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Rio Claro vs Vasco Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 06 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 77-74
26-22 26-18 8-9 17-25
Position#15
Record8-20
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game87.2
vs
Position#20
Record4-24
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game79.6
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Felipe Karam
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rio Claro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rio ClaroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormClaro
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
66avg 69
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
60-78
60
78
-18
46avg 69
H09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
65-93
65
93
-28
no box
A17/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
77-75
77
75
+2
71avg 69
A20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 69
H03/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
82-77
82
77
+5
68avg 69
H05/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
93-87 OT
93
87
+6
82avg 69
H16/02
NBB
Minas
#3
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
91avg 69
A19/02
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
L
79-95
79
95
-16
71avg 69
A21/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
L
82-83
82
83
-1
76avg 69
H04/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
20-31
16-10
20-17
20-18
6-29
17-13
17-18
13-24
17-24
13-27
22-18
23-13
16-25
19-14
19-23
18-16
18-13
20-19
23-25
12-26
23-19
24-25
23-7
26-21
25-24
13-13
14-20
22-26
18-17
25-15
20-27
24-18
21-22
17-30
17-25
23-17
14-20
27-19
18-27
162.7Avg total
78.6Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)77.687.2164.8-9.729%
Season at home (13)86.588.5175.0-2.146%
Season away (15)69.986.1156.0-16.313%
Last 10 (10)78.684.1162.7-5.540%
Last 5 (5)86.288.0174.2-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)72.589.3161.8-16.816%
vs Similar ◀ (8)81.183.0164.1-1.938%
vs Weaker (3)92.791.3184.0+1.367%
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVasco
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
80-102
80
102
-22
76avg 66
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
75-78
75
78
-3
59avg 66
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
78-73
78
73
+5
65avg 66
A13/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
67-75
67
75
-8
no box
H17/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
60-67
60
67
-7
49avg 66
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#17
W
84-75
84
75
+9
76avg 66
A02/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
61-84
61
84
-23
48avg 66
A07/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
72-74
72
74
-2
68avg 66
H11/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-90
70
90
-20
68avg 66
H16/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
80-85
80
85
-5
71avg 66
H22/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
19-29
19-27
23-24
14-21
21-24
14-16
26-17
10-20
25-18
14-24
29-11
12-21
24-18
12-17
19-19
7-25
16-16
18-11
19-15
19-24
13-21
23-20
29-10
12-25
20-16
16-20
13-23
18-21
15-20
17-17
22-16
23-20
22-18
14-22
11-30
20-24
25-24
17-16
18-21
153.0Avg total
72.7Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)69.679.6149.2-9.914%
Season at home (13)73.181.8154.9-8.88%
Season away (15)66.777.6144.3-10.920%
Last 10 (10)72.780.3153.0-7.620%
Last 5 (5)73.481.6155.0-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)68.180.6148.7-12.49%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.677.7152.3-3.129%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -6.9-6.9Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -0.4-0.4Q1: -6.9-6.9Q2Q2: -4.6-4.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: -2.6-2.6Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
Rio ClaroVasco
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rio ClaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#1
L
38-55
38
55
-17
A29/12
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
26-47
26
47
-21
H09/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
30-48
30
48
-18
A17/01
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A20/01
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H03/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H05/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
51-45
51
45
+6
H16/02
NBB
Minas
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A19/02
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A21/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H04/03
NBB
80.4Avg total
37.7Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.943.881.7-5.923%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.543.984.5-3.427%-
Last 30 away (15)35.343.778.9-8.420%-
Last 10 (10)37.742.780.4-5.040%-
Last 5 (5)41.642.083.6-0.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)36.945.782.6-8.816%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.137.474.5-0.238%-
vs Weaker (3)46.349.095.3-2.733%-
This opponent (Vasco) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VascoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Flamengo
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-45
35
45
-10
A10/01
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A13/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H17/01
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
23-41
23
41
-18
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#17
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A02/02
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A07/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H11/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H16/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H22/02
NBB
78.1Avg total
35.4Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.539.774.2-5.223%-
Last 30 at home (13)35.039.974.9-4.923%-
Last 30 away (17)34.139.673.7-5.524%-
Last 10 (10)35.442.778.1-7.310%-
Last 5 (5)37.442.680.0-5.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (23)34.140.374.4-6.122%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)35.738.073.7-2.329%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Rio Claro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Rio Clarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rio Claro: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.2
50.1%
52.2%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.97.6
29.3%
32.5%22.8
🏀 Free throws23.017.3
75.2%
72.8%17.3
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vascotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco: 73.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.5
51.0%
52.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.18.3
29.5%
32.5%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.813.4
67.7%
72.8%13.4
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Rio Claro
LLLWWWWLLL
Vasco
LLLLWLLWLL
#15
League position
#20
-5.4
Net rating
-8.6
89.8
Offensive rating
87.8
95.2
Defensive rating
96.4
47.7%
Effective FG%
48.0%
51.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.4%
18.0%
Turnover %
16.8%
28.4%
Off. rebound %
24.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.3%
3-point %
29.5%
55.6%
Assist %
67.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence89.8 · 87.8Defence95.2 · 96.4Shooting47.7% · 48.0%3-point %29.3% · 29.5%Ball care18.0% · 16.8%Off. rebounds28.4% · 24.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)40% · 20%
■ Rio Claro   ■ Vasco
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Rio Claro wins
0
Vasco wins
DateGameScore
25/11/25Vasco v Rio Claro81-84
Rio Clarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/03/26HBotafogo82-83
21/02/26ACruzeiro79-95
19/02/26AMinas95-98 OT
16/02/26HFlamengo93-87 OT
05/02/26HUniao Corinthians82-77
03/02/26HCaxias do Sul79-73
20/01/26AOsasco77-75
17/01/26APinheiros65-93
09/01/26HBrasilia60-78
29/12/25AFranca74-82
Vascolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/26HFranca80-85
16/02/26HBauru70-90
11/02/26HSao Jose72-74
07/02/26ABrasilia61-84
02/02/26APato84-75
20/01/26HMogi60-67
17/01/26HCorinthians Paulista67-75
13/01/26ACearense78-73
10/01/26AUnifacisa75-78
27/12/25HFlamengo80-102

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rio Claro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL29%
HomeLWWWL46%
AwayLLWLL13%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %29%46%13%
Points / game77.686.569.9
Allowed / game87.288.586.1
Point differential-9.7-2.1-16.3
Avg total164.8175.0156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %11%15%7%
Vasco
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL14%
HomeLLLLL8%
AwayLLWWL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281315
Win %14%8%20%
Points / game69.673.166.7
Allowed / game79.681.877.6
Point differential-9.9-8.8-10.9
Avg total149.2154.9144.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)17% (6)40% (5)
Overtime %7%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros2823582%85.874.4+11.4
2 Franca2923679%89.275.4+13.8
3 Flamengo2822679%86.977.7+9.2
4 Minas2821775%87.082.2+4.7
5 Brasilia2820871%82.272.7+9.6
6 Corinthians Paulista2820871%83.878.0+5.8
7 Paulistano28171161%81.076.9+4.1
8 Sao Jose30181260%82.879.9+2.9
9 Bauru30181260%80.577.9+2.6
10 Uniao Corinthians28151354%79.581.4-1.9
11 Unifacisa27141352%80.179.2+0.9
12 Mogi29151452%75.870.1+5.6
13 Caxias do Sul28121643%72.877.3-4.5
14 Cruzeiro2791833%79.285.2-6.0
15 Rio Claro2882029%77.687.2-9.7
16 Pato2872125%73.379.4-6.1
17 Botafogo2862221%72.583.1-10.6
18 Cearense2862221%76.887.6-10.8
19 Vasco2842414%69.679.6-9.9
20 Osasco2842414%75.087.5-12.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Rio Claro262681777
Vasco221892574
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