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Bauru vs Pato Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 24 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 94-70
20-16 21-18 29-21 24-15
Position#10
Record20-13
FormWWWLW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game78.7
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#17
Record7-24
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.4
Allowed / game79.8
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao
Other2025-26
Meetings · Bauru v Pato
24 Mar 2026
BAUR94
PATO70
13 Dec 2024
BAUR97
PATO91
27 Apr 2024
BAUR71
PATO62
15 Feb 2024
BAUR89
PATO79
11 Mar 2023
BAUR74
PATO55
24 Apr 2022
BAUR88
PATO79
22 Apr 2022
BAUR82
PATO71
31 Mar 2022
BAUR84
PATO74
27 Feb 2021
BAUR101
PATO55
25 Mar 2020
BAUR v PATO
upcoming
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
99-103 OT
99
103
-4
84avg 76
A21/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
80-77
80
77
+3
74avg 76
H06/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
105-90
105
90
+15
104avg 76
H10/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
90-70
90
70
+20
83avg 76
A16/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
87-81
87
81
+6
85avg 76
A19/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
92-79
92
79
+13
94avg 76
A21/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
107-70
107
70
+37
122avg 76
H05/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
96-71
96
71
+25
98avg 76
A11/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
81-104
81
104
-23
72avg 76
A13/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
96-84
96
84
+12
94avg 76
H21/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
22-24
22-22
26-19
25-19
17-17
18-16
20-25
28-21
27-33
28-20
22-16
20-23
18-22
22-14
30-11
17-23
21-13
23-25
26-20
23-13
24-21
20-29
25-16
32-14
25-21
25-20
25-15
27-24
18-18
31-18
20-11
24-24
19-19
16-32
22-29
28-24
30-17
17-22
21-21
176.2Avg total
93.3Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)81.578.7160.2+2.861%
Season at home (17)84.276.8160.9+7.476%
Season away (16)78.680.8159.4-2.144%
Last 10 (10)93.382.9176.2+10.480%
Last 5 (5)94.481.6176.0+12.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.785.5172.2+1.250%
vs Similar (12)81.279.9161.1+1.258%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)82.572.8155.3+9.783%
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPato
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
L
81-89
81
89
-8
78avg 65
A19/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
67-75
67
75
-8
54avg 65
A21/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
75-84
75
84
-9
64avg 65
H02/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
84-53
84
53
+31
81avg 65
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
93-67
93
67
+26
89avg 65
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
L
59-64
59
64
-5
50avg 65
A18/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
67-82
67
82
-15
56avg 65
A21/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
79-89
79
89
-10
67avg 65
H07/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
72-80
72
80
-8
63avg 65
H13/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
72-81
72
81
-9
64avg 65
H18/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-27
19-26
25-17
17-19
27-17
18-23
4-17
18-18
24-19
21-13
20-23
10-29
17-22
25-14
25-7
17-10
27-19
22-13
18-20
26-15
16-21
24-14
8-10
11-19
14-21
18-21
23-24
12-16
19-21
18-17
19-26
23-25
13-26
22-19
17-19
20-16
15-13
19-17
24-28
14-23
151.3Avg total
74.9Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)73.479.8153.2-6.423%
Season at home (17)74.677.1151.6-2.529%
Season away (14)72.083.1155.1-11.114%
Last 10 (10)74.976.4151.3-1.520%
Last 5 (5)69.879.2149.0-9.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)70.981.8152.7-10.810%
vs Similar (10)79.576.9156.4+2.650%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: -1.4-1.4Q2Q2: +1.6+1.6Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: +0.4+0.4Q3: -0.8-0.8Q4Q4: +5.4+5.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
BauruPato
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A21/01
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H06/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H10/02
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A16/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A19/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A21/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
57-35
57
35
+22
H05/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A11/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A13/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H21/03
NBB
87.2Avg total
46.1Scored
41.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.940.481.3+0.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.640.282.9+2.456%-
Last 30 away (14)38.940.579.4-1.657%-
Last 10 (10)46.141.187.2+5.070%-
Last 5 (5)50.039.089.0+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.545.587.0-4.050%-
vs Similar (12)38.840.979.7-2.233%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)42.837.280.0+5.583%-
This opponent (Pato) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cruzeiro
#14
L
39-53
39
53
-14
A19/01
NBB
Minas
#3
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A21/01
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H02/02
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
H05/02
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H12/02
NBB
Cearense
#19
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A18/02
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A21/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H07/03
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H13/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H18/03
NBB
78.1Avg total
39.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.240.277.4-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.137.975.9+0.253%-
Last 30 away (13)36.043.279.2-7.231%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.378.1+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)35.638.073.6-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)35.840.676.4-4.835%-
vs Similar (10)39.939.479.3+0.560%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 93.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.320.7
58.6%
52.2%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.311.8
40.3%
32.5%35.4
🏀 Free throws23.216.5
71.1%
72.8%16.5
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Patotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pato: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.6 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.317.4
50.7%
52.2%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.79.5
30.0%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws17.711.6
65.5%
72.8%11.6
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
WLWWWWWWWL
Pato
LLLLLWWLLL
#10
League position
#17
+11.7
Net rating
-1.7
105.3
Offensive rating
84.5
93.6
Defensive rating
86.2
59.4%
Effective FG%
48.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.3%
15.2%
Turnover %
17.7%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.27
40.3%
3-point %
30.0%
76.0%
Assist %
56.5%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 84.5Defence93.6 · 86.2Shooting59.4% · 48.0%3-point %40.3% · 30.0%Ball care15.2% · 17.7%Free throws0.36 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)80% · 20%
■ Bauru   ■ Pato
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Bauru wins
1
Pato wins
DateGameScore
15/12/25Pato v Bauru61-69
05/02/25Pato v Bauru91-94
13/12/24Bauru v Pato97-91
27/04/24Bauru v Pato71-62
21/04/24Pato v Bauru74-93
15/02/24Bauru v Pato89-79
14/11/23Pato v Bauru73-70
11/03/23Bauru v Pato74-55
19/12/22Pato v Bauru85-96
24/04/22Bauru v Pato88-79
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/26HUnifacisa96-84
13/03/26ACorinthians Paulista81-104
11/03/26ASao Jose96-71
05/03/26HCearense107-70
21/02/26AFlamengo92-79
19/02/26ABotafogo87-81
16/02/26AVasco90-70
10/02/26HMinas105-90
06/02/26HCruzeiro80-77
21/01/26AUniao Corinthians99-103 OT
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/03/26HSao Jose72-81
13/03/26HMogi72-80
07/03/26HCorinthians Paulista79-89
21/02/26AUnifacisa67-82
18/02/26ACearense59-64
12/02/26HBotafogo93-67
05/02/26HFlamengo84-53
02/02/26HVasco75-84
21/01/26AMinas67-75
19/01/26ACruzeiro81-89

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW61%
HomeLWWWW76%
AwayWWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331716
Win %61%76%44%
Points / game81.584.278.6
Allowed / game78.776.880.8
Point differential+2.8+7.4-2.1
Avg total160.2160.9159.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%41%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)60% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Pato
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL23%
HomeWWLLL29%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %23%29%14%
Points / game73.474.672.0
Allowed / game79.877.183.1
Point differential-6.4-2.5-11.1
Avg total153.2151.6155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%18%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %6%6%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pinheiros3327682%85.974.1+11.8
2 Franca3125681%90.975.9+15.0
3 Flamengo3125681%87.177.4+9.6
4 Minas3124777%86.681.5+5.2
5 Brasilia3324973%81.371.6+9.7
6 Corinthians Paulista3122971%84.378.5+5.8
7 Paulistano33201361%82.978.6+4.3
8 Bauru33201361%81.578.7+2.8
9 Sao Jose33201361%82.380.0+2.3
10 Uniao Corinthians31171455%79.180.7-1.6
11 Mogi33181555%75.870.4+5.4
12 Unifacisa32161650%80.981.0-0.1
13 Caxias do Sul33141942%72.876.7-3.8
14 Cruzeiro32112134%79.485.2-5.8
15 Rio Claro34102429%78.286.4-8.1
16 Botafogo3282425%72.482.6-10.2
17 Pato3172423%73.479.8-6.4
18 Cearense3462818%76.088.4-12.4
19 Vasco3352815%70.079.4-9.4
20 Osasco3452915%75.887.8-12.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru2021292494
Pato1618211570
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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