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Rio Claro vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 95-63
27-19 12-24 27-9 29-11
Position#15
Record11-26
FormLLLWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game85.9
vs
Position#10
Record21-15
FormLWWLL
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game79.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Felipe Karam
Other2025-26
Meetings · Rio Claro v Bauru
16 Apr 2026
RIO 95
BAUR63
06 Mar 2023
RIO 84
BAUR69
27 Jan 2022
RIO 76
BAUR84
26 Nov 2019
RIO 74
BAUR92
01 Dec 2015
RIO 63
BAUR72
05 Dec 2014
RIO 65
BAUR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rio Claro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rio ClaroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H04/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
77-74
77
74
+3
H06/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-82
77
82
-5
A10/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
93-72
93
72
+21
A13/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
87-100
87
100
-13
A17/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
77-83
77
83
-6
H20/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H23/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
73-81
73
81
-8
H02/04
NBB
Pato
#17
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A06/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
82-92
82
92
-10
H12/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-17
14-20
27-19
18-27
26-22
26-18
8-9
17-25
16-28
23-20
24-20
14-14
27-20
20-11
21-26
25-15
23-32
25-23
18-26
21-19
21-22
27-25
12-6
17-30
16-15
15-25
22-25
23-17
17-14
18-22
16-21
22-24
13-17
16-21
20-20
29-12
22-21
15-30
25-21
20-20
162.1Avg total
80.2Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)78.285.9164.1-7.830%
Season at home (18)83.886.8170.7-3.039%
Season away (19)72.885.1157.8-12.321%
Last 10 (10)80.281.9162.1-1.730%
Last 5 (5)77.281.6158.8-4.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)74.085.6159.6-11.611%
vs Similar (9)82.682.2164.8+0.356%
vs Weaker (3)89.380.7170.0+8.7100%
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
W
90-70
90
70
+20
A16/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A19/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
92-79
92
79
+13
A21/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
107-70
107
70
+37
H05/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
96-71
96
71
+25
A11/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
81-104
81
104
-23
A13/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
96-84
96
84
+12
H21/03
NBB
Pato
#17
W
94-70
94
70
+24
H24/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
79-87 OT
79
87
-8
A01/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
87-91
87
91
-4
H06/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-23
18-22
22-14
30-11
17-23
21-13
23-25
26-20
23-13
24-21
20-29
25-16
32-14
25-21
25-20
25-15
27-24
18-18
31-18
20-11
24-24
19-19
16-32
22-29
28-24
30-17
17-22
21-21
20-16
21-18
29-21
24-15
13-17
16-16
20-14
19-21
33-21
18-21
14-25
22-24
171.6Avg total
90.9Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)81.979.0160.9+2.958%
Season at home (19)84.877.2162.0+7.774%
Season away (17)78.681.1159.8-2.541%
Last 10 (10)90.980.7171.6+10.270%
Last 5 (5)87.487.2174.6+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)86.786.3173.0+0.443%
vs Similar (11)83.584.5168.0-1.145%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.572.9156.4+10.683%
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: -1.6-1.6Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -0.3-0.3Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +5.1+5.1
Rio ClaroBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rio ClaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Botafogo
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H04/03
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
52-40
52
40
+12
H06/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A10/03
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
47-31
47
31
+16
A13/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
48-55
48
55
-7
A17/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
W
48-47
48
47
+1
H20/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
31-40
31
40
-9
H23/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H02/04
NBB
Pato
#17
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A06/04
NBB
Franca
#1
L
37-51
37
51
-14
H12/04
NBB
82.6Avg total
40.3Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.842.481.2-3.633%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.141.682.7-0.643%-
Last 30 away (16)36.843.179.9-6.325%-
Last 10 (10)40.342.382.6-2.030%-
Last 5 (5)36.042.478.4-6.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)37.144.982.0-7.822%-
vs Similar (9)39.737.877.4+1.944%-
vs Weaker (3)46.341.788.0+4.767%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#20
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A16/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A19/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A21/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H05/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A13/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H21/03
NBB
Pato
#17
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H24/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A01/04
NBB
Franca
#1
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H06/04
NBB
83.2Avg total
44.7Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.982.2+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.641.586.1+3.162%-
Last 30 away (14)37.640.177.7-2.650%-
Last 10 (10)44.738.583.2+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.438.683.0+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)42.945.087.9-2.157%-
vs Similar (11)39.542.582.0-3.127%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.236.979.1+5.283%-
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rio Clarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rio Claro: 79.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.6
52.7%
52.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.8
30.5%
32.5%23.4
🏀 Free throws23.117.3
74.9%
72.8%17.3
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 90.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.219.5
53.9%
52.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.611.6
40.6%
32.5%34.8
🏀 Free throws22.817.1
75.0%
72.8%17.1
They take 64.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rio Claro
LWLLLLWLWL
Bauru
LLWWLWWWWW
#15
League position
#10
-2.3
Net rating
+11.5
92.5
Offensive rating
102.4
94.8
Defensive rating
90.9
49.8%
Effective FG%
56.9%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.9%
15.0%
Turnover %
14.9%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.35
30.5%
3-point %
40.6%
56.9%
Assist %
79.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.5 · 102.4Defence94.8 · 90.9Shooting49.8% · 56.9%3-point %30.5% · 40.6%Ball care15.0% · 14.9%Free throws0.37 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Rio Claro   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rio Claro wins
9
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
22/12/25Bauru v Rio Claro84-68
06/03/23Rio Claro v Bauru84-69
25/11/22Bauru v Rio Claro92-48
27/01/22Rio Claro v Bauru76-84
28/10/21Bauru v Rio Claro77-65
29/01/20Bauru v Rio Claro104-76
26/11/19Rio Claro v Bauru74-92
16/02/16Bauru v Rio Claro82-69
01/12/15Rio Claro v Bauru63-72
15/02/15Bauru v Rio Claro106-74
Rio Clarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26HFranca82-92
06/04/26APato78-70
02/04/26HCorinthians Paulista73-81
23/03/26HSao Jose76-82
20/03/26HMogi77-83
17/03/26APaulistano87-100
13/03/26ACearense93-72
10/03/26AUnifacisa77-82
06/03/26HVasco77-74
04/03/26HBotafogo82-83
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/26HFranca87-91
01/04/26AMogi79-87 OT
24/03/26HPato94-70
21/03/26HUnifacisa96-84
13/03/26ACorinthians Paulista81-104
11/03/26ASao Jose96-71
05/03/26HCearense107-70
21/02/26AFlamengo92-79
19/02/26ABotafogo87-81
16/02/26AVasco90-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rio Claro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL30%
HomeWLLLL39%
AwayLLWLW21%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %30%39%21%
Points / game78.283.872.8
Allowed / game85.986.885.1
Point differential-7.8-3.0-12.3
Avg total164.1170.7157.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%6%5%
Close games (≤5 pts) won55% (11)57% (7)50% (4)
Overtime %8%11%5%
Bauru
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL58%
HomeWWWWL74%
AwayWWWLL41%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %58%74%41%
Points / game81.984.878.6
Allowed / game79.077.281.1
Point differential+2.9+7.7-2.5
Avg total160.9162.0159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%42%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3832684%90.876.9+13.9
2 Pinheiros3729878%85.274.6+10.6
3 Minas3829976%88.081.2+6.8
4 Flamengo38281074%87.579.0+8.5
5 Brasilia37271073%81.372.2+9.1
6 Corinthians Paulista37261170%85.079.4+5.6
7 Paulistano37231462%83.078.3+4.7
8 Sao Jose37221559%81.980.1+1.8
9 Bauru36211558%81.979.0+2.9
10 Mogi37211657%76.671.1+5.5
11 Unifacisa38201853%81.680.4+1.2
12 Uniao Corinthians37181949%79.781.7-2.0
13 Caxias do Sul37172046%73.876.4-2.5
14 Cruzeiro37122532%80.185.6-5.6
15 Rio Claro37112630%78.285.9-7.8
16 Botafogo37102727%73.283.2-10.1
17 Pato3672919%72.480.3-7.9
18 Cearense3773019%76.289.0-12.8
19 Osasco3763116%76.188.2-12.2
20 Vasco3753214%70.681.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rio Claro2712272995
Bauru192491163
← all games of the day
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