throws15.211.5
75.7%
74.2%11.5
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Monferratotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Monferrato: 74.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.917.1
46.3%
50.3%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.99.4
34.9%
34.1%28.2
🏀 Free throws15.411.9
77.3%
74.2%11.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 10 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
WLWWLLWLLL
Monferrato
LLWLLLLLWL
#12
League position
#24
-12.8
Net rating
-9.3
97.0
Offensive rating
101.9
109.7
Defensive rating
111.3
46.6%
Effective FG%
48.9%
51.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.8%
15.7%
Turnover %
16.2%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
24.3%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.24
28.7%
3-point %
34.9%
50.6%
Assist %
50.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 101.9Defence109.7 · 111.3Shooting46.6% · 48.9%3-point %28.7% · 34.9%Ball care15.7% · 16.2%Off. rebounds23.7% · 24.3%Free throws0.25 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Cento   ■ Monferrato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cento wins
0
Monferrato wins
No previous meetings.
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24ACividale86-83
28/01/24HOrzinuovi82-96
21/01/24HFortitudo Bologna61-57
14/01/24ANardo86-79 OT
07/01/24HRimini78-89
29/12/23AUdine61-82
23/12/23HChiusi71-62
17/12/23ATrieste66-80
10/12/23AAssigeco Piacenza59-77
06/12/23HVerona78-85
Monferratolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/02/24AUrania Milano75-92
26/01/24HCantu71-92
21/01/24ALatina103-94
14/01/24HBasket Torino71-82
06/01/24AJuVi Cremona103-110 OT
30/12/23HTreviglio67-86
23/12/23ASebastiani Rieti71-72
17/12/23AAgrigento66-83
10/12/23HVigevano86-61
06/12/23HTrapani67-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW41%
HomeLWLWL36%
AwayLLLWW45%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %41%36%45%
Points / game73.877.370.4
Allowed / game78.681.575.8
Point differential-4.8-4.2-5.5
Avg total152.5158.7146.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%9%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %14%18%9%
Monferrato
Serie A2 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL23%
HomeLWLLL36%
AwayLLLWL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %23%36%9%
Points / game79.677.082.3
Allowed / game85.380.689.9
Point differential-5.6-3.6-7.6
Avg total164.9157.6172.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Trapani2321291%90.376.9+13.4
2 Forli2218482%79.873.2+6.6
3 Cantu2217577%88.679.6+9.0
4 Fortitudo Bologna2217577%76.571.0+5.5
5 Udine2215768%78.769.9+8.9
6 Verona2215768%75.971.8+4.1
7 Basket Torino2215768%85.982.3+3.6
8 Trieste2314961%79.878.4+1.4
9 Sebastiani Rieti2213959%81.679.2+2.4
10 JuVi Cremona22121055%87.585.9+1.6
11 Urania Milano22121055%84.083.9+0.1
12 Treviglio22111150%81.081.3-0.3
13 Assigeco Piacenza2291341%76.075.5+0.5
14 Rimini2291341%77.176.8+0.3
15 Cento2291341%73.878.6-4.8
16 Luiss Roma2391439%79.385.6-6.3
17 Vigevano2281436%78.582.5-4.0
18 Nardo2281436%75.582.0-6.5
19 Cividale2381535%74.077.2-3.3
20 Orzinuovi2261627%73.576.6-3.1
21 Agrigento2261627%75.581.1-5.6
22 Monferrato2251723%79.685.3-5.6
23 Chiusi2251723%64.874.2-9.4
24 Latina2241818%78.987.8-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cento1624172279
Monferrato1720191773
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