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Rio Grande Valley Vipers vs Austin Toros Spurs Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 18 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 01:00
Projected 112-112
Projected total 223.6
Scheduled
Position#18
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game102.7
Allowed / game99.3
Vs
52%
48%
■ RIO 52%■ AUST 48%
Pythia win probability
Position#6
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game118.5
Allowed / game113.0
USANBA - G League
Other2026-27
Meetings · Rio Grande Valley Vipers v Austin Toros Spurs
17 Nov 2026
RIO v AUST
upcoming
06 Nov 2026
RIO 116
AUST120
31 Mar 2026
RIO 117
AUST106
10 Mar 2026
RIO 86
AUST94
07 Feb 2026
RIO 112
AUST111
10 Dec 2024
RIO 112
AUST124
12 Nov 2024
RIO 124
AUST109
19 Mar 2024
RIO 102
AUST98
14 Feb 2024
RIO 104
AUST122
28 Jan 2023
RIO 126
AUST110
07 Dec 2022
RIO 107
AUST95
05 Dec 2022
RIO 120
AUST93
19 Jan 2022
RIO 112
AUST100
28 Mar 2020
RIO v AUST
upcoming
09 Nov 2019
RIO 124
AUST131
25 Jan 2019
RIO 129
AUST98
15 Nov 2018
RIO 125
AUST104
10 Feb 2018
RIO 109
AUST98
08 Nov 2017
RIO 104
AUST111
03 Feb 2017
RIO 103
AUST108
06 Jan 2017
RIO 126
AUST118
05 Apr 2016
RIO 136
AUST133
16 Feb 2016
RIO 101
AUST96
25 Jan 2016
RIO 119
AUST112
17 Dec 2015
RIO 94
AUST106
28 Mar 2015
RIO 127
AUST102
03 Jan 2015
RIO 126
AUST134
15 Nov 2014
RIO 113
AUST110
14 Nov 2014
RIO 121
AUST120
05 Apr 2014
RIO 125
AUST129
21 Mar 2014
RIO 133
AUST137
08 Feb 2014
RIO 119
AUST105
25 Jan 2014
RIO 123
AUST116
20 Jan 2014
RIO 136
AUST133
06 Apr 2013
RIO 120
AUST111
05 Apr 2013
RIO 112
AUST104
06 Mar 2013
RIO 118
AUST110
Sections
Game preview & prediction

The Rio Grande Valley Vipers will host the Austin Toros Spurs on 17 November 2026 in the NBA G League, and the contest is almost a toss-up, with only a 52% versus 48% chance of a win for the Vipers and Spurs respectively. The Vipers are 1-1 overall, averaging 104.5 points and conceding 98.0, while the Spurs are undefeated 2-0, scoring 118.5 and allowing 113.0, and sit 15th and 9th in the standings. At home the Vipers have gone 0-1, with 116.0 points for and 120.0 against, and their last five games were 2-3, including a 93-76 win over Oklahoma City Blue away, a 116-120 home loss to the Spurs, and a 97-112 away defeat to South Bay Lakers. The Spurs, meanwhile, are 1-0 on the road, posting 120.0 for and 116.0 against, and their last five were 3-2, highlighted by a 117-110 home win over Birmingham Squadron, a 120-116 away win over the Vipers, and a 106-117 away loss to the Vipers. In their ten meetings the Spurs have won seven, most recently defeating the Vipers 120-116 on 6 November. Pythia projects a 112-112 tie with a total of 223.6 points, and the Spurs have a 5% chance of forcing overtime. The Vipers are slightly favoured to cover the spread, with a 52% probability of winning outright.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Rio Grande Valley Vipers win
51.8%fair 1.93
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Austin Toros Spurs win
48.2%fair 2.07
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:34 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Rio Grande Valley VipersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Cruz Warriors
#28
W
108-99
108
99
+9
A20/03
NBA - G League
Santa Cruz Warriors
#28
L
115-123
115
123
-8
A22/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
W
120-105
120
105
+15
A25/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
W
121-107
121
107
+14
H27/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
L
118-120
118
120
-2
H29/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
117-106
117
106
+11
H01/04
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
97-112
97
112
-15
A04/04
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#6
L
116-120
116
120
-4
H07/11
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#25
W
93-76
93
76
+17
A10/11
NBA - G League
Texas Legends
#22
L
99-102
99
102
-3
A14/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-26
30-16
32-36
20-21
31-30
33-29
33-32
18-32
39-30
35-29
25-15
21-31
30-21
32-26
30-33
29-27
32-27
23-38
35-25
28-30
36-20
32-29
22-29
27-28
27-33
19-28
28-23
23-28
26-40
32-32
28-22
30-26
27-17
29-22
19-21
18-16
–
–
–
–
217.4Avg total
110.4Scored
107.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)102.799.3202.0+3.333%
Season at home (1)116.0120.0236.0-4.00%
Season away (2)96.089.0185.0+7.050%
Last 10 (10)110.4107.0217.4+3.450%
Last 5 (5)104.4103.2207.6+1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)116.5120.0236.5-3.550%
vs Similar ◀ (16)116.2113.0229.2+3.262%
vs Weaker (10)115.0104.2219.2+10.870%
This opponent (Austin Toros Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin Toros SpursUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stockton Kings
#6
L
104-106
104
106
-2
H15/03
NBA - G League
College Park Skyhawks
#25
L
116-119
116
119
-3
A17/03
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
W
121-107
121
107
+14
A20/03
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
W
117-97
117
97
+20
A22/03
NBA - G League
Rip City Remix
#12
W
99-93
99
93
+6
H26/03
NBA - G League
Rip City Remix
#12
L
101-106
101
106
-5
H28/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
118-86
118
86
+32
H29/03
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#8
L
106-117
106
117
-11
A01/04
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#18
W
120-116
120
116
+4
A07/11
NBA - G League
Birmingham Squadron
#26
W
117-110
117
110
+7
H08/11
NBA - G League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
25-27
17-27
40-31
20-34
38-33
32-23
26-29
35-36
22-20
32-23
32-28
25-26
40-24
24-27
28-20
24-17
26-32
25-32
24-12
26-28
16-20
27-30
32-28
33-19
32-26
27-16
26-25
20-36
29-32
29-22
28-27
40-26
32-32
22-28
26-30
21-22
46-42
20-19
30-27
217.6Avg total
111.9Scored
105.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)118.5113.0231.5+5.5100%
Season at home (1)117.0110.0227.0+7.0100%
Season away (1)120.0116.0236.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)111.9105.7217.6+6.260%
Last 5 (5)112.4107.0219.4+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)112.1109.2221.3+2.957%
vs Weaker (15)113.1108.0221.1+5.173%
This opponent (Rio Grande Valley Vipers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 227
Over 227
42.7%
Under 227
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 232
Over 232
32.6%
Under 232
67.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 237
Over 237
23.7%
Under 237
76.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Rio Grande Valley Vipers total 113.5
Over 113.5
45.4%
Under 113.5
54.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Grande Valley Vipers total 117.5
Over 117.5
32.5%
Under 117.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rio Grande Valley Vipers total 121.5
Over 121.5
21.4%
Under 121.5
78.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austin Toros Spurs total 110.5
Over 110.5
53.5%
Under 110.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austin Toros Spurs total 114.5
Over 114.5
40.2%
Under 114.5
59.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austin Toros Spurs total 118.5
Over 118.5
27.8%
Under 118.5
72.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Rio Grande Valley Vipers -3
RIO -3
43.8%
AUST +3
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
RIO
No market prices yet.
AUST
No market prices yet.
Spread Rio Grande Valley Vipers 0
RIO 0
51.8%
AUST 0
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
RIO
No market prices yet.
AUST
No market prices yet.
Spread Rio Grande Valley Vipers +3
RIO +3
59.7%
AUST -3
40.3%
Best 5 market prices
RIO
No market prices yet.
AUST
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +1.8+1.8Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +3.5+3.5
Rio Grande Valley VipersAustin Toros Spurs
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Rio Grande Valley VipersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Santa Cruz Warriors
#28
W
56-42
56
42
+14
A20/03
NBA - G League
Santa Cruz Warriors
#28
W
64-59
64
59
+5
A22/03
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#27
W
74-59
74
59
+15
A25/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
W
62-47
62
47
+15
H27/03
NBA - G League
Memphis Hustle
#26
L
55-65
55
65
-10
H29/03
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#3
W
68-49
68
49
+19
H01/04
NBA - G League
South Bay Lakers
#5
L
46-61
46
61
-15
A04/04
NBA - G League
Austin Toros Spurs
#6
L
58-72
58
72
-14
H07/11
NBA - G League
Oklahoma City Blue
#25
W
56-39
56
39
+17
A10/11
NBA - G League
114.7Avg total
59.9Scored
54.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)60.754.7115.3+6.072%-
Last 30 at home (15)60.554.9115.3+5.673%-
Last 30 away (14)60.954.5115.4+6.471%-
Last 10 (9)59.954.8114.7+5.167%-
Last 5 (5)56.657.2113.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)61.559.5121.0+2.075%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)59.455.9115.2+3.562%-
vs Weaker (9)62.650.4113.0+12.189%-
This opponent (Austin Toros Spurs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Austin Toros SpursLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stockton Kings
#6
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H15/03
NBA - G League
College Park Skyhawks
#25
L
58-67
58
67
-9
A17/03
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
W
57-56
57
56
+1
A20/03
NBA - G League
Noblesville Boom
#22
W
65-50
65
50
+15
A22/03
NBA - G League
Rip City Remix
#12
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H26/03
NBA - G League
Rip City Remix
#12
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H28/03
NBA - G League
Mexico City Capitanes
#9
W
65-45
65
45
+20
H29/03
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#8
L
49-68
49
68
-19
A01/04
NBA - G League
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
#18
W
72-58
72
58
+14
A07/11
NBA - G League
Birmingham Squadron
#26
W
67-64
67
64
+3
H08/11
NBA - G League
112.5Avg total
57.2Scored
55.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)56.656.2112.9+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (13)54.353.2107.5+1.146%-
Last 30 away (17)58.458.5116.9-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)57.255.3112.5+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)59.056.6115.6+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (14)55.856.6112.4-0.836%-
vs Weaker (15)56.755.4112.1+1.353%-
This opponent (Rio Grande Valley Vipers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ATexas Legends99-102
10/11/26AOklahoma City Blue93-76
07/11/26HAustin Toros Spurs116-120
04/04/26ASouth Bay Lakers97-112
01/04/26HAustin Toros Spurs117-106
29/03/26HMemphis Hustle118-120
27/03/26HMemphis Hustle121-107
25/03/26AOklahoma City Blue120-105
22/03/26ASanta Cruz Warriors115-123
20/03/26ASanta Cruz Warriors108-99
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/11/26HBirmingham Squadron117-110
07/11/26ARio Grande Valley Vipers120-116
01/04/26ARio Grande Valley Vipers106-117
29/03/26HMexico City Capitanes118-86
28/03/26HRip City Remix101-106
26/03/26HRip City Remix99-93
22/03/26ANoblesville Boom117-97
20/03/26ANoblesville Boom121-107
17/03/26ACollege Park Skyhawks116-119
15/03/26HStockton Kings104-106

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Rio Grande Valley Vipers
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game102.7116.096.0
Allowed / game99.3120.089.0
Point differential+3.3-4.0+7.0
Avg total202.0236.0185.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Austin Toros Spurs
NBA - G League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game118.5117.0120.0
Allowed / game113.0110.0116.0
Point differential+5.5+7.0+4.0
Avg total231.5227.0236.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Maine Celtics330100%120.3101.0+19.3
2 Wisconsin Herd220100%142.0127.0+15.0
3 Windy City Bulls330100%125.3114.3+11.0
4 Sioux Falls Skyforce220100%125.0115.0+10.0
5 Osceola Magic330100%102.393.7+8.7
6 Austin Toros Spurs220100%118.5113.0+5.5
7 Long Island Nets43175%117.0109.5+7.5
8 South Bay Lakers43175%115.8109.2+6.5
9 Mexico City Capitanes43175%98.093.0+5.0
10 San Diego Clippers43175%123.5121.0+2.5
11 Stockton Kings32167%125.3125.3+0.0
12 Greensboro Swarm42250%115.5108.8+6.8
13 Motor City Cruise21150%129.5128.0+1.5
14 Delaware Blue Coats21150%131.5132.0-0.5
15 Santa Cruz Warriors21150%117.0117.5-0.5
16 College Park Skyhawks42250%118.8125.0-6.2
17 Noblesville Boom52340%119.0120.0-1.0
18 Rio Grande Valley Vipers31233%102.799.3+3.3
19 Memphis Hustle31233%109.7108.0+1.7
20 Salt Lake City Stars31233%104.7104.7+0.0
21 Rip City Remix31233%113.0116.3-3.3
22 Texas Legends31233%95.3101.0-5.7
23 Raptors 90541325%116.8124.8-8.0
24 Iowa Wolves41325%118.8128.8-10.0
25 Oklahoma City Blue51420%93.4103.0-9.6
26 Birmingham Squadron1010%110.0117.0-7.0
27 Grand Rapids Gold3030%114.3121.3-7.0
28 Valley Suns3030%115.0123.3-8.3
29 Westchester2020%93.5109.5-16.0
30 Cleveland Charge1010%122.0142.0-20.0
31 Capital City Go-Go1010%122.0147.0-25.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 31 teams: scroll the table.
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